Central Michigan at South Alabama Game Matchup
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -16.5 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Central Michigan 34 - South Alabama: 30

 
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.8° (30% Hum)
CMU 2nd straight Road Game
USA is playing their 4th straight game
CMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -21.5   (SP+ USA -22)

Projected Score: CMU: 16 - USA: 37 (56)
USA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CMU Travel: 908 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41OY
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23ON
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31OY
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38ON
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Alabama at Tulane+6.051.0L 17 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 South Alabama vs SE Louisiana-24.059.5W 35 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 South Alabama at Oklahoma State+7.049.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 South Alabama vs Central Michigan-16.546.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 South Alabama at James Madison+1.048.5L 23 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 South Alabama at UL Monroe-11.051.5W 55 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-18.551.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/28 South Alabama vs Louisiana-11.555.0L 20 - 33UN
Thu 11/2 South Alabama at Troy+5.544.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-14.554.5W 21 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 South Alabama vs Marshall-10.544.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 South Alabama at Texas State-6.557.0L 44 - 52ON
Sat 12/23 South Alabama at Eastern Michigan-18.043.0W 59 - 10OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU.138%22.640%3.0315938%2083.29.1741%29.741%42%3.5862.82.31
USA.2242%34.440%3.0615545%2694.14.1138%25.240%37%3.1670.41.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.615.238.5%3.292.3203671592084.347%51%40%38%23%.1
USA Defense1325.227.837.7%3.161.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%37%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1229.73541.2%3.581 - - - - - 54%46%41%42%22%.17
USA Offense1334.44442%4.141.222424155269451%48%40%45%13%.22

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1228:4619.935%55%6.962.82.318.32.5028.7
South Alabama1332:4222.243%59%7.770.41.21.86.22.2329.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1247%40%37159.24.322.053.0362%13%1.09
USA Defense1341%40% - - - - .072.9878%11%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1254%41% - - - - .112.9674%15%1.06
USA Offense1351%40%38.8155.3419.163.0678%7%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1251%38%18.332.4208.16.411.41610.191.636%33%.3310%2.1
USA Defense1358%37% - - - - - - 13.181.636%22%.146%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1246%42% - - - - - - 4.281.634%30%.278%2.1
USA Offense1348%45%22.434.4268.97.8122812.331.631%30%.35%2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -11.77   South Alabama: 5.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -19.2   South Alabama: 3.0




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 5.975 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 37
Central Michigan 16


Projected Total Points: 56
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23South Alabama30Central Michigan34Central MichiganSouth Alabama -16.5Central Michigan46.5Over
202209/10Central Michigan24South Alabama38South AlabamaCentral Michigan -6South Alabama57.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama112 Overs
Central Michigan110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#124) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile






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Central Michigan     Ratings Matchup     South Alabama
Power #124
#41
Off #74
#39
Def #125
#32
Talent #68
#120
SP+ #126
#55
SP+ Off #119
#50
SP+ Def #109
#68

Rematch from Week 4
South Alabama -16.5 (46.5)
Central Michigan won at South Alabama this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat South Alabama in 2023 (34-30)
South Alabama beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 92°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | USA
Depth Chart: CMU | USA
Rosters: CMU | USA
(#41) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.975 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70

Team Profile






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Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jase Bauer406562%310214.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Hicks2101333146.390
Marion Lukes16178854.966
BJ Harris9141834.671
Myles Bailey5129235.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Hicks4534137.628
Jesse Prewitt III2318628.121
Marion Lukes16160110.043
BJ Harris119308.526

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Moretti583100
Justin Whiteside586341
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Williams429610
Justin Whiteside586341
Kyle Moretti583100
Daraun McKinney532109
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
Trey Jones211012

South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caullin Lacy52114.29
Jeremiah Webb118018.018
Jarvis Durr51613.24
Jamaal Pritchett1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamaal Pritchett911126912.475
Jeremiah Webb36649518.052
Shamar Sandgren19208110.921
Caullin Lacy18196110.934

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Voisin844035
Wy'Kevious Thomas411001
Maurice Strong Jr.355111
Marquise Robinson350007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Jacobs123220
Maurice Strong Jr.355111
Carlos Johnson193130
Jaden Voisin844035
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquise Robinson350007
Jaden Voisin844035
Yamarus Banks212003