Central Michigan at Ohio - 2023 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ohio Bobcats

Wednesday, November 15th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Ohio -11.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio 34 - Central Michigan: 20 (Mid-American)

Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Ohio -18.5 (SP+ OHIO -17)
Projected Score: CMU: 15 - OHIO: 34 (50)
OHIO Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
CMU Travel: 325 miles

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+14.0	45.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	Central Michigan vs New Hampshire	-7.0	48.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Central Michigan at Notre Dame	+34.5	51.5	L 17 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Central Michigan at South Alabama	+16.5	46.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/7	Central Michigan at Buffalo	-2.5	51.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Central Michigan vs Akron	-10.5	44.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Central Michigan at Ball State	-5.0	42.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	48.0	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+3.5	57.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Wed 11/15	Central Michigan at Ohio	+11.5	48.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/24	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 32	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	.1	38%	22.6	40%	3.03	159	38%	208	3.29	.17	41%	29.7	41%	42%	3.58	62.8	2.3	1
OHIO	.23	44%	29.3	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	18.1	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	22.6	15.2	38.5%	3.29	2.3	20	367	159	208	4.3	47%	51%	40%	38%	23%	.1
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	13.8	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	29.7	35	41.2%	3.58	1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	42%	22%	.17
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	33.7	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	28:46	19.9	35%	55%	6.9	62.8	2.3	1	8.3	2.5	0	28.7
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	47%	40%	37	159.2	4.3	22	.05	3.03	62%	13%	1.09
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.96	74%	15%	1.06
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	51%	38%	18.3	32.4	208.1	6.4	11.4	16	10	.19	1.6	36%	33%	.33	10%	2.1
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.28	1.6	34%	30%	.27	8%	2.1
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -11.77 Ohio: 3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -19.2 Ohio: -2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 34
Central Michigan 15

Projected Total Points: 50

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Central Michigan	25	Ohio	27	Ohio	Ohio -3	Central Michigan	50.5	Over
2023	11/15	Ohio	34	Central Michigan	20	Ohio	Ohio -11.5	Ohio	48.5	Over
2021	10/09	Ohio	27	Central Michigan	30	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -5	Ohio	58.0	Under
2020	11/04	Central Michigan	30	Ohio	27	Central Michigan	Ohio -3	Central Michigan	54.5	Over
2017	10/07	Ohio	23	Central Michigan	26	Central Michigan	Ohio -11	Central Michigan	54.5	Under
2016	11/15	Central Michigan	27	Ohio	20	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -1	Central Michigan	51.0	Under
2014	10/04	Central Michigan	28	Ohio	10	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -5	Central Michigan	0
2013	10/12	Ohio	23	Central Michigan	26	Central Michigan	Ohio -14.5	Central Michigan	0
2011	11/10	Central Michigan	28	Ohio	43	Ohio
2009	12/04	Central Michigan	20	Ohio	10	Central Michigan
2008	09/13	Ohio	28	Central Michigan	31	Central Michigan
2006	11/30	Ohio	10	Central Michigan	31	Central Michigan
2005	10/15	Central Michigan	37	Ohio	10	Central Michigan
2001	10/13	Central Michigan	3	Ohio	34	Ohio
2000	10/20	Ohio	52	Central Michigan	3	Ohio

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	5	2	3 Overs
Central Michigan	10	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 8	6 - 2	3 - 2	3 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 7	2 - 6	0 - 3	2 - 3

(#124) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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Central Michigan Ratings Matchup Ohio

Power #124

#42

Off #74

#68

Def #125

Talent #68

#118

SP+ #126

#74

SP+ Off #119

#115

SP+ Def #109

#13

Rematch from Week 12
Ohio -11.5 (48.5)
Ohio won vs Central Michigan this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Central Michigan last year (27-25)
Ohio beat Central Michigan in 2023 (34-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 42°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | OHIO
Depth Chart: CMU | OHIO
Rosters: CMU | OHIO

(#42) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20

Team Profile

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Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	94	160	59%	1114	7	7	7.0
Jase Bauer	40	65	62%	310	2	1	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Hicks	210	1333	14	6.3	90
Marion Lukes	161	788	5	4.9	66
BJ Harris	91	418	3	4.6	71
Myles Bailey	51	292	3	5.7	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Hicks	45	341	3	7.6	28
Jesse Prewitt III	23	186	2	8.1	21
Marion Lukes	16	160	1	10.0	43
BJ Harris	11	93	0	8.5	26

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Moretti	58	3	1	0	0
Justin Whiteside	58	6	3	4	1
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	0	9
Donte Kent	52	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Williams	42	9	6	1	0
Justin Whiteside	58	6	3	4	1
Kyle Moretti	58	3	1	0	0
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	0	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	0	9
Donte Kent	52	1	0	0	7
Trey Jones	21	1	0	1	2

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
CJ Harris	19	31	61%	184	0	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
O'Shann Allison	61	237	0	3.9	49
CJ Harris	18	49	0	2.7	13
Kurtis Rourke	46	-35	2	-0.8	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacoby Jones	22	327	2	14.9	40
Miles Cross	27	324	4	12.0	34
Aramoni Rhone	15	235	2	15.7	52
Will Kacmarek	8	86	0	10.8	32

View Ohio's Full Roster

Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	0	4
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0
Xander Karagosian	2	1	1	0	0
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	10
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	4
Keye Thompson	28	2	1	1