UCLA at Rutgers - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rutgers -4.0 (42.5) (-240) Open: -6.5 | 41.0
UCLA 35 - Rutgers: 32 (Big Ten)

Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG 2nd straight Home Game
RUTG is playing their 5th straight game
UCLA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Rutgers -8 (SP+ RUTG -8)
Projected Score: UCLA: 21 - RUTG: 29 (49)
RUTG Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UCLA Travel: 7213 miles, 3 hrs behind

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UCLA at Hawai'i	-13.5	55.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	UCLA vs Indiana	+3.5	46.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/21	UCLA at LSU	+21.5	56.5	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/28	UCLA vs Oregon	+23.5	54.5	L 13 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UCLA at Penn State	+30.0	48.0	L 11 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UCLA vs Minnesota	+3.5	39.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/19	UCLA at Rutgers	+4.0	42.5	W 35 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UCLA at Nebraska	+7.5	38.5	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/8	UCLA vs Iowa	+6.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/15	UCLA at Washington	+4.5	47.0	L 19 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	UCLA vs USC	+5.0	53.0	L 13 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/30	UCLA vs Fresno State	-7.5	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Rutgers vs Howard	-38.5	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rutgers vs Akron	-24.5	41.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Rutgers at Virginia Tech	+3.0	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	Y
Fri 9/27	Rutgers vs Washington	-1.5	44.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Rutgers at Nebraska	+7.0	39.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	-1.0	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Rutgers vs UCLA	-4.0	42.5	L 32 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/25	Rutgers at USC	+14.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Rutgers vs Minnesota	+6.5	44.5	W 26 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Rutgers at Maryland	+4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Rutgers vs Illinois	-2.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rutgers at Michigan State	+1.5	46.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/26	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#73 (.18)	42% (71)	18.2	44% (55)	3.27 (37)	198	40% (88)	229	3.11 (120)	#11 (.08)	37% (18)	33.4	37% (24)	37% (18)	3.16 (19)	58.1	1.7	1.8
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	28.7	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	31.8	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	13	18.2	16.8	41.8%	3.11	1.7	21	427	198	229	4.9	51%	49%	44%	40%	17%	.18
RUTG Defense	13	31.8	30.3	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	13	33.4	32.2	36.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	37%	37%	21%	.08
RUTG Offense	13	28.7	35.4	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	13	29:01	21.4	44%	47%	7.1	58.1	1.7	1.8	8.1	3.2	0	29.9
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	13	51% (63)	44% (55)	40.5	197.9	4.9	21 (54)	.21 (37)	3.27 (37)	70% (95)	10% (75)	1.07 (33)
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	13	42% (7)	37% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (6)	2.64 (10)	55% (4)	14% (5)	0.84 (9)
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	13	49% (66)	40% (88)	18.3	31.5	229.2	7.3	12.5	24 (41)	14 (107)	.16 (107)	1.6 (58)	32% (73)	33% (54)	.28 (89)	7% (92)	1.9 (118)
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	13	57% (128)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (32)	1.6 (52)	37% (9)	28% (34)	.29 (54)	7% (51)	2.1 (86)
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.54 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 368.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.54 Rutgers: 7.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -1.3 Rutgers: 6.4

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 373.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 29
UCLA 21

Projected Total Points: 49

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Rutgers	32	UCLA	35	Rutgers -4.0	UCLA	42.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	0	0	1 Overs
UCLA	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#61) UCLA at (#47) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCLA	RUTG
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#47
SP+SP+	#75	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#39
OffenseOff	#115	#21
DefenseDef	#91	#57
Spec TeamsST	#88	#127
TalentTal	#50	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	#31	#82

UCLA Notes(12/29) Signed QB Aguilar (Gr, App St)
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#124) into week 9
(10/19) Hung 35, torched Gers, Garbers great, Rgame bad
(10/18) Has not scored < 17 pts in any game to date
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def good. Hard L to Minn
UCLA Injury Report

Rutgers Notes(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report

UCLA on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	RUTG Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#57
SuccessSuc	#71	#104
ExplosiveExp	#47	#1
PPAPPA	#73	#43
PowerPwr	#103	#70
SP+SP+	#103	#38
Pts POPPO	#120	#44
HavocHav	#83	#107

UCLA Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#132	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#123
Run ExplRExp	#33	#4
PPAExp	#37	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#120
TackleTak	-	#57

UCLA Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#88	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#58	#5
PPAExp	#107	#40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#122	#27
F7 HavocF7	#75	#122
DB HavocDB	#92	#55

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	UCLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#91
SuccessSuc	#91	#18
ExplosiveExp	#116	#45
PPAPPA	#107	#11
PowerPwr	#57	#94
SP+SP+	#58	#44
Pts POPPO	#62	#19
HavocHav	#10	#8

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#59	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#24
Run ExplRExp	#94	#9
PPAExp	#64	#6
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#4
TackleTak	-	#53

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#52
PPAExp	#126	#32
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#117
F7 HavocF7	#11	#5
DB HavocDB	#19	#51

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Rutgers -4.0 (42.5)
UCLA won at Rutgers this year (35-32)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Rutgers in 2024 (35-32)

UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Garbers	235	363	65%	2727	16	11	7.5
Justyn Martin	24	35	69%	179	1	0	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Harden	124	505	2	4.1	40
Keegan Jones	47	179	1	3.8	22
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18
Ethan Garbers	83	137	1	1.7	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Moliki Matavao	41	506	2	12.3	35
TJ Harden	40	368	1	9.2	53
Logan Loya	29	348	4	12.0	29
Kwazi Gilmer	31	345	2	11.1	48

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Oluwafemi Oladejo	57	14	5	6	2
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oluwafemi Oladejo	57	14	5	6	2
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Devin Aupiu	15	5	2	1	1
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KJ Wallace	49	9	1	1	10
Kaylin Moore (Tr)	37	2	0	1	9
Bryan Addison (Tr)	43	1	0	0	5

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Antwan Raymond	100	457	8	4.6	65
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	92	251	3	2.7	20
Samuel Brown V	40	201	3	5.0	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)	59	757	4	12.8	45
Ian Strong	42	668	5	15.9	65
KJ Duff	28	433	1	15.5	59
Chris Long	11	163	1	14.8	58

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Walker	19	7	4	4	0
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	4