Bucknell at Navy - 2024 Matchup Preview
Bucknell logo   Bucknell Bison at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -31.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 49 - Bucknell: 21

 
Bison (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 49 (13 - 49 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Navy -5.5  (SP+ NAVY -4)
NAVY Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bucknell's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Bucknell at Navy+31.548.5L 21 - 49OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bucknell's Schedule
Navy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Bucknell-31.548.5W 49 - 21ON
Sat 9/7 Navy vs Temple-11.543.5W 38 - 11OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Navy vs Memphis+9.547.0W 56 - 44OY
Sat 9/28 Navy at UAB-4.556.5W 41 - 18OY
Sat 10/5 Navy at Air Force-10.037.0W 34 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Navy vs Charlotte-16.557.5W 51 - 17OY
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+14.050.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 11/2 Navy at Rice-12.549.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/9 Navy at South Florida-4.559.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 Navy vs Tulane+7.549.0L 0 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Navy at East Carolina+2.554.0W 34 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army+6.039.5
Fri 12/27 Navy vs Oklahoma-1.044.0W 21 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%130%000%000%490%0%0000
NAVY#121 (.07)37% (117)31.539% (111)2.86 (108)19532% (131)1062.38 (133)#45 (.15)41% (51)2537% (23)45% (114)2.84 (7)4612
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense122524.240.6%2.842 - - - - - 50%49%37%45%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Defense149490%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense1231.53837.1%2.381153001951064.371%29%39%32%14%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bucknell10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy1231:1514.529%62%5.746125.22.3132.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense1250% (67)37% (23) - - - - .02 (15)2.87 (30)67% (34)11% (36)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense1271% (3)39% (111)45.7194.64.316 (89).07 (110)2.86 (108)72% (83)12% (101)1.02 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense1249% (65)45% (114) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (103)1.6 (75)31% (97)28% (40).34 (83)6% (88)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense1229% (131)32% (131)8.516.6105.76.412.410 (120)5 (6).11 (121)1.8 (15)31% (61)21% (132).06 (131)2% (3)2 (88)

Bucknell's Power Ratings
Bucknell's Power Rating: NR
Bucknell's Offense Rating: NR
Bucknell's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bucknell's 2024 Expected Record: -
Bucknell's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bucknell's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bucknell's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Navy: 5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Navy: 3.5




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 5.35  #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12  #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57  #31
2024 Talent Rating: 39.00  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5  #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Bucknell Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Bucknell's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 30
Bucknell 25

Projected Total Points: 55
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Navy49Bucknell21Navy -31.5Bucknell48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy101 Overs
Bucknell010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) BUCK at (#53) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUCKNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #53
SP+SP+NR #57
Perf GradeGradeNR #20
OffenseOffNR #19
DefenseDefNR #30
Spec TeamsSTNR #3
TalentTalNR #134
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
Navy Notes
(12/28) Beat OU in bowl, 225+ rushing. Great season
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
(9/23) OC Cronic has been a revelation. Staff saver.
Navy Injury Report
Bucknell on Offense
CategoryCat
BUCK OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #30
SuccessSucNR #51
ExplosiveExpNR #59
PPAPPANR #45
PowerPwrNR #31
SP+SP+NR #53
Pts POPPONR #7
HavocHavNR #56
Bucknell Run Game
CategoryCat
BUCK OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNR #37
Run SuccessRSucNR #23
Run ExplRExpNR #16
PPAExpNR #15
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #30
Stuff RateStuffNR #33
TackleTak -  #16
Bucknell Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUCK OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNR #29
Pass SuccessPSucNR #114
Pass ExplPExlNR #75
PPAExpNR #103
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #97
F7 HavocF7NR #36
DB HavocDBNR #88
Navy on Offense
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
CategoryCatNAVY OffBUCK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19NR
SuccessSuc #117NR
ExplosiveExp #111NR
PPAPPA #121NR
PowerPwr #27NR
SP+SP+ #51NR
Pts POPPO #133NR
HavocHav #33NR
Navy Run Game
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
CategoryCat
NAVY OffBUCK Def
Run GameRun #42NR
Run SuccessRSuc #111NR
Run ExplRExp #57NR
PPAExp #110NR
Run BlockR Blk #18 -
OL YdsOLY #108NR
Stuff RateStuff #84NR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
CategoryCatNAVY OffBUCK Def
Pass GamePass #121NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #131NR
Pass ExplPExl #15NR
PPAExp #121NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #26NR
F7 HavocF7 #101NR
DB HavocDB #3NR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

BUCK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Navy -31.5 (48.5)
Navy won vs Bucknell this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Bucknell in 2024 (49-21)

  
BUCK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bucknell's Full Roster

BUCK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Hoying110000
Gavin Willis100000
John Schlendorf90020
Brad Jamison71100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brad Jamison71100
Nick Hoying110000
Ryan Jedlicka10000
Terian Williams10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Hoying110000
Matt Karic20000
Terian Williams10000

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Daba Fofana6026324.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos1299342
Kyle Jacob1025122
Rayuan Lane701004
Luke Pirris686351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed4911641
Landon Robinson616570
Colin Ramos1299342
Luke Pirris686351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dashaun Peele454205
Rayuan Lane701004
Andrew Duhart292004