Akron at Miami (OH) - 2023 Matchup Preview
Akron logo   Akron Zips at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Wednesday, November 8th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -17.5 (37.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 19 - Akron: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami (OH) -22  (SP+ M-OH -25)

Projected Score: AKR: 11 - M-OH: 33 (44)
M-OH Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
AKR Travel: 201 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Akron's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Akron at Temple+9.555.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Akron vs Morgan State-25.046.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/16 Akron at Kentucky+25.048.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/23 Akron at Indiana+16.545.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 Akron vs Buffalo-3.053.0L 10 - 13UN
Sat 10/7 Akron vs Northern Illinois+4.042.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 10/14 Akron at Central Michigan+10.544.0L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Akron at Bowling Green+7.037.0L 14 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Akron vs Kent State-4.039.0W 31 - 27ON
Wed 11/8 Akron at Miami (OH)+17.537.5L 0 - 19UN
Tue 11/14 Akron at Eastern Michigan+3.539.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 11/24 Akron vs Ohio+13.541.5L 14 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR.1444%22.346%3.148643%2603.16.2744%27.442%47%4.3454.31.80.8
M-OH.137%23.536%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%21.739%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1222.31743.8%3.161.82134686260337%62%46%43%30%.14
M-OH Defense1321.722.740.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense1227.436.344.1%4.340.8 - - - - - 54%45%42%47%20%.27
M-OH Offense1323.532.337.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1227:4121.234%50%654.31.80.84.81.5127.4
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1237%46%2985.5315.023.1470%20%0.81
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254%42% - - - - .122.9571%12%1.02
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1262%43%24.738.1260.36.810.61310.271.531%35%.3210%2.1
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245%47% - - - - - - 8.491.731%30%.48%2.2
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90  #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28  #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21  #63
2023 Talent Rating: 445.02  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6  #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5  #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90   Miami (OH): 4.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 4.27  #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13  #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90  #20
2023 Talent Rating: 408.16  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 33
Akron 11


Projected Total Points: 44
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Akron7Miami (OH)20Miami (OH) -11.5Miami (OH)47.5Under
202311/08Miami (OH)19Akron0Miami (OH) -17.5Miami (OH)37.5Under
202210/29Akron9Miami (OH)27Miami (OH) -9Miami (OH)51.5Under
202110/16Miami (OH)34Akron21Miami (OH) -20.0Akron51.0Over
202011/28Akron7Miami (OH)38Miami (OH) -14Miami (OH)55.0Under
201911/20Miami (OH)20Akron17Miami (OH) -30.5Akron44.5Under
201810/06Akron17Miami (OH)41Akron -5Miami (OH)47.5Over
201711/07Miami (OH)24Akron14Miami (OH) -11.5Akron51.0Under
201610/08Akron35Miami (OH)13Akron -7.5Akron54.0Under
201511/14Miami (OH)28Akron37Akron -6Akron43.0Over
201410/11Akron29Miami (OH)19Akron -13.5Miami (OH)0
201310/19Miami (OH)17Akron24Akron -6Akron0
201209/29Akron49Miami (OH)56
201111/03Miami (OH)35Akron3
201011/17Akron14Miami (OH)19
200711/14Miami (OH)7Akron0
200610/21Akron24Miami (OH)13
200510/15Miami (OH)51Akron23
200411/20Akron27Miami (OH)37
200310/04Miami (OH)45Akron20
200209/28Akron31Miami (OH)48
200110/13Miami (OH)30Akron27
200009/29Akron37Miami (OH)20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1763 Overs
Akron667 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 102 - 102 - 50 - 5
Road Teams10 - 1310 - 25 - 05 - 2

(#130) AKR at (#62) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAKRM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #130 #62
SP+SP+ #128 #52
Perf GradeGrade #134 #28
OffenseOff #136 #66
DefenseDef #92 #25
Spec TeamsST #110 #1
TalentTal #102 #109
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Akron on Offense
CategoryCat
AKR OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #25
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #129 #20
SP+SP+ #132 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Akron Run Game
CategoryCat
AKR OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #98 #35
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Akron Pass Game
CategoryCat
AKR OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #132 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #119 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffAKR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #66 #92
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #100 #63
SP+SP+ #106 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffAKR Def
Run GameRun #95 #79
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #37
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffAKR Def
Pass GamePass #48 #82
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #111
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Miami (OH) -17.5 (37.5)
Miami (OH) won vs Akron this year (19-0)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Akron last year (20-7)
Miami (OH) beat Akron in 2023 (19-0)

  
AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jeff Undercuffler13822462%1378496.2
DJ Irons8813366%722335.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)14364144.571
DJ Irons6121523.547
Tahj Bullock (Tr)6216542.727
Drake Anderson4013213.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jasaiah Gathings55575110.539
Daniel George52529110.250
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)3735629.677
Alex Adams2218828.529

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish854130
Bryan McCoy815100
Darrian Lewis652113
C.J. Nunnally5812582
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5812582
Bennett Adler245310
Antonio Smith32220
Shammond Cooper (Tr)416210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Durant301026
Kerry Martin Jr.442106
Judson Tallandier393015

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert11118859%16341458.7
Aveon Smith489650%638226.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2101075135.166
Aveon Smith7528013.750
Kenny Tracy4625025.442
Keyon Mozee3415124.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gage Larvadain43696716.299
Cade McDonald28355312.742
Joe Wilkins25343113.749
Javon Tracy21331115.852

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1379333
Ty Wise1229855
Jacquez Warren715004
Brian Ugwu62128100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caiden Woullard41121091
Ty Wise1229855
Brian Ugwu62128100
Matthew Salopek1379333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5720012
Yahsyn McKee5820011
Austin Ertl392165