Tulsa at SMU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
SMU -20.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
SMU 69 - Tulsa: 10 (American Athletic)

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Our Line: SMU -24.5 (SP+ SMU -25)
Projected Score: TLSA: 17 - SMU: 42 (64)
SMU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
TLSA Travel: 234 miles

Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

SMU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	SMU vs Louisiana Tech	-21.0	66.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	SMU at Oklahoma	+16.5	68.5	L 11 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/16	SMU vs Prairie View A&M	-42.5	63.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/23	SMU at TCU	+7.0	63.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/30	SMU vs Charlotte	-22.5	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	SMU at East Carolina	-11.5	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 10/20	SMU at Temple	-24.0	53.0	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/28	SMU vs Tulsa	-20.5	55.0	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	SMU at Rice	-12.0	59.5	W 36 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/10	SMU vs North Texas	-21.5	67.5	W 45 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/18	SMU at Memphis	-9.5	64.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/25	SMU vs Navy	-20.0	46.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/2	SMU at Tulane	+4.0	50.5	W 26 - 14	U	Y
Thu 12/28	SMU vs Boston College	-13.5	49.0	L 14 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	.21	41%	25	44%	3.09	139	40%	273	4.61	.23	40%	42.5	42%	38%	4.15	56.7	1.5	1.7
SMU	.26	45%	36.5	45%	3.13	156	45%	317	4.58	.26	43%	22.1	46%	40%	4.32	41.7	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	25	21.3	41.4%	4.61	1.5	21	412	139	273	3.9	46%	54%	44%	40%	17%	.21
SMU Defense	13	22.1	20.3	43%	4.32	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	40%	13%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	40.3	40.2%	4.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	42%	38%	15%	.23
SMU Offense	13	36.5	43.7	44.8%	4.58	1.5	25	473	156	317	4.1	47%	52%	45%	45%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	28:52	21.4	40%	65%	6.1	56.7	1.5	1.7	5.2	1.3	0	28.1
SMU	13	27:42	25.5	48%	59%	4.2	41.7	1.5	1.7	4.8	2.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	46%	44%	35.8	138.7	3.9	18	.14	3.09	76%	11%	0.98
SMU Defense	13	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.23	74%	8%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.15	81%	10%	1.08
SMU Offense	13	47%	45%	37.8	156.2	4.1	26	.17	3.13	72%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	54%	40%	20.1	34.6	273.2	7.9	13.6	27	10	.3	1.8	31%	30%	.39	6%	2.4
SMU Defense	13	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.7	32%	30%	.37	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.7	34%	30%	.31	5%	1.9
SMU Offense	13	52%	45%	25.6	39.5	316.7	8	12.4	36	11	.37	1.7	31%	35%	.48	5%	2.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 350.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -8.35 SMU: 13.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -14.2 SMU: 10.5

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 13.305 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 42
Tulsa 17

Projected Total Points: 64

SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	SMU	69	Tulsa	10	SMU	SMU -20.5	SMU	55.0	Over
2022	10/29	Tulsa	34	SMU	45	SMU	SMU -1	SMU	63.5	Over
2021	11/27	SMU	31	Tulsa	34	Tulsa	SMU -6	Tulsa	63.0	Over
2020	11/14	Tulsa	28	SMU	24	Tulsa	SMU -2.0	Tulsa	64.0	Under
2019	10/05	SMU	43	Tulsa	37	SMU	SMU -12	Tulsa	63.5	Over
2018	11/24	Tulsa	27	SMU	24	Tulsa	SMU -2.5	Tulsa	52.5	Under
2017	10/27	SMU	38	Tulsa	34	SMU	SMU -11.5	Tulsa	76.5	Under
2016	10/07	Tulsa	43	SMU	40	Tulsa	Tulsa -11	SMU	68.0	Over
2015	10/31	SMU	31	Tulsa	40	Tulsa	Tulsa -1.5	Tulsa	75.5	Under
2014	11/08	Tulsa	38	SMU	28	Tulsa	Tulsa -9.5	Tulsa	0
2012	11/24	SMU	35	Tulsa	27	SMU
2011	10/29	Tulsa	38	SMU	7	Tulsa
2010	10/09	SMU	21	Tulsa	18	SMU
2009	10/31	Tulsa	13	SMU	27	SMU
2008	10/11	SMU	31	Tulsa	37	Tulsa
2007	10/27	Tulsa	29	SMU	23	Tulsa
2006	11/18	SMU	34	Tulsa	24	SMU
2005	10/22	Tulsa	20	SMU	13	Tulsa
2004	11/06	SMU	41	Tulsa	35	SMU
2003	10/25	Tulsa	35	SMU	16	Tulsa
2001	11/17	Tulsa	14	SMU	24	SMU
2000	11/10	SMU	24	Tulsa	20	SMU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	11	3	5 Overs
Tulsa	11	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 6	4 - 6	2 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 16	6 - 4	2 - 2	4 - 2

(#111) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 350.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

,
,

Tulsa Ratings Matchup SMU

Power #111

#19

Off #70

#26

Def #105

#10

Talent #122

#91

SP+ #115

#25

SP+ Off #100

#18

SP+ Def #117

#41

Rematch from Week 9
SMU -20.5 (55.0)
SMU won vs Tulsa this year (69-10)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)
SMU beat Tulsa in 2022 (45-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 61° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.028

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | SMU
Depth Chart: TLSA | SMU
Rosters: TLSA | SMU

(#19) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.305 #19
Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10

Team Profile

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,

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton	134	610	4	4.6	35
Anthony Watkins	87	402	4	4.6	77
Jordan Ford	15	45	0	3.0	10
Nick Rempert	2	29	0	14.5	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	70	822	6	11.7	74
Carl Chester	20	342	3	17.1	42
Zion Steptoe	15	203	0	13.5	34
Anthony Watkins	13	142	1	10.9	63

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	0	3
Zaid Hamdan	36	4	1	1	0
Jayden Simon	23	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Justin Lohrenz	5	2	1	0	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	4	1	1	1	0
Zaid Hamdan	36	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	3
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	1
Reggie Ellis	0	0	0	1

SMU's OC Casey Woods

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Roderick Daniels	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roderick Daniels	44	160	3	3.6	13
Velton Gardner	8	26	0	3.3	10
Carter Campbell	1	6	0	6.0	6
Kelvontay Dixon	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roderick Daniels	42	601	4	14.3	81
Keyshawn Smith	33	527	5	16.0	45
Kelvontay Dixon	21	386	1	18.4	87
Jake Bailey	19	275	1	14.5	39

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)	102	6	3	4	1
Ahmad Walker (Tr)	88	8	1	4	3
Jonathan McGill (Tr)	52	2	0	1	6
Cale Sanders (Tr)	45	6	1	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)	32	10	7	10	1
Jayden Jones	25	7	4	4	0
Kobe Wilson (Tr)	102	6	3	4	1
Kori Roberson (Tr)	26	3	3	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonathan McGill (Tr)	52	2	0	1	6
Brandon Crossley	30	1	0	1	6
Ahmad Walker (Tr)	88	8	1	4	3