Central Michigan at Western Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Tuesday, November 7th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Western Michigan -3.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 38 - Central Michigan: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 31 (19 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Michigan -6   (SP+ WMU -3)

Projected Score: CMU: 25 - WMU: 31 (56)
WMU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CMU Travel: 99 miles
Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41OY
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23ON
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31OY
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38ON
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34ON
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)-14.058.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Syracuse+24.556.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan at Iowa+28.543.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan at Toledo+21.552.5L 31 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-1.550.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Mississippi State+21.554.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)+7.546.0L 21 - 34ON
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Ohio+16.552.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-3.050.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.557.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 11/14 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+4.555.5L 0 - 24UN
Tue 11/21 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+2.054.5L 10 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#83 (.16)40% (101)23.243% (72)3.29 (35)16036% (111)1854.2 (39)#128 (.32)45% (115)31.148% (116)44% (95)4.43 (121)58.11.30.7
WMU#85 (.16)40% (90)23.741% (87)3.09 (71)15340% (87)2113.89 (72)#92 (.22)44% (101)31.846% (99)44% (99)4.15 (105)62.31.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1223.219.439.5%4.21.3193441601854.256%43%43%36%14%.16
WMU Defense1231.827.444.3%4.151.5 - - - - - 50%48%46%44%19%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1231.133.645.5%4.430.7 - - - - - 51%48%48%44%14%.32
WMU Offense1223.729.240.3%3.891.1203651532113.854%45%41%40%16%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1230:1318.934%70%6.758.11.30.74.61.5129.1
Western Michigan1229:5519.636%49%7.162.31.11.55.22028.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1256% (27)43% (72)38159.54.221 (54).22 (30)3.29 (35)77% (36)10% (68)1.09 (23)
WMU Defense1250% (74)46% (99) - - - - .17 (91)3.48 (127)81% (112)11% (44)0.95 (40)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1251% (86)48% (116) - - - - .25 (118)3.4 (119)77% (97)8% (121)1.04 (91)
WMU Offense1254% (38)41% (87)39.9153.33.821 (54).15 (73)3.09 (71)75% (58)10% (66)1 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1243% (110)36% (111)15.327.1184.76.812.115 (96)11 (68).16 (108)1.7 (31)36% (125)28% (86).36 (62)4% (9)2.3 (14)
WMU Defense1248% (47)44% (99) - - - - - - 9 (87).33 (104)1.6 (78)31% (94)30% (71).23 (29)9% (7)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1248% (50)44% (95) - - - - - - 5 (126).41 (122)1.7 (96)31% (90)29% (52).35 (87)5% (98)2 (52)
WMU Offense1245% (98)40% (87)20.632.8211.26.510.313 (111)9 (40).2 (96)1.5 (105)30% (29)25% (113).25 (93)6% (88)2 (96)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -11.77   Western Michigan: -9.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -19.2   Western Michigan: -15.9




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -9.59 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.6

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 31
Central Michigan 25


Total Points: 56

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.4

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/19Central Michigan16Western Michigan14Central MichiganWestern Michigan -6Central Michigan56.0Under
202311/07Western Michigan38Central Michigan28Western MichiganWestern Michigan -3.5Western Michigan57.5Over
202211/16Central Michigan10Western Michigan12Western MichiganCentral Michigan -10Western Michigan49.0Under
202111/03Western Michigan30Central Michigan42Central MichiganWestern Michigan -9Central Michigan64.5Over
202011/18Central Michigan44Western Michigan52Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1Western Michigan59.5Over
201909/28Western Michigan31Central Michigan15Western MichiganWestern Michigan -15Western Michigan62.0Under
201810/20Central Michigan10Western Michigan35Western MichiganWestern Michigan -7Western Michigan54.0Under
201711/01Western Michigan28Central Michigan35Central MichiganWestern Michigan -3.5Central Michigan48.5Over
201610/01Central Michigan10Western Michigan49Western MichiganWestern Michigan -4Western Michigan60.5Under
201510/10Western Michigan41Central Michigan39Western MichiganWestern Michigan -5Central Michigan51.5Over
201411/22Central Michigan20Western Michigan32Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1Western Michigan0
201311/16Western Michigan22Central Michigan27Central MichiganCentral Michigan -2.5Central Michigan0
201211/03Central Michigan31Western Michigan42Western Michigan
201109/17Western Michigan44Central Michigan14Western Michigan
201011/05Central Michigan26Western Michigan22Central Michigan
200910/17Western Michigan23Central Michigan34Central Michigan
200810/18Central Michigan38Western Michigan28Central Michigan
200711/06Western Michigan31Central Michigan34Central Michigan
200611/10Central Michigan31Western Michigan7Central Michigan
200511/12Western Michigan31Central Michigan24Western Michigan
200410/30Central Michigan24Western Michigan21Central Michigan
200311/15Western Michigan44Central Michigan21Western Michigan
200111/17Western Michigan20Central Michigan17Western Michigan
200011/10Central Michigan21Western Michigan17Central Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan1375 Overs
Central Michigan1155 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 113 - 92 - 41 - 5
Road Teams11 - 139 - 35 - 14 - 2

(#124) Central Michigan Info
Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


Central Michigan has won 1 straight
Central Michigan has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#96)


Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Central Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Central Michigan does not Sack the QB (#122)
Central Michigan has a bad defense (#121)
Central Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#75)
Central Michigan has a bad defensive line (#91)
Central Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#114)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWMUCMU
OverallOver#90#92
OffenseOff#87#96
DefenseDef#82#78
Special TeamsST#84#31
PassingPass#87#75
RushingRush#96#70
Run BlockRBLK#12#62
Pass BlockPBLK#33#100
Route RunningWR Rt#95#105
TacklingTkl#57#46
Run DefenseR Def#97#79
Pass Rush DefPRush#86#72
Coverage DefCov#53#79

Rematch from Week 11
Western Michigan -3.5 (57.5)
Western Michigan won vs Central Michigan this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Western Michigan last year (16-14)
Western Michigan beat Central Michigan in 2023 (38-28)
Western Michigan beat Central Michigan in 2022 (12-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | WMU
Depth Chart: CMU | WMU
Rosters: CMU | WMU
(#110) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -9.59 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30


Western Michigan has won 1 straight
Western Michigan has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#110)

Western Michigan Secondary is very good (#108)
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan Commits a Lot of Penalties (#91)
Western Michigan offense is not Explosive (#81)
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#72)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)


  
Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jase Bauer16328757%18811286.6
Bert Emanuel Jr.193751%286337.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes14473755.146
Myles Bailey10247634.748
Jase Bauer121366103.029
Bert Emanuel Jr.5022024.466
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyson Davis29444415.367
Jesse Prewitt III31438414.170
Chris Parker23409317.862
Marion Lukes29300010.344

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Jones613002
Kyle Moretti593215
Donte Kent523117
Dakota Cochran512011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacques Bristol418452
Maurice White185450
Quindario Lee267340
Kyle Moretti593215
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donte Kent523117
Kyle Moretti593215
Daraun McKinney393014

Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)14822666%1505856.7
Treyson Bourguet5710355%713416.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley189997105.375
Zahir Abdus-Salaam12347053.819
C.J. Hester2912424.329
Treyson Bourguet366501.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack7669119.134
Leroy Thomas36401211.141
Anthony Sambucci21318515.164
Blake Bosma19317216.758

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock (Tr)752004
Aaron Wofford721005
Damari Roberson682116
Jacob Wahlberg657204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marshawn Kneeland578580
Donald Willis (Tr)407422
Mason Nelson325310
Boone Bonnema184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone422008
Damari Roberson682116
Aaron Wofford721005