Miami (OH) at Kent State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden FlashesKent State logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (2:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -14 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 23 - Kent State: 3  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KENT is playing their 5th straight game
M-OH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -23   (SP+ M-OH -30)
Projected Score: M-OH: 36 - KENT: 13 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
M-OH Travel: 212 miles
Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 15 - 35 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Kent State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Kent State at UCF+35.054.0L 6 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Kent State at Arkansas+38.057.5L 6 - 28UY
Sat 9/16 Kent State vs Central Connecticut-21.546.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Kent State at Fresno State+27.547.5L 10 - 53ON
Sat 9/30 Kent State vs Miami (OH)+14.051.5L 3 - 23UN
Sat 10/7 Kent State at Ohio+24.545.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 10/14 Kent State at Eastern Michigan+7.040.0L 14 - 28ON
Sat 10/21 Kent State vs Buffalo+6.544.0L 6 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Kent State at Akron+4.039.0L 27 - 31OY
Wed 11/8 Kent State vs Bowling Green+10.541.5L 19 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kent State at Ball State+10.541.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/25 Kent State vs Northern Illinois+20.544.5L 27 - 37OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#78 (.18)37% (122)25.635% (129)2.95 (99)15839% (93)1653.99 (57)#20 (.1)40% (48)15.941% (47)41% (61)3.06 (14)39.11.11.2
KENT#125 (.05)35% (130)14.732% (133)2.84 (113)10640% (89)1653.27 (110)#125 (.32)45% (111)34.647% (108)44% (97)4.88 (132)46.210.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1425.625.636.5%3.991.1153241581654.458%41%35%39%18%.18
KENT Defense1234.628.645%4.880.8 - - - - - 56%43%47%44%13%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1415.920.740.5%3.061.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%41%17%.1
KENT Offense1214.718.635.2%3.271152701061652.953%47%32%40%19%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1429:3715.336%31%4.739.11.11.25.32.5035.4
Kent State1228:491530%46%5.446.210.84.10.9028.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1458% (15)35% (129)35.9158.14.423 (46).1 (94)2.95 (99)80% (20)11% (82)1.08 (25)
KENT Defense1256% (124)47% (108) - - - - .24 (117)3.23 (98)79% (107)7% (131)1.08 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1452% (92)41% (47) - - - - .06 (23)3.11 (70)72% (60)10% (69)0.87 (19)
KENT Offense1253% (44)32% (133)36.8105.92.98 (130)-.03 (132)2.84 (113)67% (109)12% (117)0.91 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1441% (120)39% (93)11.821165.47.91416 (92)7 (21).31 (59)1.8 (18)35% (117)25% (119).21 (104)7% (107)1.9 (116)
KENT Defense1243% (14)44% (97) - - - - - - 6 (120).44 (127)1.8 (117)32% (73)31% (76).33 (79)6% (91)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1447% (39)41% (61) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (27)1.3 (1)29% (119)24% (10).15 (7)8% (20)1.8 (11)
KENT Offense1247% (90)40% (89)13.325.5164.56.512.311 (117)6 (14).16 (110)1.6 (72)36% (122)25% (112).18 (108)7% (99)2 (76)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16   Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7   Kent State: -26.4




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.6
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 36
Kent State 13

Total Points: 49

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.6

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/13Miami (OH)34Kent State7Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -31Kent State47.5Under
202309/30Kent State3Miami (OH)23Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -14Miami (OH)51.5Under
202210/08Miami (OH)27Kent State24Miami (OH)Kent State -5Miami (OH)56.5Under
202111/27Kent State48Miami (OH)47Kent StateMiami (OH) -1.0Kent State68.0Over
201910/26Kent State16Miami (OH)23Miami (OH)Kent State -2.5Miami (OH)54.5Under
201810/13Miami (OH)31Kent State6Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -11.5Miami (OH)59.0Under
201710/14Kent State17Miami (OH)14Kent StateMiami (OH) -8.5Kent State42.0Under
201610/15Miami (OH)18Kent State14Miami (OH)Kent State -2Miami (OH)43.0Under
201510/03Kent State20Miami (OH)14Kent StateKent State -10.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
201410/25Miami (OH)10Kent State3Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -4.5Miami (OH)0
201311/13Kent State24Miami (OH)6Kent StateKent State -16.5Kent State0
201211/10Miami (OH)32Kent State48Kent State
201110/15Kent State3Miami (OH)9Miami (OH)
201010/02Miami (OH)27Kent State21Miami (OH)
200909/26Kent State29Miami (OH)19Kent State
200810/25Miami (OH)21Kent State54Kent State
200710/06Kent State13Miami (OH)20Miami (OH)
200609/16Miami (OH)14Kent State16Kent State
200509/17Kent State10Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
200410/09Miami (OH)47Kent State27Miami (OH)
200310/25Kent State30Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)
200209/21Miami (OH)27Kent State20Miami (OH)
200111/24Kent State24Miami (OH)20Kent State
200009/22Miami (OH)45Kent State14Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State941 Overs
Miami (OH)1578 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 97 - 43 - 34 - 1
Road Teams9 - 154 - 71 - 43 - 3

(#62) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50


Miami (OH) has won 3 straight
Miami (OH) has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 7 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) offense is explosive (#39)
Miami (OH) Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)
Miami (OH) defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Miami (OH) Secondary is very good (#66)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) offense is really bad (#124)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKENTM-OH
OverallOver#110#23
OffenseOff#105#60
DefenseDef#102#21
Special TeamsST#76#1
PassingPass#70#37
RushingRush#97#67
Run BlockRBLK#101#16
Pass BlockPBLK#109#76
Route RunningWR Rt#55#93
TacklingTkl#100#49
Run DefenseR Def#100#31
Pass Rush DefPRush#98#27
Coverage DefCov#105#30

Rematch from Week 5
Miami (OH) 14.0 (51.5)
Miami (OH) won at Kent State this year (23-3)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Kent State last year (34-7)
Miami (OH) beat Kent State in 2023 (23-3)
Miami (OH) beat Kent State in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | KENT
Depth Chart: M-OH | KENT
Rosters: M-OH | KENT
(#133) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90


Kent State has lost 1 straight
Kent State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Kent State Highlights
Kent State has a great TO Margin (#54)

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State has a really bad Offense
Kent State has a really bad Offense at Home
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Kent State has a bad defense (#66)
Kent State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#87)
Kent State Does Not Stuff Runs (#39)
Kent State has a bad red zone defense (#89)


  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert11118859%16341458.7
Aveon Smith489650%638226.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2101075135.166
Aveon Smith7528013.750
Kenny Tracy4625025.442
Keyon Mozee3415124.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gage Larvadain43696716.299
Cade McDonald28355312.742
Joe Wilkins25343113.749
Javon Tracy21331115.852

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1379333
Ty Wise1229855
Jacquez Warren715004
Brian Ugwu62128100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caiden Woullard41121091
Ty Wise1229855
Brian Ugwu62128100
Matthew Salopek1379333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5720012
Yahsyn McKee5820011
Austin Ertl392165

Kent State's OC Matt Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Alaimo7914455%932246.5
Tommy Ulatowski6012150%737726.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia13854423.942
Jaylen Thomas13346023.534
Xavier Williams4213713.318
Tommy Ulatowski478911.939
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray41610414.942
Luke Floriea39414410.643
Trell Harris26400115.443
Jameel Gardner Jr.24298112.450

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC David Duggan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Sheppert751027
Nick Giacolone505001
Stephen Daley476170
D.J. Miller461003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Harris316201
Marcus Winfield113210
Macyo Williams183220
Stephen Daley476170
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Capone Blue3000010
Bryce Sheppert751027
Alex Branch322103