Rice at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -35.5 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 37 - Rice: 10

Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas -26.5 (SP+ TEX -33)
Projected Score: RICE: 15 - TEX: 41 (56)
TEX Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
RICE Travel: 144 miles

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (39 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Rice at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	51.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Rice vs Texas Southern	-35.5	60.0	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rice at South Florida	-2.5	56.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Rice vs East Carolina	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Rice vs UConn	-10.0	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Rice at Tulsa	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Rice vs Tulane	+10.0	55.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Rice vs SMU	+12.0	59.5	L 31 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rice at UTSA	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rice at Charlotte	+0.5	46.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-5.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Tue 12/26	Rice vs Texas State	+3.5	58.5	L 21 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#52 (.22)	44% (49)	29.5	43% (70)	3.01 (87)	110	45% (32)	252	4.81 (9)	#63 (.17)	41% (57)	28.1	44% (83)	39% (33)	3.61 (52)	49.4	2	0.9
TEX	#33 (.28)	45% (43)	35.8	42% (81)	3.19 (54)	176	48% (16)	266	3.84 (75)	#15 (.1)	36% (14)	18.9	33% (5)	38% (26)	3.43 (38)	47.5	1.1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
TEX	#39 (.24)	46% (27)		49% (16)	2.95 (84)	152	44% (43)	241	4.03 (54)	#3 (-.01)	38% (22)		42% (61)	34% (7)	2.57 (3)	44.3	1.4	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	13	29.5	24.6	43.7%	4.81	2	19	363	110	252	3.7	41%	58%	43%	45%	17%	.22
TEX Defense	14	18.9	12.8	35.9%	3.43	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	33%	38%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	13	28.1	26	41.2%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	12%	.17
TEX Offense	14	35.8	38.8	44.7%	3.84	1.1	21	442	176	266	4.9	49%	51%	42%	48%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	13	30:59	18.8	38%	67%	5.8	49.4	2	0.9	3.8	1.3	1	28.7
Texas	14	29:31	21.4	39%	63%	5.9	47.5	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.1	5	31

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	13	41% (120)	43% (70)	29.8	110.5	3.7	21 (54)	.12 (86)	3.01 (87)	65% (118)	10% (59)	0.96 (89)
TEX Defense	14	41% (4)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (4)	2.45 (5)	54% (2)	11% (37)	0.79 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	13	52% (93)	44% (83)	-	-	-	-	.19 (99)	3.15 (80)	73% (66)	7% (125)	1.01 (79)
TEX Offense	14	49% (80)	42% (81)	35.6	175.6	4.9	26 (30)	.21 (35)	3.19 (54)	64% (121)	8% (33)	1.13 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	13	58% (13)	45% (32)	20.6	33.2	252.5	7.6	12.3	29 (18)	16 (121)	.34 (45)	1.6 (54)	32% (74)	32% (60)	.32 (71)	7% (103)	2.1 (47)
TEX Defense	14	58% (131)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.24 (52)	1.7 (92)	36% (20)	28% (31)	.27 (42)	8% (15)	2.1 (87)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	13	48% (42)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.21 (34)	1.6 (53)	33% (49)	29% (44)	.24 (34)	5% (109)	2 (53)
TEX Offense	14	51% (50)	48% (16)	20.9	30.9	266.4	8.6	12.7	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (38)	1.5 (102)	30% (32)	34% (32)	.45 (32)	5% (46)	2.1 (52)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: 1.12 Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.3 Texas: 24.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 41
Rice 15

Total Points: 56

Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Texas	37	Rice	10	Texas	Texas -35.5	Rice	59.0	Under
2021	09/18	Texas	58	Rice	0	Texas	Texas -26	Texas	52.0	Over
2019	09/14	Rice	13	Texas	48	Texas	Texas -32	Texas	57.5	Over
2015	09/12	Texas	42	Rice	28	Texas	Texas -16	Rice	49.5	Over
2011	09/03	Texas	34	Rice	9	Texas
2010	09/04	Rice	17	Texas	34	Texas
2008	09/20	Texas	52	Rice	10	Texas
2007	09/22	Texas	58	Rice	14	Texas
2006	09/16	Rice	7	Texas	52	Texas
2005	09/17	Texas	51	Rice	10	Texas
2004	09/25	Texas	35	Rice	13	Texas
2003	09/20	Rice	7	Texas	48	Texas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	12	2	3 Overs
Rice	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 8	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1

(#57) Rice Info
Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Highlights
Rice offense is good in red zone (#99)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice does not Sack the QB (#31)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	TEX	RICE
OverallOver	#8	#75
OffenseOff	#15	#86
DefenseDef	#13	#58
Special TeamsST	#4	#71
PassingPass	#19	#92
RushingRush	#17	#60
Run BlockRBLK	#44	#72
Pass BlockPBLK	#3	#110
Route RunningWR Rt	#12	#32
TacklingTkl	#68	#54
Run DefenseR Def	#5	#80
Pass Rush DefPRush	#15	#70
Coverage DefCov	#49	#37

Rematch from Week 1
Texas -35.5 (59.0)
Texas won vs Rice this year (37-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Rice in 2023 (37-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | TEX
Depth Chart: RICE | TEX
Rosters: RICE | TEX

(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Record at home: 6 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Highlights
Texas is Undefeated at Home

Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas has a good run defense (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#31)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JT Daniels (Tr)	181	287	63%	2443	21	7	8.5
AJ Padgett	71	117	61%	721	8	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	121	771	7	6.4	57
Juma Otoviano	92	326	4	3.5	24
Luke McCaffrey	15	117	0	7.8	40
Ari Broussard	29	91	0	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke McCaffrey	71	992	13	14.0	51
Dean Connors	43	403	3	9.4	80
Boden Groen	39	383	3	9.8	31
Landon Ransom-Goelz	26	380	3	14.6	44

View Rice's Full Roster

Rice's DC Brian Smith

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myron Morrison	68	3	1	4	0
Plae Wyatt	65	3	1	2	5
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Chris Conti	45	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chike Anigbogu	18	3	2	0	0
De'Braylon Carroll	38	8	2	5	0
Jonathan Jean	34	4	2	0	1
DJ Arkansas	31	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Shon Devones	38	2	0	0	9
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Tyson Flowers	23	2	1	0	5

Texas's OC Kyle Flood

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	272	394	69%	3479	22	6	8.8
Maalik Murphy	40	71	56%	477	3	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathon Brooks	187	1139	10	6.1	67
CJ Baxter Jr.	138	659	5	4.8	54
Jaydon Blue	65	398	3	6.1	69
Keilan Robinson	12	134	3	11.2	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Worthy	75	1014	5	13.5	54
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)	55	845	11	15.4	62
Ja'Tavion Sanders	45	682	2	15.2	50
Jordan Whittington	42	505	1	12.0	41

View Texas's Full Roster

Texas's DC Jeff Choate

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylan Ford	96	11	1	6	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Jahdae Barron	55	4	0	0	5
Michael Taaffe	45	3	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Ethan Burke	39	9	5	2	0
Byron Murphy II	26	8	5	6	0
Barryn Sorrell	34	4	3	11	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jerrin Thompson	37	1	7
Terrance Brooks	20	0	5
Jahdae Barron	55	4	5