Northern Illinois at Central Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Central Michigan ChippewasCentral Michigan logo
Tuesday, October 31st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -3 (48.0) (-250)  Open: -3.0 | 45.5
Central Michigan 37 - Northern Illinois: 31  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (32 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU coming off BYE
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Northern Illinois -9   (SP+ NIU -12.5)

Projected Score: NIU: 30 - CMU: 21 (51)
NIU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NIU Travel: 233 miles, 1 hrs behind
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 31 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northern Illinois at Boston College+8.050.0W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois-6.558.5L 11 - 14UN
Sat 9/16 Northern Illinois at Nebraska+11.542.5L 11 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Northern Illinois vs Tulsa-3.554.5L 14 - 22UN
Sat 9/30 Northern Illinois at Toledo+13.048.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 10/7 Northern Illinois at Akron-4.042.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Northern Illinois vs Ohio+5.545.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-11.543.5W 20 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Northern Illinois at Central Michigan-3.048.0L 31 - 37ON
Tue 11/7 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-9.543.5L 17 - 20UN
Tue 11/14 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-4.555.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-20.544.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State+2.554.0W 21 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41OY
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23ON
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31OY
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38ON
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#54 (.21)42% (62)24.945% (45)3.21 (50)18040% (85)1903.4 (102)#36 (.14)41% (52)2144% (84)37% (21)3.4 (32)39.81.41.2
CMU#83 (.16)40% (101)23.243% (72)3.29 (35)16036% (111)1854.2 (39)#128 (.32)45% (115)31.148% (116)44% (95)4.43 (121)58.11.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1324.932.342.4%3.41.419370180190554%46%45%40%15%.21
CMU Defense1231.127.645.5%4.430.7 - - - - - 51%48%48%44%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense132128.740.7%3.41.2 - - - - - 56%43%44%37%13%.14
CMU Offense1223.228.439.5%4.21.3193441601854.256%43%43%36%14%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1331:3018.742%50%4.539.81.41.24.11.7127.5
Central Michigan1230:1318.934%70%6.758.11.30.74.61.5129.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1354% (39)45% (45)35.8179.8523 (46).21 (36)3.21 (50)77% (36)9% (47)1.08 (29)
CMU Defense1251% (86)48% (116) - - - - .25 (118)3.4 (119)77% (97)8% (121)1.04 (91)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1356% (122)44% (84) - - - - .14 (69)3.29 (108)83% (118)8% (114)0.94 (37)
CMU Offense1256% (27)43% (72)38159.54.221 (54).22 (30)3.29 (35)77% (36)10% (68)1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1346% (95)40% (85)16.228.2189.86.711.715 (96)9 (40).26 (75)1.5 (96)32% (64)26% (106).29 (83)6% (63)2.3 (16)
CMU Defense1248% (50)44% (95) - - - - - - 5 (126).41 (122)1.7 (96)31% (90)29% (52).35 (87)5% (98)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1343% (12)37% (21) - - - - - - 10 (67).17 (18)1.4 (14)32% (66)24% (9).29 (55)5% (115)2.2 (109)
CMU Offense1243% (110)36% (111)15.327.1184.76.812.115 (96)11 (68).16 (108)1.7 (31)36% (125)28% (86).36 (62)4% (9)2.3 (14)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.76 #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -1.76   Central Michigan: -12.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -6.7   Central Michigan: -19.2




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.985 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 30
Central Michigan 21


Total Points: 51

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.4
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Northern Illinois24Central Michigan16Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -16.5Central Michigan41.5Under
202310/31Central Michigan37Northern Illinois31Central MichiganNorthern Illinois -3Central Michigan48.0Over
202211/02Northern Illinois22Central Michigan35Central MichiganNorthern Illinois -4.5Central Michigan54.0Over
202110/23Central Michigan38Northern Illinois39Northern IllinoisCentral Michigan -6Northern Illinois56.0Over
202011/11Northern Illinois10Central Michigan40Central MichiganCentral Michigan -6Central Michigan57.5Under
201911/02Central Michigan48Northern Illinois10Central MichiganNorthern Illinois -1Central Michigan48.5Over
201809/15Northern Illinois24Central Michigan16Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -13.5Central Michigan48.0Under
201711/24Central Michigan31Northern Illinois24Central MichiganNorthern Illinois -3Central Michigan51.5Over
201610/15Northern Illinois28Central Michigan34Central MichiganCentral Michigan -4Central Michigan60.0Over
201510/03Central Michigan29Northern Illinois19Central MichiganNorthern Illinois -2.5Central Michigan51.0Under
201410/11Northern Illinois17Central Michigan34Central MichiganNorthern Illinois -12.5Central Michigan0
201310/19Central Michigan17Northern Illinois38Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -17Northern Illinois0
201209/29Northern Illinois55Central Michigan24Northern Illinois
201110/01Central Michigan48Northern Illinois41Central Michigan
201010/23Northern Illinois33Central Michigan7Northern Illinois
200911/27Central Michigan45Northern Illinois31Central Michigan
200811/12Northern Illinois30Central Michigan33Central Michigan
200709/29Central Michigan35Northern Illinois10Central Michigan
200611/17Northern Illinois31Central Michigan10Northern Illinois
200511/05Central Michigan28Northern Illinois31Northern Illinois
200410/16Northern Illinois42Central Michigan10Northern Illinois
200310/11Central Michigan24Northern Illinois40Northern Illinois
200210/19Northern Illinois49Central Michigan0Northern Illinois
200110/27Central Michigan24Northern Illinois33Northern Illinois
200011/17Northern Illinois40Central Michigan6Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan12106 Overs
Northern Illinois1324 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 104 - 80 - 54 - 3
Road Teams10 - 158 - 43 - 45 - 0

(#74) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -1.76 #74
Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80


Northern Illinois has won 3 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#44)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
Northern Illinois has a bad defensive line (#17)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCMUNIU
OverallOver#92#67
OffenseOff#96#68
DefenseDef#78#53
Special TeamsST#31#96
PassingPass#75#73
RushingRush#70#59
Run BlockRBLK#62#44
Pass BlockPBLK#100#29
Route RunningWR Rt#105#86
TacklingTkl#46#52
Run DefenseR Def#79#58
Pass Rush DefPRush#72#72
Coverage DefCov#79#60

Rematch from Week 10
Northern Illinois 3.0 (48.0)
Central Michigan won vs Northern Illinois this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Central Michigan last year (24-16)
Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (37-31)
Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (35-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NIU | CMU
Depth Chart: NIU | CMU
Rosters: NIU | CMU
(#124) Central Michigan Info
Power Rating: -12.985 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


Central Michigan has lost 1 straight
Central Michigan has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#96)


Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Central Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Central Michigan does not Sack the QB (#122)
Central Michigan has a bad defense (#121)
Central Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#75)
Central Michigan has a bad defensive line (#91)
Central Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#114)


  
Northern Illinois's OC Eric Eidsness
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocky Lombardi18932758%22741177.0
Ethan Hampton193358%147224.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antario Brown2121294106.180
Gavin Williams (Tr)9548835.153
Trayvon Rudolph2218218.336
Rocky Lombardi7213171.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph51531210.472
Grayson Barnes23422518.358
Kacper Rutkiewicz20313215.764
Davis Patterson16197012.328

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raishein Thomas747351
Jaden Dolphin631003
Tyler Jackson562020
DaRon Gilbert523121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Ester446432
Roy Williams246411
George Gumbs348420
Devonte O'Malley335300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jashon Prophete331008
Javaughn Byrd322005
Jacob Finley331003

Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jase Bauer16328757%18811286.6
Bert Emanuel Jr.193751%286337.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes14473755.146
Myles Bailey10247634.748
Jase Bauer121366103.029
Bert Emanuel Jr.5022024.466
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyson Davis29444415.367
Jesse Prewitt III31438414.170
Chris Parker23409317.862
Marion Lukes29300010.344

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Jones613002
Kyle Moretti593215
Donte Kent523117
Dakota Cochran512011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacques Bristol418452
Maurice White185450
Quindario Lee267340
Kyle Moretti593215
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donte Kent523117
Kyle Moretti593215
Daraun McKinney393014