Indiana at Northwestern - 2024 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -12.5 (40.5) (-535)  Open: -10.5
Indiana 41 - Northwestern: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (30 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
NW coming off BYE
IND is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -28   (SP+ IND -28.5)

Projected Score: IND: 36 - NW: 8 (45)
IND Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
IND Travel: 208 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Indiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Indiana vs Florida International-20.550.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/6 Indiana vs Western Illinois-44.552.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 9/14 Indiana at UCLA-3.546.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/21 Indiana vs Charlotte-28.550.0W 52 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 Indiana vs Maryland-7.550.0W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/5 Indiana vs Northwestern-12.540.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Indiana vs Nebraska-6.548.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Indiana vs Washington-5.554.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 Indiana at Michigan State-7.553.5W 47 - 10OY
Sat 11/9 Indiana vs Michigan-14.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Indiana at Ohio State+10.552.5L 15 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Indiana vs Purdue-28.556.5W 66 - 0OY
Fri 12/20 Indiana at Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Northwestern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-4.043.0W 13 - 6UY
Fri 9/6 Northwestern vs Duke-2.537.5L 20 - 26ON
Sat 9/14 Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois-26.538.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/21 Northwestern at Washington+11.542.5L 5 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Northwestern vs Indiana+12.540.5L 24 - 41ON
Fri 10/11 Northwestern at Maryland+11.045.0W 37 - 10OY
Sat 10/19 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+9.542.5L 3 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 Northwestern at Iowa+16.538.5L 14 - 40ON
Sat 11/2 Northwestern at Purdue+3.044.5W 26 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Northwestern vs Ohio State+28.043.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/23 Northwestern at Michigan+10.535.5L 6 - 50ON
Sat 11/30 Northwestern vs Illinois+8.542.5L 28 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)41.350% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)15.635% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)17.839% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)26.344% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1341.330.352.4%5.030.7234281662614.552%48%50%56%13%.33
NW Defense1226.326.345%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1315.62238.1%3.661.8 - - - - - 45%55%35%40%21%.09
NW Offense1217.817.837.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1330:4223.548%59%4.843.90.71.86.72.7234.5
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1352% (60)50% (13)37.2166.24.537 (6).17 (48)3.09 (55)75% (53)7% (16)0.89 (107)
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1345% (10)35% (7) - - - - .01 (16)2.4 (4)66% (27)13% (9)1.05 (96)
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1348% (73)56% (2)18.927.8261.39.413.833 (5)6 (10).53 (2)1.6 (64)27% (12)39% (3).5 (11)6% (73)2.1 (52)
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1355% (127)40% (70) - - - - - - 15 (18).15 (29)1.3 (3)32% (59)28% (30).19 (21)7% (26)1.6 (1)
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 17.50 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 17.50   Northwestern: -9.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 20.1   Northwestern: -8.2




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 36
Northwestern 8


Total Points: 45

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Northwestern24Indiana41IndianaIndiana -12.5Indiana40.5Over
201911/02Indiana34Northwestern3IndianaIndiana -8.5Indiana44.5Under
201610/22Northwestern24Indiana14NorthwesternNorthwestern -2.5Northwestern54.0Under
201209/29Northwestern44Indiana29Northwestern
201110/29Indiana38Northwestern59Northwestern
201010/30Indiana17Northwestern20Northwestern
200910/24Northwestern29Indiana28Northwestern
200810/25Indiana21Northwestern19Indiana
200711/10Northwestern31Indiana28Northwestern
200410/09Northwestern31Indiana24Northwestern
200310/11Indiana31Northwestern37Northwestern
200211/02Northwestern41Indiana37Northwestern
200111/03Indiana56Northwestern21Indiana
200010/06Northwestern52Indiana33Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1011 Overs
Indiana422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 42 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams4 - 101 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#10) Indiana Info
Power Rating: 17.50 #10
Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.03 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Great Pass Success 56%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Indiana has won 5 straight
Indiana has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Indiana Notes
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good

Indiana Highlights
Indiana offense is efficent (#7)
Indiana offense is good in red zone (#36)
Indiana offense is good on 3rd downs
Indiana Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Indiana has a really good defense (#7)
Indiana defense does not give up big plays (#135)
Indiana has a good run defense (#8)
Indiana Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#4)
Indiana Defensive Line is very good (#8)
Indiana Front 7 is disruptive (#1)
Indiana Secondary is very good (#62)
Indiana has a great TO Margin (#11)
Indiana commits very few Penalties (#30)
Indiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Indiana Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNWIND
OverallOver#79#1
OffenseOff#107#2
DefenseDef#35#4
Special TeamsST#100#4
PassingPass#105#5
RushingRush#97#22
Run BlockRBLK#65#17
Pass BlockPBLK#55#36
Route RunningWR Rt#104#1
TacklingTkl#88#81
Run DefenseR Def#60#5
Pass Rush DefPRush#36#11
Coverage DefCov#40#14

Rematch from Week 6
Indiana 12.5 (40.5)
Indiana won at Northwestern this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Northwestern last year (41-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | NW
Depth Chart: IND | NW
Rosters: IND | NW
(#100) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Northwestern has lost 1 straight
Northwestern has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense does not give up big plays (#66)
Northwestern commits very few Penalties (#38)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#51)
Northwestern offense is really bad (#69)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#61)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern run game is really bad (#53)
Northwestern pass game is really bad (#70)
Northwestern offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northwestern has a bad defense (#55)


  
Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)22232069%30422959.5
Tayven Jackson233762%349419.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)159848105.347
Ty Son Lawton141668124.729
Kaelon Black (Tr)4625125.521
Elijah Green (Tr)2920156.951
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)53957818.184
Omar Cooper Jr.28594721.269
Myles Price (Tr)38466312.341
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)39448511.552

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)1186234
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)695214
D'Angelo Ponds555009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)4614961
James Carpenter (Tr)3711552
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)245341
Lanell Carr395332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds555009
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Jamari Sharpe131106

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Lausch15929654%1714785.8
Mike Wright (Tr)396758%356015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter12650164.044
Joseph Himon II5225724.951
Jack Lausch8721322.429
Caleb Komolafe5013902.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Henning59603410.246
Bryce Kirtz39598015.355
Thomas Gordon2725219.326
Cam Porter2317407.628

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Uihlein844201
Xander Mueller575114
Theran Johnson5340010
Devin Turner512003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard337671
Anto Saka155440
Michael Kilbane203300
Mac Uihlein844201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Theran Johnson5340010
Josh Fussell391005
Xander Mueller575114