New Mexico State at Florida International - 2024 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Tuesday, October 29th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida International -7 (43.5) (-278)  Open: -10.0
Florida International 34 - New Mexico State: 13  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FIU 2nd straight Home Game
NMSU coming off BYE
FIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -10  (SP+ FIU -7)

Projected Score: NMSU: 18 - FIU: 28 (45)
FIU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1651 miles, 2 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State-9.552.5W 23 - 16UN
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State vs Liberty+22.554.5L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State at Fresno State+19.548.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at Sam Houston+15.544.5L 11 - 31UN
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+9.554.0L 40 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 New Mexico State at Jacksonville State+21.058.5L 13 - 54ON
Tue 10/15 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech+12.549.0W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 New Mexico State vs Florida International+7.043.5L 13 - 34ON
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky+18.053.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+38.554.5L 3 - 38UY
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee+3.554.0W 36 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State vs UTEP-3.551.5L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Florida International's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida International at Indiana+20.550.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Florida International vs Central Michigan+3.551.5W 52 - 16OY
Sat 9/14 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 Florida International vs Monmouth-12.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Florida International vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.0W 17 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Florida International at Liberty+15.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Wed 10/16 Florida International at UTEP-7.047.0L 21 - 30ON
Tue 10/22 Florida International vs Sam Houston+5.047.0L 7 - 10UY
Tue 10/29 Florida International vs New Mexico State-7.043.5W 34 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Florida International at Jacksonville State+12.558.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Florida International at Kennesaw State-9.042.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/30 Florida International vs Middle Tennessee-9.550.5W 35 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)26.337% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)25.844% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.612.639.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08
FIU Defense1225.825.841.2%3.491.3 - - - - - 56%44%44%37%12%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1236.338.441.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
FIU Offense1226.326.339.2%4.441.6183511222293.752%48%37%42%16%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
Florida International1228:4017.931%54%5.547.41.61.33.91.5229.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (81)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (61)
FIU Defense1256% (122)44% (81) - - - - .17 (95)3.18 (95)71% (57)7% (129)1.03 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (93)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
FIU Offense1252% (58)37% (125)32.9121.73.716 (90)- (124)2.48 (130)58% (128)11% (90)0.9 (101)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (87).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)
FIU Defense1244% (14)37% (30) - - - - - - 11 (52).05 (5)1.3 (7)28% (114)25% (5).11 (4)5% (108)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1250% (76)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (42).42 (107)6% (78)2.3 (126)
FIU Offense1248% (78)42% (64)17.227.8229.48.213.424 (38)11 (72).29 (48)1.6 (40)32% (79)27% (107).27 (93)5% (46)2 (71)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23  #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52  #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79  #119
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0  #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8  #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.23   Florida International: -11.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0   Florida International: -12.1




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -11.375  #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00  #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00  #65
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 28
New Mexico State 18


Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida International 25
New Mexico State 14

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Florida International 32
New Mexico State 22

Total Points: 54
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Florida International34New Mexico State13Florida International -7Florida International43.5Over
202310/04New Mexico State34Florida International17New Mexico State -6.5New Mexico State49.5Over
202210/01New Mexico State7Florida International21New Mexico State -15Florida International54.0Under
200410/30New Mexico State56Florida International31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International222 Overs
New Mexico State211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#129) NMSU at (#104) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUFIU
Power RatePwr #129 #104
SP+SP+ #125 #112
Perf GradeGrade #126 #61
OffenseOff #130 #85
DefenseDef #108 #31
Spec TeamsST #72 #102
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #53 #102
New Mexico State Notes
(10/29) QBs 7-19, 30 yds, 2 INT vs FIU. Pass Off #132
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
(7/30) New HC Sanchez an awful hire, disaster at UNLV
New Mexico State Injury Report
Florida International Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Simmons (Duke, RB-FAMU, 45-13)
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?
(9/8) Big W over CMU, forced 6 TOs. 185 yds rush
Florida International Injury Report
New Mexico State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
NMSU OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #130 #31
SuccessSuc #106 #62
ExplosiveExp #95 #20
PPAPPA #119 #37
PowerPwr #111 #65
SP+SP+ #120 #99
Pts POPPO #82 #39
HavocHav #112 #129
New Mexico State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
NMSU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #102 #83
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #81
Run ExplRExp #61 #93
PPAExp #81 #95
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #21 #95
Stuff RateStuff #28 #101
TackleTak -  #27
New Mexico State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
NMSU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #133 #9
Pass SuccessPSuc #132 #30
Pass ExplPExl #17 #7
PPAExp #128 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #103 #48
F7 HavocF7 #103 #129
DB HavocDB #104 #108
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatFIU OffNMSU Def
Perf GradePerf #85 #108
SuccessSuc #111 #64
ExplosiveExp #65 #127
PPAPPA #101 #115
PowerPwr #77 #119
SP+SP+ #110 #127
Pts POPPO #21 #60
HavocHav #70 #128
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
FIU OffNMSU Def
Run GameRun #114 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #69
Run ExplRExp #101 #95
PPAExp #124 #98
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #93
Stuff RateStuff #131 #66
TackleTak -  #68
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatFIU OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePass #79 #96
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #68
Pass ExplPExl #40 #132
PPAExp #48 #118
Pass Block/RushP Blk #124 #130
F7 HavocF7 #90 #134
DB HavocDB #46 #78
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Florida International -7.0 (43.5)
Florida International won vs New Mexico State this year (34-13)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat New Mexico State last year (34-13)
New Mexico State beat Florida International in 2023 (34-17)
Florida International beat New Mexico State in 2022 (21-7)

  
NMSU's OC Tyler Wright (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci (Tr)4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Michael Washington15871384.547
Santino Marucci (Tr)3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Kordell David18191010.638

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Joe Morris (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti206461
Kale Edwards (Tr)367440
Noah Arinze165310
Tyler Martinez943101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs (Tr)363016
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins18830462%25572288.4
Chayden Peery71258%58104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens9239254.326
Lexington Joseph8230833.835
Devonte Lyons4328826.721
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers6211721218.962
Dean Patterson50685713.752
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522
Josiah Miamen10120012.023

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
Elijah Anderson-Taylor942121
JoJo Evans933017
Jamal Potts814126
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Keegan Davis304400
Travion Barnes12911340
Jeramy Passmore354231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
Jamal Potts814126
Brian Blades291006