Miami (OH) at Western Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo   Miami (OH) RedHawks at Western Michigan Broncos  Western Michigan logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (46.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 34 - Western Michigan: 21  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU is playing their 7th straight game
M-OH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -11.5  (SP+ M-OH -19.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 28 - WMU: 17 (45)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 196 miles
Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)-14.058.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Syracuse+24.556.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan at Iowa+28.543.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan at Toledo+21.552.5L 31 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-1.550.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Mississippi State+21.554.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)+7.546.0L 21 - 34ON
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Ohio+16.552.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-3.050.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.557.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 11/14 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+4.555.5L 0 - 24UN
Tue 11/21 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+2.054.5L 10 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.137%23.536%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%21.739%43%3.1448.30.81.8
WMU.0634%24.934%2.8713635%1662.79.1944%17.447%42%3.3862.91.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1323.519.837.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1
WMU Defense1217.415.743.8%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%47%47%42%21%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1321.721.240.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
WMU Offense1224.92934.1%2.791.8173021361663.552%46%34%35%23%.06

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Western Michigan1230:2516.631%48%6.762.91.82.36.72.6328.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09
WMU Defense1252%47% - - - - .153.1379%14%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
WMU Offense1252%34%38.8136.33.514.032.8768%15%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9
WMU Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.271.731%31%.267%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
WMU Offense1246%35%13.927.9165.75.911.91013.181.739%23%.259%2.3

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16  #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13  #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90  #20
2023 Talent Rating: 408.16  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16   Western Michigan: -9.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7   Western Michigan: -15.9




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -9.59  #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77  #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36  #105
2023 Talent Rating: 401.82  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 28
Western Michigan 17

Projected Total Points: 45
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Miami (OH)26Western Michigan17Miami (OH) -2.5Miami (OH)40.5Over
202512/06Western Michigan23Miami (OH)13Western Michigan -2.5Western Michigan44.5Under
202310/14Western Michigan21Miami (OH)34Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)46.0Over
202210/22Miami (OH)10Western Michigan16Miami (OH) -7.0Western Michigan44.0Under
201910/12Western Michigan38Miami (OH)16Western Michigan -12Western Michigan57.5Under
201809/29Miami (OH)39Western Michigan40Western Michigan -3Miami (OH)52.5Over
201510/24Western Michigan35Miami (OH)13Western Michigan -20Western Michigan55.0Under
201411/01Miami (OH)10Western Michigan41Western Michigan -5Western Michigan0
201111/16Miami (OH)21Western Michigan24
200909/19Western Michigan48Miami (OH)26
200611/04Western Michigan27Miami (OH)24
200411/13Western Michigan21Miami (OH)42
200110/27Miami (OH)25Western Michigan11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan953 Overs
Miami (OH)434 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 65 - 34 - 11 - 2
Road Teams6 - 73 - 52 - 11 - 4

(#62) M-OH at (#110) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #62 #110
SP+SP+ #52 #120
Perf GradeGrade #28 #108
OffenseOff #66 #103
DefenseDef #25 #107
Spec TeamsST #1 #106
TalentTal #109 #112
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #66 #107
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #100 #105
SP+SP+ #106 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #95 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #66
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #48 #67
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #116
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #25
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #73 #20
SP+SP+ #111 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #131 #35
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #102 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #37 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Miami (OH) 7.5 (46.0)
Miami (OH) won at Western Michigan this year (34-21)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Miami (OH) last year (23-13)
Miami (OH) beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-21)

  
M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert11118859%16341458.7
Aveon Smith489650%638226.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2101075135.166
Aveon Smith7528013.750
Kenny Tracy4625025.442
Keyon Mozee3415124.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gage Larvadain43696716.299
Cade McDonald28355312.742
Joe Wilkins25343113.749
Javon Tracy21331115.852

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1379333
Ty Wise1229855
Jacquez Warren715004
Brian Ugwu62128100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caiden Woullard41121091
Ty Wise1229855
Brian Ugwu62128100
Matthew Salopek1379333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5720012
Yahsyn McKee5820011
Austin Ertl392165

WMU's OC Billy Cosh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)14822666%1505856.7
Treyson Bourguet5710355%713416.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley189997105.375
Zahir Abdus-Salaam12347053.819
C.J. Hester2912424.329
Treyson Bourguet366501.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack7669119.134
Leroy Thomas36401211.141
Anthony Sambucci21318515.164
Blake Bosma19317216.758

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock (Tr)752004
Aaron Wofford721005
Damari Roberson682116
Jacob Wahlberg657204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marshawn Kneeland578580
Donald Willis (Tr)407422
Mason Nelson325310
Boone Bonnema184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone422008
Damari Roberson682116
Aaron Wofford721005