SMU at Rice - 2023 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -12 (59.5) (-500)  Open: -10.5
SMU 36 - Rice: 31  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RICE 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: SMU -12   (SP+ SMU -19)
Projected Score: SMU: 34 - RICE: 22 (53)
SMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SMU Travel: 230 miles
Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-21.066.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 SMU at Oklahoma+16.568.5L 11 - 28UN
Sat 9/16 SMU vs Prairie View A&M-42.563.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/23 SMU at TCU+7.063.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/30 SMU vs Charlotte-22.553.0W 34 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 SMU at East Carolina-11.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 10/20 SMU at Temple-24.053.0W 55 - 0OY
Sat 10/28 SMU vs Tulsa-20.555.0W 69 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 SMU at Rice-12.059.5W 36 - 31ON
Fri 11/10 SMU vs North Texas-21.567.5W 45 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis-9.564.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Navy-20.046.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 12/2 SMU at Tulane+4.050.5W 26 - 14UY
Thu 12/28 SMU vs Boston College-13.549.0L 14 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Rice's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Rice at Texas+35.559.0L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/9 Rice vs Houston+7.551.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 9/16 Rice vs Texas Southern-35.560.0W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Rice at South Florida-2.556.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Rice vs East Carolina-3.547.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/7 Rice vs UConn-10.047.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Rice at Tulsa+3.056.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Rice vs Tulane+10.055.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/4 Rice vs SMU+12.059.5L 31 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Rice at UTSA+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Rice at Charlotte+0.546.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-5.046.5W 24 - 21UN
Tue 12/26 Rice vs Texas State+3.558.5L 21 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2645%36.545%3.1315645%3174.58.2643%22.146%40%4.3241.71.51.7
RICE.1642%22.241%2.9914144%2333.56.3244%25.445%44%4.3853.72.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1336.52944.8%4.581.5254731563174.147%52%45%45%13%.26
RICE Defense1325.421.244.1%4.381.5 - - - - - 49%50%45%44%15%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1322.122.243%4.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%46%40%13%.26
RICE Offense1322.231.841.9%3.562.520374141233451%47%41%44%20%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1327:4225.548%59%4.241.71.51.74.82.1029.7
Rice1332:4920.142%44%6.153.72.51.54.11.5128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1347%45%37.8156.24.126.173.1372%9%0.93
RICE Defense1349%45% - - - - .283.4767%9%1.22
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1354%46% - - - - .293.2374%8%1.16
RICE Offense1351%41%35.4141.4417.152.9983%11%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1352%45%25.639.5316.7812.43611.371.731%35%.485%2.2
RICE Defense1350%44% - - - - - - 8.411.831%33%.436%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1345%40% - - - - - - 10.311.732%30%.375%2.2
RICE Offense1347%44%17.931232.87.5132320.231.633%32%.289%2

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 11.11 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 11.11   Rice: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 10.5   Rice: -8.3




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 34
Rice 22

Projected Total Points: 53
Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Rice31SMU36SMUSMU -12Rice59.5Over
201211/17Rice36SMU14Rice
201111/26SMU27Rice24SMU
201010/02Rice31SMU42SMU
200911/07SMU31Rice28SMU
200808/29Rice56SMU27Rice
200711/10SMU42Rice43Rice
200611/25Rice31SMU27Rice
200511/05SMU27Rice7SMU
200410/09Rice44SMU10Rice
200311/15SMU20Rice41Rice
200210/26Rice27SMU15Rice
200111/24SMU37Rice20SMU
200011/03Rice43SMU14Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice811 Overs
SMU600 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 100 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#19) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.11 #19
Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10

Team Profile






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SMU     Ratings Matchup     Rice
Power #19
#57
Off #26
#29
Def #10
#76
Talent #91
#89
SP+ #25
#95
SP+ Off #18
#63
SP+ Def #41
#106

Rematch from Week 10
SMU 12.0 (59.5)
SMU won at Rice this year (36-31)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Rice in 2023 (36-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: SMU | RICE
Depth Chart: SMU | RICE
Rosters: SMU | RICE
(#57) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






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SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Roderick Daniels010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roderick Daniels4416033.613
Velton Gardner82603.310
Carter Campbell1606.06
Kelvontay Dixon1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roderick Daniels42601414.381
Keyshawn Smith33527516.045
Kelvontay Dixon21386118.487
Jake Bailey19275114.539

View SMU's Full Roster
SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)1026341
Ahmad Walker (Tr)888143
Jonathan McGill (Tr)522016
Cale Sanders (Tr)456151
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)32107101
Jayden Jones257440
Kobe Wilson (Tr)1026341
Kori Roberson (Tr)263323
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonathan McGill (Tr)522016
Brandon Crossley301016
Ahmad Walker (Tr)888143

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Francisco197804.114
Kobie Campbell140040.040
Matt Sykes (Tr)2-40-2.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matt Sykes (Tr)65795512.237
Kobie Campbell32372111.633
Elijah Mojarro2221539.841
Boden Groen129407.821

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306
Josh Pearcy356440
Myron Morrison296240
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Pearcy356440
Gabe Taylor457306
Michael Larbie94240
Myron Morrison296240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Fresch471008
Gabe Taylor457306
Chike Anigbogu103122