UTEP at New Mexico State Game Matchup
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at New Mexico State AggiesNew Mexico State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
New Mexico State -3.5 (51.5) (-170)  Open: -2.5 | 51.5
UTEP 42 - New Mexico State: 35  (Conference USA)

 
Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
UTEP 2nd straight Road Game
NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -4   (SP+ NMSU -4)

Projected Score: UTEP: 25 - NMSU: 29 (55)
NMSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTEP Travel: 38 miles
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
UTEP's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTEP at Nebraska+27.549.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 9/7 UTEP vs Southern Utah-6.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 UTEP at Liberty+23.557.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/21 UTEP at Colorado State+8.549.0L 17 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3 UTEP vs Sam Houston+10.049.5L 21 - 41ON
Thu 10/10 UTEP at Western Kentucky+19.055.5L 17 - 44ON
Wed 10/16 UTEP vs Florida International+7.047.0W 30 - 21OY
Tue 10/22 UTEP at Louisiana Tech+6.549.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 UTEP vs Middle Tennessee-2.048.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 UTEP vs Kennesaw State-4.542.0W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UTEP at Tennessee+41.554.0L 0 - 56ON
Sat 11/30 UTEP at New Mexico State+3.551.5W 42 - 35OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State-9.552.5W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State vs Liberty+22.554.5L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State at Fresno State+19.548.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at Sam Houston+15.544.5L 11 - 31UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+9.554.0L 40 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 New Mexico State at Jacksonville State+21.058.5L 13 - 54ON
Tue 10/15 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech+12.549.0W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 New Mexico State vs Florida International+7.043.5L 13 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky+18.053.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+38.554.5L 3 - 38UY
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee+3.554.0W 36 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State vs UTEP-3.551.5L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 3

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#80 (.17)39% (103)19.543% (62)3.05 (83)14436% (113)2183.59 (93)#109 (.25)43% (88)32.348% (122)38% (23)4.62 (127)58.81.51
NMSU#29 (.28)47% (17)21.652% (7)3.57 (5)19942% (61)2143.98 (59)#91 (.22)45% (103)36.346% (96)44% (96)3.73 (63)58.310.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.514.739.5%3.591.5183621442183.953%46%43%36%16%.17
NMSU Defense1536.334.844.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1232.334.943.4%4.621 - - - - - 57%43%48%38%15%.25
NMSU Offense1521.630.547.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1231:2518.333%45%6.858.81.514.32126.1
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1253% (42)43% (62)37.3144.33.916 (89).09 (105)3.05 (83)76% (44)9% (51)0.89 (119)
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (73)10% (70)1.02 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1257% (126)48% (122) - - - - .28 (127)3.35 (113)76% (89)9% (106)1.1 (112)
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (17)8% (35)0.96 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1246% (94)36% (113)14.827.5217.77.914.713 (111)12 (85).29 (68)1.9 (6)32% (82)29% (82).34 (65)7% (104)2.1 (37)
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1243% (8)38% (23) - - - - - - 6 (120).26 (61)1.7 (104)32% (67)31% (87).48 (126)7% (50)2.3 (128)
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -23.79 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -23.79   New Mexico State: -19.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -22.7   New Mexico State: -19.0




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 29
UTEP 25


Projected Total Points: 55
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30New Mexico State35UTEP42UTEPNew Mexico State -3.5UTEP51.5Over
202310/18UTEP7New Mexico State28New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -3New Mexico State48.5Under
202209/10UTEP20New Mexico State13UTEPUTEP -17New Mexico State46.5Under
202108/28New Mexico State3UTEP30UTEPUTEP -9.5UTEP59.0Under
201911/23New Mexico State44UTEP35New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -8New Mexico State56.0Over
201809/22UTEP20New Mexico State27New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -4.5New Mexico State50.5Under
201709/23New Mexico State41UTEP14New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -17.5New Mexico State59.0Under
201609/03UTEP38New Mexico State22UTEPUTEP -3.5UTEP58.0Over
201509/19New Mexico State47UTEP50UTEPUTEP -4New Mexico State59.5Over
201409/13UTEP42New Mexico State24UTEPUTEP -11UTEP0
201309/14New Mexico State21UTEP42UTEPUTEP -6.5UTEP0
201209/15UTEP41New Mexico State28UTEP
201109/17New Mexico State10UTEP16UTEP
201009/18UTEP42New Mexico State10UTEP
200909/19New Mexico State12UTEP38UTEP
200809/20UTEP33New Mexico State34New Mexico State
200709/15New Mexico State29UTEP24New Mexico State
200609/30UTEP44New Mexico State38UTEP
200509/03New Mexico State17UTEP34UTEP
200410/02UTEP45New Mexico State0UTEP
200210/05New Mexico State49UTEP14New Mexico State
200009/29UTEP41New Mexico State31UTEP
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State764 Overs
UTEP1555 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 105 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams10 - 126 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#127) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.79 #127
Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UTEP Notes
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay
UTEP     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico State
Power #127
#129
Off #128
#111
Def #95
#119
Talent #116
#129
SP+ #130
#125
SP+ Off #131
#120
SP+ Def #113
#127

Rematch from Week 14
New Mexico State -3.5 (51.5)
UTEP won at New Mexico State this year (42-35)

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat New Mexico State last year (42-35)
New Mexico State beat UTEP in 2023 (28-7)
UTEP beat New Mexico State in 2022 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64°

Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | NMSU
Depth Chart: UTEP | NMSU
Rosters: UTEP | NMSU
(#129) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?


  
UTEP's OC Jake Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Ezell Jolly6424813.914
Skyler Locklear (Tr)8023723.018
JP Pickles3913313.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)47761816.276
Kam Thomas (Tr)46512211.169
Trey Goodman (Tr)47469010.037
Jaden Smith (Tr)2117708.441

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC J. J. Clark
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Hopkins (Tr)878101
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland459861
Kyran Duhon437702
Kadarion Johnson398411
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Josiah Allen615205
A.J. Odums160004

New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci (Tr)4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Michael Washington15871384.547
Santino Marucci (Tr)3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Jordan Smith8110013.821

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kale Edwards (Tr)367440
Noah Arinze165310
Tyler Martinez943101
Malaki Ta'ase332152
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tayden Barnes572016
Dakerric Hobbs (Tr)363016
Sone Aupiu554025