Bucknell at Navy - 2024 Matchup Preview
Bucknell logo Bucknell Bison at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -31.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 49 - Bucknell: 21

 
Bison (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 49 (21 - 49 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Navy -5.5   (SP+ NAVY -4)
NAVY Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bucknell's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Bucknell at Navy+31.548.5L 21 - 49OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bucknell's Schedule
Navy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Bucknell-31.548.5W 49 - 21ON
Sat 9/7 Navy vs Temple-11.543.5W 38 - 11OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Navy vs Memphis+9.547.0W 56 - 44OY
Sat 9/28 Navy at UAB-4.556.5W 41 - 18OY
Sat 10/5 Navy at Air Force-10.037.0W 34 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Navy vs Charlotte-16.557.5W 51 - 17OY
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+14.050.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 11/2 Navy at Rice-12.549.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/9 Navy at South Florida-4.559.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 Navy vs Tulane+7.549.0L 0 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Navy at East Carolina+2.554.0W 34 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army+6.039.5
Fri 12/27 Navy vs Oklahoma-1.044.0W 21 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%210%000%000%490%0%0000
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)31.346% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)22.246% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUCK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Offense121210%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Defense1322.225.641.2%3.481.8 - - - - - 51%48%46%37%14%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUCK Defense149490%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NAVY Offense1331.338.844.2%4.391.1163472311175.574%26%46%39%11%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bucknell10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Navy1327:4716.239%64%4.841.91.11.84.21.8331.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NAVY Defense1351% (77)46% (95) - - - - .16 (89)3.27 (107)77% (89)9% (101)0.92 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NAVY Offense1374% (3)46% (43)42.3230.75.535 (8).29 (10)3.27 (32)82% (15)8% (28)1.2 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NAVY Defense1348% (57)37% (24) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (8)1.5 (51)31% (85)25% (8).2 (30)5% (89)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUCK Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NAVY Offense1326% (132)39% (101)7.112.8116.79.116.515 (98)6 (10).39 (15)2 (3)29% (26)27% (110).4 (37)3% (4)2.5 (2)

Bucknell's Power Ratings
Bucknell's Power Rating: #NR
Bucknell's Offense Rating: #NR
Bucknell's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Bucknell's 2024 Expected Record: -
Bucknell's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Bucknell's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Bucknell's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Navy: 5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bucknell:    Navy: 3.5




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 5.35 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Bucknell Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Bucknell's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
Bucknell 26


Total Points: 57

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Navy49Bucknell21NavyNavy -31.5Bucknell48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy101 Overs
Bucknell010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Bucknell Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Bucknell Highlights
Bucknell is Undefeated vs Spread


Bucknell Deficiencies
Bucknell Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNAVYBUCK
OverallOver#16
OffenseOff#18
DefenseDef#23
Special TeamsST#3
PassingPass#98
RushingRush#28
Run BlockRBLK#16
Pass BlockPBLK#26
Route RunningWR Rt#25
TacklingTkl#14
Run DefenseR Def#29
Pass Rush DefPRush#83
Coverage DefCov#21

Rematch from Week 1
Navy -31.5 (48.5)
Navy won vs Bucknell this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Bucknell last year (49-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BUCK | NAVY
Depth Chart: BUCK | NAVY
Rosters: BUCK | NAVY
(#53) Navy Info
Power Rating: 5.35 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now

Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)

Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)


  
Bucknell's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bucknell's Full Roster
Bucknell's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Hoying110000
Gavin Willis100000
John Schlendorf90020
Brad Jamison71100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brad Jamison71100
Nick Hoying110000
Ryan Jedlicka10000
Terian Williams10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Hoying110000
Matt Karic20000
Terian Williams10000

Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Daba Fofana6026324.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos1299342
Kyle Jacob1025122
Rayuan Lane701004
Luke Pirris686351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed4911641
Landon Robinson616570
Colin Ramos1299342
Luke Pirris686351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dashaun Peele454205
Rayuan Lane701004
Andrew Duhart292004