UCLA at Washington - 2024 Matchup Preview
UCLA logo UCLA Bruins at Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Friday, November 15th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
Washington -4.5 (47.0) (-185)  Open: -8.0
Washington 31 - UCLA: 19  (Big Ten)

 
Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
WASH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington -4.5   (SP+ WASH -4)

Projected Score: UCLA: 21 - WASH: 25 (46)
WASH Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UCLA Travel: 956 miles
Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
UCLA's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UCLA at Hawai'i-13.555.5W 16 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 UCLA vs Indiana+3.546.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/21 UCLA at LSU+21.556.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/28 UCLA vs Oregon+23.554.5L 13 - 34UY
Sat 10/5 UCLA at Penn State+30.048.0L 11 - 27UY
Sat 10/12 UCLA vs Minnesota+3.539.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 UCLA at Rutgers+4.042.5W 35 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UCLA at Nebraska+7.538.5W 27 - 20OY
Fri 11/8 UCLA vs Iowa+6.544.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 11/15 UCLA at Washington+4.547.0L 19 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 UCLA vs USC+5.053.0L 13 - 19UN
Sat 11/30 UCLA vs Fresno State-7.546.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Washington's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington vs Weber State-29.051.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Washington vs Eastern Michigan-25.048.5W 30 - 9UN
Sat 9/14 Washington vs Washington State-4.056.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 Washington vs Northwestern-11.542.5W 24 - 5UY
Fri 9/27 Washington at Rutgers+1.544.5L 18 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 Washington vs Michigan-1.539.5W 27 - 17OY
Sat 10/12 Washington at Iowa+2.541.5L 16 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Washington at Indiana+5.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Washington vs USC+2.055.0W 26 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Washington at Penn State+13.548.0L 6 - 35UN
Fri 11/15 Washington vs UCLA-4.547.0W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Washington at Oregon+17.550.5L 21 - 49ON
Tue 12/31 Washington vs Louisville-1.050.5L 34 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)18.434% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)25.345% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)23.446% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)23.848% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Offense1218.420.839%3.151.418329872423.141%59%34%43%17%.14
WASH Defense1323.812.343.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Defense1225.326.245.9%4.451.1 - - - - - 43%57%45%47%18%.16
WASH Offense1323.428.847%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCLA1231:071843%50%8.268.91.41.15.31.8227.8
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense1241% (122)34% (131)2886.93.14 (133)-.05 (129)2.47 (132)70% (87)10% (85)0.94 (84)
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense1243% (2)45% (83) - - - - .05 (30)2.92 (52)78% (101)10% (68)0.72 (2)
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense1259% (12)43% (56)21.633.2242.27.311.217 (79)11 (72).26 (62)1.5 (95)36% (126)36% (21).42 (30)7% (99)1.9 (102)
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense1257% (132)47% (120) - - - - - - 10 (66).26 (82)1.4 (15)30% (100)33% (106).31 (70)8% (8)2 (53)
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.54 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.54   Washington: 4.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -1.3   Washington: 3.1




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 4.02 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 25
UCLA 21


Total Points: 46

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/15Washington31UCLA19WashingtonWashington -4.5Washington47.0Over
202209/30UCLA40Washington32UCLAWashington -2.5UCLA65.0Over
202110/16Washington17UCLA24UCLAWashington -1.5UCLA55.5Under
201810/06UCLA24Washington31WashingtonWashington -21UCLA53.5Over
201710/28Washington44UCLA23WashingtonWashington -18Washington58.5Over
201411/08Washington30UCLA44UCLAUCLA -5UCLA0
201311/15UCLA41Washington31UCLAUCLA -6.5UCLA0
201011/18Washington24UCLA7Washington
200911/07UCLA24Washington23UCLA
200811/15Washington7UCLA27UCLA
200709/22UCLA44Washington31UCLA
200609/23Washington29UCLA19Washington
200510/01UCLA21Washington17UCLA
200409/18Washington31UCLA37UCLA
200310/04UCLA46Washington16UCLA
200211/02Washington24UCLA34UCLA
200110/13UCLA35Washington13UCLA
200011/10Washington35UCLA28Washington
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington624 Overs
UCLA1251 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 65 - 23 - 12 - 1
Road Teams6 - 122 - 51 - 21 - 3

(#61) UCLA Info
Power Rating: 0.54 #61
Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UCLA has won 3 straight
UCLA has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

UCLA Notes
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#124) into week 9
(10/19) Hung 35, torched Gers, Garbers great, Rgame bad
(10/18) Has not scored < 17 pts in any game to date

UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA Secondary is very good (#136)

UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is really bad (#70)
UCLA Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#46)
UCLA offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
UCLA run game is really bad (#81)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWASHUCLA
OverallOver#47#78
OffenseOff#58#92
DefenseDef#46#71
Special TeamsST#98#74
PassingPass#67#64
RushingRush#25#99
Run BlockRBLK#81#85
Pass BlockPBLK#114#106
Route RunningWR Rt#7#58
TacklingTkl#2#48
Run DefenseR Def#72#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#69#99
Coverage DefCov#10#41

Rematch from Week 12
Washington -4.5 (47.0)
Washington won vs UCLA this year (31-19)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat UCLA last year (31-19)
UCLA beat Washington in 2022 (40-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | WASH
Depth Chart: UCLA | WASH
Rosters: UCLA | WASH
(#64) Washington Info
Power Rating: 4.02 #64
Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Washington has lost 1 straight
Washington has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Washington Notes
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY

Washington Highlights
Washington is Undefeated at Home

Washington offense is efficent (#10)
Washington has a top Offensive Line (#20)
Washington does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#73)

Washington defense does not give up big plays (#129)
Washington has a great TO Margin (#11)

Washington Deficiencies
Washington offense is not Explosive (#50)
Washington offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#25)
Washington Does Not Stuff Runs (#101)
Washington has a bad defensive line (#76)


  
UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Garbers23536365%272716117.5
Justyn Martin243569%179105.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden12450524.140
Keegan Jones4717913.822
Jalen Berger4817803.718
Ethan Garbers8313711.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Moliki Matavao41506212.335
TJ Harden4036819.253
Logan Loya29348412.029
Kwazi Gilmer31345211.148

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Schwesinger1369433
Kain Medrano7211244
Oluwafemi Oladejo5714562
KJ Wallace4991110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oluwafemi Oladejo5714562
Carson Schwesinger1369433
Devin Aupiu155211
Kain Medrano7211244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KJ Wallace4991110
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Bryan Addison (Tr)431005

Washington's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers (Tr)22031171%24581477.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8210578%944819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)1931053105.564
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8328223.443
Adam Mohammed (Tr)4219304.632
Cameron Davis4419004.320
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Giles Jackson85893710.549
Denzel Boston63834913.251
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)36490113.642
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Bruener1042035
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Kamren Fabiculanan541012
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Russell Davis II (Tr)43300
Isaiah Ward (Tr)286322
Voi Tunuufi364321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006
Jordan Shaw374016