New Mexico Lobos at New Mexico State Aggies
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -9.5 (54.0) (-355) Open: -3.0
New Mexico 50 - New Mexico State: 40
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico -2.5 (SP+ UNM -4)
Projected Score: UNM: 31 - NMSU: 29 (60)
UNM Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UNM Travel: 193 miles
Our Line: New Mexico -2.5 (SP+ UNM -4)
Projected Score: UNM: 31 - NMSU: 29 (60)
UNM Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UNM Travel: 193 miles
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| New Mexico's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | New Mexico vs Montana State | +10.5 | 54.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico at Arizona | +28.0 | 60.0 | L 39 - 61 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico at Auburn | +25.5 | 58.5 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico vs Fresno State | +12.0 | 61.0 | L 21 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico at New Mexico State | -9.5 | 54.0 | W 50 - 40 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | New Mexico vs Air Force | -7.0 | 56.0 | W 52 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | New Mexico at Utah State | -1.0 | 78.5 | W 50 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | New Mexico at Colorado State | +3.5 | 62.0 | L 6 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | New Mexico vs Wyoming | -7.5 | 60.5 | L 45 - 49 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/8 | New Mexico at San Diego State | +1.5 | 65.5 | W 21 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico vs Washington State | +10.5 | 72.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico at Hawai'i | -6.5 | 61.5 | L 30 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | New Mexico State vs Liberty | +22.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico State at Fresno State | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico State at Sam Houston | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico State vs New Mexico | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 40 - 50 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/9 | New Mexico State at Jacksonville State | +21.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 54 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | New Mexico State vs Florida International | +7.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky | +18.0 | 53.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico State at Texas A&M | +38.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 36 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | #14 (.31) | 49% (10) | 33.5 | 53% (3) | 3.81 (1) | 254 | 44% (40) | 231 | 3.83 (79) | #132 (.34) | 50% (132) | 38 | 50% (125) | 51% (131) | 4.64 (128) | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 21.6 | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 36.3 | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | #14 (.31) | 49% (10) | 53% (3) | 3.81 (1) | 254 | 44% (40) | 231 | 3.83 (79) | #132 (.34) | 50% (132) | 50% (125) | 51% (131) | 4.64 (128) | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 33.5 | 30.7 | 48.9% | 3.83 | 1.6 | 25 | 485 | 254 | 231 | 6.7 | 52% | 48% | 53% | 44% | 12% | .31 |
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 36.3 | 34.8 | 41.3% | 3.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 43% | 40% | 12% | .26 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 38 | 37.4 | 50.4% | 4.64 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 51% | 14% | .34 |
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 21.6 | 30.5 | 39.3% | 3.8 | 1.9 | 19 | 322 | 179 | 143 | 4.4 | 58% | 42% | 46% | 30% | 18% | .08 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 12 | 28:52 | 24.7 | 43% | 68% | 9.3 | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 26.8 |
| New Mexico State | 12 | 29:26 | 19.3 | 38% | 38% | 5.4 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 27 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 52% (55) | 53% (3) | 37.8 | 254 | 6.7 | 37 (6) | .37 (1) | 3.81 (1) | 81% (20) | 5% (1) | 1.1 (21) |
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (55) | 43% (69) | - | - | - | - | .18 (98) | 3.17 (93) | 58% (5) | 7% (134) | 1.04 (95) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 54% (106) | 50% (125) | - | - | - | - | .2 (110) | 3.26 (103) | 71% (52) | 8% (118) | 0.97 (64) |
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 58% (20) | 46% (41) | 41.3 | 179.3 | 4.4 | 16 (90) | .11 (81) | 3.33 (21) | 77% (37) | 11% (103) | 0.98 (61) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 48% (77) | 44% (40) | 18.8 | 32.5 | 230.7 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .24 (77) | 1.4 (125) | 27% (8) | 37% (11) | .49 (13) | 6% (85) | 1.9 (110) |
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (76) | 40% (68) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .36 (118) | 1.9 (132) | 31% (80) | 29% (42) | .42 (107) | 6% (78) | 2.3 (126) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 46% (30) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (132) | .51 (132) | 1.6 (81) | 26% (132) | 38% (129) | .54 (129) | 6% (79) | 2.2 (118) |
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 42% (116) | 30% (132) | 11.8 | 26.7 | 143.2 | 5.4 | 12.2 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .05 (128) | 1.8 (17) | 33% (100) | 30% (87) | .13 (131) | 7% (104) | 1.7 (132) |
New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.10 New Mexico State: -19.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8 New Mexico State: -19.0
New Mexico: -18.10 New Mexico State: -19.115
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8 New Mexico State: -19.0
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -19.115 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 31
New Mexico State 29
Total Points: 60
New Mexico 31
New Mexico State 29
Total Points: 60
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/28 | New Mexico State | 40 | New Mexico | 50 | New Mexico | New Mexico -9.5 | New Mexico | 54.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/16 | New Mexico | 17 | New Mexico State | 27 | New Mexico State | New Mexico -2.5 | New Mexico State | 52.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/15 | New Mexico State | 21 | New Mexico | 9 | New Mexico State | New Mexico -7 | New Mexico State | 38.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/11 | New Mexico | 34 | New Mexico State | 25 | New Mexico | New Mexico -19.5 | New Mexico State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/21 | New Mexico | 55 | New Mexico State | 52 | New Mexico | New Mexico -4 | New Mexico State | 69.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/15 | New Mexico State | 25 | New Mexico | 42 | New Mexico | New Mexico -3 | New Mexico | 60.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/09 | New Mexico | 28 | New Mexico State | 30 | New Mexico State | New Mexico -7 | New Mexico State | 69.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 09/10 | New Mexico State | 32 | New Mexico | 31 | New Mexico State | New Mexico -11.5 | New Mexico State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/03 | New Mexico | 38 | New Mexico State | 29 | New Mexico | New Mexico -14 | New Mexico State | 65.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/20 | New Mexico State | 35 | New Mexico | 38 | New Mexico | New Mexico -3 | NA | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | New Mexico | 66 | New Mexico State | 17 | New Mexico | New Mexico -7 | New Mexico | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/22 | New Mexico State | 14 | New Mexico | 27 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2011 | 10/01 | New Mexico | 28 | New Mexico State | 42 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | New Mexico State | 16 | New Mexico | 14 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2009 | 09/26 | New Mexico | 17 | New Mexico State | 20 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | New Mexico State | 24 | New Mexico | 35 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | New Mexico | 44 | New Mexico State | 34 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2006 | 09/09 | New Mexico State | 28 | New Mexico | 34 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2005 | 09/17 | New Mexico | 38 | New Mexico State | 21 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | New Mexico State | 3 | New Mexico | 38 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2003 | 09/27 | New Mexico | 24 | New Mexico State | 17 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2002 | 09/21 | New Mexico State | 24 | New Mexico | 13 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | New Mexico | 53 | New Mexico State | 0 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | New Mexico State | 13 | New Mexico | 16 | New Mexico |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 8 | 7 | 6 Overs |
| New Mexico | 16 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 12 | 3 - 7 | 1 - 5 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 12 | 7 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 5 - 1 |
(#118) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
New Mexico has lost 4 straight
New Mexico has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)
New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
New Mexico has lost 4 straight
New Mexico has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)
New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NMSU | UNM |
| OverallOver | #91 | #66 |
| OffenseOff | #106 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #88 | #113 |
| Special TeamsST | #60 | #112 |
| PassingPass | #108 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #72 | #5 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #53 | #24 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #87 | #22 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #107 | #47 |
| TacklingTkl | #59 | #100 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #80 | #102 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #109 | #114 |
| Coverage DefCov | #77 | #94 |
Rematch from Week 5
New Mexico 9.5 (54.0)
New Mexico won at New Mexico State this year (50-40)
Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat New Mexico State last year (50-40)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2023 (27-17)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2022 (21-9)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNM | NMSU
Depth Chart: UNM | NMSU
Rosters: UNM | NMSU
(#129) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 3 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
Power Rating: -19.115 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 3 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | 226 | 390 | 58% | 2768 | 12 | 12 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | 156 | 1152 | 19 | 7.4 | 85 |
| Eli Sanders (Tr) | 147 | 1064 | 9 | 7.2 | 75 |
| NaQuari Rogers (Tr) | 74 | 382 | 5 | 5.2 | 29 |
| Javen Jacobs (Tr) | 40 | 277 | 3 | 6.9 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wysong | 69 | 840 | 1 | 12.2 | 53 |
| Ryan Davis | 54 | 747 | 3 | 13.8 | 55 |
| Caleb Medford | 18 | 336 | 3 | 18.7 | 47 |
| Nic Trujillo | 16 | 305 | 1 | 19.1 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis | 93 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Randolph Kpai (Tr) | 80 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Dmitri Johnson | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis | 93 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Moso'oipala Tuitele | 35 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Dmitri Johnson | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jayden Wilson | 32 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Taylor | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Noa Pola-Gates | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Awad | 74 | 159 | 47% | 1079 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 49 | 112 | 44% | 519 | 3 | 5 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | 153 | 813 | 3 | 5.3 | 38 |
| Michael Washington | 158 | 713 | 8 | 4.5 | 47 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 37 | 131 | 1 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Larenzo McMillan | 7 | 111 | 1 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Pride | 34 | 374 | 2 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 19 | 346 | 2 | 18.2 | 54 |
| Seth McGowan | 23 | 277 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Kordell David | 18 | 191 | 0 | 10.6 | 38 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Marcus Crosby | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddha Peleti | 20 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Kale Edwards (Tr) | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Arinze | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakerric Hobbs (Tr) | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |