Furman at Ole Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview

Furman Paladins at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -45.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 76 - Furman: 0

Paladins (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 45 (10 - 45 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ole Miss -29 (SP+ MISS -28)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 31%

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FUR Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Furman's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Furman at Ole Miss	+45.5	58.5	L 0 - 76	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Furman's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ole Miss vs Furman	-45.5	58.5	W 76 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ole Miss vs Middle Tennessee	-42.5	60.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ole Miss at Wake Forest	-20.5	65.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-35.0	68.5	W 52 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-15.0	51.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Ole Miss at South Carolina	-10.0	53.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ole Miss at LSU	-3.5	64.5	L 26 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma	-19.0	50.0	W 26 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-8.0	54.0	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+1.5	54.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Ole Miss at Florida	-13.0	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/29	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-26.5	63.5	W 26 - 14	U	N
Thu 1/2	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FUR		0%	10	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	45	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS	#30 (.28)	44% (44)	36.9	44% (54)	2.94 (100)	176	45% (31)	286	4.72 (13)	#68 (.18)	42% (62)	21.1	43% (74)	41% (54)	3.64 (55)	59.1	0.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FUR Offense	1	10	10	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	41.6%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	41%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FUR Defense	1	45	45	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	44.4%	4.72	0.5	23	462	176	286	4.3	54%	45%	44%	45%	15%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Furman	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Ole Miss	13	27:43	23.5	37%	69%	7.2	59.1	0.5	1.4	5.9	2.6	1	29

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FUR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MISS Defense	13	50% (62)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.14 (70)	3.21 (96)	86% (127)	11% (30)	0.98 (58)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FUR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MISS Offense	13	54% (37)	44% (54)	41.1	176.5	4.3	29 (22)	.17 (60)	2.94 (100)	70% (95)	11% (80)	1.05 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FUR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MISS Defense	13	49% (70)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (59)	1.6 (79)	32% (65)	27% (26)	.23 (31)	7% (43)	2 (35)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FUR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MISS Offense	13	45% (97)	45% (31)	19.7	30.4	285.6	9.4	14.5	26 (31)	6 (14)	.45 (17)	1.7 (21)	32% (72)	33% (55)	.43 (39)	5% (22)	2.2 (28)

Furman's Power Ratings
Furman's Power Rating: NR
Furman's Offense Rating: NR
Furman's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Furman's 2024 Expected Record: -
Furman's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Furman's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Furman's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 85.99
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Furman: Ole Miss: 28.83

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Furman: Ole Miss: 27.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
2024 Talent Rating: 462.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Furman Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Furman's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 43
Furman 14

Projected Total Points: 57

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Ole Miss	76	Furman	0	Ole Miss -45.5	Ole Miss	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	1	1	1 Overs
Furman	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) FUR at (#4) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FUR	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#4
SP+SP+	NR	#2
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#6
OffenseOff	NR	#15
DefenseDef	NR	#3
Spec TeamsST	NR	#81
TalentTal	NR	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#19

Furman Injury Report

Ole Miss Notes(11/29) Rgame good enough for Egg Bowl win. Dart meh
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged
(10/10) OL injuries really hurting this Off. Dart pressure
(9/28) Shut down by UK. Run 92 yds (3.2 ypc). Shocking L
(7/30) No Tx/Bama/Tenn. Play SEC bottoms outside Vandy
(7/30) OL has 200+ starts, still some ? w/ portal adds
Ole Miss Injury Report

Furman on Offense


CategoryCat	FUR Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#3
SuccessSuc	NR	#62
ExplosiveExp	NR	#69
PPAPPA	NR	#68
PowerPwr	NR	#4
SP+SP+	NR	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	#55
HavocHav	NR	#33

Furman Run Game


CategoryCat	FUR Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#74
Run ExplRExp	NR	#58
PPAExp	NR	#70
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#96
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#105
TackleTak	-	#1

Furman Pass Game


CategoryCat	FUR Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#54
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#79
PPAExp	NR	#59
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	#30
DB HavocDB	NR	#43

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	FUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	NR
SuccessSuc	#44	NR
ExplosiveExp	#26	NR
PPAPPA	#30	NR
PowerPwr	#8	NR
SP+SP+	#7	NR
Pts POPPO	#13	NR
HavocHav	#60	NR

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	FUR Def
Run GameRun	#55	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#54	NR
Run ExplRExp	#44	NR
PPAExp	#60	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#123	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	FUR Def
Pass GamePass	#1	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#21	NR
PPAExp	#17	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	NR
F7 HavocF7	#80	NR
DB HavocDB	#22	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

FUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -45.5 (58.5)
Ole Miss won vs Furman this year (76-0)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Furman in 2024 (76-0)

FUR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Furman's Full Roster

FUR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	PRESS	PD
Billy Lewis	7	0	1
Caleb Williams	7	0	1
Mo Perkins	7	1	0
Raleigh Herbert	6	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Xavier Stephens	1	1	1	0
Dylan Chiedo	4	1	1	1
Billy Lewis	7	0	0	1
Luke Clark	2	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Billy Lewis	7	0	0	1
Caleb Williams	7	0	0	1
Dylan Chiedo	4	1	1	1

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Austin Simmons	19	32	59%	282	2	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89
Matt Jones	43	211	3	4.9	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Cayden Lee	57	874	2	15.3	58
Antwane Wells Jr. (Tr)	28	553	6	19.8	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr. (Tr)	87	12	4	9	4
TJ Dottery	77	6	3	4	1
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Princely Umanmielen (Tr)	37	14	11	13	0
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Walter Nolen (Tr)	47	13	6	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	13
Jadon Canady	38	3	0	11
Trey Washington	64	4	2	7