UCLA at Hawai'i - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCLA -13.5 (55.5) (-550) Open: -13.5 | 55.5
UCLA 16 - Hawai'i: 13

Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
Our Line: UCLA -5 (SP+ UCLA -9.5)
Projected Score: UCLA: 28 - HAW: 23 (51)
UCLA Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UCLA Travel: 2564 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
HAW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UCLA at Hawai'i	-13.5	55.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	UCLA vs Indiana	+3.5	46.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/21	UCLA at LSU	+21.5	56.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/28	UCLA vs Oregon	+23.5	54.5	L 13 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UCLA at Penn State	+30.0	48.0	L 11 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UCLA vs Minnesota	+3.5	39.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/19	UCLA at Rutgers	+4.0	42.5	W 35 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UCLA at Nebraska	+7.5	38.5	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/8	UCLA vs Iowa	+6.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/15	UCLA at Washington	+4.5	47.0	L 19 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	UCLA vs USC	+5.0	53.0	L 13 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/30	UCLA vs Fresno State	-7.5	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Hawai'i vs Delaware State	-38.5	57.5	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 8/31	Hawai'i vs UCLA	+13.5	55.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Hawai'i at Sam Houston	+3.5	48.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/21	Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa	-10.0	46.0	W 36 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Hawai'i at San Diego State	+1.5	47.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/12	Hawai'i vs Boise State	+21.0	60.0	L 7 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Hawai'i at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/26	Hawai'i vs Nevada	-2.5	42.0	W 34 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Hawai'i at Fresno State	+12.0	45.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Hawai'i vs UNLV	+12.0	51.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Hawai'i at Utah State	-2.5	62.0	L 10 - 55	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Hawai'i vs New Mexico	+6.5	61.5	W 38 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)	18.4	34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)	25.3	45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1
HAW	#82 (.17)	44% (52)	22.3	46% (45)	3.29 (26)	99	44% (50)	268	3.81 (81)	#81 (.19)	42% (71)	26	45% (85)	40% (58)	4.15 (103)	70.3	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)		34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)		45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1
HAW	#82 (.17)	44% (52)		46% (45)	3.29 (26)	99	44% (50)	268	3.81 (81)	#81 (.19)	42% (71)		45% (85)	40% (58)	4.15 (103)	70.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	12	18.4	20.8	39%	3.15	1.4	18	329	87	242	3.1	41%	59%	34%	43%	17%	.14
HAW Defense	12	26	19.6	42%	4.15	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	45%	40%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	12	25.3	26.2	45.9%	4.45	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	45%	47%	18%	.16
HAW Offense	12	22.3	27.1	44.2%	3.81	1.6	21	367	99	268	3.6	36%	64%	46%	44%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	12	31:07	18	43%	50%	8.2	68.9	1.4	1.1	5.3	1.8	2	27.8
Hawai'i	12	30:19	20.8	37%	55%	8	70.3	1.6	0.9	5.7	2.3	1	25.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	12	41% (122)	34% (131)	28	86.9	3.1	4 (133)	-.05 (129)	2.47 (132)	70% (87)	10% (85)	0.94 (84)
HAW Defense	12	50% (57)	45% (85)	-	-	-	-	.16 (90)	3.27 (108)	79% (103)	10% (74)	0.97 (62)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	12	43% (2)	45% (83)	-	-	-	-	.05 (30)	2.92 (52)	78% (101)	10% (68)	0.72 (2)
HAW Offense	12	36% (134)	46% (45)	27.8	99	3.6	7 (131)	.13 (68)	3.29 (26)	80% (23)	11% (88)	0.83 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	12	59% (12)	43% (56)	21.6	33.2	242.2	7.3	11.2	17 (79)	11 (72)	.26 (62)	1.5 (95)	36% (126)	36% (21)	.42 (30)	7% (99)	1.9 (102)
HAW Defense	12	50% (79)	40% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.22 (58)	1.4 (19)	31% (82)	30% (63)	.31 (72)	6% (73)	1.8 (13)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	12	57% (132)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.26 (82)	1.4 (15)	30% (100)	33% (106)	.31 (70)	8% (8)	2 (53)
HAW Offense	12	64% (1)	44% (50)	23.8	40.1	268.2	6.7	11.3	25 (31)	15 (123)	.21 (92)	1.4 (130)	32% (80)	33% (49)	.31 (81)	8% (127)	2 (94)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.54 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.54 Hawai'i: -5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -1.3 Hawai'i: -10.9

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.52 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 28
Hawai'i 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Hawai'i 24
UCLA 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Hawai'i 25
UCLA 21

Total Points: 46

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Hawai'i	13	UCLA	16	UCLA -13.5	Hawai'i	55.5	Under
2021	08/28	UCLA	44	Hawai'i	10	UCLA -17.5	UCLA	67.0	Under
2017	09/09	UCLA	56	Hawai'i	23	UCLA -24	UCLA	63.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Hawai'i	0	1	1 Overs
UCLA	3	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2

(#61) UCLA at (#84) HAW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCLA	HAW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#84
SP+SP+	#75	#107
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#92
OffenseOff	#115	#107
DefenseDef	#91	#68
Spec TeamsST	#88	#91
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#31	#102

UCLA Notes(12/29) Signed QB Aguilar (Gr, App St)
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#124) into week 9
(10/19) Hung 35, torched Gers, Garbers great, Rgame bad
(10/18) Has not scored < 17 pts in any game to date
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def good. Hard L to Minn
UCLA Injury Report

Hawai'i Notes(11/18) Killed by Utah St, QB's 5 INTs? Rgame awful
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Hawai'i Injury Report

UCLA on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	HAW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#68
SuccessSuc	#112	#71
ExplosiveExp	#43	#35
PPAPPA	#99	#81
PowerPwr	#103	#68
SP+SP+	#103	#89
Pts POPPO	#123	#103
HavocHav	#96	#74

UCLA Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	#132	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#85
Run ExplRExp	#84	#62
PPAExp	#129	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#132	#108
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#96
TackleTak	-	#59

UCLA Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#58
Pass ExplPExl	#95	#19
PPAExp	#62	#58
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#122	#106
F7 HavocF7	#85	#74
DB HavocDB	#99	#73

Hawai'i on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	UCLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#91
SuccessSuc	#52	#110
ExplosiveExp	#120	#10
PPAPPA	#82	#68
PowerPwr	#45	#94
SP+SP+	#108	#44
Pts POPPO	#81	#123
HavocHav	#117	#37

Hawai'i Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#87	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#83
Run ExplRExp	#124	#2
PPAExp	#68	#30
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	#26	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#59	#53
TackleTak	-	#53

Hawai'i Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#47	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#120
Pass ExplPExl	#130	#15
PPAExp	#92	#82
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#72	#117
F7 HavocF7	#88	#68
DB HavocDB	#127	#8

Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 87° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 1
UCLA 13.5 (55.5)
UCLA won at Hawai'i this year (16-13)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Hawai'i last year (16-13)

UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Garbers	235	363	65%	2727	16	11	7.5
Justyn Martin	24	35	69%	179	1	0	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Harden	124	505	2	4.1	40
Keegan Jones	47	179	1	3.8	22
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18
Ethan Garbers	83	137	1	1.7	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Moliki Matavao	41	506	2	12.3	35
TJ Harden	40	368	1	9.2	53
Logan Loya	29	348	4	12.0	29
Kwazi Gilmer	31	345	2	11.1	48

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Oluwafemi Oladejo	57	14	5	6	2
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oluwafemi Oladejo	57	14	5	6	2
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Devin Aupiu	15	5	2	1	1
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10
Kaylin Moore (Tr)	37	2	0	1	9
Bryan Addison (Tr)	43	1	0	0	5

HAW's OC Timmy Chang (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	233	404	58%	2591	19	13	6.4
Micah Alejado	49	70	70%	585	6	0	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	71	351	1	4.9	29
Brayden Schager	135	267	6	2.0	46
Tylan Hines	39	162	0	4.2	15
Cam Barfield (Tr)	33	158	0	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nicholas Cenacle	63	721	6	11.4	62
Pofele Ashlock	61	629	6	10.3	30
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)	16	402	4	25.1	74
Jonah Panoke	33	387	3	11.7	49

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamih Otis	55	5	2	2	0
Logan Taylor	52	1	0	0	0
Elijah Robinson	51	11	5	1	0
Peter Manuma	43	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Jackie Johnson III	20	5	5	5
Elijah Robinson	51	11	5	1
Malachi Finau	19	4	3	1
Jamih Otis	55	5	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Stone	38	3	8
Caleb Brown	24	2	7
Elijah Palmer	32	5	5