Central Michigan at Ball State Game Matchup

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -5 (42.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ball State 24 - Central Michigan: 17 (Mid-American)

Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 2nd straight Home Game
BALL is playing their 8th straight game
CMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Ball State -6.5 (SP+ BALL -4)
Projected Score: CMU: 22 - BALL: 28 (59)
CMU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
CMU Travel: 235 miles

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+14.0	45.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	Central Michigan vs New Hampshire	-7.0	48.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Central Michigan at Notre Dame	+34.5	51.5	L 17 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Central Michigan at South Alabama	+16.5	46.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/7	Central Michigan at Buffalo	-2.5	51.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Central Michigan vs Akron	-10.5	44.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Central Michigan at Ball State	-5.0	42.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	48.0	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+3.5	57.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Wed 11/15	Central Michigan at Ohio	+11.5	48.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/24	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 32	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	.1	38%	22.6	40%	3.03	159	38%	208	3.29	.17	41%	29.7	41%	42%	3.58	62.8	2.3	1
BALL	.11	40%	25.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	40.1	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	22.6	15.2	38.5%	3.29	2.3	20	367	159	208	4.3	47%	51%	40%	38%	23%	.1
BALL Defense	12	40.1	33.4	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	29.7	35	41.2%	3.58	1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	42%	22%	.17
BALL Offense	12	25.3	28.6	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	28:46	19.9	35%	55%	6.9	62.8	2.3	1	8.3	2.5	0	28.7
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	47%	40%	37	159.2	4.3	22	.05	3.03	62%	13%	1.09
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.96	74%	15%	1.06
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	51%	38%	18.3	32.4	208.1	6.4	11.4	16	10	.19	1.6	36%	33%	.33	10%	2.1
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.28	1.6	34%	30%	.27	8%	2.1
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -11.77 Ball State: -9.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -19.2 Ball State: -14.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 28
Central Michigan 22

Projected Total Points: 59

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Central Michigan	37	Ball State	34	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -6.5	Ball State	51.0	Over
2023	10/21	Ball State	24	Central Michigan	17	Ball State	Central Michigan -5	Ball State	42.0	Under
2022	10/08	Central Michigan	16	Ball State	17	Ball State	Central Michigan -7.5	Ball State	63.0	Under
2021	11/17	Ball State	17	Central Michigan	37	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -2.5	Central Michigan	57.0	Under
2020	12/05	Central Michigan	20	Ball State	45	Ball State	Ball State -2.5	Ball State	62.5	Over
2019	11/16	Ball State	44	Central Michigan	45	Central Michigan	Ball State -2	Central Michigan	59.5	Over
2018	10/13	Central Michigan	23	Ball State	24	Ball State	Central Michigan -2.5	Ball State	54.5	Under
2017	10/21	Ball State	9	Central Michigan	56	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -3	Central Michigan	48.0	Over
2016	10/08	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	21	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -13.5	Ball State	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Ball State	21	Central Michigan	23	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -6	Ball State	56.0	Under
2014	10/18	Central Michigan	29	Ball State	32	Ball State	Central Michigan -6.5	Ball State	0
2013	11/06	Ball State	44	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	Ball State -21.5	Central Michigan	0
2012	10/20	Central Michigan	30	Ball State	41	Ball State
2011	10/22	Ball State	31	Central Michigan	27	Ball State
2010	10/02	Central Michigan	17	Ball State	31	Ball State
2009	11/18	Ball State	3	Central Michigan	35	Central Michigan
2008	11/19	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	31	Ball State
2007	10/06	Ball State	38	Central Michigan	58	Central Michigan
2006	10/14	Central Michigan	18	Ball State	7	Central Michigan
2005	11/19	Ball State	24	Central Michigan	31	Central Michigan
2004	11/20	Central Michigan	41	Ball State	40	Central Michigan
2003	09/20	Ball State	27	Central Michigan	14	Ball State
2002	11/16	Central Michigan	21	Ball State	38	Ball State
2001	11/03	Ball State	38	Central Michigan	34	Ball State
2000	10/27	Central Michigan	34	Ball State	38	Ball State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	14	8	4 Overs
Central Michigan	11	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 16	2 - 10	0 - 7	2 - 3
Road Teams	16 - 9	10 - 2	3 - 2	7 - 0

(#124) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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Central Michigan Ratings Matchup Ball State

Power #124

#112

Off #74

#98

Def #125

#87

Talent #68

#84

SP+ #126

#116

SP+ Off #119

#131

SP+ Def #109

#61

Rematch from Week 8
Central Michigan 5.0 (42.0)
Ball State won vs Central Michigan this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Ball State last year (37-34)
Ball State beat Central Michigan in 2023 (24-17)
Ball State beat Central Michigan in 2022 (17-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | BALL
Depth Chart: CMU | BALL
Rosters: CMU | BALL

(#112) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.17 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	94	160	59%	1114	7	7	7.0
Jase Bauer	40	65	62%	310	2	1	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Hicks	210	1333	14	6.3	90
Marion Lukes	161	788	5	4.9	66
BJ Harris	91	418	3	4.6	71
Myles Bailey	51	292	3	5.7	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Hicks	45	341	3	7.6	28
Jesse Prewitt III	23	186	2	8.1	21
Marion Lukes	16	160	1	10.0	43
BJ Harris	11	93	0	8.5	26

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Moretti	58	3	1	0	0
Justin Whiteside	58	6	3	4	1
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	0	9
Donte Kent	52	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Williams	42	9	6	1	0
Justin Whiteside	58	6	3	4	1
Kyle Moretti	58	3	1	0	0
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	0	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	0	9
Donte Kent	52	1	0	0	7
Trey Jones	21	1	0	1	2

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	292	1274	12	4.4	47
Lucas Borrow	1	19	0	19.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	20	137	2	6.9	21
Brady Hunt	2	22	0	11.0	11

View Ball State's Full Roster

Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Nathan Reichert	32	2	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3
Nathan Reichert	32	2	1	0	0
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3