Minnesota at Virginia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Friday, January 3rd 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Minnesota -10 (43.5) (-410)  Open: 0.0
Minnesota 24 - Virginia Tech: 10  (Duke's Mayo Bowl)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Virginia Tech -0   (SP+ MINN -0.5)

Projected Score: MINN: 22 - VT: 22 (45)
MINN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MINN Travel: 854 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26OY
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7UY
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt-13.553.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/7 Virginia Tech vs Marshall-20.552.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/14 Virginia Tech at Old Dominion-15.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 Virginia Tech vs Rutgers-3.045.0L 23 - 26ON
Fri 9/27 Virginia Tech at Miami+17.555.5L 34 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Virginia Tech at Stanford-9.550.0W 31 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Virginia Tech vs Boston College-8.547.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech-11.052.0W 21 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Virginia Tech at Syracuse-3.554.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Virginia Tech vs Clemson+6.554.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia Tech at Duke-2.545.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/30 Virginia Tech vs Virginia-4.544.5W 37 - 17OY
Fri 1/3 Virginia Tech vs Minnesota+10.043.5L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)26.244% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)16.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)28.244% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)22.842% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.644.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2
VT Defense1322.81838.9%2.971.8 - - - - - 52%47%42%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.838.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
VT Offense1328.22841.6%4.221.2183511731784.955%44%44%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Virginia Tech1327:1817.937%42%5.546.31.21.85.92.7130.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)
VT Defense1352% (88)42% (56) - - - - .05 (32)2.86 (45)71% (55)12% (17)0.85 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
VT Offense1355% (32)44% (66)35.2173.24.927 (30).21 (31)3.01 (76)77% (38)13% (124)1.1 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)
VT Defense1347% (44)36% (15) - - - - - - 14 (23).18 (41)1.8 (116)34% (41)25% (6).26 (47)8% (14)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
VT Offense1344% (105)39% (102)14.624.7177.97.212.215 (98)8 (40).17 (100)1.5 (87)34% (109)27% (112).27 (94)5% (49)2.2 (26)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69   Virginia Tech: 10.175

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4   Virginia Tech: 10.0




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.175 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 22
Virginia Tech 22


Total Points: 45

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202401/03Virginia Tech10Minnesota24MinnesotaMinnesota -10Minnesota43.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech000 Overs
Minnesota111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

Minnesota Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Mayo Bowl Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10
2023Lane Bowl Minnesota vs Bowling Green-2.545.0W 30 - 24
2022Pinstripe Bowl Minnesota vs Syracuse-10.545.0W 28 - 20
2021Rate Bowl Minnesota vs West Virginia-5.044.5W 18 - 6
2019Outback Bowl Minnesota vs Auburn+7.054.0W 31 - 24
2018Lane Bowl Minnesota vs Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 34 - 10
Virginia Tech Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Mayo Bowl Virginia Tech vs Minnesota+10.043.5L 10 - 24
2023Military Bowl Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20
2021Pinstripe Bowl Virginia Tech vs Maryland+4.055.0L 10 - 54
2019N/A Virginia Tech vs Kentucky-2.047.0L 30 - 37
2018N/A Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati+5.548.5L 31 - 35
  
(#32) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Minnesota has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 0)
Minnesota has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (11 - 8)

Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good in red zone (#93)
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota defense does not give up big plays (#83)
Minnesota defense is really good in red zone (#77)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Secondary is very good (#76)
Minnesota has a great TO Margin (#82)
Minnesota commits very few Penalties (#38)
Minnesota defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Minnesota Deficiencies
Minnesota Can Not Run the Ball (#49)
Minnesota offense is not Explosive (#72)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVTMINN
OverallOver#45#18
OffenseOff#72#37
DefenseDef#44#19
Special TeamsST#20#1
PassingPass#65#11
RushingRush#27#53
Run BlockRBLK#76#29
Pass BlockPBLK#72#68
Route RunningWR Rt#76#53
TacklingTkl#15#77
Run DefenseR Def#47#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#20#60
Coverage DefCov#68#33

Rematch from Week 1
Minnesota 10.0 (43.5)
Minnesota won at Virginia Tech this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Virginia Tech last year (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | VT
Depth Chart: MINN | VT
Rosters: MINN | VT
(#29) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: 10.175 #29
Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia Tech has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Virginia Tech has played in 23 Bowls since 2000 (10 - 13)

Virginia Tech Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)

Virginia Tech Highlights
Virginia Tech is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home

Virginia Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Virginia Tech defense is really good in red zone (#134)
Virginia Tech has a good pass defense (#133)
Virginia Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#61)
Virginia Tech Secondary is very good (#115)
Virginia Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major (Tr)7835234.540
Jaren Mangham (Tr)1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer52685613.229
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Danny Striggow526561
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Jack Henderson449611
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Ethan Robinson (Tr)423009
Jah Joyner326597

Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones13622461%15621067.0
William Watson III345859%481128.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten1831158156.383
Kyron Drones9833763.453
Jeremiah Coney3217905.647
Malachi Thomas4316513.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephen Gosnell28506118.149
Jaylin Lane38466212.366
Ali Jennings15373324.965
Da'Quan Felton32360211.355

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Keller832021
Caleb Woodson728242
Mose Phillips III654103
Keonta Jenkins6510134
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell42191680
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)296333
Cole Nelson363360
Wilfried Pene335341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Jones401008
Mansoor Delane541007
Dorian Strong320006