UCLA at Nebraska - 2024 Matchup Preview
UCLA logo UCLA Bruins at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Nebraska -7.5 (38.5) (-305)  Open: -8.5
UCLA 27 - Nebraska: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
UCLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Nebraska -10   (SP+ NEB -7)

Projected Score: UCLA: 16 - NEB: 26 (42)
NEB Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UCLA Travel: 1259 miles, 2 hrs behind
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
UCLA's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UCLA at Hawai'i-13.555.5W 16 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 UCLA vs Indiana+3.546.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/21 UCLA at LSU+21.556.5L 17 - 34UY
Sat 9/28 UCLA vs Oregon+23.554.5L 13 - 34UY
Sat 10/5 UCLA at Penn State+30.048.0L 11 - 27UY
Sat 10/12 UCLA vs Minnesota+3.539.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 UCLA at Rutgers+4.042.5W 35 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UCLA at Nebraska+7.538.5W 27 - 20OY
Fri 11/8 UCLA vs Iowa+6.544.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 11/15 UCLA at Washington+4.547.0L 19 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 UCLA vs USC+5.053.0L 13 - 19UN
Sat 11/30 UCLA vs Fresno State-7.546.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Nebraska vs UTEP-27.549.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 Nebraska vs Colorado-6.555.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Nebraska vs Northern Iowa-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Fri 9/20 Nebraska vs Illinois-9.541.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Nebraska at Purdue-10.047.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Nebraska vs Rutgers-7.039.5W 14 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Nebraska at Indiana+6.548.0L 7 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 Nebraska at Ohio State+25.048.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Nebraska vs UCLA-7.538.5L 20 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Nebraska at USC+6.551.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Nebraska vs Wisconsin-1.540.5W 44 - 25OY
Fri 11/29 Nebraska at Iowa+3.541.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 Nebraska vs Boston College-3.047.5W 20 - 15UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)18.434% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)25.345% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)23.548% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)19.539% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Offense1218.420.839%3.151.418329872423.141%59%34%43%17%.14
NEB Defense1319.515.740.3%3.061.2 - - - - - 47%52%39%42%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Defense1225.326.245.9%4.451.1 - - - - - 43%57%45%47%18%.16
NEB Offense1323.529.145%3.381.3203311212103.848%51%48%43%16%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCLA1231:071843%50%8.268.91.41.15.31.8227.8
Nebraska1329:4320.143%32%5.748.91.31.25.72327.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense1241% (122)34% (131)2886.93.14 (133)-.05 (129)2.47 (132)70% (87)10% (85)0.94 (84)
NEB Defense1347% (29)39% (24) - - - - -.01 (9)2.72 (26)69% (40)12% (33)0.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense1243% (2)45% (83) - - - - .05 (30)2.92 (52)78% (101)10% (68)0.72 (2)
NEB Offense1348% (80)48% (22)31.7121.13.820 (67).18 (38)3.21 (40)83% (8)10% (71)0.89 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense1259% (12)43% (56)21.633.2242.27.311.217 (79)11 (72).26 (62)1.5 (95)36% (126)36% (21).42 (30)7% (99)1.9 (102)
NEB Defense1352% (101)42% (82) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (88)1.6 (89)33% (52)31% (80).37 (96)6% (55)2.2 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense1257% (132)47% (120) - - - - - - 10 (66).26 (82)1.4 (15)30% (100)33% (106).31 (70)8% (8)2 (53)
NEB Offense1351% (57)43% (55)20.331209.56.810.312 (118)11 (72).21 (91)1.4 (132)28% (18)34% (45).31 (79)6% (67)1.8 (125)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.54 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.54   Nebraska: 9.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -1.3   Nebraska: 5.5




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 9.615 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 26
UCLA 16


Total Points: 42

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.1
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Nebraska20UCLA27UCLANebraska -7.5UCLA38.5Over
201512/26Nebraska37UCLA29NebraskaUCLA -6.5Nebraska0
201309/14Nebraska21UCLA41UCLANebraska -4UCLA0
201209/08UCLA36Nebraska30UCLA
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska111 Overs
UCLA320 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#61) UCLA Info
Power Rating: 0.54 #61
Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UCLA has won 1 straight
UCLA has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

UCLA Notes
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#124) into week 9
(10/19) Hung 35, torched Gers, Garbers great, Rgame bad
(10/18) Has not scored < 17 pts in any game to date

UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA Secondary is very good (#136)

UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is really bad (#70)
UCLA Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#46)
UCLA offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
UCLA run game is really bad (#81)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNEBUCLA
OverallOver#52#78
OffenseOff#55#92
DefenseDef#59#71
Special TeamsST#82#74
PassingPass#59#64
RushingRush#44#99
Run BlockRBLK#35#85
Pass BlockPBLK#51#106
Route RunningWR Rt#57#58
TacklingTkl#44#48
Run DefenseR Def#61#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#99
Coverage DefCov#71#41

Rematch from Week 10
Nebraska -7.5 (38.5)
UCLA won at Nebraska this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Nebraska last year (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | NEB
Depth Chart: UCLA | NEB
Rosters: UCLA | NEB
(#34) Nebraska Info
Power Rating: 9.615 #34
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Nebraska has lost 2 straight
Nebraska has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Nebraska Notes
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb

Nebraska Highlights
Nebraska does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#87)

Nebraska defense is really good in red zone (#8)
Nebraska has a good run defense (#135)
Nebraska Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#88)
Nebraska Defensive Line is very good (#135)

Nebraska Deficiencies
Nebraska offense is not Explosive (#131)
Nebraska offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#111)


  
UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Garbers23536365%272716117.5
Justyn Martin243569%179105.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden12450524.140
Keegan Jones4717913.822
Jalen Berger4817803.718
Ethan Garbers8313711.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Moliki Matavao41506212.335
TJ Harden4036819.253
Logan Loya29348412.029
Kwazi Gilmer31345211.148

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Schwesinger1369433
Kain Medrano7211244
Oluwafemi Oladejo5714562
KJ Wallace4991110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oluwafemi Oladejo5714562
Carson Schwesinger1369433
Devin Aupiu155211
Kain Medrano7211244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KJ Wallace4991110
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Bryan Addison (Tr)431005

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola27440967%280613116.9
Heinrich Haarberg101856%101015.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Emmett Johnson11759815.142
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jacory Barney Jr.10130313.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)44587313.331
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)34455513.459
Jacory Barney Jr.5544708.140
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433

View Nebraska's Full Roster
Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford734011
DeShon Singleton711003
John Bullock7010435
Mikai Gbayor496133
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
James Williams146540
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman295440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)391116
John Bullock7010435
Marques Buford351005