UCLA at Washington - 2024 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 15th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
Washington -4.5 (47.0) (-185) Open: -8.0
Washington 31 - UCLA: 19 (Big Ten)

Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

WASH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington -4.5 (SP+ WASH -4)
Projected Score: UCLA: 21 - WASH: 25 (45)
WASH Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UCLA Travel: 956 miles

Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UCLA at Hawai'i	-13.5	55.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	UCLA vs Indiana	+3.5	46.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/21	UCLA at LSU	+21.5	56.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/28	UCLA vs Oregon	+23.5	54.5	L 13 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UCLA at Penn State	+30.0	48.0	L 11 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UCLA vs Minnesota	+3.5	39.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/19	UCLA at Rutgers	+4.0	42.5	W 35 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UCLA at Nebraska	+7.5	38.5	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/8	UCLA vs Iowa	+6.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/15	UCLA at Washington	+4.5	47.0	L 19 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	UCLA vs USC	+5.0	53.0	L 13 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/30	UCLA vs Fresno State	-7.5	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Washington's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington vs Weber State	-29.0	51.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington vs Eastern Michigan	-25.0	48.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/14	Washington vs Washington State	-4.0	56.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	Washington vs Northwestern	-11.5	42.5	W 24 - 5	U	Y
Fri 9/27	Washington at Rutgers	+1.5	44.5	L 18 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/5	Washington vs Michigan	-1.5	39.5	W 27 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Washington at Iowa	+2.5	41.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Washington at Indiana	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Washington vs USC	+2.0	55.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Washington at Penn State	+13.5	48.0	L 6 - 35	U	N
Fri 11/15	Washington vs UCLA	-4.5	47.0	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Washington at Oregon	+17.5	50.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/31	Washington vs Louisville	-1.0	50.5	L 34 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#73 (.18)	42% (71)	18.4	44% (55)	3.27 (37)	198	40% (88)	229	3.11 (120)	#11 (.08)	37% (18)	25.3	37% (24)	37% (18)	3.16 (19)	58.1	1.7	1.8
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	23.4	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	23.8	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	13	18.4	20.8	41.8%	3.11	1.7	21	427	198	229	4.9	51%	49%	44%	40%	17%	.18
WASH Defense	15	23.8	12.3	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	13	25.3	26.2	36.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	37%	37%	21%	.08
WASH Offense	15	23.4	28.8	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	13	29:01	21.4	44%	47%	7.1	58.1	1.7	1.8	8.1	3.2	0	29.9
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	13	51% (63)	44% (55)	40.5	197.9	4.9	21 (54)	.21 (37)	3.27 (37)	70% (95)	10% (75)	1.07 (33)
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	13	42% (7)	37% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (6)	2.64 (10)	55% (4)	14% (5)	0.84 (9)
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	13	49% (66)	40% (88)	18.3	31.5	229.2	7.3	12.5	24 (41)	14 (107)	.16 (107)	1.6 (58)	32% (73)	33% (54)	.28 (89)	7% (92)	1.9 (118)
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	13	57% (128)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (32)	1.6 (52)	37% (9)	28% (34)	.29 (54)	7% (51)	2.1 (86)
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.54 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.54 Washington: 4.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -1.3 Washington: 3.1

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 4.02 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 754.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 25
UCLA 21

Projected Total Points: 45

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/15	Washington	31	UCLA	19	Washington	Washington -4.5	Washington	47.0	Over
2022	09/30	UCLA	40	Washington	32	UCLA	Washington -2.5	UCLA	65.0	Over
2021	10/16	Washington	17	UCLA	24	UCLA	Washington -1.5	UCLA	55.5	Under
2018	10/06	UCLA	24	Washington	31	Washington	Washington -21	UCLA	53.5	Over
2017	10/28	Washington	44	UCLA	23	Washington	Washington -18	Washington	58.5	Over
2014	11/08	Washington	30	UCLA	44	UCLA	UCLA -5	UCLA	0
2013	11/15	UCLA	41	Washington	31	UCLA	UCLA -6.5	UCLA	0
2010	11/18	Washington	24	UCLA	7	Washington
2009	11/07	UCLA	24	Washington	23	UCLA
2008	11/15	Washington	7	UCLA	27	UCLA
2007	09/22	UCLA	44	Washington	31	UCLA
2006	09/23	Washington	29	UCLA	19	Washington
2005	10/01	UCLA	21	Washington	17	UCLA
2004	09/18	Washington	31	UCLA	37	UCLA
2003	10/04	UCLA	46	Washington	16	UCLA
2002	11/02	Washington	24	UCLA	34	UCLA
2001	10/13	UCLA	35	Washington	13	UCLA
2000	11/10	Washington	35	UCLA	28	Washington

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	6	2	4 Overs
UCLA	12	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 6	5 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 12	2 - 5	1 - 2	1 - 3

(#61) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.54 #61
Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44
Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UCLA Notes
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#124) into week 9
(10/19) Hung 35, torched Gers, Garbers great, Rgame bad
(10/18) Has not scored < 17 pts in any game to date

UCLA Ratings Matchup Washington

Power #61

#64

Off #103

#73

Def #94

#81

Talent #54

#41

SP+ #75

#58

SP+ Off #103

#66

SP+ Def #44

#36

Rematch from Week 12
Washington -4.5 (47.0)
Washington won vs UCLA this year (31-19)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat UCLA last year (31-19)
UCLA beat Washington in 2022 (40-32)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 45° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | WASH
Depth Chart: UCLA | WASH
Rosters: UCLA | WASH

(#64) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.02 #64
Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 754.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Washington Notes
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY

UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Justyn Martin	24	35	69%	179	1	0	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Harden	124	505	2	4.1	40
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18
Anthony Frias II	15	47	0	3.1	8
Carter Shaw	2	9	0	4.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Harden	40	368	1	9.2	53
Logan Loya	29	348	4	12.0	29
Kwazi Gilmer	31	345	2	11.1	48
J.Michael Sturdivant	22	315	2	14.3	45

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10
Bryan Addison (Tr)	43	1	0	0	5
Kaylin Moore (Tr)	37	2	0	1	9
Ramon Henderson (Tr)	33	1	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Aupiu	15	5	2	1	1
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10
Ramon Henderson (Tr)	33	1	1	2	4
Jalen Woods	22	2	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10
Kaylin Moore (Tr)	37	2	0	1	9
Bryan Addison (Tr)	43	1	0	0	5

Washington's OC Brennan Carroll

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Rogers (Tr)	220	311	71%	2458	14	7	7.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	82	105	78%	944	8	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	83	282	2	3.4	43
Adam Mohammed (Tr)	42	193	0	4.6	32
Cameron Davis	44	190	0	4.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Denzel Boston	63	834	9	13.2	51
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)	36	490	1	13.6	42
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36
Decker DeGraaf	15	233	3	15.5	41

View Washington's Full Roster

Washington's DC Stephen Belichick

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)	49	5	2	1
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)	45	0	0	6
Makell Esteen	43	2	0	0
Thaddeus Dixon	43	2	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Russell Davis II (Tr)	4	3	3	0	0
Isaiah Ward (Tr)	28	6	3	2	2
Zach Durfee	16	4	3	0	1
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)	49	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Thaddeus Dixon	43	2	0	10
Jordan Shaw	37	4	1	6
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)	45	0	0	6