Charlotte at SMU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -22.5 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
SMU 34 - Charlotte: 16 (American Athletic)

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CHAR 2nd straight Road Game
SMU is playing their 5th straight game
CHAR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: SMU -31 (SP+ SMU -33)
Projected Score: CHAR: 13 - SMU: 44 (59)
SMU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
CHAR Travel: 933 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

SMU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	SMU vs Louisiana Tech	-21.0	66.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	SMU at Oklahoma	+16.5	68.5	L 11 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/16	SMU vs Prairie View A&M	-42.5	63.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/23	SMU at TCU	+7.0	63.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/30	SMU vs Charlotte	-22.5	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	SMU at East Carolina	-11.5	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 10/20	SMU at Temple	-24.0	53.0	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/28	SMU vs Tulsa	-20.5	55.0	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	SMU at Rice	-12.0	59.5	W 36 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/10	SMU vs North Texas	-21.5	67.5	W 45 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/18	SMU at Memphis	-9.5	64.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/25	SMU vs Navy	-20.0	46.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/2	SMU at Tulane	+4.0	50.5	W 26 - 14	U	Y
Thu 12/28	SMU vs Boston College	-13.5	49.0	L 14 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.16	47%	23.7	47%	3.19	116	49%	271	4.07	.35	49%	35.1	48%	51%	4.11	58.5	1.8	1.3
SMU	.26	45%	36.5	45%	3.13	156	45%	317	4.58	.26	43%	22.1	46%	40%	4.32	41.7	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	23.7	23.2	47%	4.07	1.8	21	387	116	271	3.7	42%	56%	47%	49%	17%	.16
SMU Defense	13	22.1	20.3	43%	4.32	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	40%	13%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	35.1	36.8	48.7%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	48%	51%	13%	.35
SMU Offense	13	36.5	43.7	44.8%	4.58	1.5	25	473	156	317	4.1	47%	52%	45%	45%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	29:32	21.2	40%	35%	6.7	58.5	1.8	1.3	4.9	1.4	0	30.7
SMU	13	27:42	25.5	48%	59%	4.2	41.7	1.5	1.7	4.8	2.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	42%	47%	30.9	115.8	3.7	13	.09	3.19	66%	10%	0.98
SMU Defense	13	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.23	74%	8%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.29	73%	9%	1.07
SMU Offense	13	47%	45%	37.8	156.2	4.1	26	.17	3.13	72%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	56%	49%	21.4	35.8	271.2	7.6	12.7	27	14	.31	1.5	29%	33%	.41	8%	2.2
SMU Defense	13	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.7	32%	30%	.37	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.56	1.7	27%	37%	.74	4%	2.6
SMU Offense	13	52%	45%	25.6	39.5	316.7	8	12.4	36	11	.37	1.7	31%	35%	.48	5%	2.2

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58 SMU: 13.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1 SMU: 10.5

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 13.305 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 44
Charlotte 13

Projected Total Points: 59

SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	SMU	34	Charlotte	16	SMU	SMU -22.5	Charlotte	53.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	1	0	0 Overs
Charlotte	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#128) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113
Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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Charlotte Ratings Matchup SMU

Power #128

#19

Off #130

#26

Def #77

#10

Talent #115

#91

SP+ #130

#25

SP+ Off #128

#18

SP+ Def #113

#41

Rematch from Week 5
SMU -22.5 (53.0)
SMU won vs Charlotte this year (34-16)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Charlotte in 2023 (34-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | SMU
Depth Chart: CHAR | SMU
Rosters: CHAR | SMU

(#19) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.305 #19
Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10

Team Profile

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Charlotte's OC Mike Miller

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	34	59	58%	326	3	2	5.5
Steven Johnson	3	3	100%	33	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Durell Robinson	107	731	8	6.8	68
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	1	6	0	6.0	6
Jack Hestera	1	4	0	4.0	4
Trexler Ivey	4	3	0	0.8	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jack Hestera	24	340	4	14.2	32
Bryce Kennon	17	173	1	10.2	42
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	9	173	1	19.2	42

View Charlotte's Full Roster

Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Dontez Fagan	37	0	0	0	3
Treyveon McGee	33	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Miguel Jackson	12	2	2	0	0
Brian Bates Jr.	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Dontez Fagan	37	0	0	0	3
Michael Kelly	21	1	0	0	2

SMU's OC Casey Woods

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Roderick Daniels	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roderick Daniels	44	160	3	3.6	13
Velton Gardner	8	26	0	3.3	10
Carter Campbell	1	6	0	6.0	6
Kelvontay Dixon	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roderick Daniels	42	601	4	14.3	81
Keyshawn Smith	33	527	5	16.0	45
Kelvontay Dixon	21	386	1	18.4	87
Jake Bailey	19	275	1	14.5	39

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)	102	6	3	4	1
Ahmad Walker (Tr)	88	8	1	4	3
Jonathan McGill (Tr)	52	2	0	1	6
Cale Sanders (Tr)	45	6	1	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)	32	10	7	10	1
Jayden Jones	25	7	4	4	0
Kobe Wilson (Tr)	102	6	3	4	1
Kori Roberson (Tr)	26	3	3	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonathan McGill (Tr)	52	2	0	1	6
Brandon Crossley	30	1	0	1	6
Ahmad Walker (Tr)	88	8	1	4	3