Ole Miss at South Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#4)Ole Miss Rebels at South Carolina Gamecocks

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -10 (53.0) (-360) Open: -11.5
Ole Miss 27 - South Carolina: 3 (SEC)

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (35 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SC coming off BYE
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -7 (SP+ MISS -11)
Projected Score: MISS: 30 - SC: 23 (53)
MISS Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MISS Travel: 487 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
SC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ole Miss vs Furman	-45.5	58.5	W 76 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ole Miss vs Middle Tennessee	-42.5	60.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ole Miss at Wake Forest	-20.5	65.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-35.0	68.5	W 52 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-15.0	51.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Ole Miss at South Carolina	-10.0	53.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ole Miss at LSU	-3.5	64.5	L 26 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma	-19.0	50.0	W 26 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-8.0	54.0	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+1.5	54.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Ole Miss at Florida	-13.0	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/29	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-26.5	63.5	W 26 - 14	U	N
Thu 1/2	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

South Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Carolina vs Old Dominion	-20.5	49.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/7	South Carolina at Kentucky	+9.5	41.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/14	South Carolina vs LSU	+7.0	50.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 9/21	South Carolina vs Akron	-25.0	42.0	W 50 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	South Carolina vs Ole Miss	+10.0	53.0	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/12	South Carolina at Alabama	+21.0	50.0	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	South Carolina at Oklahoma	-1.0	40.5	W 35 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	South Carolina vs Texas A&M	+3.0	43.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/9	South Carolina at Vanderbilt	-6.0	44.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	South Carolina vs Missouri	-10.5	42.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/23	South Carolina vs Wofford	-42.5	49.5	W 56 - 12	O	Y
Sat 11/30	South Carolina at Clemson	+2.5	48.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	South Carolina vs Illinois	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	38.6	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	14.4	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)	30.5	44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)	18.1	45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	38.6	34.6	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34
SC Defense	13	18.1	21.6	42.1%	3.19	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	40%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	14.4	18.6	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04
SC Offense	13	30.5	34.7	43.7%	3.97	1.5	20	378	175	203	4.4	58%	41%	44%	44%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7
South Carolina	13	28:44	20	42%	50%	6.2	53.8	1.5	1.7	6.5	3.1	2	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)
SC Defense	13	49% (52)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.03 (23)	2.87 (46)	69% (43)	13% (10)	0.73 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)
SC Offense	13	58% (15)	44% (74)	39.5	175.2	4.4	25 (41)	.13 (70)	3.01 (73)	79% (29)	13% (121)	0.95 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)
SC Defense	13	50% (74)	40% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.15 (31)	1.5 (35)	30% (104)	29% (49)	.26 (45)	6% (76)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)
SC Offense	13	41% (118)	44% (42)	15.5	23.6	202.8	8.6	13.1	20 (58)	7 (26)	.37 (23)	1.8 (14)	30% (45)	32% (61)	.35 (63)	4% (17)	2.1 (47)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 24.76 #4
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
2024 Talent Rating: 848.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #19
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.76 South Carolina: 19.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 27.9 South Carolina: 16.9

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 19.43 #11
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.17 #65
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 3.17 #13
2024 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #20
South Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
South Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #35
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 30
South Carolina 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 30
South Carolina 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 28
South Carolina 25

Total Points: 53

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

South Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	South Carolina	3	Ole Miss	27	Ole Miss -10	Ole Miss	53.0	Under
2020	11/14	Ole Miss	59	South Carolina	42	Ole Miss -12.5	Ole Miss	73.0	Over
2018	11/03	Ole Miss	44	South Carolina	48	Ole Miss -2	South Carolina	70.0	Over
2009	09/24	South Carolina	16	Ole Miss	10
2008	10/04	Ole Miss	24	South Carolina	31
2004	10/09	South Carolina	28	Ole Miss	31
2003	11/01	Ole Miss	43	South Carolina	40

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Carolina	3	1	2 Overs
Ole Miss	4	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#4) MISS at (#11) SC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	SC
Power RatePwr	#4	#11
SP+SP+	#2	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#21
OffenseOff	#15	#78
DefenseDef	#3	#10
Spec TeamsST	#81	#26
TalentTal	#21	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	#19	#20

Ole Miss Notes
(11/29) Rgame good enough for Egg Bowl win. Dart meh
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged
(10/10) OL injuries really hurting this Off. Dart pressure
(9/28) Shut down by UK. Run 92 yds (3.2 ypc). Shocking L
(7/30) No Tx/Bama/Tenn. Play SEC bottoms outside Vandy

South Carolina Notes
(12/11) OC Loggains left for App St HC job
(12/11) Hired Mike Shula as OC? Was OA, NLF, Bama HC
(12/1) Sellers future, how much DL can they keep/get?
(12/1) Even w/ Clem, Sellers legs the diff. Run D good
(11/18) Hot team, Sellers 353 yds (Mizzu) Rgame bad
(11/13) Killed Vandy, Sellers improving, Def best in SEC?
(10/18) Allowed most sacks in FBS, also 8 QB fumbles
(10/12) Run Def great vs Bama, Sellers better. Tough team
(10/6) QB Sellers does not look healthy
(9/15) DL top unit in CFB. Rgame good vs LSU, QB bad
(9/8) Huge W @ UK, Def great, Off still awful.

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#15	#10
SuccessSuc	#19	#73
ExplosiveExp	#8	#5
PPAPPA	#4	#15
PowerPwr	#8	#13
SP+SP+	#7	#13
Pts POPPO	#58	#16
HavocHav	#54	#21

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#55	#28
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#93
Run ExplRExp	#26	#4
PPAExp	#58	#23
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#74
TackleTak	-	#42

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#35
PPAExp	#3	#31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#3
F7 HavocF7	#68	#10
DB HavocDB	#54	#76

South Carolina on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	MISS Def
Perf GradePerf	#78	#3
SuccessSuc	#58	#3
ExplosiveExp	#56	#78
PPAPPA	#48	#6
PowerPwr	#65	#4
SP+SP+	#35	#3
Pts POPPO	#62	#8
HavocHav	#93	#1

South Carolina Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#35	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#6
Run ExplRExp	#79	#23
PPAExp	#70	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#73	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#41	#19
TackleTak	-	#1

South Carolina Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#85
PPAExp	#23	#20
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#4
F7 HavocF7	#121	#1
DB HavocDB	#17	#3

Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 84°

Rematch from Week 6
Ole Miss 10.0 (53.0)
Ole Miss won at South Carolina this year (27-3)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat South Carolina last year (27-3)

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Austin Simmons	19	32	59%	282	2	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89
Matt Jones	43	211	3	4.9	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Cayden Lee	57	874	2	15.3	58
Antwane Wells Jr. (Tr)	28	553	6	19.8	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Pete Golding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr. (Tr)	87	12	4	9	4
TJ Dottery	77	6	3	4	1
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Princely Umanmielen (Tr)	37	14	11	13	0
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Walter Nolen (Tr)	47	13	6	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	13
Jadon Canady	38	3	0	11
Trey Washington	64	4	2	7

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lanorris Sellers	197	300	66%	2527	18	7	8.4
Robby Ashford (Tr)	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders (Tr)	183	881	11	4.8	66
Lanorris Sellers	165	681	7	4.1	75
Oscar Adaway III (Tr)	77	295	3	3.8	36
Robby Ashford (Tr)	41	227	2	5.5	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Simon	41	512	7	12.5	57
Nyck Harbor	26	376	3	14.5	43
Mazeo Bennett	30	337	3	11.2	36
Raheim Sanders (Tr)	27	316	2	11.7	43

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Emmanwori	88	3	0	0	2
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Bam Martin-Scott	66	8	3	0	2
Debo Williams	63	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard (Tr)	29	17	12	9	1
Dylan Stewart	23	11	7	3	1
Bryan Thomas Jr.	23	7	5	2	0
Tonka Hemingway	25	4	4	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Judge Collier	28	3	0	8
Jalon Kilgore	48	3	3	5
O'Donnell Fortune	47	2	0	3