Miami (OH) at Ohio Game Matchup

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -7.5 (39.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 30 - Ohio: 16 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
OHIO 2nd straight Home Game
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
M-OH is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -1.5 (SP+ M-OH -6)
Projected Score: M-OH: 21 - OHIO: 22 (45)
OHIO Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami (OH) at Miami	+16.5	45.0	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Miami (OH) at Massachusetts	-7.0	45.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+14.5	44.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Miami (OH) vs Delaware State	-40.5	49.5	W 62 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Miami (OH) at Kent State	-14.0	51.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green	-7.5	43.0	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Miami (OH) at Western Michigan	-7.5	46.0	W 34 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+2.0	46.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+7.5	39.0	W 30 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Miami (OH) vs Akron	-17.5	37.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	-7.5	36.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Miami (OH) at Ball State	-3.5	34.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
Sat 12/2	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+8.5	46.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/16	Miami (OH) vs App State	+6.5	41.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.1	37%	24.1	36%	2.86	141	38%	166	3.31	.15	41%	18.8	39%	43%	3.14	48.3	0.8	1.8
OHIO	.23	44%	29.3	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	18.1	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	13	24.1	23.2	37.1%	3.31	0.8	17	306	141	166	3.8	54%	45%	36%	38%	24%	.1
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	13.8	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	13	18.8	21	40.9%	3.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	43%	24%	.15
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	33.7	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	13	30:00	17.2	32%	50%	5.5	48.3	0.8	1.8	4.4	2.2	1	29.9
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	13	54%	36%	37.2	140.8	3.8	14	.06	2.86	67%	15%	1.09
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	13	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.67	77%	13%	0.82
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	13	45%	38%	14.2	25.9	165.5	6.4	11.7	15	5	.16	1.6	36%	26%	.18	8%	1.9
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.33	1.6	33%	33%	.33	11%	2
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16 Ohio: 3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7 Ohio: -2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 22
Miami (OH) 21

Projected Total Points: 45

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Miami (OH)	30	Ohio	20	Miami (OH)	Miami (OH) -3.5	Miami (OH)	43.5	Over
2024	12/07	Miami (OH)	3	Ohio	38	Ohio	Miami (OH) -2.5	Ohio	43.5	Under
2023	10/28	Ohio	16	Miami (OH)	30	Miami (OH)	Ohio -7.5	Miami (OH)	39.0	Over
2022	11/08	Miami (OH)	21	Ohio	37	Ohio	Ohio -2.5	Ohio	52.0	Over
2021	11/02	Ohio	35	Miami (OH)	33	Ohio	Miami (OH) -7	Ohio	54.5	Over
2019	11/06	Ohio	21	Miami (OH)	24	Miami (OH)	Ohio -7	Miami (OH)	57.5	Under
2018	11/07	Miami (OH)	30	Ohio	28	Miami (OH)	Ohio -4.5	Miami (OH)	59.0	Under
2017	10/31	Ohio	45	Miami (OH)	28	Ohio	Ohio -7	Ohio	53.5	Over
2016	10/01	Miami (OH)	7	Ohio	17	Ohio	Ohio -3.5	Ohio	50.0	Under
2015	10/10	Ohio	34	Miami (OH)	3	Ohio	Ohio -17.5	Ohio	50.5	Under
2014	11/25	Miami (OH)	21	Ohio	24	Ohio	Ohio -3	NA	52.5	Under
2013	10/26	Ohio	41	Miami (OH)	16	Ohio	Ohio -24	Ohio	0
2012	10/27	Miami (OH)	23	Ohio	20	Miami (OH)
2011	11/22	Ohio	21	Miami (OH)	14	Ohio
2010	10/23	Miami (OH)	13	Ohio	34	Ohio
2009	10/17	Ohio	28	Miami (OH)	7	Ohio
2008	11/28	Miami (OH)	26	Ohio	41	Ohio
2007	11/24	Ohio	38	Miami (OH)	29	Ohio
2006	11/24	Miami (OH)	24	Ohio	34	Ohio
2005	11/21	Ohio	7	Miami (OH)	38	Miami (OH)
2004	09/18	Miami (OH)	40	Ohio	20	Miami (OH)
2003	11/22	Ohio	31	Miami (OH)	49	Miami (OH)
2002	11/02	Miami (OH)	38	Ohio	20	Miami (OH)
2001	10/20	Ohio	24	Miami (OH)	36	Miami (OH)
2000	11/03	Miami (OH)	27	Ohio	24	Miami (OH)

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	14	7	5 Overs
Miami (OH)	11	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	6 - 5	4 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 13	5 - 6	2 - 2	3 - 4

(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Miami (OH) Ratings Matchup Ohio

Power #62

#42

Off #100

#68

Def #20

Talent #69

#118

SP+ #52

#74

SP+ Off #106

#115

SP+ Def #14

#13

Rematch from Week 9
Ohio -7.5 (39.0)
Miami (OH) won at Ohio this year (30-16)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (37-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 66° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.016

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | OHIO
Depth Chart: M-OH | OHIO
Rosters: M-OH | OHIO

(#42) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20

Team Profile

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Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brett Gabbert	217	379	57%	2921	21	11	7.7
Alec Bevelhimer	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyon Mozee	178	1098	4	6.2	74
Kevin Davis	50	331	4	6.6	97
Rashad Amos (Tr)	9	75	0	8.3	42
Gage Larvadain	2	15	0	7.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cade McDonald	52	631	3	12.1	51
Kevin Davis	29	234	2	8.1	35
Gage Larvadain	19	223	1	11.7	44
Jack Coldiron	13	139	0	10.7	22

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	122	8	1	2	3
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Corey Suttle	36	8	6	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Corey Suttle	36	8	6	10	0
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Caiden Woullard	13	3	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	122	8	1	2	3
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Ambe' Caldwell	29	1	0	1	2

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
CJ Harris	19	31	61%	184	0	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
CJ Harris	18	49	0	2.7	13
Kurtis Rourke	46	-35	2	-0.8	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacoby Jones	22	327	2	14.9	40
Miles Cross	27	324	4	12.0	34
Aramoni Rhone	15	235	2	15.7	52
Will Kacmarek	8	86	0	10.8	32

View Ohio's Full Roster

Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	0	4
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0
Xander Karagosian	2	1	1	0	0
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	10
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	4
Keye Thompson	28	2	1	1