Louisiana Tech at SMU - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisiana Tech logo Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at SMU Mustangs(#16)SMU logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
SMU -21 (66.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
SMU 38 - Louisiana Tech: 14

 
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 90.9° (30% Hum)
Our Line: SMU -24  (SP+ SMU -23)
Projected Score: LT: 22 - SMU: 46 (67)
SMU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
LT Travel: 241 miles
Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (52 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
SMU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-21.066.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 SMU at Oklahoma+16.568.5L 11 - 28UN
Sat 9/16 SMU vs Prairie View A&M-42.563.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/23 SMU at TCU+7.063.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/30 SMU vs Charlotte-22.553.0W 34 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 SMU at East Carolina-11.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 10/20 SMU at Temple-24.053.0W 55 - 0OY
Sat 10/28 SMU vs Tulsa-20.555.0W 69 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 SMU at Rice-12.059.5W 36 - 31ON
Fri 11/10 SMU vs North Texas-21.567.5W 45 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis-9.564.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Navy-20.046.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 12/2 SMU at Tulane+4.050.5W 26 - 14UY
Thu 12/28 SMU vs Boston College-13.549.0L 14 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#91 (.15)42% (64)25.943% (66)2.74 (122)12542% (63)2613.91 (67)#111 (.25)43% (78)33.448% (117)36% (15)4.63 (128)62.81.50.8
SMU#24 (.28)44% (46)38.747% (30)3.21 (49)17742% (67)2784.51 (21)#7 (.04)36% (10)17.837% (17)35% (8)3.59 (51)40.80.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Offense1225.920.342.3%3.911.5203841252613.945%54%43%42%18%.15
SMU Defense1417.812.535.7%3.591.2 - - - - - 47%52%37%35%19%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Defense1233.436.542.8%4.630.8 - - - - - 58%41%48%36%15%.25
SMU Offense1438.752.343.9%4.510.9244551772784.550%49%47%42%12%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech1229:4420.130%50%6.862.81.50.85.51.3329.3
SMU1430:2123.543%59%4.640.80.91.26.63.1530.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Offense1245% (102)43% (66)31.8124.63.920 (61).11 (90)2.74 (122)74% (73)12% (107)0.97 (88)
SMU Defense1447% (38)37% (17) - - - - .04 (19)2.9 (35)67% (30)12% (23)0.97 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Defense1258% (132)48% (117) - - - - .29 (129)3.29 (109)84% (121)10% (83)1.15 (119)
SMU Offense1450% (66)47% (30)39.7176.64.529 (22).18 (52)3.21 (49)85% (2)6% (4)0.88 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Offense1254% (32)42% (63)22.435.2260.97.411.616 (92)11 (68).23 (87)1.6 (78)32% (70)25% (113).22 (103)6% (76)2.3 (13)
SMU Defense1452% (97)35% (8) - - - - - - 12 (37).09 (8)1.7 (87)36% (18)22% (1).07 (2)8% (19)2.1 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Defense1241% (2)36% (15) - - - - - - 5 (126).23 (43)1.9 (132)32% (71)31% (83).36 (94)6% (79)2.3 (125)
SMU Offense1449% (71)42% (67)19.633.2278.48.414.233 (11)8 (30).45 (16)2 (3)31% (57)33% (44).38 (53)6% (58)2.1 (46)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.63  #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14  #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18  #112
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.63   SMU: 13.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -12.5   SMU: 10.5




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 13.305  #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10  #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02  #10
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5  #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 46
Louisiana Tech 22

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 43
Louisiana Tech 32

Total Points: 75

Based on Entire Season
SMU 40
Louisiana Tech 19

Total Points: 59
SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.3
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.5

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02SMU38Louisiana Tech14SMU -21SMU66.0Under
202109/18Louisiana Tech37SMU39SMU -11Louisiana Tech65.0Over
201712/20SMU10Louisiana Tech51SMU -4Louisiana Tech70.5Under
200410/16SMU10Louisiana Tech41
200311/08Louisiana Tech41SMU6
200210/19SMU37Louisiana Tech34
200109/01Louisiana Tech36SMU6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU311 Overs
Louisiana Tech422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 32 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams3 - 41 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#113) LT at (#19) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLTSMU
Power RatePwr #113 #19
SP+SP+ #110 #25
Perf GradeGrade #104 #7
OffenseOff #89 #10
DefenseDef #116 #11
Spec TeamsST #76 #53
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #66
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
LT OffSMU Def
Perf GradePerf #89 #11
SuccessSuc #64 #10
ExplosiveExp #69 #86
PPAPPA #91 #7
PowerPwr #80 #10
SP+SP+ #87 #41
Pts POPPO #67 #51
HavocHav #100 #14
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #98 #26
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #17
Run ExplRExp #88 #50
PPAExp #90 #19
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #35
Stuff RateStuff #108 #27
TackleTak -  #47
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
LT OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #49 #13
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #8
Pass ExplPExl #78 #87
PPAExp #87 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #4
F7 HavocF7 #107 #23
DB HavocDB #76 #19
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffLT Def
Perf GradePerf #10 #116
SuccessSuc #46 #78
ExplosiveExp #15 #118
PPAPPA #24 #111
PowerPwr #26 #112
SP+SP+ #18 #122
Pts POPPO #21 #128
HavocHav #8 #86
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffLT Def
Run GameRun #106 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #117
Run ExplRExp #122 #119
PPAExp #52 #129
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #109
Stuff RateStuff #38 #85
TackleTak -  #67
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #4 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #67 #15
Pass ExplPExl #3 #132
PPAExp #16 #43
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #103
F7 HavocF7 #4 #83
DB HavocDB #58 #79
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 91° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
SMU -21.0 (66.0)
SMU won vs Louisiana Tech this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (38-14)

  
LT's OC Jake Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004

SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone20634460%31972869.3
Kevin Jennings6110558%618525.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylan Knighton (Tr)13674575.595
LJ Johnson Jr.10957645.367
Camar Wheaton8341054.948
Preston Stone6219843.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Bailey42528012.634
R.J. Maryland34518715.262
Kelvontay Dixon25441417.652
Romello Brinson (Tr)28431215.474

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)733141
Isaiah Nwokobia565123
Ahmad Walker (Tr)556104
Jonathan McGill (Tr)465108
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)3713972
Isaiah Smith246540
Elijah Chatman318530
Nelson Paul227511
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Woods (Tr)2710011
Jonathan McGill (Tr)465108
Chris Megginson (Tr)180006