Akron at Central Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Akron logo   Akron Zips at Central Michigan Chippewas  Central Michigan logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -10.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Central Michigan 17 - Akron: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CMU is playing their 7th straight game
AKR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Central Michigan -5  (SP+ CMU -2)
Projected Score: AKR: 21 - CMU: 26 (47)
CMU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
AKR Travel: 240 miles
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Akron's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Akron at Temple+9.555.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Akron vs Morgan State-25.046.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/16 Akron at Kentucky+25.048.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/23 Akron at Indiana+16.545.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 Akron vs Buffalo-3.053.0L 10 - 13UN
Sat 10/7 Akron vs Northern Illinois+4.042.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 10/14 Akron at Central Michigan+10.544.0L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Akron at Bowling Green+7.037.0L 14 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Akron vs Kent State-4.039.0W 31 - 27ON
Wed 11/8 Akron at Miami (OH)+17.537.5L 0 - 19UN
Tue 11/14 Akron at Eastern Michigan+3.539.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 11/24 Akron vs Ohio+13.541.5L 14 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41OY
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23ON
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31OY
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38ON
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR.1444%22.346%3.148643%2603.16.2744%27.442%47%4.3454.31.80.8
CMU.138%22.540%3.0315938%2083.29.1741%23.541%42%3.5862.82.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1222.31743.8%3.161.82134686260337%62%46%43%30%.14
CMU Defense1223.515.241.2%3.581 - - - - - 54%46%41%42%22%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense1227.436.344.1%4.340.8 - - - - - 54%45%42%47%20%.27
CMU Offense1222.530.438.5%3.292.3203671592084.347%51%40%38%23%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1227:4121.234%50%654.31.80.84.81.5127.4
Central Michigan1228:4619.935%55%6.962.82.318.32.5028.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1237%46%2985.5315.023.1470%20%0.81
CMU Defense1254%41% - - - - .112.9674%15%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254%42% - - - - .122.9571%12%1.02
CMU Offense1247%40%37159.24.322.053.0362%13%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1262%43%24.738.1260.36.810.61310.271.531%35%.3210%2.1
CMU Defense1246%42% - - - - - - 4.281.634%30%.278%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245%47% - - - - - - 8.491.731%30%.48%2.2
CMU Offense1251%38%18.332.4208.16.411.41610.191.636%33%.3310%2.1

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90  #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28  #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21  #63
2023 Talent Rating: 445.02  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6  #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5  #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90   Central Michigan: -12.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6   Central Michigan: -19.2




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.985  #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74  #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30  #125
2023 Talent Rating: 332.64  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2  #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7  #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Central Michigan 26
Akron 21

Projected Total Points: 47
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Akron28Central Michigan22Central Michigan -7Akron47.5Over
202310/14Central Michigan17Akron10Central Michigan -10.5Akron44.0Under
202210/15Akron21Central Michigan28Central Michigan -12Akron60.5Under
201909/14Central Michigan45Akron24Central Michigan -2.5Central Michigan45.5Over
201810/27Akron17Central Michigan10Akron -4Akron43.5Under
201510/31Akron6Central Michigan14Central Michigan -3.5Central Michigan47.0Under
201210/27Central Michigan35Akron14
201110/29Akron22Central Michigan23
200909/26Central Michigan48Akron21
200711/23Akron32Central Michigan35
200609/16Central Michigan24Akron21
200510/01Akron17Central Michigan31
200311/08Central Michigan28Akron40
200209/14Akron17Central Michigan24
200009/08Central Michigan17Akron7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan1222 Overs
Akron344 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 74 - 22 - 12 - 1
Road Teams7 - 82 - 41 - 21 - 2

(#130) AKR at (#124) CMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAKRCMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #130 #124
SP+SP+ #128 #126
Perf GradeGrade #134 #111
OffenseOff #136 #113
DefenseDef #92 #101
Spec TeamsST #110 #34
TalentTal #102 #126
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Akron on Offense
CategoryCat
AKR OffCMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #101
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #129 #125
SP+SP+ #132 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Akron Run Game
CategoryCat
AKR OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #98 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #53
Akron Pass Game
CategoryCat
AKR OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #132 #98
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #119 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Central Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatCMU OffAKR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #113 #92
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #74 #63
SP+SP+ #119 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffAKR Def
Run GameRun #98 #79
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #80 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #37
Central Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatCMU OffAKR Def
Pass GamePass #90 #82
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #116 #111
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Central Michigan -10.5 (44.0)
Central Michigan won vs Akron this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Central Michigan last year (28-22)
Central Michigan beat Akron in 2023 (17-10)

  
AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jeff Undercuffler13822462%1378496.2
DJ Irons8813366%722335.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)14364144.571
DJ Irons6121523.547
Tahj Bullock (Tr)6216542.727
Drake Anderson4013213.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jasaiah Gathings55575110.539
Daniel George52529110.250
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)3735629.677
Alex Adams2218828.529

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish854130
Bryan McCoy815100
Darrian Lewis652113
C.J. Nunnally5812582
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5812582
Bennett Adler245310
Antonio Smith32220
Shammond Cooper (Tr)416210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Durant301026
Kerry Martin Jr.442106
Judson Tallandier393015

CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jase Bauer16328757%18811286.6
Bert Emanuel Jr.193751%286337.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes14473755.146
Myles Bailey10247634.748
Jase Bauer121366103.029
Bert Emanuel Jr.5022024.466
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyson Davis29444415.367
Jesse Prewitt III31438414.170
Chris Parker23409317.862
Marion Lukes29300010.344

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Jones613002
Kyle Moretti593215
Donte Kent523117
Dakota Cochran512011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacques Bristol418452
Maurice White185450
Quindario Lee267340
Kyle Moretti593215
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donte Kent523117
Kyle Moretti593215
Daraun McKinney393014