Navy at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 14th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Army -6 (39.5) (-250) Open: -5.5 | 40.5
Navy 31 - Army: 13 (American Athletic)

Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARMY 3rd straight Home Game
NAVY coming off BYE
ARMY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Army -4.5 (SP+ ARMY -6)
Projected Score: NAVY: 19 - ARMY: 24 (43)
ARMY Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
NAVY Travel: 214 miles

Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAVY Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Navy's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Navy vs Bucknell	-31.5	48.5	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/7	Navy vs Temple	-11.5	43.5	W 38 - 11	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Navy vs Memphis	+9.5	47.0	W 56 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Navy at UAB	-4.5	56.5	W 41 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Navy at Air Force	-10.0	37.0	W 34 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Navy vs Charlotte	-16.5	57.5	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Navy vs Notre Dame	+14.0	50.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/2	Navy at Rice	-12.5	49.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/9	Navy at South Florida	-4.5	59.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Navy vs Tulane	+7.5	49.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29	Navy at East Carolina	+2.5	54.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/14	Navy vs Army	+6.0	39.5
Fri 12/27	Navy vs Oklahoma	-1.0	44.0	W 21 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Army's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Army vs Lehigh	-28
Sat 9/7	Army at Florida Atlantic	+1.5	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Army vs Rice	-7.0	44.0	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Army at Temple	-11.0	46.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Army at Tulsa	-13.5	50.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Army vs UAB	-27.0	55.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Army vs East Carolina	-17.5	54.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Army vs Air Force	-18.0	38.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/9	Army at North Texas	-6.5	68.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Army vs Notre Dame	+14.5	44.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Army vs UTSA	-6.5	53.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/6	Army vs Tulane	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Army vs Navy	-6.0	39.5
Sat 12/28	Army vs Louisiana Tech	-15.0	44.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	#12 (.31)	44% (51)	31.3	46% (43)	3.27 (32)	231	39% (101)	117	4.39 (26)	#28 (.1)	41% (61)	22.2	46% (95)	37% (24)	3.48 (35)	41.9	1.1	1.8
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)	31.1	52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)	15.5	45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	#12 (.31)	44% (51)		46% (43)	3.27 (32)	231	39% (101)	117	4.39 (26)	#28 (.1)	41% (61)		46% (95)	37% (24)	3.48 (35)	41.9	1.1	1.8
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)		52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)		45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Offense	13	31.3	29.4	44.2%	4.39	1.1	16	347	231	117	5.5	74%	26%	46%	39%	11%	.31
ARMY Defense	14	15.5	14.3	43.4%	2.57	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	43%	14%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Defense	13	22.2	15.2	41.2%	3.48	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	46%	37%	14%	.1
ARMY Offense	14	31.1	36	50.7%	4.47	0.6	19	354	278	76	5.6	86%	14%	52%	43%	8%	.32

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Navy	13	27:47	16.2	39%	64%	4.8	41.9	1.1	1.8	4.2	1.8	3	31.6
Army	14	32:46	19.1	49%	77%	3.1	30.5	0.6	1.4	3.9	1.4	0	29.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense	13	74% (3)	46% (43)	42.3	230.7	5.5	35 (8)	.29 (10)	3.27 (32)	82% (15)	8% (28)	1.2 (7)
ARMY Defense	14	47% (32)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.14 (79)	3.22 (100)	67% (29)	9% (92)	0.94 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense	13	51% (77)	46% (95)	-	-	-	-	.16 (89)	3.27 (107)	77% (89)	9% (101)	0.92 (39)
ARMY Offense	14	86% (1)	52% (7)	49.9	277.8	5.6	44 (2)	.3 (9)	3.57 (5)	86% (3)	6% (2)	0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense	13	26% (132)	39% (101)	7.1	12.8	116.7	9.1	16.5	15 (98)	6 (10)	.39 (15)	2 (3)	29% (26)	27% (110)	.4 (37)	3% (4)	2.5 (2)
ARMY Defense	14	52% (99)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.15 (30)	1.5 (25)	32% (68)	30% (57)	.29 (60)	5% (96)	2.1 (91)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense	13	48% (57)	37% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.07 (8)	1.5 (51)	31% (85)	25% (8)	.2 (30)	5% (89)	2.2 (112)
ARMY Offense	14	14% (134)	43% (52)	4.6	8.1	75.9	9.4	16.6	10 (127)	4 (1)	.43 (8)	1.9 (4)	23% (1)	32% (56)	.31 (80)	2% (1)	1.7 (134)

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: 2.20 Army: 7.365

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 Army: 9.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 7.365 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Army 24
Navy 19

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 23
Navy 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Army 26
Navy 22

Total Points: 48

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/13	Navy	17	Army	16	Navy -6.0	Army	38.0	Under
2024	12/14	Army	13	Navy	31	Army -6	Navy	39.5	Over
2023	12/09	Army	17	Navy	11	Army -2	Army	28.0	Push
2022	12/10	Army	20	Navy	17	Navy -2.5	Army	32.0	Over
2021	12/11	Army	13	Navy	17	Navy -7	Army	35.5	Under
2020	12/12	Army	15	Navy	0	Army -7.5	Army	35.5	Under
2019	12/14	Navy	31	Army	7	Navy -11.5	Navy	41.5	Under
2018	12/08	Army	17	Navy	10	Army -7	Push	38.5	Under
2017	12/09	Navy	13	Army	14	Navy -2.5	Army	44.5	Under
2016	12/10	Army	21	Navy	17	Navy -11.5	Army	46.5	Under
2015	12/12	Navy	21	Army	17	Navy -23	Army	51.0	Under
2014	12/13	Army	10	Navy	17	Navy -15	Army	0
2013	12/14	Navy	34	Army	7	Navy -10	Navy	0
2012	12/08	Army	13	Navy	17
2011	12/10	Navy	27	Army	21
2010	12/11	Army	17	Navy	31
2009	12/12	Navy	17	Army	3
2008	12/06	Army	0	Navy	34
2007	12/01	Navy	38	Army	3
2006	12/02	Navy	26	Army	14
2005	12/03	Army	23	Navy	42
2004	12/04	Navy	42	Army	13
2003	12/06	Navy	34	Army	6
2001	12/01	Navy	17	Army	26
2000	12/01	Navy	30	Army	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	7	9	2 Overs
Navy	18	3	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	8 - 4	4 - 4	4 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 16	4 - 8	0 - 4	4 - 4

(#53) NAVY at (#42) ARMY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAVY	ARMY
Power RatePwr	#53	#42
SP+SP+	#57	#37
Perf GradeGrade	#20	#6
OffenseOff	#19	#1
DefenseDef	#30	#79
Spec TeamsST	#3	#57
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Navy Notes(12/28) Beat OU in bowl, 225+ rushing. Great season
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
(9/23) OC Cronic has been a revelation. Staff saver.
Navy Injury Report

Army Notes(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
(9/26) Ran for 417 (7.3 ypc) vs Temple. Absolute machine
Army Injury Report

Navy on Offense

Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Perf GradePerf	#19	#79
SuccessSuc	#51	#89
ExplosiveExp	#11	#40
PPAPPA	#12	#39
PowerPwr	#27	#64
SP+SP+	#51	#33
Pts POPPO	#26	#2
HavocHav	#6	#100

Navy Run Game

Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#42	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	#43	#87
Run ExplRExp	#7	#46
PPAExp	#10	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#18	-
OL YdsOLY	#32	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#14	#92
TackleTak	-	#62

Navy Pass Game

Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
CategoryCat	NAVY Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#101	#88
Pass ExplPExl	#3	#25
PPAExp	#15	#30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#26	#104
F7 HavocF7	#28	#92
DB HavocDB	#4	#96

Army on Offense

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Perf GradePerf	#1	#30
SuccessSuc	#6	#61
ExplosiveExp	#132	#28
PPAPPA	#10	#28
PowerPwr	#9	#31
SP+SP+	#42	#53
Pts POPPO	#19	#35
HavocHav	#1	#104

Army Run Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#9	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	#7	#95
Run ExplRExp	#60	#39
PPAExp	#9	#89
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	#5	#107
Stuff RateStuff	#1	#122
TackleTak	-	#16

Army Pass Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#4	#51
PPAExp	#8	#8
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#97
F7 HavocF7	#2	#101
DB HavocDB	#1	#89

Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Northwest Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 38° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 16
Army -6.0 (39.5)
Navy won at Army this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Army last year (31-13)
Army beat Navy in 2023 (17-11)
Army beat Navy in 2022 (20-17)

NAVY's OC Drew Cronic (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Blake Horvath	80	139	58%	1353	13	4	9.7
Braxton Woodson	18	36	50%	243	2	2	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Horvath	176	1254	17	7.1	95
Alex Tecza	123	556	8	4.5	65
Eli Heidenreich	65	444	3	6.8	60
Daba Fofana	60	263	2	4.4	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Heidenreich	39	671	6	17.2	74
Brandon Chatman	18	257	4	14.3	46
Alex Tecza	12	229	2	19.1	46
Nathan Kent	10	222	2	22.2	77

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC P.J. Volker (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Ramos	129	9	3	4	2
Kyle Jacob	102	5	1	2	2
Rayuan Lane	70	1	0	0	4
Luke Pirris	68	6	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Reed	49	11	6	4	1
Landon Robinson	61	6	5	7	0
Colin Ramos	129	9	3	4	2
Luke Pirris	68	6	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Dashaun Peele	45	4	2	5
Rayuan Lane	70	1	0	4
Andrew Duhart	29	2	0	4

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	54	103	52%	1007	9	4	9.8
Dewayne Coleman	11	16	69%	121	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	311	1653	32	5.3	42
Kanye Udoh	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Noah Short	75	569	2	7.6	61
Hayden Reed	40	207	1	5.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Casey Reynolds	19	449	3	23.6	50
Noah Short	17	318	3	18.7	58
Cam Schurr	7	83	1	11.9	18
Hayden Reed	6	63	1	10.5	23

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andon Thomas	85	3	0	1	2
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elo Modozie	30	8	6	7	1
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1	0
Kyle Lewis	25	4	3	1	0
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Shields	10	1	0	0	4
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3