Minnesota at UCLA Game Matchup
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -3.5 (39.0) (-166)  Open: -4.5
Minnesota 21 - UCLA: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
UCLA is playing their 5th straight game
MINN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -8   (SP+ MINN -11.5)

Projected Score: MINN: 25 - UCLA: 17 (44)
MINN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 1515 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (16 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26OY
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7UY
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
UCLA's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UCLA at Hawai'i-13.555.5W 16 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 UCLA vs Indiana+3.546.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/21 UCLA at LSU+21.556.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/28 UCLA vs Oregon+23.554.5L 13 - 34UY
Sat 10/5 UCLA at Penn State+30.048.0L 11 - 27UY
Sat 10/12 UCLA vs Minnesota+3.539.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 UCLA at Rutgers+4.042.5W 35 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UCLA at Nebraska+7.538.5W 27 - 20OY
Fri 11/8 UCLA vs Iowa+6.544.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 11/15 UCLA at Washington+4.547.0L 19 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 UCLA vs USC+5.053.0L 13 - 19UN
Sat 11/30 UCLA vs Fresno State-7.546.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 8, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)26.244% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)16.945% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
UCLA#73 (.18)42% (71)18.444% (55)3.27 (37)19840% (88)2293.11 (120)#11 (.08)37% (18)25.337% (24)37% (18)3.16 (19)58.11.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.640.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09
UCLA Defense1325.324.336.7%3.161.8 - - - - - 42%57%37%37%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.842.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
UCLA Offense1318.41641.8%3.111.7214271982294.951%49%44%40%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
UCLA1329:0121.444%47%7.158.11.71.88.13.2029.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)
UCLA Defense1342% (7)37% (24) - - - - -.04 (6)2.64 (10)55% (4)14% (5)0.84 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
UCLA Offense1351% (63)44% (55)40.5197.94.921 (54).21 (37)3.27 (37)70% (95)10% (75)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)
UCLA Defense1357% (128)37% (18) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (32)1.6 (52)37% (9)28% (34).29 (54)7% (51)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
UCLA Offense1349% (66)40% (88)18.331.5229.27.312.524 (41)14 (107).16 (107)1.6 (58)32% (73)33% (54).28 (89)7% (92)1.9 (118)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69   UCLA: 2.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4   UCLA: -1.3




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 2.12 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 25
UCLA 17


Projected Total Points: 44
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12UCLA17Minnesota21MinnesotaMinnesota -3.5Minnesota39.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA000 Overs
Minnesota111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#32) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
Minnesota     Ratings Matchup     UCLA
Power #32
#61
Off #37
#103
Def #14
#94
Talent #27
#54
SP+ #27
#75
SP+ Off #79
#103
SP+ Def #11
#44

Rematch from Week 7
Minnesota 3.5 (39.0)
Minnesota won at UCLA this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat UCLA last year (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MINN | UCLA
Depth Chart: MINN | UCLA
Rosters: MINN | UCLA
(#61) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.12 #61
Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44
Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UCLA Notes
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#124) into week 9
(10/19) Hung 35, torched Gers, Garbers great, Rgame bad
(10/18) Has not scored < 17 pts in any game to date


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major (Tr)7835234.540
Jaren Mangham (Tr)1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623
Lemeke Brockington18282115.735
Marcus Major (Tr)2014417.225

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Koi Perich463012
Devon Williams443101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Deven Eastern275222
Maverick Baranowski655112
Darius Green111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Robinson (Tr)423009
Za'Quan Bryan191005
Jalen Logan-Redding272054

UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Justyn Martin243569%179105.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden12450524.140
Jalen Berger4817803.718
Anthony Frias II154703.18
Carter Shaw2904.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden4036819.253
Logan Loya29348412.029
Kwazi Gilmer31345211.148
J.Michael Sturdivant22315214.345

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KJ Wallace4991110
Bryan Addison (Tr)431005
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Ramon Henderson (Tr)331124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Aupiu155211
KJ Wallace4991110
Ramon Henderson (Tr)331124
Jalen Woods222131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KJ Wallace4991110
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Bryan Addison (Tr)431005