Central Michigan at Ohio - 2023 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo   Central Michigan Chippewas at Ohio Bobcats  Ohio logo
Wednesday, November 15th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Ohio -11.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 34 - Central Michigan: 20  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CMU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Ohio -18.5  (SP+ OHIO -17)
Projected Score: CMU: 15 - OHIO: 34 (49)
OHIO Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
CMU Travel: 325 miles
Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41OY
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23ON
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31OY
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38ON
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Ohio's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Ohio at San Diego State+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/2 Ohio vs Long Island University-34.558.0W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio at Florida Atlantic+3.561.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 Ohio vs Iowa State+1.542.0W 10 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Ohio at Bowling Green-13.045.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio vs Kent State-24.545.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio at Northern Illinois-5.545.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 10/21 Ohio vs Western Michigan-16.552.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/28 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.539.0L 16 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Ohio at Buffalo-9.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Wed 11/15 Ohio vs Central Michigan-11.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Fri 11/24 Ohio at Akron-13.541.5W 25 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU.138%22.540%3.0315938%2083.29.1741%23.541%42%3.5862.82.31
OHIO.2344%27.842%2.9414347%2783.83.2243%21.941%46%3.8244.10.92.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.519.138.5%3.292.3203671592084.347%51%40%38%23%.1
OHIO Defense1421.92043.4%3.822.2 - - - - - 43%56%41%46%18%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1223.52841.2%3.581 - - - - - 54%46%41%42%22%.17
OHIO Offense1427.836.344.3%3.830.9214221432784.149%50%42%47%15%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1228:4619.935%55%6.962.82.318.32.5028.7
Ohio1432:0920.742%35%4.944.10.92.25.92.6131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1247%40%37159.24.322.053.0362%13%1.09
OHIO Defense1443%41% - - - - .122.8766%12%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1254%41% - - - - .112.9674%15%1.06
OHIO Offense1449%42%35.2143.44.123.112.9473%10%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1251%38%18.332.4208.16.411.41610.191.636%33%.3310%2.1
OHIO Defense1456%46% - - - - - - 12.331.533%33%.376%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1246%42% - - - - - - 4.281.634%30%.278%2.1
OHIO Offense1450%47%21.633.1278.18.412.9285.371.632%34%.425%2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.77  #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74  #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30  #125
2023 Talent Rating: 332.64  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2  #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7  #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -11.77   Ohio: 3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -19.2   Ohio: -2.2




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.225  #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43  #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96  #5
2023 Talent Rating: 342.60  #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 34
Central Michigan 15

Projected Total Points: 49
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Central Michigan25Ohio27Ohio -3Central Michigan50.5Over
202311/15Ohio34Central Michigan20Ohio -11.5Ohio48.5Over
202110/09Ohio27Central Michigan30Central Michigan -5Ohio58.0Under
202011/04Central Michigan30Ohio27Ohio -3Central Michigan54.5Over
201710/07Ohio23Central Michigan26Ohio -11Central Michigan54.5Under
201611/15Central Michigan27Ohio20Central Michigan -1Central Michigan51.0Under
201410/04Central Michigan28Ohio10Central Michigan -5Central Michigan0
201310/12Ohio23Central Michigan26Ohio -14.5Central Michigan0
201111/10Central Michigan28Ohio43
200912/04Central Michigan20Ohio10
200809/13Ohio28Central Michigan31
200611/30Ohio10Central Michigan31
200510/15Central Michigan37Ohio10
200110/13Central Michigan3Ohio34
200010/20Ohio52Central Michigan3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio523 Overs
Central Michigan1063 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 86 - 23 - 23 - 0
Road Teams8 - 72 - 60 - 32 - 3

(#124) CMU at (#42) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUOHIO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #124 #42
SP+SP+ #126 #74
Perf GradeGrade #111 #42
OffenseOff #113 #36
DefenseDef #101 #30
Spec TeamsST #34 #135
TalentTal #126 #123
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Central Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
CMU OffOHIO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #113 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #74 #5
SP+SP+ #119 #13
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #98 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #80 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Central Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #90 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #116 #19
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCatOHIO OffCMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #101
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #68 #125
SP+SP+ #115 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #89 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #53
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCatOHIO OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #39 #98
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Ohio -11.5 (48.5)
Ohio won vs Central Michigan this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Central Michigan in 2024 (27-25)
Ohio beat Central Michigan in 2023 (34-20)

  
CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jase Bauer16328757%18811286.6
Bert Emanuel Jr.193751%286337.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes14473755.146
Myles Bailey10247634.748
Jase Bauer121366103.029
Bert Emanuel Jr.5022024.466
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyson Davis29444415.367
Jesse Prewitt III31438414.170
Chris Parker23409317.862
Marion Lukes29300010.344

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Jones613002
Kyle Moretti593215
Donte Kent523117
Dakota Cochran512011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacques Bristol418452
Maurice White185450
Quindario Lee267340
Kyle Moretti593215
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donte Kent523117
Kyle Moretti593215
Daraun McKinney393014

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke19530764%22071157.2
CJ Harris254951%248235.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura17881174.626
O'Shann Allison13945233.330
Kurtis Rourke6721943.325
Parker Navarro2517807.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Wiglusz55664312.138
Miles Cross47599512.742
Tyler Walton3734929.427
Will Kacmarek22243211.036

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Houston12813351
Keye Thompson9410242
Walter Reynolds (Tr)672001
Austin Brawley411002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver3413670
Vonnie Watkins3385110
Shane Bonner299560
Rayyan Buell3013530
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Birchette293008
Jeremiah Wood263024
Austin Brawley411002