Minnesota at Rutgers - 2024 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights  Rutgers logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Minnesota -6.5 (44.5) (-225)  Open: -6.0 | 47.0
Rutgers 26 - Minnesota: 19  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG coming off BYE
Our Line: Minnesota -2.5  (SP+ MINN -4)

Projected Score: MINN: 26 - RUTG: 23 (49)
MINN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MINN Travel: 6479 miles, 1 hrs behind
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26OY
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7UY
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7UN
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23OY
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35ON
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14OY
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)2344% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)22.945% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
RUTG#107 (.12)40% (91)28.743% (65)3.03 (84)16935% (118)1383.95 (62)#43 (.14)45% (104)31.848% (123)42% (69)3.48 (44)45.211.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.340.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09
RUTG Defense1331.830.344.6%3.481.4 - - - - - 52%47%48%42%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93842.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
RUTG Offense1328.735.440.1%3.951173061691384.262%38%43%35%12%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
Rutgers1331:4817.537%64%5.145.211.43.81.5130
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)
RUTG Defense1352% (99)48% (123) - - - - .12 (54)3.2 (91)71% (53)8% (122)0.77 (4)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
RUTG Offense1362% (7)43% (65)39.8168.84.224 (41).16 (64)3.03 (84)77% (38)7% (11)0.95 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)
RUTG Defense1347% (33)42% (69) - - - - - - 9 (87).22 (40)1.4 (5)30% (111)30% (65).17 (8)6% (55)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
RUTG Offense1338% (126)35% (118)10.922.6137.56.112.610 (120)8 (30).07 (126)1.7 (46)30% (42)33% (52).34 (64)5% (19)1.8 (127)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69  #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19  #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27  #14
2024 Talent Rating: 417.00  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4  #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69   Rutgers: 7.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4   Rutgers: 6.4




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.585  #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78  #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63  #70
2024 Talent Rating: 373.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4  #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 26
Rutgers 23


Projected Total Points: 49
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Minnesota31Rutgers28Minnesota -3.5Rutgers51.5Over
202411/09Rutgers26Minnesota19Minnesota -6.5Rutgers44.5Over
202210/29Minnesota31Rutgers0Minnesota -14Minnesota40.5Under
201910/19Rutgers7Minnesota42Minnesota -28.5Minnesota46.0Over
201610/22Minnesota34Rutgers32Minnesota -21Rutgers45.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers134 Overs
Minnesota421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams1 - 43 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#32) MINN at (#47) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNRUTG
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #32 #47
SP+SP+ #27 #42
Perf GradeGrade #24 #39
OffenseOff #43 #21
DefenseDef #25 #57
Spec TeamsST #1 #127
TalentTal #29 #48
Blue ChipsBC% #48 #82
Minnesota Notes
(11/29) Killed Wisky. R Def all 24 car/36 yds. QB/RB good
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
(7/30) OL returns 3/5, RB v good, Run game good LY
Minnesota Injury Report
Rutgers Notes
(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report
Minnesota on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
MINN OffRUTG Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #57
SuccessSuc #87 #104
ExplosiveExp #128 #1
PPAPPA #118 #43
PowerPwr #37 #70
SP+SP+ #79 #38
Pts POPPO #73 #44
HavocHav #14 #107
Minnesota Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
MINN OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #74 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #53 #123
Run ExplRExp #127 #4
PPAExp #92 #54
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #91
Stuff RateStuff #40 #120
TackleTak -  #57
Minnesota Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
MINN OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #13 #72
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #69
Pass ExplPExl #53 #5
PPAExp #123 #40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #78 #27
F7 HavocF7 #13 #122
DB HavocDB #52 #55
Rutgers on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatRUTG OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #25
SuccessSuc #91 #75
ExplosiveExp #116 #75
PPAPPA #107 #93
PowerPwr #57 #14
SP+SP+ #58 #11
Pts POPPO #62 #129
HavocHav #10 #131
Rutgers Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #59 #24
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #90
Run ExplRExp #94 #63
PPAExp #64 #102
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #84 #79
Stuff RateStuff #66 #91
TackleTak -  #89
Rutgers Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatRUTG OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #39 #43
Pass SuccessPSuc #118 #63
Pass ExplPExl #46 #73
PPAExp #126 #83
Pass Block/RushP Blk #82 #68
F7 HavocF7 #11 #132
DB HavocDB #19 #116
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Minnesota 6.5 (44.5)
Rutgers won vs Minnesota this year (26-19)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Rutgers last year (31-28)
Rutgers beat Minnesota in 2024 (26-19)

  
MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major (Tr)7835234.540
Jaren Mangham (Tr)1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer52685613.229
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Corey Hetherman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Danny Striggow526561
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Jack Henderson449611
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Ethan Robinson (Tr)423009
Jah Joyner326597

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
Tyreem Powell564032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Dariel Djabome1008441
Aaron Lewis274362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004