Wisconsin vs Northwestern Game Matchup

Wisconsin Badgers vs Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -9.5 (42.5) (-375) Open: -7.0
Wisconsin 23 - Northwestern: 3 (Big Ten)

Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

WIS 2nd straight Road Game
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -12.5 (SP+ WIS -11)
Projected Score: WIS: 29 - NW: 16 (46)
WIS Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WIS Travel: 112 miles

Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-24.0	57.0	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/7	Wisconsin vs South Dakota	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wisconsin vs Alabama	+15.5	51.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Wisconsin at USC	+14.0	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-12.0	44.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Wisconsin at Rutgers	+1.0	43.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	42.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wisconsin vs Penn State	+6.5	47.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Wisconsin at Iowa	+2.5	40.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Wisconsin vs Oregon	+13.5	49.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Wisconsin at Nebraska	+1.5	40.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/29	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	+1.5	40.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Northwestern's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Northwestern vs Miami (OH)	-4.0	43.0	W 13 - 6	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Northwestern vs Duke	-2.5	37.5	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/14	Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois	-26.5	38.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/21	Northwestern at Washington	+11.5	42.5	L 5 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Northwestern vs Indiana	+12.5	40.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Fri 10/11	Northwestern at Maryland	+11.0	45.0	W 37 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+9.5	42.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/26	Northwestern at Iowa	+16.5	38.5	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/2	Northwestern at Purdue	+3.0	44.5	W 26 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+28.0	43.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Northwestern at Michigan	+10.5	35.5	L 6 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/30	Northwestern vs Illinois	+8.5	42.5	L 28 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	22.6	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	23.1	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2
NW	#113 (.1)	38% (110)	17.8	39% (109)	2.63 (129)	102	38% (102)	202	4.11 (48)	#33 (.14)	43% (83)	26.3	43% (73)	44% (94)	3.65 (56)	42.6	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	22.6	24.5	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16
NW Defense	13	26.3	26.3	43.1%	3.65	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	43%	44%	14%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	23.1	32.8	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1
NW Offense	13	17.8	17.8	38.3%	4.11	0.7	17	304	102	202	2.9	49%	51%	39%	38%	16%	.1

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2
Northwestern	13	28:34	16.8	40%	21%	5.3	42.6	0.7	1.8	4.2	1.9	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)
NW Defense	13	54% (115)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.09 (36)	3.12 (73)	69% (43)	9% (105)	0.92 (31)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)
NW Offense	13	49% (79)	39% (109)	35.2	101.9	2.9	13 (108)	.05 (120)	2.63 (129)	70% (97)	11% (88)	0.83 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)
NW Defense	13	45% (20)	44% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.22 (39)	1.4 (9)	29% (123)	32% (102)	.31 (68)	5% (101)	1.8 (9)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)
NW Offense	13	51% (51)	38% (102)	18.5	29.9	202	6.8	10.9	20 (70)	8 (30)	.18 (100)	1.6 (62)	35% (116)	29% (84)	.36 (59)	5% (23)	2.2 (25)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 4.16 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 4.16 Northwestern: -9.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 3.0 Northwestern: -8.2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 29
Northwestern 16

Projected Total Points: 46

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Northwestern	3	Wisconsin	23	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -9.5	Wisconsin	42.5	Under
2023	11/11	Wisconsin	10	Northwestern	24	Northwestern	Wisconsin -9.5	Northwestern	43.5	Under
2022	10/08	Northwestern	7	Wisconsin	42	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -10	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2021	11/13	Wisconsin	35	Northwestern	7	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -26.0	Wisconsin	41.5	Over
2020	11/21	Northwestern	17	Wisconsin	7	Northwestern	Wisconsin -7.5	Northwestern	43.0	Under
2019	09/28	Wisconsin	24	Northwestern	15	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -23	Northwestern	46.0	Under
2018	10/27	Northwestern	31	Wisconsin	17	Northwestern	Wisconsin -4.5	Northwestern	50.0	Under
2017	09/30	Wisconsin	33	Northwestern	24	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -16.5	Northwestern	50.5	Over
2016	11/05	Northwestern	7	Wisconsin	21	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -6.5	Wisconsin	41.5	Under
2015	11/21	Wisconsin	7	Northwestern	13	Northwestern	Wisconsin -10.5	Northwestern	41.5	Under
2014	10/04	Northwestern	20	Wisconsin	14	Northwestern	Wisconsin -9.5	Northwestern	0
2013	10/12	Wisconsin	35	Northwestern	6	Wisconsin	Wisconsin -10	Wisconsin	0
2010	11/27	Wisconsin	70	Northwestern	23	Wisconsin
2009	11/21	Northwestern	33	Wisconsin	31	Northwestern
2006	10/07	Wisconsin	41	Northwestern	9	Wisconsin
2005	10/08	Northwestern	51	Wisconsin	48	Northwestern
2004	10/23	Wisconsin	24	Northwestern	12	Wisconsin
2003	10/25	Northwestern	16	Wisconsin	7	Northwestern
2000	09/22	Wisconsin	44	Northwestern	47	Northwestern

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	9	7	3 Overs
Wisconsin	10	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 6	5 - 7	2 - 4	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 13	7 - 5	3 - 3	4 - 2

(#45) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.16 #45
Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22
Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wisconsin Notes
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games

Wisconsin Ratings Matchup Northwestern

Power #45

#100

Off #67

#125

Def #73

#83

Talent #24

#50

SP+ #60

#101

SP+ Off #100

#124

SP+ Def #22

#51

Rematch from Week 8
Wisconsin 9.5 (42.5)
Wisconsin won at Northwestern this year (23-3)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Northwestern last year (23-3)
Northwestern beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Wisconsin beat Northwestern in 2022 (42-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WIS | NW
Depth Chart: WIS | NW
Rosters: WIS | NW

(#100) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braedyn Locke	164	296	55%	1936	13	10	6.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	190	864	10	4.5	55
Darrion Dupree	79	317	1	4.0	32
Cade Yacamelli	33	274	2	8.3	45
Dilin Jones	16	88	0	5.5	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vinny Anthony	39	672	4	17.2	63
Will Pauling	42	407	3	9.7	28
Trech Kekahuna	25	339	2	13.6	69
CJ Williams	16	248	2	15.5	50

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	1
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	4
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)	53	2	1	0
Austin Brown	51	2	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
Elijah Hills (Tr)	26	6	3	2	1
John Pius (Tr)	21	4	3	3	0
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)	12	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ben Barten	22	0	1	5
Ricardo Hallman	16	0	0	4
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	4

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Lausch	159	296	54%	1714	7	8	5.8
Mike Wright (Tr)	39	67	58%	356	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Porter	126	501	6	4.0	44
Joseph Himon II	52	257	2	4.9	51
Jack Lausch	87	213	2	2.4	29
Caleb Komolafe	50	139	0	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Porter	23	174	0	7.6	28
CJ Johnson II	11	121	0	11.0	23
Frank Covey IV	10	98	0	9.8	27
Joseph Himon II	15	96	1	6.4	22

View Northwestern's Full Roster

Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Mac Uihlein	84	4	2	1
Theran Johnson	53	4	0	10
Devin Turner	51	2	0	3
Robert Fitzgerald	46	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Hubbard	33	7	6	7	1
Anto Saka	15	5	4	4	0
Michael Kilbane	20	3	3	0	0
Mac Uihlein	84	4	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Theran Johnson	53	4	10
Josh Fussell	39	1	5
Devin Turner	51	2	3