New Mexico State vs Florida International Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Tuesday, October 29th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida International -7 (43.5) (-278)  Open: -10.0
Florida International 34 - New Mexico State: 13  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
FIU 2nd straight Home Game
NMSU coming off BYE
FIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -10   (SP+ FIU -7)

Projected Score: NMSU: 19 - FIU: 29 (55)
FIU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1651 miles, 2 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State-9.552.5W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State vs Liberty+22.554.5L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State at Fresno State+19.548.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at Sam Houston+15.544.5L 11 - 31UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+9.554.0L 40 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 New Mexico State at Jacksonville State+21.058.5L 13 - 54ON
Tue 10/15 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech+12.549.0W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 New Mexico State vs Florida International+7.043.5L 13 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky+18.053.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+38.554.5L 3 - 38UY
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee+3.554.0W 36 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State vs UTEP-3.551.5L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Florida International's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida International at Indiana+20.550.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Florida International vs Central Michigan+3.551.5W 52 - 16OY
Sat 9/14 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 Florida International vs Monmouth-12.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Florida International vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.0W 17 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Florida International at Liberty+15.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Wed 10/16 Florida International at UTEP-7.047.0L 21 - 30ON
Tue 10/22 Florida International vs Sam Houston+5.047.0L 7 - 10UY
Tue 10/29 Florida International vs New Mexico State-7.043.5W 34 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Florida International at Jacksonville State+12.558.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Florida International at Kennesaw State-9.042.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/30 Florida International vs Middle Tennessee-9.550.5W 35 - 24OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#29 (.28)47% (17)21.652% (7)3.57 (5)19942% (61)2143.98 (59)#91 (.22)45% (103)36.346% (96)44% (96)3.73 (63)58.310.9
FIU#117 (.09)37% (120)26.340% (104)2.67 (126)9035% (119)2303.21 (113)#84 (.2)40% (46)25.840% (39)42% (73)3.34 (26)50.61.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1521.612.647.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28
FIU Defense1225.825.840.4%3.341 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1536.338.444.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22
FIU Offense1226.326.336.8%3.211.815320902302.944%55%40%35%20%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
Florida International1227:1615.328%48%5.850.61.815.11125.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (17)8% (35)0.96 (92)
FIU Defense1251% (90)40% (39) - - - - .1 (39)3.08 (64)90% (131)9% (91)1.03 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (73)10% (70)1.02 (80)
FIU Offense1244% (106)40% (104)31.790.32.917 (81).05 (119)2.67 (126)69% (99)13% (125)1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)
FIU Defense1248% (45)42% (73) - - - - - - 6 (120).36 (110)1.8 (119)35% (31)29% (47).29 (56)3% (133)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)
FIU Offense1255% (28)35% (119)18.331.92307.212.612 (113)12 (85).17 (102)1.6 (69)35% (115)24% (121).24 (95)6% (78)2 (86)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.23   Florida International: -11.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0   Florida International: -12.1




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -11.375 #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
2024 Talent Rating: 458.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 29
New Mexico State 19


Projected Total Points: 55
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Florida International34New Mexico State13Florida InternationalFlorida International -7Florida International43.5Over
202310/04New Mexico State34Florida International17New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -6.5New Mexico State49.5Over
202210/01New Mexico State7Florida International21Florida InternationalNew Mexico State -15Florida International54.0Under
200410/30New Mexico State56Florida International31New Mexico State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International222 Overs
New Mexico State211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#129) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Florida International
Power #129
#104
Off #111
#77
Def #119
#65
Talent #129
#109
SP+ #125
#112
SP+ Off #120
#110
SP+ Def #127
#99

Rematch from Week 10
Florida International -7.0 (43.5)
Florida International won vs New Mexico State this year (34-13)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat New Mexico State last year (34-13)
New Mexico State beat Florida International in 2023 (34-17)
Florida International beat New Mexico State in 2022 (21-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | FIU
Depth Chart: NMSU | FIU
Rosters: NMSU | FIU
(#104) Florida International Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.375 #104
Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 458.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Florida International Notes
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?


  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci (Tr)4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Michael Washington15871384.547
Santino Marucci (Tr)3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Jordan Smith8110013.821

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kale Edwards (Tr)367440
Noah Arinze165310
Tyler Martinez943101
Malaki Ta'ase332152
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tayden Barnes572016
Dakerric Hobbs (Tr)363016
Sone Aupiu554025

Florida International's OC David Yost
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins18830462%25572288.4
Chayden Peery71258%58104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens9239254.326
Devonte Lyons4328826.721
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Keyone Jenkins7513021.734
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers6211721218.962
Dean Patterson50685713.752
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522
Juju Lewis (Tr)593218.642

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
JoJo Evans933017
CJ Christian803003
Hezekiah Masses381004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Keegan Davis304400
Travion Barnes12911340
Dwight Nunoo132120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
Brian Blades291006
Hezekiah Masses381004