Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kennesaw State logo Kennesaw State Owls at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Wednesday, October 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -24 (49.0) (-2100)  Open: -24.5
Western Kentucky 31 - Kennesaw State: 14  (Conference USA)

 
Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chandler Burks (Int) (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
WKU coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -23   (SP+ WKU -23)

Projected Score: KENN: 12 - WKU: 35 (47)
WKU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
KENN Travel: 230 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kennesaw State at UTSA+24.049.5L 16 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana+14.546.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/14 Kennesaw State at San José State+16.541.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Kennesaw State vs UT Martin+1.545.5L 13 - 24UN
Fri 10/4 Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State+17.549.5L 24 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+8.550.0L 5 - 14UN
Wed 10/23 Kennesaw State vs Liberty+27.048.0W 27 - 24OY
Wed 10/30 Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky+24.049.0L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/9 Kennesaw State at UTEP+4.542.0L 35 - 43ON
Sat 11/16 Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston+21.042.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/23 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+9.042.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/30 Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech+13.541.5L 0 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Western Kentucky at Alabama+31.060.0L 0 - 63ON
Sat 9/7 Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-18.559.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-10.553.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Western Kentucky vs Toledo+2.060.5W 26 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Western Kentucky at Boston College+7.548.0L 20 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Western Kentucky vs UTEP-19.055.5W 44 - 17OY
Wed 10/16 Western Kentucky at Sam Houston+1.555.0W 31 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State-24.049.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/9 Western Kentucky at New Mexico State-18.053.5W 41 - 28ON
Sat 11/16 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-11.552.5L 7 - 12UN
Sat 11/23 Western Kentucky at Liberty+1.056.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State+0.562.5W 19 - 17UY
Fri 12/6 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State+4.558.5L 12 - 52ON
Wed 12/18 Western Kentucky vs James Madison+7.550.5L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)16.531% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)31.245% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)24.938% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)24.648% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)31% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)45% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Offense1216.513.331.4%3.51.5142521161363.158%41%31%32%17%-.04
WKU Defense1424.613.544.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Defense1231.23046.2%4.151 - - - - - 52%48%45%48%14%.21
WKU Offense1424.926.341.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kennesaw State1229:2013.735%39%5.646.31.514.81.8328.9
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Offense1258% (17)31% (134)37.4115.53.113 (105)-.05 (130)2.16 (134)74% (62)12% (115)1.01 (51)
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Defense1252% (85)45% (91) - - - - .16 (86)3.04 (75)73% (65)9% (93)1 (73)
WKU Offense1445% (105)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Offense1241% (117)32% (129)1324.8136.35.510.56 (133)14 (115)- (133)1.6 (52)38% (131)23% (130).16 (124)5% (24)2.1 (60)
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (60) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (47).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Defense1248% (50)48% (122) - - - - - - 4 (125).27 (86)1.3 (8)26% (131)30% (51).31 (71)5% (119)2 (63)
WKU Offense1455% (26)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (91).29 (89)6% (56)1.9 (100)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -26.19   Western Kentucky: -2.645

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -25.1   Western Kentucky: -2.2




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -2.645 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 35
Kennesaw State 12


Total Points: 47

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/30Western Kentucky31Kennesaw State14Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -24Kennesaw State49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky100 Overs
Kennesaw State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#131) Kennesaw State Info
Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kennesaw State has won 1 straight
Kennesaw State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Kennesaw State Notes
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O

Kennesaw State Highlights
Kennesaw State defense does not give up big plays (#61)

Kennesaw State Deficiencies
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense
Kennesaw State Can Not Run the Ball (#81)
Kennesaw State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Kennesaw State offense is really bad (#133)
Kennesaw State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#134)
Kennesaw State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#122)
Kennesaw State run game is really bad (#130)
Kennesaw State pass game is really bad (#131)
Kennesaw State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kennesaw State has a bad defense (#123)
Kennesaw State has a bad red zone defense (#95)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWKUKENN
OverallOver#45#94
OffenseOff#50#111
DefenseDef#62#69
Special TeamsST#66#14
PassingPass#22#111
RushingRush#83#97
Run BlockRBLK#65#81
Pass BlockPBLK#5#115
Route RunningWR Rt#46#105
TacklingTkl#5#32
Run DefenseR Def#77#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#37#70
Coverage DefCov#73#66

Rematch from Week 10
Western Kentucky -24.0 (49.0)
Western Kentucky won vs Kennesaw State this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Kennesaw State last year (31-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENN | WKU
Depth Chart: KENN | WKU
Rosters: KENN | WKU
(#92) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -2.645 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Kentucky has won 2 straight
Western Kentucky has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs

Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)

Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)


  
Kennesaw State's OC Chandler Burks
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Bryson14326155%14946105.7
Khalib Johnson62227%57032.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Benefield13854253.959
Qua Ashley12240913.460
Davis Bryson11229342.620
Preston Daniels358532.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Bohannon24288012.032
Qua Ashley2825519.151
Christian Moss (Tr)15220214.760
Carson Kent18217312.130

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Greg Harris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Sidney Porter665022
Milon Jones604101
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garland Benyard489450
Donelius Johnson898410
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)225322
Jordan Miles458360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Hallum5610010
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Jayven Williams292214

Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp25838966%310825108.0
TJ Finley (Tr)487564%490126.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young20188334.430
George Hart III (Tr)4420424.630
Caden Veltkamp11315071.325
LT Sanders2110314.931
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kisean Johnson (Tr)75925712.351
Easton Messer55793414.464
Dalvin Smith30397413.265
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster
Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte' Mathews (Tr)992000
Keyshawn Swanson (Tr)632002
Hosea Wheeler624220
Chandler Matthews (Tr)593031
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Thomas547430
Sebastian Benjamin566450
Kylan Guidry457301
Kent Robinson (Tr)334204
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Johnson Jr.485016
Kent Robinson (Tr)334204
Keyshawn Swanson (Tr)632002