Northern Illinois at Central Michigan

Northern Illinois at Central Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at Central Michigan Chippewas

Tuesday, October 31st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -3 (48.0) (-250) Open: -3.0 | 45.5
Central Michigan 37 - Northern Illinois: 31 (Mid-American)

Huskies (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (18 - 29)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (32 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 4.8 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Sleet Predicted
NIU coming off BYE
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Northern Illinois -9 (SP+ NIU -12.5)
Projected Score: NIU: 30 - CMU: 21 (50)
NIU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NIU Travel: 233 miles, 1 hrs behind

Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 31 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NIU Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northern Illinois at Boston College	+8.0	50.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Northern Illinois vs Southern Illinois	-6.5	58.5	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	Northern Illinois at Nebraska	+11.5	42.5	L 11 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Northern Illinois vs Tulsa	-3.5	54.5	L 14 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/30	Northern Illinois at Toledo	+13.0	48.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northern Illinois at Akron	-4.0	42.5	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Northern Illinois vs Ohio	+5.5	45.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan	-11.5	43.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Northern Illinois at Central Michigan	-3.0	48.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Tue 11/7	Northern Illinois vs Ball State	-9.5	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 11/14	Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan	-4.5	55.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northern Illinois at Kent State	-20.5	44.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/23	Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State	+2.5	54.0	W 21 - 19	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+14.0	45.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	Central Michigan vs New Hampshire	-7.0	48.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Central Michigan at Notre Dame	+34.5	51.5	L 17 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Central Michigan at South Alabama	+16.5	46.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/7	Central Michigan at Buffalo	-2.5	51.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Central Michigan vs Akron	-10.5	44.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Central Michigan at Ball State	-5.0	42.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	48.0	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+3.5	57.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Wed 11/15	Central Michigan at Ohio	+11.5	48.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Fri 11/24	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 32	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	#54 (.21)	42% (62)	24.9	45% (45)	3.21 (50)	180	40% (85)	190	3.4 (102)	#36 (.14)	41% (52)	21	44% (84)	37% (21)	3.4 (32)	39.8	1.4	1.2
CMU	#83 (.16)	40% (101)	23.2	43% (72)	3.29 (35)	160	36% (111)	185	4.2 (39)	#128 (.32)	45% (115)	31.1	48% (116)	44% (95)	4.43 (121)	58.1	1.3	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	#86 (.16)	42% (79)		44% (72)	3.25 (33)	204	40% (86)	179	3.39 (113)	#11 (.06)	38% (19)		41% (52)	35% (9)	3.08 (12)	42.8	1.2	1.1
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Offense	13	24.9	32.3	42.4%	3.4	1.4	19	370	180	190	5	54%	46%	45%	40%	15%	.21
CMU Defense	12	31.1	27.6	45.5%	4.43	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	44%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Defense	13	21	28.7	40.7%	3.4	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	37%	13%	.14
CMU Offense	12	23.2	28.4	39.5%	4.2	1.3	19	344	160	185	4.2	56%	43%	43%	36%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Illinois	13	31:30	18.7	42%	50%	4.5	39.8	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.7	1	27.5
Central Michigan	12	30:13	18.9	34%	70%	6.7	58.1	1.3	0.7	4.6	1.5	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Offense	13	54% (39)	45% (45)	35.8	179.8	5	23 (46)	.21 (36)	3.21 (50)	77% (36)	9% (47)	1.08 (29)
CMU Defense	12	51% (86)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.25 (118)	3.4 (119)	77% (97)	8% (121)	1.04 (91)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Defense	13	56% (122)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.14 (69)	3.29 (108)	83% (118)	8% (114)	0.94 (37)
CMU Offense	12	56% (27)	43% (72)	38	159.5	4.2	21 (54)	.22 (30)	3.29 (35)	77% (36)	10% (68)	1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Offense	13	46% (95)	40% (85)	16.2	28.2	189.8	6.7	11.7	15 (96)	9 (40)	.26 (75)	1.5 (96)	32% (64)	26% (106)	.29 (83)	6% (63)	2.3 (16)
CMU Defense	12	48% (50)	44% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.41 (122)	1.7 (96)	31% (90)	29% (52)	.35 (87)	5% (98)	2 (52)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Defense	13	43% (12)	37% (21)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.17 (18)	1.4 (14)	32% (66)	24% (9)	.29 (55)	5% (115)	2.2 (109)
CMU Offense	12	43% (110)	36% (111)	15.3	27.1	184.7	6.8	12.1	15 (96)	11 (68)	.16 (108)	1.7 (31)	36% (125)	28% (86)	.36 (62)	4% (9)	2.3 (14)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -1.76 #74
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 17.02 #61
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.15 #48
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 8.20 - 4.80
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #85
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #109
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -1.76 Central Michigan: -12.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -6.7 Central Michigan: -19.2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.985 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 30
Central Michigan 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Northern Illinois 29
Central Michigan 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Northern Illinois 29
Central Michigan 25

Total Points: 54

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.4
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Northern Illinois	24	Central Michigan	16	Northern Illinois -16.5	Central Michigan	41.5	Under
2023	10/31	Central Michigan	37	Northern Illinois	31	Northern Illinois -3	Central Michigan	48.0	Over
2022	11/02	Northern Illinois	22	Central Michigan	35	Northern Illinois -4.5	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2021	10/23	Central Michigan	38	Northern Illinois	39	Central Michigan -6	Northern Illinois	56.0	Over
2020	11/11	Northern Illinois	10	Central Michigan	40	Central Michigan -6	Central Michigan	57.5	Under
2019	11/02	Central Michigan	48	Northern Illinois	10	Northern Illinois -1	Central Michigan	48.5	Over
2018	09/15	Northern Illinois	24	Central Michigan	16	Northern Illinois -13.5	Central Michigan	48.0	Under
2017	11/24	Central Michigan	31	Northern Illinois	24	Northern Illinois -3	Central Michigan	51.5	Over
2016	10/15	Northern Illinois	28	Central Michigan	34	Central Michigan -4	Central Michigan	60.0	Over
2015	10/03	Central Michigan	29	Northern Illinois	19	Northern Illinois -2.5	Central Michigan	51.0	Under
2014	10/11	Northern Illinois	17	Central Michigan	34	Northern Illinois -12.5	Central Michigan	0
2013	10/19	Central Michigan	17	Northern Illinois	38	Northern Illinois -17	Northern Illinois	0
2012	09/29	Northern Illinois	55	Central Michigan	24
2011	10/01	Central Michigan	48	Northern Illinois	41
2010	10/23	Northern Illinois	33	Central Michigan	7
2009	11/27	Central Michigan	45	Northern Illinois	31
2008	11/12	Northern Illinois	30	Central Michigan	33
2007	09/29	Central Michigan	35	Northern Illinois	10
2006	11/17	Northern Illinois	31	Central Michigan	10
2005	11/05	Central Michigan	28	Northern Illinois	31
2004	10/16	Northern Illinois	42	Central Michigan	10
2003	10/11	Central Michigan	24	Northern Illinois	40
2002	10/19	Northern Illinois	49	Central Michigan	0
2001	10/27	Central Michigan	24	Northern Illinois	33
2000	11/17	Northern Illinois	40	Central Michigan	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	12	10	6 Overs
Northern Illinois	13	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	4 - 8	0 - 5	4 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 15	8 - 4	3 - 4	5 - 0

(#74) NIU at (#124) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NIU	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#74	#124
SP+SP+	#85	#126
Perf GradeGrade	#82	#111
OffenseOff	#78	#113
DefenseDef	#64	#101
Spec TeamsST	#119	#34
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Central Michigan Injury Report

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#101
SuccessSuc	#62	#115
ExplosiveExp	#84	#93
PPAPPA	#54	#128
PowerPwr	#61	#125
SP+SP+	#109	#109
Pts POPPO	#102	#121
HavocHav	#50	#119

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#83	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#116
Run ExplRExp	#29	#91
PPAExp	#36	#118
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	#50	#119
Stuff RateStuff	#63	#117
TackleTak	-	#53

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	#85	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#96
PPAExp	#75	#122
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#31	#92
F7 HavocF7	#47	#121
DB HavocDB	#63	#98

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	NIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#64
SuccessSuc	#101	#52
ExplosiveExp	#42	#5
PPAPPA	#83	#36
PowerPwr	#74	#48
SP+SP+	#119	#47
Pts POPPO	#39	#32
HavocHav	#39	#120

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#84
Run ExplRExp	#23	#37
PPAExp	#30	#69
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#108
Stuff RateStuff	#30	#125
TackleTak	-	#60

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#21
Pass ExplPExl	#31	#14
PPAExp	#108	#18
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	#92
F7 HavocF7	#68	#114
DB HavocDB	#9	#115

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Sleet
Temp: 32°Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 10
Northern Illinois 3.0 (48.0)
Central Michigan won vs Northern Illinois this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Central Michigan last year (24-16)
Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (37-31)
Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (35-22)

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocky Lombardi	189	327	58%	2274	11	7	7.0
Ethan Hampton	19	33	58%	147	2	2	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antario Brown	212	1294	10	6.1	80
Gavin Williams (Tr)	95	488	3	5.1	53
Trayvon Rudolph	22	182	1	8.3	36
Rocky Lombardi	72	131	7	1.8	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trayvon Rudolph	51	531	2	10.4	72
Grayson Barnes	23	422	5	18.3	58
Kacper Rutkiewicz	20	313	2	15.7	64
Davis Patterson	16	197	0	12.3	28

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raishein Thomas	74	7	3	5	1
Jaden Dolphin	63	1	0	0	3
Tyler Jackson	56	2	0	2	0
DaRon Gilbert	52	3	1	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Ester	44	6	4	3	2
Roy Williams	24	6	4	1	1
George Gumbs	34	8	4	2	0
Devonte O'Malley	33	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jashon Prophete	33	1	8
Javaughn Byrd	32	2	5
Jacob Finley	33	1	3

CMU's OC Paul Petrino (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jase Bauer	163	287	57%	1881	12	8	6.6
Bert Emanuel Jr.	19	37	51%	286	3	3	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marion Lukes	144	737	5	5.1	46
Myles Bailey	102	476	3	4.7	48
Jase Bauer	121	366	10	3.0	29
Bert Emanuel Jr.	50	220	2	4.4	66

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyson Davis	29	444	4	15.3	67
Jesse Prewitt III	31	438	4	14.1	70
Chris Parker	23	409	3	17.8	62
Marion Lukes	29	300	0	10.3	44

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Jones	61	3	0	0	2
Kyle Moretti	59	3	2	1	5
Donte Kent	52	3	1	1	7
Dakota Cochran	51	2	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacques Bristol	41	8	4	5	2
Maurice White	18	5	4	5	0
Quindario Lee	26	7	3	4	0
Kyle Moretti	59	3	2	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donte Kent	52	3	1	1	7
Kyle Moretti	59	3	2	1	5
Daraun McKinney	39	3	0	1	4