Navy Midshipmen at Rice Owls
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Navy -12.5 (49.0) (-455) Open: -14.5
Rice 24 - Navy: 10 (American Athletic)
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
RICE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Navy -10.5 (SP+ NAVY -15)
Projected Score: NAVY: 30 - RICE: 20 (50)
NAVY Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 1250 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: Navy -10.5 (SP+ NAVY -15)
Projected Score: NAVY: 30 - RICE: 20 (50)
NAVY Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 1250 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Navy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Navy vs Bucknell | -31.5 | 48.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Navy vs Temple | -11.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 11 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Navy vs Memphis | +9.5 | 47.0 | W 56 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Navy at UAB | -4.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 18 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Navy at Air Force | -10.0 | 37.0 | W 34 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Navy vs Charlotte | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Navy vs Notre Dame | +14.0 | 50.5 | L 14 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Navy at Rice | -12.5 | 49.0 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Navy at South Florida | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 28 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Navy vs Tulane | +7.5 | 49.0 | L 0 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/29 | Navy at East Carolina | +2.5 | 54.0 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/14 | Navy vs Army | +6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Fri 12/27 | Navy vs Oklahoma | -1.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Rice's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Rice vs Sam Houston | -9.5 | 49.0 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Rice vs Texas Southern | -30.0 | 52.5 | W 69 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Rice at Houston | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Rice at Army | +7.0 | 44.0 | L 14 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Rice vs Charlotte | -4.0 | 48.0 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Rice vs UTSA | +3.5 | 51.0 | W 29 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Rice at Tulane | +21.5 | 53.5 | L 10 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Rice at UConn | +6.5 | 47.0 | L 10 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Rice vs Navy | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/8 | Rice at Memphis | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Rice at UAB | -7.0 | 52.0 | L 14 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Rice vs South Florida | +5.5 | 53.5 | W 35 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 31.3 | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 22.2 | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| RICE | #126 (.05) | 35% (127) | 22.2 | 36% (127) | 2.7 (118) | 115 | 35% (121) | 239 | 3.27 (119) | #60 (.16) | 37% (11) | 25.4 | 40% (37) | 34% (4) | 3.72 (62) | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | ||
| RICE | #126 (.05) | 35% (127) | 36% (127) | 2.7 (118) | 115 | 35% (121) | 239 | 3.27 (119) | #60 (.16) | 37% (11) | 40% (37) | 34% (4) | 3.72 (62) | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 31.3 | 29.4 | 44.2% | 4.39 | 1.1 | 16 | 347 | 231 | 117 | 5.5 | 74% | 26% | 46% | 39% | 11% | .31 |
| RICE Defense | 12 | 25.4 | 21.2 | 37% | 3.72 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 40% | 34% | 17% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 22.2 | 15.2 | 41.2% | 3.48 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 46% | 37% | 14% | .1 |
| RICE Offense | 12 | 22.2 | 31.8 | 35.5% | 3.27 | 1.8 | 18 | 354 | 115 | 239 | 4.6 | 37% | 62% | 36% | 35% | 20% | .05 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 13 | 27:47 | 16.2 | 39% | 64% | 4.8 | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 31.6 |
| Rice | 12 | 28:40 | 18.3 | 35% | 35% | 7.1 | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 32.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 74% (3) | 46% (43) | 42.3 | 230.7 | 5.5 | 35 (8) | .29 (10) | 3.27 (32) | 82% (15) | 8% (28) | 1.2 (7) |
| RICE Defense | 12 | 55% (112) | 40% (37) | - | - | - | - | .16 (85) | 3.06 (80) | 76% (83) | 11% (45) | 1.07 (103) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 51% (77) | 46% (95) | - | - | - | - | .16 (89) | 3.27 (107) | 77% (89) | 9% (101) | 0.92 (39) |
| RICE Offense | 12 | 37% (132) | 36% (127) | 24.8 | 114.5 | 4.6 | 14 (98) | -.03 (126) | 2.7 (118) | 86% (3) | 10% (63) | 1 (55) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 26% (132) | 39% (101) | 7.1 | 12.8 | 116.7 | 9.1 | 16.5 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .39 (15) | 2 (3) | 29% (26) | 27% (110) | .4 (37) | 3% (4) | 2.5 (2) |
| RICE Defense | 12 | 45% (24) | 34% (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .16 (33) | 1.7 (109) | 34% (30) | 24% (4) | .19 (23) | 6% (70) | 2.1 (81) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 48% (57) | 37% (24) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .07 (8) | 1.5 (51) | 31% (85) | 25% (8) | .2 (30) | 5% (89) | 2.2 (112) |
| RICE Offense | 12 | 62% (4) | 35% (121) | 24.3 | 39.8 | 239 | 6 | 9.8 | 17 (79) | 13 (103) | .11 (121) | 1.5 (97) | 38% (129) | 25% (119) | .17 (119) | 10% (133) | 1.9 (104) |
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: 2.20 Rice: -7.57
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 Rice: -11.4
Navy: 2.20 Rice: -7.57
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 Rice: -11.4
Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 30
Rice 20
Total Points: 50
Navy 30
Rice 20
Total Points: 50
Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2
Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2
Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Rice | 24 | Navy | 10 | Rice | Navy -12.5 | Rice | 49.0 | Under |
| 2009 | 10/10 | Rice | 14 | Navy | 63 | Navy | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Rice | 9 | Navy | 41 | Navy | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Navy | 14 | Rice | 13 | Navy | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Rice | 6 | Navy | 38 | Navy | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Navy | 10 | Rice | 17 | Rice | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Navy | 13 | Rice | 21 | Rice |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | 3 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Navy | 4 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 5 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#53) Navy Info
Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has lost 1 straight
Navy has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has lost 1 straight
Navy has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | RICE | NAVY |
| OverallOver | #74 | #16 |
| OffenseOff | #94 | #18 |
| DefenseDef | #32 | #23 |
| Special TeamsST | #87 | #3 |
| PassingPass | #79 | #98 |
| RushingRush | #80 | #28 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #89 | #16 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #80 | #26 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #82 | #25 |
| TacklingTkl | #29 | #14 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #78 | #29 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #42 | #83 |
| Coverage DefCov | #12 | #21 |
(#95) Rice Info
Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Rice has lost 2 straight
Rice has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)
Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Rice has lost 2 straight
Rice has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 80 | 139 | 58% | 1353 | 13 | 4 | 9.7 |
| Braxton Woodson | 18 | 36 | 50% | 243 | 2 | 2 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 176 | 1254 | 17 | 7.1 | 95 |
| Alex Tecza | 123 | 556 | 8 | 4.5 | 65 |
| Eli Heidenreich | 65 | 444 | 3 | 6.8 | 60 |
| Daba Fofana | 60 | 263 | 2 | 4.4 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 39 | 671 | 6 | 17.2 | 74 |
| Brandon Chatman | 18 | 257 | 4 | 14.3 | 46 |
| Alex Tecza | 12 | 229 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Nathan Kent | 10 | 222 | 2 | 22.2 | 77 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Kyle Jacob | 102 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reed | 49 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Landon Robinson | 61 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashaun Peele | 45 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Duhart | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 271 | 438 | 62% | 2710 | 17 | 13 | 6.2 |
| Drew Devillier | 20 | 38 | 53% | 137 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Connors | 159 | 780 | 9 | 4.9 | 71 |
| Quinton Jackson | 48 | 275 | 1 | 5.7 | 45 |
| Taji Atkins | 24 | 158 | 2 | 6.6 | 33 |
| Christian Francisco | 19 | 78 | 0 | 4.1 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Sykes | 65 | 795 | 5 | 12.2 | 37 |
| Dean Connors | 61 | 472 | 2 | 7.7 | 69 |
| Kobie Campbell | 32 | 372 | 1 | 11.6 | 33 |
| Braylen Walker | 22 | 264 | 1 | 12.0 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Anthony Morris | 49 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Fresch | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Gabe Taylor | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Andrew Awe | 44 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Anthony Morris | 49 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Pearcy | 35 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Daley (Tr) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabe Taylor | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Ahoia | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Sean Fresch | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Gabe Taylor | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |