Miami (OH) at Western Michigan Game Matchup

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Western Michigan Broncos

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (46.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 34 - Western Michigan: 21 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
WMU is playing their 7th straight game
M-OH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -11.5 (SP+ M-OH -19.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 31 - WMU: 19 (52)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 196 miles

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami (OH) at Miami	+16.5	45.0	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Miami (OH) at Massachusetts	-7.0	45.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+14.5	44.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Miami (OH) vs Delaware State	-40.5	49.5	W 62 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Miami (OH) at Kent State	-14.0	51.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green	-7.5	43.0	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Miami (OH) at Western Michigan	-7.5	46.0	W 34 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+2.0	46.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+7.5	39.0	W 30 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Miami (OH) vs Akron	-17.5	37.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	-7.5	36.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Miami (OH) at Ball State	-3.5	34.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
Sat 12/2	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+8.5	46.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/16	Miami (OH) vs App State	+6.5	41.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24	U	N
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.1	37%	24.1	36%	2.86	141	38%	166	3.31	.15	41%	18.8	39%	43%	3.14	48.3	0.8	1.8
WMU	.06	34%	28.9	34%	2.87	136	35%	166	2.79	.19	44%	31.3	47%	42%	3.38	62.9	1.8	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	13	24.1	23.2	37.1%	3.31	0.8	17	306	141	166	3.8	54%	45%	36%	38%	24%	.1
WMU Defense	12	31.3	27.2	43.8%	3.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	42%	21%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	13	18.8	21	40.9%	3.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	43%	24%	.15
WMU Offense	12	28.9	39.8	34.1%	2.79	1.8	17	302	136	166	3.5	52%	46%	34%	35%	23%	.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	13	30:00	17.2	32%	50%	5.5	48.3	0.8	1.8	4.4	2.2	1	29.9
Western Michigan	12	30:25	16.6	31%	48%	6.7	62.9	1.8	2.3	6.7	2.6	3	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	13	54%	36%	37.2	140.8	3.8	14	.06	2.86	67%	15%	1.09
WMU Defense	12	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.13	79%	14%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	13	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.67	77%	13%	0.82
WMU Offense	12	52%	34%	38.8	136.3	3.5	14	.03	2.87	68%	15%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	13	45%	38%	14.2	25.9	165.5	6.4	11.7	15	5	.16	1.6	36%	26%	.18	8%	1.9
WMU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	31%	31%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.33	1.6	33%	33%	.33	11%	2
WMU Offense	12	46%	35%	13.9	27.9	165.7	5.9	11.9	10	13	.18	1.7	39%	23%	.25	9%	2.3

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16 Western Michigan: -9.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7 Western Michigan: -15.9

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -9.59 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 31
Western Michigan 19

Projected Total Points: 52

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Western Michigan	21	Miami (OH)	34	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	46.0	Over
2022	10/22	Miami (OH)	10	Western Michigan	16	Western Michigan	Miami (OH) -7.0	Western Michigan	44.0	Under
2019	10/12	Western Michigan	38	Miami (OH)	16	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -12	Western Michigan	57.5	Under
2018	09/29	Miami (OH)	39	Western Michigan	40	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -3	Miami (OH)	52.5	Over
2015	10/24	Western Michigan	35	Miami (OH)	13	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -20	Western Michigan	55.0	Under
2014	11/01	Miami (OH)	10	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -5	Western Michigan	0
2011	11/16	Miami (OH)	21	Western Michigan	24	Western Michigan
2009	09/19	Western Michigan	48	Miami (OH)	26	Western Michigan
2006	11/04	Western Michigan	27	Miami (OH)	24	Western Michigan
2004	11/13	Western Michigan	21	Miami (OH)	42	Miami (OH)
2001	10/27	Miami (OH)	25	Western Michigan	11	Miami (OH)

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	8	4	2 Overs
Miami (OH)	3	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 5	3 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 2

(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Miami (OH) Ratings Matchup Western Michigan

Power #62

#110

Off #100

#73

Def #20

#105

Talent #69

#86

SP+ #52

#120

SP+ Off #106

#111

SP+ Def #14

#106

Rematch from Week 7
Miami (OH) 7.5 (46.0)
Miami (OH) won at Western Michigan this year (34-21)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-21)
Western Michigan beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (16-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 56° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.004

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | WMU
Depth Chart: M-OH | WMU
Rosters: M-OH | WMU

(#110) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.59 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brett Gabbert	217	379	57%	2921	21	11	7.7
Alec Bevelhimer	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyon Mozee	178	1098	4	6.2	74
Kevin Davis	50	331	4	6.6	97
Rashad Amos (Tr)	9	75	0	8.3	42
Gage Larvadain	2	15	0	7.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cade McDonald	52	631	3	12.1	51
Kevin Davis	29	234	2	8.1	35
Gage Larvadain	19	223	1	11.7	44
Jack Coldiron	13	139	0	10.7	22

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	122	8	1	2	3
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Corey Suttle	36	8	6	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Corey Suttle	36	8	6	10	0
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Caiden Woullard	13	3	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	122	8	1	2	3
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Ambe' Caldwell	29	1	0	1	2

Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)	191	285	67%	2214	17	7	7.8
Anthony Sambucci	0	2	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	104	567	3	5.5	70
C.J. Hester	119	529	4	4.4	24
Keshawn King (Tr)	9	27	0	3.0	8
Kenneth Womack	2	7	0	3.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenneth Womack	34	456	1	13.4	41
Blake Bosma	37	403	6	10.9	55
Anthony Sambucci	31	376	2	12.1	54
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	28	227	1	8.1	31

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donald Willis (Tr)	109	7	1	4	4
Jacob Wahlberg	78	2	1	1	1
Bilhal Kone	70	1	0	2	8
Damari Roberson	52	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donald Willis (Tr)	109	7	1	4	4
Jacob Wahlberg	78	2	1	1	1
Boone Bonnema	26	2	1	1	0
Quinton Cannon	1	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bilhal Kone	70	1	0	2	8
Donald Willis (Tr)	109	7	1	4	4
Damari Roberson	52	1	0	0	3