Minnesota at Wisconsin - 2024 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin Badgers

Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Minnesota -1.5 (40.5) (-125) Open: -2.0 | 43.5
Minnesota 24 - Wisconsin: 7 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 23.7°
Wind: 15 MPH
Our Line: Minnesota -4 (SP+ MINN -7.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 23 - WIS: 19 (42)
MINN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 231 miles

Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Minnesota vs North Carolina	+2.0	52.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Minnesota vs Rhode Island	-27.5	47.5	W 48 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Minnesota vs Nevada	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Minnesota vs Iowa	+3.0	34.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Minnesota at Michigan	+10.5	34.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Minnesota vs USC	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Minnesota at UCLA	-3.5	39.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Minnesota vs Maryland	-6.0	45.0	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Minnesota at Illinois	-2.5	47.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Minnesota at Rutgers	-6.5	44.5	L 19 - 26	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Minnesota vs Penn State	+11.0	45.0	L 25 - 26	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Minnesota at Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 1/3	Minnesota vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-24.0	57.0	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/7	Wisconsin vs South Dakota	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wisconsin vs Alabama	+15.5	51.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Wisconsin at USC	+14.0	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-12.0	44.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Wisconsin at Rutgers	+1.0	43.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	42.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wisconsin vs Penn State	+6.5	47.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Wisconsin at Iowa	+2.5	40.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Wisconsin vs Oregon	+13.5	49.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Wisconsin at Nebraska	+1.5	40.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/29	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	+1.5	40.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)	26.2	44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)	16.9	36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)	22.6	46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)	23.1	45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)		44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)		36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	26.2	22.6	44.9%	4.38	0.8	19	307	103	204	3.7	44%	56%	44%	46%	16%	.2
WIS Defense	12	23.1	20.4	43.4%	4.17	1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	45%	42%	12%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	16.9	18.8	38.9%	3.32	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	36%	42%	19%	.08
WIS Offense	12	22.6	21.4	42.2%	4.02	1.5	19	351	154	197	4.4	51%	49%	46%	38%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	29:13	18.5	45%	90%	4.5	35.6	0.8	1.5	4.4	1.8	2	28.6
Wisconsin	12	29:21	18.8	36%	60%	5.3	37.5	1.5	1	3.5	1.4	0	27.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	44% (111)	44% (65)	28.2	102.9	3.7	17 (84)	.11 (80)	2.7 (119)	73% (69)	10% (80)	0.88 (113)
WIS Defense	12	54% (110)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.15 (81)	3.27 (105)	68% (36)	7% (130)	0.97 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	50% (63)	36% (8)	-	-	-	-	.02 (19)	2.71 (22)	74% (69)	9% (90)	0.95 (50)
WIS Offense	12	51% (70)	46% (39)	34.9	154.1	4.4	19 (73)	.12 (75)	3.16 (46)	75% (58)	8% (37)	0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	56% (25)	46% (29)	19.5	29.2	204.1	7	10.5	18 (68)	5 (6)	.27 (58)	1.4 (129)	30% (46)	31% (80)	.32 (76)	6% (70)	2 (75)
WIS Defense	12	45% (22)	42% (81)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.25 (76)	1.3 (5)	28% (123)	28% (32)	.24 (42)	5% (92)	1.8 (19)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	50% (71)	42% (80)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.15 (27)	1.3 (6)	33% (43)	26% (16)	.15 (10)	10% (1)	1.8 (20)
WIS Offense	12	49% (65)	38% (107)	17.3	30.4	196.7	6.5	11.4	14 (108)	10 (63)	.16 (102)	1.5 (100)	30% (34)	27% (111)	.15 (128)	9% (132)	1.8 (122)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69 Wisconsin: 6.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4 Wisconsin: 3.0

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 6.08 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 23
Wisconsin 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 26
Wisconsin 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 23
Wisconsin 20

Total Points: 43

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -2.5	Minnesota	38.5	Under
2024	11/29	Wisconsin	7	Minnesota	24	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	40.5	Under
2023	11/25	Minnesota	14	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -1.5	Wisconsin	42.0	Push
2022	11/26	Wisconsin	16	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin -3	Minnesota	37.0	Over
2021	11/27	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin	13	Wisconsin -7	Minnesota	39.0	Under
2020	12/19	Wisconsin	20	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -10	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2019	11/30	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	45.0	Over
2018	11/24	Wisconsin	15	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin -10.5	Minnesota	53.0	Under
2017	11/25	Minnesota	0	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -18.5	Wisconsin	43.5	Under
2016	11/26	Wisconsin	31	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -14	Push	42.5	Over
2015	11/28	Minnesota	21	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -2.5	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2014	11/29	Wisconsin	34	Minnesota	24	Wisconsin -12.5	Minnesota	0
2013	11/23	Minnesota	7	Wisconsin	20	Wisconsin -14.5	Minnesota	0
2012	10/20	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	13
2011	11/12	Minnesota	13	Wisconsin	42
2010	10/09	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	23
2009	10/03	Minnesota	28	Wisconsin	31
2008	11/15	Wisconsin	35	Minnesota	32
2007	11/17	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	41
2006	10/14	Wisconsin	48	Minnesota	12
2005	10/15	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	38
2004	11/06	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	14
2003	11/08	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin	34
2001	11/24	Minnesota	42	Wisconsin	31
2000	11/03	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	18	4	4 Overs
Minnesota	7	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	3 - 9	0 - 4	3 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 13	9 - 3	5 - 3	4 - 0

(#32) MINN at (#45) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	WIS
Power RatePwr	#32	#45
SP+SP+	#27	#60
Perf GradeGrade	#24	#78
OffenseOff	#43	#72
DefenseDef	#25	#86
Spec TeamsST	#1	#15
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#29

Minnesota Notes(11/29) Killed Wisky. R Def all 24 car/36 yds. QB/RB good
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
(7/30) OL returns 3/5, RB v good, Run game good LY
Minnesota Injury Report

Wisconsin Notes(12/16) Signed QB Billy Edwards (MD)
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games
(10/19) Off enough, Def great vs NW. Locke meh
Wisconsin Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#43	#86
SuccessSuc	#39	#88
ExplosiveExp	#122	#11
PPAPPA	#64	#80
PowerPwr	#37	#73
SP+SP+	#79	#22
Pts POPPO	#27	#105
HavocHav	#71	#124

Minnesota Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#74	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#86
Run ExplRExp	#113	#60
PPAExp	#80	#81
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#119	#105
Stuff RateStuff	#91	#86
TackleTak	-	#13

Minnesota Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#81
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#5
PPAExp	#58	#76
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#78	#66
F7 HavocF7	#80	#130
DB HavocDB	#70	#92

Wisconsin on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#25
SuccessSuc	#73	#35
ExplosiveExp	#130	#19
PPAPPA	#97	#16
PowerPwr	#67	#14
SP+SP+	#100	#11
Pts POPPO	#57	#23
HavocHav	#90	#18

Wisconsin Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#71	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#39	#8
Run ExplRExp	#129	#50
PPAExp	#75	#19
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#43	#73
TackleTak	-	#89

Wisconsin Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#107	#80
Pass ExplPExl	#100	#6
PPAExp	#102	#27
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#6	#68
F7 HavocF7	#37	#90
DB HavocDB	#132	#1

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 24° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 14
Minnesota 1.5 (40.5)
Minnesota won at Wisconsin this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2022 (23-16)

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)	268	403	67%	2829	18	6	7.0
Drake Lindsey	4	5	80%	50	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	205	986	10	4.8	80
Marcus Major (Tr)	78	352	3	4.5	40
Jaren Mangham (Tr)	19	123	0	6.5	18
Jordan Nubin	11	19	0	1.7	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	75	863	4	11.5	39
Elijah Spencer	52	685	6	13.2	29
Darius Taylor	54	350	2	6.5	22
Jameson Geers	27	286	4	10.6	23

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6
Maverick Baranowski	65	5	1	1	2
Kerry Brown	63	3	0	0	4
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Smith	27	12	6	10	1
Jack Henderson	44	9	6	1	1
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10
Ethan Robinson (Tr)	42	3	0	0	9
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braedyn Locke	164	296	55%	1936	13	10	6.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	190	864	10	4.5	55
Darrion Dupree	79	317	1	4.0	32
Cade Yacamelli	33	274	2	8.3	45
Chez Mellusi	56	232	3	4.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vinny Anthony	39	672	4	17.2	63
Will Pauling	42	407	3	9.7	28
Trech Kekahuna	25	339	2	13.6	69
CJ Williams	16	248	2	15.5	50

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	71	1	0	0	6
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	0	4
Jake Chaney	55	4	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hills (Tr)	26	6	3	2	1
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
John Pius (Tr)	21	4	3	3	0
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)	12	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	71	1	0	6
Ben Barten	22	0	1	5
Nyzier Fourqurean	51	2	1	5