Minnesota at Rutgers - 2024 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Minnesota -6.5 (44.5) (-225)  Open: -6.0 | 47.0
Rutgers 26 - Minnesota: 19  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG coming off BYE
Our Line: Minnesota -2.5   (SP+ MINN -4)

Projected Score: MINN: 25 - RUTG: 22 (47)
MINN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MINN Travel: 997 miles, 1 hrs behind
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26OY
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7UY
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7UN
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23OY
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35ON
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14OY
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)26.244% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)16.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)28.944% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)25.448% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.644.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2
RUTG Defense1325.425.143.3%4.030.9 - - - - - 46%54%48%40%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.838.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
RUTG Offense1328.93042.9%4.190.6213531641894.553%47%44%42%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Rutgers1329:302143%48%3.933.80.60.93.71.5129.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)
RUTG Defense1346% (18)48% (113) - - - - .26 (126)3.2 (99)82% (123)8% (115)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
RUTG Offense1353% (51)44% (69)36.8163.84.524 (45).1 (87)2.92 (88)76% (52)7% (11)0.91 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)
RUTG Defense1354% (117)40% (59) - - - - - - 7 (104).23 (69)1.6 (82)33% (50)31% (75).32 (76)7% (49)2.2 (101)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
RUTG Offense1347% (88)42% (63)15.327.9189.26.812.417 (79)6 (10).25 (75)1.6 (63)30% (42)34% (37).42 (32)7% (108)2 (69)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69   Rutgers: 7.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4   Rutgers: 6.4




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 25
Rutgers 22


Total Points: 47

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Rutgers26Minnesota19RutgersMinnesota -6.5Rutgers44.5Over
202210/29Minnesota31Rutgers0MinnesotaMinnesota -14Minnesota40.5Under
201910/19Rutgers7Minnesota42MinnesotaMinnesota -28.5Minnesota46.0Over
201610/22Minnesota34Rutgers32MinnesotaMinnesota -21Rutgers45.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers123 Overs
Minnesota321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#32) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Minnesota has won 4 straight
Minnesota has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good in red zone (#93)
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota defense does not give up big plays (#83)
Minnesota defense is really good in red zone (#77)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Secondary is very good (#76)
Minnesota has a great TO Margin (#82)
Minnesota commits very few Penalties (#38)
Minnesota defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Minnesota Deficiencies
Minnesota Can Not Run the Ball (#49)
Minnesota offense is not Explosive (#72)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatRUTGMINN
OverallOver#30#18
OffenseOff#20#37
DefenseDef#41#19
Special TeamsST#104#1
PassingPass#32#11
RushingRush#42#53
Run BlockRBLK#7#29
Pass BlockPBLK#72#68
Route RunningWR Rt#43#53
TacklingTkl#51#77
Run DefenseR Def#71#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#25#60
Coverage DefCov#58#33

Rematch from Week 11
Minnesota 6.5 (44.5)
Rutgers won vs Minnesota this year (26-19)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Minnesota last year (26-19)
Minnesota beat Rutgers in 2022 (31-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | RUTG
Depth Chart: MINN | RUTG
Rosters: MINN | RUTG
(#47) Rutgers Info
Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Rutgers has lost 4 straight
Rutgers has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Rutgers Notes
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough

Rutgers Highlights
Rutgers is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Rutgers has a great TO Margin (#1)
Rutgers commits very few Penalties (#25)

Rutgers Deficiencies
Rutgers offense is not Explosive (#94)
Rutgers gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#117)


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major (Tr)7835234.540
Jaren Mangham (Tr)1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer52685613.229
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Danny Striggow526561
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Jack Henderson449611
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Ethan Robinson (Tr)423009
Jah Joyner326597

Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
Tyreem Powell564032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Dariel Djabome1008441
Aaron Lewis274362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004