Miami (OH) at Kent State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (2:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -14 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 23 - Kent State: 3 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENT is playing their 5th straight game
M-OH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -23 (SP+ M-OH -30)
Projected Score: M-OH: 37 - KENT: 14 (51)
M-OH Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
M-OH Travel: 212 miles

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 15 - 35 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami (OH) at Miami	+16.5	45.0	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Miami (OH) at Massachusetts	-7.0	45.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+14.5	44.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Miami (OH) vs Delaware State	-40.5	49.5	W 62 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Miami (OH) at Kent State	-14.0	51.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green	-7.5	43.0	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Miami (OH) at Western Michigan	-7.5	46.0	W 34 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+2.0	46.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+7.5	39.0	W 30 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Miami (OH) vs Akron	-17.5	37.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	-7.5	36.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Miami (OH) at Ball State	-3.5	34.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
Sat 12/2	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+8.5	46.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/16	Miami (OH) vs App State	+6.5	41.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#78 (.18)	37% (122)	25.6	35% (129)	2.95 (99)	158	39% (93)	165	3.99 (57)	#20 (.1)	40% (48)	15.9	41% (47)	41% (61)	3.06 (14)	39.1	1.1	1.2
KENT	#125 (.05)	35% (130)	14.7	32% (133)	2.84 (113)	106	40% (89)	165	3.27 (110)	#125 (.32)	45% (111)	34.6	47% (108)	44% (97)	4.88 (132)	46.2	1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	14	25.6	25.6	36.5%	3.99	1.1	15	324	158	165	4.4	58%	41%	35%	39%	18%	.18
KENT Defense	12	34.6	28.6	45%	4.88	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	44%	13%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	14	15.9	20.7	40.5%	3.06	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	41%	17%	.1
KENT Offense	12	14.7	18.6	35.2%	3.27	1	15	270	106	165	2.9	53%	47%	32%	40%	19%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	14	29:37	15.3	36%	31%	4.7	39.1	1.1	1.2	5.3	2.5	0	35.4
Kent State	12	28:49	15	30%	46%	5.4	46.2	1	0.8	4.1	0.9	0	28.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	14	58% (15)	35% (129)	35.9	158.1	4.4	23 (46)	.1 (94)	2.95 (99)	80% (20)	11% (82)	1.08 (25)
KENT Defense	12	56% (124)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.24 (117)	3.23 (98)	79% (107)	7% (131)	1.08 (106)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	14	52% (92)	41% (47)	-	-	-	-	.06 (23)	3.11 (70)	72% (60)	10% (69)	0.87 (19)
KENT Offense	12	53% (44)	32% (133)	36.8	105.9	2.9	8 (130)	-.03 (132)	2.84 (113)	67% (109)	12% (117)	0.91 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	14	41% (120)	39% (93)	11.8	21	165.4	7.9	14	16 (92)	7 (21)	.31 (59)	1.8 (18)	35% (117)	25% (119)	.21 (104)	7% (107)	1.9 (116)
KENT Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (97)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.44 (127)	1.8 (117)	32% (73)	31% (76)	.33 (79)	6% (91)	2 (55)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	14	47% (39)	41% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (27)	1.3 (1)	29% (119)	24% (10)	.15 (7)	8% (20)	1.8 (11)
KENT Offense	12	47% (90)	40% (89)	13.3	25.5	164.5	6.5	12.3	11 (117)	6 (14)	.16 (110)	1.6 (72)	36% (122)	25% (112)	.18 (108)	7% (99)	2 (76)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16 Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7 Kent State: -26.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.6
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 37
Kent State 14

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 30
Kent State 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 29
Kent State 17

Total Points: 46

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.6

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/13	Miami (OH)	34	Kent State	7	Miami (OH) -31	Kent State	47.5	Under
2023	09/30	Kent State	3	Miami (OH)	23	Miami (OH) -14	Miami (OH)	51.5	Under
2022	10/08	Miami (OH)	27	Kent State	24	Kent State -5	Miami (OH)	56.5	Under
2021	11/27	Kent State	48	Miami (OH)	47	Miami (OH) -1.0	Kent State	68.0	Over
2019	10/26	Kent State	16	Miami (OH)	23	Kent State -2.5	Miami (OH)	54.5	Under
2018	10/13	Miami (OH)	31	Kent State	6	Miami (OH) -11.5	Miami (OH)	59.0	Under
2017	10/14	Kent State	17	Miami (OH)	14	Miami (OH) -8.5	Kent State	42.0	Under
2016	10/15	Miami (OH)	18	Kent State	14	Kent State -2	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2015	10/03	Kent State	20	Miami (OH)	14	Kent State -10.5	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2014	10/25	Miami (OH)	10	Kent State	3	Miami (OH) -4.5	Miami (OH)	0
2013	11/13	Kent State	24	Miami (OH)	6	Kent State -16.5	Kent State	0
2012	11/10	Miami (OH)	32	Kent State	48
2011	10/15	Kent State	3	Miami (OH)	9
2010	10/02	Miami (OH)	27	Kent State	21
2009	09/26	Kent State	29	Miami (OH)	19
2008	10/25	Miami (OH)	21	Kent State	54
2007	10/06	Kent State	13	Miami (OH)	20
2006	09/16	Miami (OH)	14	Kent State	16
2005	09/17	Kent State	10	Miami (OH)	27
2004	10/09	Miami (OH)	47	Kent State	27
2003	10/25	Kent State	30	Miami (OH)	38
2002	09/21	Miami (OH)	27	Kent State	20
2001	11/24	Kent State	24	Miami (OH)	20
2000	09/22	Miami (OH)	45	Kent State	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	9	4	1 Overs
Miami (OH)	15	7	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	7 - 4	3 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 15	4 - 7	1 - 4	3 - 3

(#62) M-OH at (#133) KENT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	KENT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#62	#133
SP+SP+	#52	#133
Perf GradeGrade	#28	#131
OffenseOff	#66	#123
DefenseDef	#25	#129
Spec TeamsST	#1	#97
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Kent State Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	KENT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#129
SuccessSuc	#122	#111
ExplosiveExp	#17	#106
PPAPPA	#78	#125
PowerPwr	#100	#132
SP+SP+	#106	#115
Pts POPPO	#57	#132
HavocHav	#95	#122

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#95	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	#129	#108
Run ExplRExp	#25	#106
PPAExp	#94	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	#99	#98
Stuff RateStuff	#73	#108
TackleTak	-	#118

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#48	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	#93	#97
Pass ExplPExl	#18	#117
PPAExp	#59	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#131
F7 HavocF7	#82	#131
DB HavocDB	#107	#91

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#25
SuccessSuc	#130	#48
ExplosiveExp	#83	#3
PPAPPA	#125	#20
PowerPwr	#124	#20
SP+SP+	#133	#14
Pts POPPO	#110	#14
HavocHav	#111	#40

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#132	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#133	#47
Run ExplRExp	#105	#19
PPAExp	#132	#23
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#70
Stuff RateStuff	#64	#104
TackleTak	-	#56

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#1
PPAExp	#110	#27
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#31
F7 HavocF7	#117	#69
DB HavocDB	#99	#20

Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76°

Rematch from Week 5
Miami (OH) 14.0 (51.5)
Miami (OH) won at Kent State this year (23-3)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Kent State last year (34-7)
Miami (OH) beat Kent State in 2023 (23-3)
Miami (OH) beat Kent State in 2022 (27-24)

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brett Gabbert	111	188	59%	1634	14	5	8.7
Aveon Smith	48	96	50%	638	2	2	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)	210	1075	13	5.1	66
Aveon Smith	75	280	1	3.7	50
Kenny Tracy	46	250	2	5.4	42
Keyon Mozee	34	151	2	4.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gage Larvadain	43	696	7	16.2	99
Cade McDonald	28	355	3	12.7	42
Joe Wilkins	25	343	1	13.7	49
Javon Tracy	21	331	1	15.8	52

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	137	9	3	3	3
Ty Wise	122	9	8	5	5
Jacquez Warren	71	5	0	0	4
Brian Ugwu	62	12	8	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caiden Woullard	41	12	10	9	1
Ty Wise	122	9	8	5	5
Brian Ugwu	62	12	8	10	0
Matthew Salopek	137	9	3	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raion Strader	57	2	0	0	12
Yahsyn McKee	58	2	0	0	11
Austin Ertl	39	2	1	6	5

KENT's OC Matt Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Alaimo	79	144	55%	932	2	4	6.5
Tommy Ulatowski	60	121	50%	737	7	2	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Garcia	138	544	2	3.9	42
Jaylen Thomas	133	460	2	3.5	34
Xavier Williams	42	137	1	3.3	18
Tommy Ulatowski	47	89	1	1.9	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	41	610	4	14.9	42
Luke Floriea	39	414	4	10.6	43
Trell Harris	26	400	1	15.4	43
Jameel Gardner Jr.	24	298	1	12.4	50

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Nick Giacolone	50	5	0	0	1
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0
D.J. Miller	46	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Harris	31	6	2	0	1
Marcus Winfield	11	3	2	1	0
Macyo Williams	18	3	2	2	0
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Capone Blue	30	0	0	0	10
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Alex Branch	32	2	1	0	3