Minnesota vs Virginia Tech Game Matchup

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Virginia Tech Hokies

Friday, January 3rd 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Minnesota -10 (43.5) (-410) Open: 0.0
Minnesota 24 - Virginia Tech: 10 (Duke's Mayo Bowl)

Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.6 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Virginia Tech -0 (SP+ MINN -0.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 22 - VT: 22 (48)
MINN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MINN Travel: 854 miles, 1 hrs behind

Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MINN Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Minnesota vs North Carolina	+2.0	52.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Minnesota vs Rhode Island	-27.5	47.5	W 48 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Minnesota vs Nevada	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Minnesota vs Iowa	+3.0	34.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Minnesota at Michigan	+10.5	34.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Minnesota vs USC	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Minnesota at UCLA	-3.5	39.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Minnesota vs Maryland	-6.0	45.0	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Minnesota at Illinois	-2.5	47.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Minnesota at Rutgers	-6.5	44.5	L 19 - 26	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Minnesota vs Penn State	+11.0	45.0	L 25 - 26	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Minnesota at Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 1/3	Minnesota vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/7	Virginia Tech vs Marshall	-20.5	52.5	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia Tech at Old Dominion	-15.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Virginia Tech vs Rutgers	-3.0	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	N
Fri 9/27	Virginia Tech at Miami	+17.5	55.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Virginia Tech at Stanford	-9.5	50.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-8.5	47.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-11.0	52.0	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-3.5	54.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+6.5	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia Tech at Duke	-2.5	45.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/30	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-4.5	44.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Fri 1/3	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	#118 (.09)	41% (87)	26.2	44% (53)	3.15 (61)	158	36% (116)	143	3.85 (73)	#93 (.22)	43% (75)	16.9	45% (90)	41% (63)	4.67 (129)	27.1	1.3	1.5
VT	#59 (.21)	43% (55)	28.2	47% (32)	3.2 (51)	190	39% (91)	201	4.32 (30)	#49 (.16)	38% (23)	22.8	39% (36)	36% (13)	4.49 (124)	57.8	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	26.2	22.6	40.5%	3.85	1.3	18	301	158	143	4.1	59%	40%	44%	36%	13%	.09
VT Defense	13	22.8	18	37.6%	4.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	36%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	16.9	18.8	42.6%	4.67	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	45%	41%	11%	.22
VT Offense	13	28.2	28	43.1%	4.32	1.2	20	391	190	201	5	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	31:49	18.2	35%	82%	3	27.1	1.3	1.5	3.2	1.6	0	29
Virginia Tech	13	31:09	19.8	35%	65%	6.3	57.8	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.9	2	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	59% (12)	44% (53)	38.8	157.5	4.1	13 (108)	.11 (92)	3.15 (61)	75% (52)	7% (13)	0.83 (127)
VT Defense	13	53% (110)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.15 (75)	2.89 (32)	70% (51)	12% (17)	1.1 (111)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	47% (34)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.2 (102)	3.15 (79)	80% (109)	7% (132)	0.99 (63)
VT Offense	13	55% (32)	47% (32)	38.4	189.9	5	20 (61)	.16 (63)	3.2 (51)	79% (24)	10% (74)	0.98 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	40% (121)	36% (116)	12.6	24	143.4	6	11.4	16 (92)	11 (68)	.1 (123)	1.6 (53)	29% (26)	27% (99)	.16 (117)	6% (52)	1.9 (106)
VT Defense	13	46% (26)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.19 (24)	1.6 (81)	34% (37)	24% (8)	.19 (14)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	51% (94)	41% (63)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (83)	1.6 (73)	30% (106)	30% (71)	.42 (112)	5% (116)	2.2 (105)
VT Offense	13	45% (99)	39% (91)	15.7	27.4	201.5	7.4	12.8	23 (51)	5 (6)	.28 (70)	1.7 (27)	32% (67)	30% (73)	.25 (92)	5% (18)	1.9 (113)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69 Virginia Tech: 10.175

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4 Virginia Tech: 10.0

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.175 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 710.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 22
Virginia Tech 22

Projected Total Points: 48

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	01/03	Virginia Tech	10	Minnesota	24	Minnesota	Minnesota -10	Minnesota	43.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	0	0	0 Overs
Minnesota	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Minnesota Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Mayo Bowl	Minnesota vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	43.5	W 24 - 10
2023	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24
2022	Pinstripe Bowl	Minnesota vs Syracuse	-10.5	45.0	W 28 - 20
2021	Rate Bowl	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6
2019	Outback Bowl	Minnesota vs Auburn	+7.0	54.0	W 31 - 24
2018	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 34 - 10

Virginia Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Mayo Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Minnesota	+10.0	43.5	L 10 - 24
2023	Military Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20
2021	Pinstripe Bowl	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54
2019	N/A	Virginia Tech vs Kentucky	-2.0	47.0	L 30 - 37
2018	N/A	Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati	+5.5	48.5	L 31 - 35

(#32) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Minnesota has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 0)
Minnesota has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (11 - 8)

Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent

Minnesota Ratings Matchup Virginia Tech

Power #32

#29

Off #37

#48

Def #14

#10

Talent #27

#57

SP+ #27

#30

SP+ Off #79

#41

SP+ Def #11

#36

Rematch from Week 1
Minnesota 10.0 (43.5)
Minnesota won at Virginia Tech this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Virginia Tech last year (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 19 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | VT
Depth Chart: MINN | VT
Rosters: MINN | VT

(#29) Virginia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.175 #29
Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 710.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia Tech has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Virginia Tech has played in 23 Bowls since 2000 (10 - 13)

Virginia Tech Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)	268	403	67%	2829	18	6	7.0
Drake Lindsey	4	5	80%	50	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	205	986	10	4.8	80
Marcus Major (Tr)	78	352	3	4.5	40
Jaren Mangham (Tr)	19	123	0	6.5	18
Jordan Nubin	11	19	0	1.7	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	54	350	2	6.5	22
Jameson Geers	27	286	4	10.6	23
Lemeke Brockington	18	282	1	15.7	35
Marcus Major (Tr)	20	144	1	7.2	25

View Minnesota's Full Roster

Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maverick Baranowski	65	5	1	1	2
Kerry Brown	63	3	0	0	4
Koi Perich	46	3	0	1	2
Devon Williams	44	3	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Smith	27	12	6	10	1
Deven Eastern	27	5	2	2	2
Maverick Baranowski	65	5	1	1	2
Darius Green	11	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ethan Robinson (Tr)	42	3	0	9
Za'Quan Bryan	19	1	0	5
Jalen Logan-Redding	27	2	5	4

Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones	136	224	61%	1562	10	6	7.0
William Watson III	34	58	59%	481	1	2	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyron Drones	98	337	6	3.4	53
Jeremiah Coney	32	179	0	5.6	47
Malachi Thomas	43	165	1	3.8	20
Collin Schlee (Tr)	41	143	2	3.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Benji Gosnell	32	341	2	10.7	31
Ayden Greene	19	268	2	14.1	67
Harrison Saint Germain	4	25	0	6.3	14
Malachi Thomas	4	25	0	6.3	9

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Keller	83	2	0	2	1
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2
Mose Phillips III	65	4	1	0	3
Sam Brumfield (Tr)	61	3	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)	29	6	3	3	3
Caleb Woodson	72	8	2	4	2
Sam Brumfield (Tr)	61	3	2	0	1
Mose Phillips III	65	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Mansoor Delane	54	1	7
Keli Lawson	40	2	4
Dante Lovett	20	0	4