Tulane at Rice - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -10 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Tulane 30 - Rice: 28 (American Athletic)

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (24 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
Our Line: Tulane -4 (SP+ TULN -12.5)
Projected Score: TULN: 29 - RICE: 25 (54)
TULN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TULN Travel: 318 miles

Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Rice's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Rice at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	51.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Rice vs Texas Southern	-35.5	60.0	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rice at South Florida	-2.5	56.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Rice vs East Carolina	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Rice vs UConn	-10.0	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Rice at Tulsa	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Rice vs Tulane	+10.0	55.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Rice vs SMU	+12.0	59.5	L 31 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rice at UTSA	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rice at Charlotte	+0.5	46.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-5.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Tue 12/26	Rice vs Texas State	+3.5	58.5	L 21 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	26.4	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	20.5	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2
RICE	#52 (.22)	44% (49)	29.5	43% (70)	3.01 (87)	110	45% (32)	252	4.81 (9)	#63 (.17)	41% (57)	28.1	44% (83)	39% (33)	3.61 (52)	49.4	2	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)		45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)		38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	26.4	23.8	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19
RICE Defense	13	28.1	27.1	41.2%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	12%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	20.5	14	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16
RICE Offense	13	29.5	34.3	43.7%	4.81	2	19	363	110	252	3.7	41%	58%	43%	45%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7
Rice	13	30:59	18.8	38%	67%	5.8	49.4	2	0.9	3.8	1.3	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)
RICE Defense	13	52% (93)	44% (83)	-	-	-	-	.19 (99)	3.15 (80)	73% (66)	7% (125)	1.01 (79)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)
RICE Offense	13	41% (120)	43% (70)	29.8	110.5	3.7	21 (54)	.12 (86)	3.01 (87)	65% (118)	10% (59)	0.96 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)
RICE Defense	13	48% (42)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.21 (34)	1.6 (53)	33% (49)	29% (44)	.24 (34)	5% (109)	2 (53)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)
RICE Offense	13	58% (13)	45% (32)	20.6	33.2	252.5	7.6	12.3	29 (18)	16 (121)	.34 (45)	1.6 (54)	32% (74)	32% (60)	.32 (71)	7% (103)	2.1 (47)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.85 Rice: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 4.1 Rice: -8.3

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 29
Rice 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulane 30
Rice 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 26
Rice 25

Total Points: 51

Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Tulane	24	Rice	10	Tulane -21.5	Rice	53.5	Under
2023	10/28	Rice	28	Tulane	30	Tulane -10	Rice	55.0	Over
2013	11/30	Rice	17	Tulane	13	Rice -13	Tulane	0
2012	11/03	Tulane	47	Rice	49
2011	11/19	Rice	19	Tulane	7
2010	11/13	Tulane	54	Rice	49
2009	11/14	Rice	28	Tulane	20
2008	10/25	Tulane	17	Rice	42
2007	11/17	Rice	31	Tulane	45
2006	10/07	Tulane	38	Rice	24
2005	11/12	Rice	42	Tulane	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	6	2	1 Overs
Tulane	5	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 7	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0

(#52) TULN at (#57) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	RICE
Power RatePwr	#52	#57
SP+SP+	#50	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#33	#91
OffenseOff	#47	#102
DefenseDef	#27	#73
Spec TeamsST	#93	#90
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Tulane Injury Report

Rice Injury Report

Tulane on Offense


CategoryCat	TULN Off	RICE Def
Perf GradePerf	#47	#73
SuccessSuc	#61	#57
ExplosiveExp	#112	#50
PPAPPA	#70	#63
PowerPwr	#86	#76
SP+SP+	#63	#106
Pts POPPO	#91	#52
HavocHav	#32	#126

Tulane Run Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#78	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#83
Run ExplRExp	#121	#79
PPAExp	#104	#99
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#97
TackleTak	-	#62

Tulane Pass Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#33
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#53
PPAExp	#40	#34
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#89
F7 HavocF7	#36	#125
DB HavocDB	#57	#109

Rice on Offense


CategoryCat	RICE Off	TULN Def
Perf GradePerf	#102	#27
SuccessSuc	#49	#55
ExplosiveExp	#31	#43
PPAPPA	#52	#56
PowerPwr	#29	#29
SP+SP+	#63	#40
Pts POPPO	#9	#61
HavocHav	#81	#29

Rice Run Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#84	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#70	#42
Run ExplRExp	#89	#75
PPAExp	#86	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#67
TackleTak	-	#112

Rice Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#32	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#13
PPAExp	#45	#54
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#37
F7 HavocF7	#59	#46
DB HavocDB	#103	#24

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Tulane 10.0 (55.0)
Tulane won at Rice this year (30-28)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Rice last year (24-10)
Tulane beat Rice in 2023 (30-28)

TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Pratt	185	283	65%	2406	22	5	8.5
Kai Horton	44	82	54%	604	3	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	258	1378	7	5.3	58
Michael Pratt	98	286	5	2.9	26
Ashaad Clayton	41	150	0	3.7	17
Arnold Barnes	23	138	0	6.0	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	44	711	5	16.2	47
Lawrence Keys III	33	599	7	18.2	57
Jha'Quan Jackson	26	439	4	16.9	48
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	33	391	2	11.8	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jesus Machado	98	3	0	1	1
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	85	8	3	1	1
Bailey Despanie	67	6	0	0	2
Jared Small	60	6	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Hodges	25	10	8	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	35	12	6	2	0
Keith Cooper Jr.	32	9	5	3	2
Kameron Hamilton	25	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kam Pedescleaux	56	4	0	2	12
Jarius Monroe	48	4	1	1	10
Lance Robinson	43	0	0	0	7

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JT Daniels (Tr)	181	287	63%	2443	21	7	8.5
AJ Padgett	71	117	61%	721	8	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	121	771	7	6.4	57
Juma Otoviano	92	326	4	3.5	24
Luke McCaffrey	15	117	0	7.8	40
Ari Broussard	29	91	0	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke McCaffrey	71	992	13	14.0	51
Dean Connors	43	403	3	9.4	80
Boden Groen	39	383	3	9.8	31
Landon Ransom-Goelz	26	380	3	14.6	44

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myron Morrison	68	3	1	4	0
Plae Wyatt	65	3	1	2	5
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Chris Conti	45	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chike Anigbogu	18	3	2	0	0
De'Braylon Carroll	38	8	2	5	0
Jonathan Jean	34	4	2	0	1
DJ Arkansas	31	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Shon Devones	38	2	0	0	9
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Tyson Flowers	23	2	1	0	5