Charlotte 49ers at Navy Midshipmen
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -16.5 (57.5) (-700) Open: -16.5
Navy 51 - Charlotte: 17 (American Athletic)
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
CHAR coming off BYE
NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: Navy -19.5 (SP+ NAVY -19)
Projected Score: CHAR: 19 - NAVY: 39 (58)
NAVY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CHAR Travel: 345 miles
NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: Navy -19.5 (SP+ NAVY -19)
Projected Score: CHAR: 19 - NAVY: 39 (58)
NAVY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CHAR Travel: 345 miles
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
| Charlotte's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Charlotte vs James Madison | +6.5 | 47.5 | L 7 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Charlotte at North Carolina | +21.5 | 47.5 | L 20 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb | -14.0 | 46.5 | W 27 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Charlotte at Indiana | +28.5 | 50.0 | L 14 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Charlotte at Rice | +4.0 | 48.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Charlotte vs East Carolina | +9.5 | 47.5 | W 55 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Charlotte at Navy | +16.5 | 57.5 | L 17 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Charlotte at Memphis | +17.0 | 56.5 | L 28 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Thu 10/31 | Charlotte vs Tulane | +14.5 | 55.5 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Charlotte vs South Florida | -1.5 | 53.5 | L 24 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Charlotte at Florida Atlantic | -3.0 | 49.5 | W 39 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Charlotte vs UAB | -1.5 | 59.5 | W 29 - 27 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Navy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Navy vs Bucknell | -31.5 | 48.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Navy vs Temple | -11.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 11 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Navy vs Memphis | +9.5 | 47.0 | W 56 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Navy at UAB | -4.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 18 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Navy at Air Force | -10.0 | 37.0 | W 34 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Navy vs Charlotte | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Navy vs Notre Dame | +14.0 | 50.5 | L 14 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Navy at Rice | -12.5 | 49.0 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Navy at South Florida | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 28 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Navy vs Tulane | +7.5 | 49.0 | L 0 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/29 | Navy at East Carolina | +2.5 | 54.0 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/14 | Navy vs Army | +6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Fri 12/27 | Navy vs Oklahoma | -1.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR | #116 (.1) | 37% (122) | 23.7 | 39% (110) | 2.75 (113) | 119 | 35% (120) | 224 | 3.9 (70) | #113 (.25) | 45% (107) | 35.1 | 48% (111) | 42% (83) | 3.87 (81) | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 |
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 31.3 | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 22.2 | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR | #116 (.1) | 37% (122) | 39% (110) | 2.75 (113) | 119 | 35% (120) | 224 | 3.9 (70) | #113 (.25) | 45% (107) | 48% (111) | 42% (83) | 3.87 (81) | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 | ||
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR Offense | 12 | 23.7 | 23.2 | 37.1% | 3.9 | 1.8 | 17 | 343 | 119 | 224 | 3.7 | 47% | 52% | 39% | 35% | 17% | .1 |
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 22.2 | 25.6 | 41.2% | 3.48 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 46% | 37% | 14% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR Defense | 12 | 35.1 | 36.8 | 45.3% | 3.87 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 48% | 42% | 15% | .25 |
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 31.3 | 38.8 | 44.2% | 4.39 | 1.1 | 16 | 347 | 231 | 117 | 5.5 | 74% | 26% | 46% | 39% | 11% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 12 | 28:37 | 17.3 | 30% | 42% | 7.8 | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1 | 26.1 |
| Navy | 13 | 27:47 | 16.2 | 39% | 64% | 4.8 | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 31.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR Offense | 12 | 47% (88) | 39% (110) | 32.3 | 118.7 | 3.7 | 16 (90) | .09 (93) | 2.75 (113) | 68% (105) | 11% (106) | 1.1 (24) |
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 51% (77) | 46% (95) | - | - | - | - | .16 (89) | 3.27 (107) | 77% (89) | 9% (101) | 0.92 (39) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR Defense | 12 | 56% (118) | 48% (111) | - | - | - | - | .19 (104) | 3.27 (106) | 68% (35) | 8% (114) | 0.96 (57) |
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 74% (3) | 46% (43) | 42.3 | 230.7 | 5.5 | 35 (8) | .29 (10) | 3.27 (32) | 82% (15) | 8% (28) | 1.2 (7) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR Offense | 12 | 52% (46) | 35% (120) | 14.8 | 29.4 | 224.1 | 7.6 | 15.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .12 (120) | 1.9 (6) | 35% (123) | 29% (96) | .23 (103) | 6% (57) | 2.3 (3) |
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 48% (57) | 37% (24) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .07 (8) | 1.5 (51) | 31% (85) | 25% (8) | .2 (30) | 5% (89) | 2.2 (112) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR Defense | 12 | 44% (18) | 42% (83) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .34 (112) | 1.8 (122) | 31% (92) | 33% (107) | .57 (132) | 6% (51) | 2.4 (133) |
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 26% (132) | 39% (101) | 7.1 | 12.8 | 116.7 | 9.1 | 16.5 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .39 (15) | 2 (3) | 29% (26) | 27% (110) | .4 (37) | 3% (4) | 2.5 (2) |
Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.07 Navy: 5.35
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -15.3 Navy: 3.5
Charlotte: -13.07 Navy: 5.35
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -15.3 Navy: 3.5
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 5.35 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy's Power Rating: 5.35 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8
Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8
Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 39
Charlotte 19
Total Points: 58
Navy 39
Charlotte 19
Total Points: 58
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Navy | 51 | Charlotte | 17 | Navy | Navy -16.5 | Navy | 57.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Charlotte | 0 | Navy | 14 | Navy | Navy -3.5 | Navy | 44.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 2 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Charlotte | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
(#108) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Charlotte has won 2 straight
Charlotte has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is explosive (#74)
Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)
Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Charlotte has won 2 straight
Charlotte has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is explosive (#74)
Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NAVY | CHAR |
| OverallOver | #16 | #86 |
| OffenseOff | #18 | #82 |
| DefenseDef | #23 | #104 |
| Special TeamsST | #3 | #111 |
| PassingPass | #98 | #110 |
| RushingRush | #28 | #54 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #16 | #63 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #26 | #32 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #25 | #36 |
| TacklingTkl | #14 | #50 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #29 | #106 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #83 | #98 |
| Coverage DefCov | #21 | #79 |
Rematch from Week 8
Navy -16.5 (57.5)
Navy won vs Charlotte this year (51-17)
Previous Matchups
Navy beat Charlotte last year (51-17)
Navy beat Charlotte in 2023 (14-0)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | NAVY
Depth Chart: CHAR | NAVY
Rosters: CHAR | NAVY
(#53) Navy Info
Power Rating: 5.35 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has won 5 straight
Navy has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
Power Rating: 5.35 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has won 5 straight
Navy has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshawn Purdie | 100 | 200 | 50% | 1802 | 10 | 6 | 9.0 |
| Max Brown (Tr) | 43 | 93 | 46% | 561 | 3 | 6 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hahsaun Wilson | 91 | 559 | 7 | 6.1 | 65 |
| Cartevious Norton (Tr) | 129 | 525 | 7 | 4.1 | 62 |
| Terron Kellman | 48 | 242 | 0 | 5.0 | 41 |
| Max Brown (Tr) | 33 | 85 | 0 | 2.6 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Mega Blake (Tr) | 32 | 795 | 9 | 24.8 | 75 |
| Sean Brown | 35 | 470 | 1 | 13.4 | 42 |
| Jairus Mack | 19 | 418 | 0 | 22.0 | 59 |
| Isaiah Myers | 13 | 237 | 3 | 18.2 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Williford | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Cam Burden | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Dontae Balfour | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali | 45 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantz Williams (Tr) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Reid Williford | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Demon Clowney | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Mordecai McDaniel | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontae Balfour | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali | 45 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Chantz Williams (Tr) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 80 | 139 | 58% | 1353 | 13 | 4 | 9.7 |
| Braxton Woodson | 18 | 36 | 50% | 243 | 2 | 2 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 176 | 1254 | 17 | 7.1 | 95 |
| Alex Tecza | 123 | 556 | 8 | 4.5 | 65 |
| Eli Heidenreich | 65 | 444 | 3 | 6.8 | 60 |
| Daba Fofana | 60 | 263 | 2 | 4.4 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 39 | 671 | 6 | 17.2 | 74 |
| Brandon Chatman | 18 | 257 | 4 | 14.3 | 46 |
| Alex Tecza | 12 | 229 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Nathan Kent | 10 | 222 | 2 | 22.2 | 77 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Kyle Jacob | 102 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reed | 49 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Landon Robinson | 61 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashaun Peele | 45 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Duhart | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |