Oklahoma at Ole Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#13)Oklahoma Sooners at Ole Miss Rebels(#8)

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -19 (50.0) (-1200) Open: -6.0
Ole Miss 26 - Oklahoma: 14 (SEC)

Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -19.5 (SP+ MISS -18)
Projected Score: OKLA: 15 - MISS: 34 (49)
MISS Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
OKLA Travel: 452 miles

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKLA Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Oklahoma vs Temple	-42.5	59.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma vs Houston	-27.5	48.5	W 16 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma vs Tulane	-13.5	48.5	W 34 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma vs Tennessee	+6.0	57.0	L 15 - 25	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma at Auburn	+2.0	43.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Oklahoma vs Texas	+16.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/19	Oklahoma vs South Carolina	+1.0	40.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma at Ole Miss	+19.0	50.0	L 14 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma vs Maine	-37.5	48.5	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma at Missouri	-3.5	41.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma vs Alabama	+14.0	47.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Oklahoma at LSU	+4.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/27	Oklahoma vs Navy	+1.0	44.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ole Miss vs Furman	-45.5	58.5	W 76 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ole Miss vs Middle Tennessee	-42.5	60.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ole Miss at Wake Forest	-20.5	65.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-35.0	68.5	W 52 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-15.0	51.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Ole Miss at South Carolina	-10.0	53.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ole Miss at LSU	-3.5	64.5	L 26 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma	-19.0	50.0	W 26 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-8.0	54.0	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+1.5	54.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Ole Miss at Florida	-13.0	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/29	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-26.5	63.5	W 26 - 14	U	N
Thu 1/2	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)	24	43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)	21.5	33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	38.6	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	14.4	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Offense	13	24	20.3	39%	3.39	1.5	17	298	144	155	3.9	53%	46%	43%	35%	18%	.06
MISS Defense	13	14.4	10.6	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Defense	13	21.5	28.5	35.7%	3.47	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	39%	18%	.07
MISS Offense	13	38.6	39.6	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma	13	26:40	16.9	35%	52%	4.8	42	1.5	1.6	7.1	2.7	2	29.6
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense	13	53% (45)	43% (85)	36.8	143.6	3.9	16 (90)	.07 (100)	2.99 (81)	75% (58)	14% (129)	0.98 (63)
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense	13	53% (100)	33% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (1)	2.56 (11)	69% (43)	13% (12)	0.88 (25)
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense	13	46% (94)	35% (122)	15.8	25.3	154.7	6.1	9.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.07 (127)	1.5 (105)	33% (102)	27% (109)	.25 (99)	4% (9)	2.2 (24)
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense	13	46% (34)	39% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.22 (61)	1.6 (83)	37% (6)	28% (33)	.25 (43)	5% (114)	1.9 (36)
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.59 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.59 Ole Miss: 28.83

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.5 Ole Miss: 27.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 34
Oklahoma 15

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 29
Oklahoma 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 32
Oklahoma 17

Total Points: 49

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Oklahoma	26	Ole Miss	34	Oklahoma -5.5	Ole Miss	52.5	Over
2024	10/26	Ole Miss	26	Oklahoma	14	Ole Miss -19	Oklahoma	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	2	1	1 Overs
Oklahoma	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#33) OKLA at (#4) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKLA	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#33	#4
SP+SP+	#33	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#90	#6
OffenseOff	#133	#15
DefenseDef	#12	#3
Spec TeamsST	#50	#81
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#10	#19

Oklahoma Notes(12/18) Signed QB Mateer (Wazzu)
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh
(9/23) Hawkins must be QB going forward. Arnold done
Oklahoma Injury Report

Ole Miss Notes(11/29) Rgame good enough for Egg Bowl win. Dart meh
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged
(10/10) OL injuries really hurting this Off. Dart pressure
(9/28) Shut down by UK. Run 92 yds (3.2 ypc). Shocking L
(7/30) No Tx/Bama/Tenn. Play SEC bottoms outside Vandy
(7/30) OL has 200+ starts, still some ? w/ portal adds
Ole Miss Injury Report

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#3
SuccessSuc	#113	#3
ExplosiveExp	#112	#78
PPAPPA	#123	#6
PowerPwr	#119	#4
SP+SP+	#75	#3
Pts POPPO	#112	#8
HavocHav	#100	#1

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#133	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#6
Run ExplRExp	#63	#23
PPAExp	#100	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#19
TackleTak	-	#1

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#85
PPAExp	#127	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#4
F7 HavocF7	#129	#1
DB HavocDB	#9	#3

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	OKLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#12
SuccessSuc	#19	#5
ExplosiveExp	#8	#63
PPAPPA	#4	#12
PowerPwr	#8	#6
SP+SP+	#7	#17
Pts POPPO	#58	#34
HavocHav	#54	#43

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#55	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#2
Run ExplRExp	#26	#25
PPAExp	#58	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#25
TackleTak	-	#45

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#83
PPAExp	#3	#61
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#9
F7 HavocF7	#68	#12
DB HavocDB	#54	#114

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Ole Miss -19.0 (50.0)
Ole Miss won vs Oklahoma this year (26-14)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Oklahoma last year (26-14)

OKLA's OC Seth Littrell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Arnold	154	246	63%	1421	12	3	5.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.	76	120	63%	783	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jovantae Barnes	122	577	5	4.7	74
Jackson Arnold	150	444	3	3.0	47
Taylor Tatum	56	278	3	5.0	35
Xavier Robinson	49	233	4	4.8	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)	42	324	2	7.7	43
Javian Hester	14	315	1	22.5	90
Deion Burks (Tr)	31	245	3	7.9	20
Jacob Jordan	27	234	1	8.7	27

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1
Kip Lewis	63	4	0	1	1
Billy Bowman	55	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R Mason Thomas	23	13	9	11	1
Gracen Halton	30	6	5	3	0
Ethan Downs	29	9	3	2	2
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kani Walker	24	2	0	6
Eli Bowen	29	2	0	4
Billy Bowman	55	3	1	3

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Austin Simmons	19	32	59%	282	2	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89
Matt Jones	43	211	3	4.9	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Cayden Lee	57	874	2	15.3	58
Antwane Wells Jr. (Tr)	28	553	6	19.8	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr. (Tr)	87	12	4	9	4
TJ Dottery	77	6	3	4	1
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Princely Umanmielen (Tr)	37	14	11	13	0
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Walter Nolen (Tr)	47	13	6	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	13
Jadon Canady	38	3	0	11
Trey Washington	64	4	2	7