Minnesota at Virginia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Virginia Tech Hokies

Friday, January 3rd 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Minnesota -10 (43.5) (-410) Open: 0.0
Minnesota 24 - Virginia Tech: 10 (Duke's Mayo Bowl)

Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Virginia Tech -0 (SP+ MINN -0.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 24 - VT: 24 (47)
MINN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MINN Travel: 937 miles, 1 hrs behind

Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MINN Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Minnesota vs North Carolina	+2.0	52.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Minnesota vs Rhode Island	-27.5	47.5	W 48 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Minnesota vs Nevada	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Minnesota vs Iowa	+3.0	34.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Minnesota at Michigan	+10.5	34.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Minnesota vs USC	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Minnesota at UCLA	-3.5	39.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Minnesota vs Maryland	-6.0	45.0	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Minnesota at Illinois	-2.5	47.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Minnesota at Rutgers	-6.5	44.5	L 19 - 26	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Minnesota vs Penn State	+11.0	45.0	L 25 - 26	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Minnesota at Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 1/3	Minnesota vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/7	Virginia Tech vs Marshall	-20.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-15.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Virginia Tech vs Rutgers	-3.0	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	N
Fri 9/27	Virginia Tech at Miami	+17.5	55.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Virginia Tech at Stanford	-9.5	50.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-8.5	47.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-11.0	52.0	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-3.5	54.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+6.5	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia Tech at Duke	-2.5	45.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/30	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-4.5	44.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Fri 1/3	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	#118 (.09)	41% (87)	23	44% (53)	3.15 (61)	158	36% (116)	143	3.85 (73)	#93 (.22)	43% (75)	22.9	45% (90)	41% (63)	4.67 (129)	27.1	1.3	1.5
VT	#59 (.21)	43% (55)	21.4	47% (32)	3.2 (51)	190	39% (91)	201	4.32 (30)	#49 (.16)	38% (23)	30.2	39% (36)	36% (13)	4.49 (124)	57.8	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	23	8.3	40.5%	3.85	1.3	18	301	158	143	4.1	59%	40%	44%	36%	13%	.09
VT Defense	13	30.2	31.6	37.6%	4.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	36%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	22.9	38	42.6%	4.67	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	45%	41%	11%	.22
VT Offense	13	21.4	26	43.1%	4.32	1.2	20	391	190	201	5	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	31:49	18.2	35%	82%	3	27.1	1.3	1.5	3.2	1.6	0	29
Virginia Tech	13	31:09	19.8	35%	65%	6.3	57.8	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.9	2	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	59% (12)	44% (53)	38.8	157.5	4.1	13 (108)	.11 (92)	3.15 (61)	75% (52)	7% (13)	0.83 (127)
VT Defense	13	53% (110)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.15 (75)	2.89 (32)	70% (51)	12% (17)	1.1 (111)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	47% (34)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.2 (102)	3.15 (79)	80% (109)	7% (132)	0.99 (63)
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	47% (32)	38.4	189.9	5	20 (61)	.16 (63)	3.2 (51)	79% (24)	10% (74)	0.98 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	40% (121)	36% (116)	12.6	24	143.4	6	11.4	16 (92)	11 (68)	.1 (123)	1.6 (53)	29% (26)	27% (99)	.16 (117)	6% (52)	1.9 (106)
VT Defense	13	46% (26)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.19 (24)	1.6 (81)	34% (37)	24% (8)	.19 (14)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	51% (94)	41% (63)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (83)	1.6 (73)	30% (106)	30% (71)	.42 (112)	5% (116)	2.2 (105)
VT Offense	13	45% (99)	39% (91)	15.7	27.4	201.5	7.4	12.8	23 (51)	5 (6)	.28 (70)	1.7 (27)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.25 (92)	5% (18)	1.9 (113)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 417.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69 Virginia Tech: 10.175

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4 Virginia Tech: 10.0

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.175 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 360.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 24
Virginia Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 47

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	01/03	Virginia Tech	10	Minnesota	24	Minnesota -10	Minnesota	43.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	0	0	0 Overs
Minnesota	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Minnesota Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Mayo Bowl	Minnesota vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	43.5	W 24 - 10
2023	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24
2022	Pinstripe Bowl	Minnesota vs Syracuse	-10.5	45.0	W 28 - 20
2021	Rate Bowl	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6
2019	Outback Bowl	Minnesota vs Auburn	+7.0	54.0	W 31 - 24
2018	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 34 - 10

Virginia Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Mayo Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24
2023	Military Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20
2021	Pinstripe Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54
2019	N/A	Virginia Tech vs Kentucky	-2.0	47.0	L 30 - 37
2018	N/A	Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati	+5.5	48.5	L 31 - 35

(#32) MINN at (#29) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#32	#29
SP+SP+	#27	#30
Perf GradeGrade	#24	#64
OffenseOff	#43	#88
DefenseDef	#25	#60
Spec TeamsST	#1	#22
TalentTal	#29	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#48

Minnesota Notes(11/29) Killed Wisky. R Def all 24 car/36 yds. QB/RB good
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
(7/30) OL returns 3/5, RB v good, Run game good LY
Minnesota Injury Report

Virginia Tech Notes(12/23) Signed OL coach Moore (WVU cast off/Troy/La T)
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
(9/27) Great fight @ Miami. Rgame 200 yds (6.2 ypc)
Virginia Tech Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#60
SuccessSuc	#87	#23
ExplosiveExp	#128	#92
PPAPPA	#118	#49
PowerPwr	#37	#10
SP+SP+	#79	#36
Pts POPPO	#73	#124
HavocHav	#14	#47

Minnesota Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#74	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#36
Run ExplRExp	#127	#111
PPAExp	#92	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#61	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#40	#34
TackleTak	-	#17

Minnesota Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#116	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#81
PPAExp	#123	#24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#78	#22
F7 HavocF7	#13	#17
DB HavocDB	#52	#108

Virginia Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#25
SuccessSuc	#55	#75
ExplosiveExp	#74	#75
PPAPPA	#59	#93
PowerPwr	#48	#14
SP+SP+	#41	#11
Pts POPPO	#30	#129
HavocHav	#55	#131

Virginia Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#40	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#90
Run ExplRExp	#77	#63
PPAExp	#63	#102
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#79
Stuff RateStuff	#85	#91
TackleTak	-	#89

Virginia Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	VT Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#63
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#73
PPAExp	#70	#83
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#68
F7 HavocF7	#74	#132
DB HavocDB	#18	#116

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Minnesota 10.0 (43.5)
Minnesota won at Virginia Tech this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Virginia Tech in 2024 (24-10)

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)	268	403	67%	2829	18	6	7.0
Drake Lindsey	4	5	80%	50	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	205	986	10	4.8	80
Marcus Major (Tr)	78	352	3	4.5	40
Jaren Mangham (Tr)	19	123	0	6.5	18
Jordan Nubin	11	19	0	1.7	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	75	863	4	11.5	39
Elijah Spencer	52	685	6	13.2	29
Darius Taylor	54	350	2	6.5	22
Jameson Geers	27	286	4	10.6	23

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6
Maverick Baranowski	65	5	1	1	2
Kerry Brown	63	3	0	0	4
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Smith	27	12	6	10	1
Jack Henderson	44	9	6	1	1
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10
Ethan Robinson (Tr)	42	3	0	0	9
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	136	224	61%	1562	10	6	7.0
William Watson III	34	58	59%	481	1	2	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten	183	1158	15	6.3	83
Kyron Drones	98	337	6	3.4	53
Jeremiah Coney	32	179	0	5.6	47
Malachi Thomas	43	165	1	3.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephen Gosnell	28	506	1	18.1	49
Jaylin Lane	38	466	2	12.3	66
Ali Jennings	15	373	3	24.9	65
Da'Quan Felton	32	360	2	11.3	55

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Keller	83	2	0	2	1
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2
Mose Phillips III	65	4	1	0	3
Keonta Jenkins	65	10	1	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	42	19	16	8	0
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)	29	6	3	3	3
Cole Nelson	36	3	3	6	0
Wilfried Pene	33	5	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylen Jones	40	1	8
Mansoor Delane	54	1	7
Dorian Strong	32	0	6