Minnesota at Wisconsin Game Matchup
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Minnesota -1.5 (40.5) (-125)  Open: -2.0 | 43.5
Minnesota 24 - Wisconsin: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 23.7°
Wind: 15 MPH
Our Line: Minnesota -4   (SP+ MINN -7.5)

Projected Score: MINN: 23 - WIS: 19 (45)
MINN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 231 miles
Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26OY
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7UY
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Wisconsin vs Western Michigan-24.057.0W 28 - 14UN
Sat 9/7 Wisconsin vs South Dakota-17.544.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/14 Wisconsin vs Alabama+15.551.0L 10 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wisconsin at USC+14.050.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Wisconsin vs Purdue-12.044.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 10/12 Wisconsin at Rutgers+1.043.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/19 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.542.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/26 Wisconsin vs Penn State+6.547.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/2 Wisconsin at Iowa+2.540.0L 10 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Wisconsin vs Oregon+13.549.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/23 Wisconsin at Nebraska+1.540.5L 25 - 44ON
Fri 11/29 Wisconsin vs Minnesota+1.540.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)26.244% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)16.945% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
WIS#84 (.16)44% (50)22.650% (15)3.52 (7)15138% (100)1914.02 (55)#17 (.1)40% (47)23.140% (41)42% (72)2.98 (13)44.21.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.640.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09
WIS Defense1323.120.440.4%2.981.2 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.842.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
WIS Offense1322.621.443.6%4.021.2183421511914.747%52%50%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
Wisconsin1326:5318.345%28%5.144.21.21.25.82.2129.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)
WIS Defense1351% (78)40% (41) - - - - .09 (38)3.06 (57)64% (20)11% (42)0.96 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
WIS Offense1347% (92)50% (15)32.3151.34.721 (54).22 (31)3.52 (7)74% (67)8% (26)0.89 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)
WIS Defense1348% (51)42% (72) - - - - - - 12 (37).19 (21)1.4 (15)32% (63)28% (36).27 (43)6% (61)2 (51)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
WIS Offense1352% (41)38% (100)19.533191.15.89.811 (117)5 (6).13 (116)1.4 (132)30% (34)34% (42).28 (85)7% (106)1.7 (132)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69   Wisconsin: 6.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4   Wisconsin: 3.0




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 6.08 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 23
Wisconsin 19


Projected Total Points: 45
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Wisconsin7Minnesota24MinnesotaMinnesota -1.5Minnesota40.5Under
202311/25Minnesota14Wisconsin28WisconsinWisconsin -1.5Wisconsin42.0Push
202211/26Wisconsin16Minnesota23MinnesotaWisconsin -3Minnesota37.0Over
202111/27Minnesota23Wisconsin13MinnesotaWisconsin -7Minnesota39.0Under
202012/19Wisconsin20Minnesota17WisconsinWisconsin -10Minnesota47.0Under
201911/30Minnesota17Wisconsin38WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin45.0Over
201811/24Wisconsin15Minnesota37MinnesotaWisconsin -10.5Minnesota53.0Under
201711/25Minnesota0Wisconsin31WisconsinWisconsin -18.5Wisconsin43.5Under
201611/26Wisconsin31Minnesota17WisconsinWisconsin -14Push42.5Over
201511/28Minnesota21Wisconsin31WisconsinWisconsin -2.5Wisconsin44.5Over
201411/29Wisconsin34Minnesota24WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Minnesota0
201311/23Minnesota7Wisconsin20WisconsinWisconsin -14.5Minnesota0
201210/20Wisconsin38Minnesota13Wisconsin
201111/12Minnesota13Wisconsin42Wisconsin
201010/09Wisconsin41Minnesota23Wisconsin
200910/03Minnesota28Wisconsin31Wisconsin
200811/15Wisconsin35Minnesota32Wisconsin
200711/17Minnesota34Wisconsin41Wisconsin
200610/14Wisconsin48Minnesota12Wisconsin
200510/15Minnesota34Wisconsin38Wisconsin
200411/06Wisconsin38Minnesota14Wisconsin
200311/08Minnesota37Wisconsin34Minnesota
200111/24Minnesota42Wisconsin31Minnesota
200011/03Wisconsin41Minnesota20Wisconsin
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1844 Overs
Minnesota675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 90 - 42 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 24 - 0

(#32) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
Minnesota     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #32
#45
Off #37
#67
Def #14
#73
Talent #27
#24
SP+ #27
#60
SP+ Off #79
#100
SP+ Def #11
#22

Rematch from Week 14
Minnesota 1.5 (40.5)
Minnesota won at Wisconsin this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2022 (23-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 24° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MINN | WIS
Depth Chart: MINN | WIS
Rosters: MINN | WIS
(#45) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.08 #45
Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22
Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wisconsin Notes
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major (Tr)7835234.540
Jaren Mangham (Tr)1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623
Lemeke Brockington18282115.735
Marcus Major (Tr)2014417.225

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Koi Perich463012
Devon Williams443101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Deven Eastern275222
Maverick Baranowski655112
Darius Green111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Robinson (Tr)423009
Za'Quan Bryan191005
Jalen Logan-Redding272054

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braedyn Locke16429655%193613106.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)436863%422106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)190864104.555
Darrion Dupree7931714.032
Cade Yacamelli3327428.345
Dilin Jones168805.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vinny Anthony39672417.263
Will Pauling4240739.728
Trech Kekahuna25339213.669
CJ Williams16248215.550

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Preston Zachman583004
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)532100
Austin Brown512103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Elijah Hills (Tr)266321
John Pius (Tr)214330
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)122200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Barten220015
Ricardo Hallman160004
Preston Zachman583004