Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (1:30 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -9.5 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Central Michigan 26 - Eastern Michigan: 23 (Mid-American)

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

EMU 2nd straight Road Game
CMU is playing their 5th straight game
EMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -4.5 (SP+ EMU -9.5)
Projected Score: EMU: 27 - CMU: 22 (49)
CMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 108 miles

Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 31 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+14.0	45.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	Central Michigan vs New Hampshire	-7.0	48.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Central Michigan at Notre Dame	+34.5	51.5	L 17 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Central Michigan at South Alabama	+16.5	46.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/7	Central Michigan at Buffalo	-2.5	51.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Central Michigan vs Akron	-10.5	44.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Central Michigan at Ball State	-5.0	42.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	48.0	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+3.5	57.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Wed 11/15	Central Michigan at Ohio	+11.5	48.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/24	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 32	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	19.5	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	26.7	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4
CMU	#83 (.16)	40% (101)	23.2	43% (72)	3.29 (35)	160	36% (111)	185	4.2 (39)	#128 (.32)	45% (115)	31.1	48% (116)	44% (95)	4.43 (121)	58.1	1.3	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	13	19.5	14.8	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07
CMU Defense	12	31.1	27.6	45.5%	4.43	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	44%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	13	26.7	25.3	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19
CMU Offense	12	23.2	28.4	39.5%	4.2	1.3	19	344	160	185	4.2	56%	43%	43%	36%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1
Central Michigan	12	30:13	18.9	34%	70%	6.7	58.1	1.3	0.7	4.6	1.5	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)
CMU Defense	12	51% (86)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.25 (118)	3.4 (119)	77% (97)	8% (121)	1.04 (91)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)
CMU Offense	12	56% (27)	43% (72)	38	159.5	4.2	21 (54)	.22 (30)	3.29 (35)	77% (36)	10% (68)	1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)
CMU Defense	12	48% (50)	44% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.41 (122)	1.7 (96)	31% (90)	29% (52)	.35 (87)	5% (98)	2 (52)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)
CMU Offense	12	43% (110)	36% (111)	15.3	27.1	184.7	6.8	12.1	15 (96)	11 (68)	.16 (108)	1.7 (31)	36% (125)	28% (86)	.36 (62)	4% (9)	2.3 (14)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.52 Central Michigan: -12.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.6 Central Michigan: -19.2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.985 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 27
Central Michigan 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Central Michigan 31
Eastern Michigan 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Central Michigan 26
Eastern Michigan 23

Total Points: 49

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.4
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Central Michigan	24	Eastern Michigan	13	Central Michigan -3	Central Michigan	55.5	Under
2024	10/19	Eastern Michigan	38	Central Michigan	34	Eastern Michigan -3.5	Eastern Michigan	52.5	Over
2023	09/30	Central Michigan	26	Eastern Michigan	23	Central Michigan -9.5	Eastern Michigan	45.0	Over
2022	11/25	Eastern Michigan	38	Central Michigan	19	Eastern Michigan -1	Eastern Michigan	53.5	Over
2021	11/26	Central Michigan	31	Eastern Michigan	10	Central Michigan -8.5	Central Michigan	64.0	Under
2020	11/27	Eastern Michigan	23	Central Michigan	31	Central Michigan -6	Central Michigan	59.0	Under
2019	10/05	Central Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan	16	Eastern Michigan -4	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2018	11/03	Eastern Michigan	17	Central Michigan	7	Eastern Michigan -14	Central Michigan	46.0	Under
2017	11/08	Central Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan	30	Eastern Michigan -1.5	Central Michigan	51.0	Over
2016	11/22	Eastern Michigan	26	Central Michigan	21	Central Michigan -1	Eastern Michigan	55.5	Under
2015	11/27	Central Michigan	35	Eastern Michigan	28	Central Michigan -23	Eastern Michigan	59.5	Over
2014	11/01	Eastern Michigan	7	Central Michigan	38	Central Michigan -17	Central Michigan	0
2013	11/29	Central Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan	10	Central Michigan -19	Central Michigan	0
2012	11/10	Eastern Michigan	31	Central Michigan	34
2011	10/15	Central Michigan	28	Eastern Michigan	35
2010	09/18	Eastern Michigan	14	Central Michigan	52
2009	10/10	Central Michigan	56	Eastern Michigan	8
2008	11/28	Eastern Michigan	56	Central Michigan	52
2007	11/16	Central Michigan	45	Eastern Michigan	48
2006	09/23	Eastern Michigan	17	Central Michigan	24
2005	09/24	Central Michigan	20	Eastern Michigan	23
2004	11/06	Eastern Michigan	61	Central Michigan	58
2003	11/01	Central Michigan	38	Eastern Michigan	10
2002	11/02	Eastern Michigan	21	Central Michigan	47
2001	11/10	Central Michigan	35	Eastern Michigan	30
2000	11/03	Eastern Michigan	31	Central Michigan	15

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	16	8	6 Overs
Eastern Michigan	10	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 9	8 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 17	5 - 8	2 - 3	3 - 5

(#105) EMU at (#124) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#124
SP+SP+	#103	#126
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#111
OffenseOff	#117	#113
DefenseDef	#48	#101
Spec TeamsST	#23	#34
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Central Michigan Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#101
SuccessSuc	#127	#115
ExplosiveExp	#127	#93
PPAPPA	#123	#128
PowerPwr	#110	#125
SP+SP+	#130	#109
Pts POPPO	#74	#121
HavocHav	#112	#119

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#120	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#116
Run ExplRExp	#104	#91
PPAExp	#109	#118
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#119
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#117
TackleTak	-	#53

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#96
PPAExp	#122	#122
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#92
F7 HavocF7	#97	#121
DB HavocDB	#115	#98

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#48
SuccessSuc	#101	#74
ExplosiveExp	#42	#48
PPAPPA	#83	#73
PowerPwr	#74	#53
SP+SP+	#119	#53
Pts POPPO	#39	#58
HavocHav	#39	#99

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#106
Run ExplRExp	#23	#33
PPAExp	#30	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#30	#116
TackleTak	-	#55

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#31	#108
PPAExp	#108	#62
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	#61
F7 HavocF7	#68	#102
DB HavocDB	#9	#76

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Central Michigan -9.5 (45.0)
Central Michigan won vs Eastern Michigan this year (26-23)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Central Michigan last year (38-34)
Central Michigan beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (26-23)
Eastern Michigan beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-19)

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Smith	171	298	57%	1775	9	7	6.0
Ike Udengwu III	13	31	42%	100	0	2	3.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samson Evans	142	635	12	4.5	61
Jaylon Jackson	136	576	2	4.2	55
Austin Smith	101	134	2	1.3	41
Cam'Ron McCoy	15	63	1	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Knue	50	479	3	9.6	39
J.B. Mitchell	35	398	1	11.4	50
Hamze Elzayat	27	360	2	13.3	50
Jaylon Jackson	24	234	2	9.8	68

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Chase Kline	124	4	2	9	3
Quentavius Scandrett	58	0	0	0	1
Kempton Shine	57	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikah Coleman	39	7	4	8	1
Peyton Price	48	5	4	7	0
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Justin Jefferson	48	7	3	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daiquan White	19	1	12
Kempton Shine	57	3	8
Bennett Walker	25	0	4

CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jase Bauer	163	287	57%	1881	12	8	6.6
Bert Emanuel Jr.	19	37	51%	286	3	3	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marion Lukes	144	737	5	5.1	46
Myles Bailey	102	476	3	4.7	48
Jase Bauer	121	366	10	3.0	29
Bert Emanuel Jr.	50	220	2	4.4	66

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyson Davis	29	444	4	15.3	67
Jesse Prewitt III	31	438	4	14.1	70
Chris Parker	23	409	3	17.8	62
Marion Lukes	29	300	0	10.3	44

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Jones	61	3	0	0	2
Kyle Moretti	59	3	2	1	5
Donte Kent	52	3	1	1	7
Dakota Cochran	51	2	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacques Bristol	41	8	4	5	2
Maurice White	18	5	4	5	0
Quindario Lee	26	7	3	4	0
Kyle Moretti	59	3	2	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donte Kent	52	3	1	1	7
Kyle Moretti	59	3	2	1	5
Daraun McKinney	39	3	0	1	4