West Virginia at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

Tuesday, December 28th 2021 (10:15 PM EST)
Minnesota -5.0 (44.5) (-200) Open: -7.0 | 44.5
Minnesota 18 - West Virginia: 6 (Guaranteed Rate Bowl)

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ MINN -13)
Projected Score: WVU: 19 - MINN: 29 (48)
MINN Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
WVU Travel: 1823 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WVU Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	West Virginia at Maryland	-2.5	56.0	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	West Virginia vs Long Island University	-50.0	56.0	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	West Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-2.0	49.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/25	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+17.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	-7.5	55.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	West Virginia at Baylor	+1.0	45.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	West Virginia at TCU	+5.0	58.0	W 29 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+7.5	49.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	+3.5	48.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/13	West Virginia at Kansas State	+6.0	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/20	West Virginia vs Texas	-2.5	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	West Virginia at Kansas	-15.5	55.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Tue 12/28	West Virginia vs Minnesota	+5.0	44.5	L 6 - 18	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Minnesota vs Ohio State	+14.0	62.0	L 31 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-18.5	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/18	Minnesota at Colorado	+2.5	49.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-30.5	52.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/2	Minnesota at Purdue	+2.0	46.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+4.5	48.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Minnesota vs Maryland	-4.0	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Minnesota at Northwestern	-7.5	43.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	44.5	L 6 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Minnesota at Iowa	+4.0	37.5	L 22 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/20	Minnesota at Indiana	-7.5	43.0	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+7.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	.12	40%	21.8	36%	2.51	135	43%	278	3.06	.07	37%	30.8	39%	35%	2.94	74.1	1.2	1.3
MINN	.24	45%	23	44%	2.97	193	47%	199	3.91	.34	51%	22.9	52%	50%	3.62	41.1	1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	10	21.8	20.8	40.2%	3.06	1.2	22	413	135	278	3.8	42%	58%	36%	43%	19%	.12
MINN Defense	7	22.9	13	50.8%	3.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	50%	12%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	10	30.8	33.5	37.2%	2.94	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	39%	35%	19%	.07
MINN Offense	7	23	30.1	45.2%	3.91	1	22	392	193	199	4.5	61%	39%	44%	47%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	10	31:49	21.9	41%	55%	8.2	74.1	1.2	1.3	6.2	2.1	1	29.3
Minnesota	7	33:57	21.6	48%	54%	4.6	41.1	1	0.9	2.1	1.1	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	10	42%	36%	35.8	135	3.8	15	.01	2.51	68%	12%	1.11
MINN Defense	7	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.25	83%	7%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	10	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.49	63%	12%	0.94
MINN Offense	7	61%	44%	42.6	192.9	4.5	19	.17	2.97	68%	9%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	10	58%	43%	25.3	40.1	277.5	6.9	11	16	4	.2	1.4	35%	34%	.33	7%	2
MINN Defense	7	47%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.34	1.3	26%	30%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	10	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.1	1.5	33%	29%	.32	7%	2
MINN Offense	7	39%	47%	15.3	26.3	199.1	7.6	13	7	5	.35	1.6	26%	44%	.56	6%	2

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: NR
West Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
West Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
West Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
West Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #76
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: Minnesota: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 1.8 Minnesota: 14.4

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 29
West Virginia 19

Projected Total Points: 48

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/28	Minnesota	18	West Virginia	6	Minnesota -5.0	Minnesota	44.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	1	1	0 Overs
West Virginia	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

West Virginia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Rate Bowl	West Virginia vs Minnesota	+5.0	44.5	L 6 - 18
2020	Liberty Bowl	West Virginia vs Army	-9.5	40.5	W 24 - 21
2018	World Bowl	West Virginia vs Syracuse	+3.0	67.5	L 18 - 34
2017	Dallas Bowl	West Virginia vs Utah	+6.5	56.0	L 14 - 30
2016	Athletic Bowl	West Virginia vs Miami	+1.5	58.0	L 14 - 31
2015	Cactus Bowl	West Virginia vs Arizona State	+1.5		W 43 - 42

Minnesota Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Rate Bowl	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6
2019	Outback Bowl	Minnesota vs Auburn	+7.0	54.0	W 31 - 24
2018	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 34 - 10
2016	Holiday Bowl	Minnesota vs Washington State	+5.5	61.0	W 17 - 12
2015	Lane Bowl	Minnesota vs Central Michigan	-6.0		W 21 - 14

(#) WVU at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WVU	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#6
OffenseOff	#68	#7
DefenseDef	#81	#30
Spec TeamsST	#88	#34
TalentTal	#56	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

West Virginia Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#102	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#32	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WVU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#82	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#99
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Chase Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Minnesota -5.0 (44.5)
Minnesota won vs West Virginia this year (18-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WVU's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD