Tulane at Rice - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -10 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulane 30 - Rice: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (24 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Tulane -4   (SP+ TULN -12.5)
Projected Score: TULN: 29 - RICE: 25 (53)
TULN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TULN Travel: 318 miles
Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tulane vs South Alabama-6.051.0W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Tulane vs Ole Miss+8.064.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Tulane at Southern Miss-8.047.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Tulane vs Nicholls-38.055.5W 36 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Tulane vs UAB-22.559.5W 35 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Tulane at Memphis-4.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/21 Tulane vs North Texas-20.063.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Tulane at Rice-10.055.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/4 Tulane at East Carolina-17.046.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Tulane vs Tulsa-24.552.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Tulane at Florida Atlantic-9.546.5W 24 - 8UY
Fri 11/24 Tulane vs UTSA-2.551.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 12/2 Tulane vs SMU-4.050.5L 14 - 26UN
Wed 12/27 Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Rice's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Rice at Texas+35.559.0L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/9 Rice vs Houston+7.551.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 9/16 Rice vs Texas Southern-35.560.0W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Rice at South Florida-2.556.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Rice vs East Carolina-3.547.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/7 Rice vs UConn-10.047.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Rice at Tulsa+3.056.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Rice vs Tulane+10.055.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/4 Rice vs SMU+12.059.5L 31 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Rice at UTSA+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Rice at Charlotte+0.546.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-5.046.5W 24 - 21UN
Tue 12/26 Rice vs Texas State+3.558.5L 21 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#70 (.19)42% (61)26.440% (108)3.13 (63)15547% (27)2153.62 (91)#56 (.16)41% (55)20.540% (42)43% (83)3.7 (61)42.91.42
RICE#52 (.22)44% (49)29.543% (70)3.01 (87)11045% (32)2524.81 (9)#63 (.17)41% (57)28.144% (83)39% (33)3.61 (52)49.420.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1426.423.842.4%3.621.4183701552154.156%43%40%47%14%.19
RICE Defense1328.127.141.2%3.610.9 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%12%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.51441.1%3.72 - - - - - 45%54%40%43%18%.16
RICE Offense1329.534.343.7%4.812193631102523.741%58%43%45%17%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1431:2018.438%59%4.842.91.425.92.4233.7
Rice1330:5918.838%67%5.849.420.93.81.3128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1456% (21)40% (108)37.6155.14.116 (89).09 (104)3.13 (63)72% (89)8% (36)0.88 (121)
RICE Defense1352% (93)44% (83) - - - - .19 (99)3.15 (80)73% (66)7% (125)1.01 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1445% (14)40% (42) - - - - .09 (34)3.03 (54)77% (94)11% (46)1.01 (75)
RICE Offense1341% (120)43% (70)29.8110.53.721 (54).12 (86)3.01 (87)65% (118)10% (59)0.96 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1443% (109)47% (27)16.426.32158.213.125 (37)7 (21).35 (40)1.6 (77)29% (24)29% (83).28 (86)6% (57)2 (101)
RICE Defense1348% (42)39% (33) - - - - - - 5 (126).21 (34)1.6 (53)33% (49)29% (44).24 (34)5% (109)2 (53)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1454% (121)43% (83) - - - - - - 17 (3).25 (54)1.4 (13)34% (40)29% (53).23 (28)7% (24)1.8 (15)
RICE Offense1358% (13)45% (32)20.633.2252.57.612.329 (18)16 (121).34 (45)1.6 (54)32% (74)32% (60).32 (71)7% (103)2.1 (47)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.85   Rice: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 4.1   Rice: -8.3




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 29
Rice 25

Total Points: 53

Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Tulane24Rice10TulaneTulane -21.5Rice53.5Under
202310/28Rice28Tulane30TulaneTulane -10Rice55.0Over
201311/30Rice17Tulane13RiceRice -13Tulane0
201211/03Tulane47Rice49Rice
201111/19Rice19Tulane7Rice
201011/13Tulane54Rice49Tulane
200911/14Rice28Tulane20Rice
200810/25Tulane17Rice42Rice
200711/17Rice31Tulane45Tulane
200610/07Tulane38Rice24Tulane
200511/12Rice42Tulane34Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice621 Overs
Tulane511 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 41 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 72 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#52) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60


Tulane has won 5 straight
Tulane has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Highlights
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Tulane offense is not Explosive (#88)
Tulane run game is really bad (#80)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatRICETULN
OverallOver#75#27
OffenseOff#86#44
DefenseDef#58#23
Special TeamsST#71#73
PassingPass#92#48
RushingRush#60#55
Run BlockRBLK#72#36
Pass BlockPBLK#110#79
Route RunningWR Rt#32#31
TacklingTkl#54#95
Run DefenseR Def#80#37
Pass Rush DefPRush#70#32
Coverage DefCov#37#36

Rematch from Week 9
Tulane 10.0 (55.0)
Tulane won at Rice this year (30-28)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Rice last year (24-10)
Tulane beat Rice in 2023 (30-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | RICE
Depth Chart: TULN | RICE
Rosters: TULN | RICE
(#57) Rice Info
Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Rice has won 1 straight
Rice has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Rice offense is good in red zone (#99)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice does not Sack the QB (#31)


  
Tulane's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Pratt18528365%24062258.5
Kai Horton448254%604327.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes258137875.358
Michael Pratt9828652.926
Ashaad Clayton4115003.717
Arnold Barnes2313806.065
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II44711516.247
Lawrence Keys III33599718.257
Jha'Quan Jackson26439416.948
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)33391211.842

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jesus Machado983011
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)858311
Bailey Despanie676002
Jared Small606222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Hodges2510840
Patrick Jenkins3512620
Keith Cooper Jr.329532
Kameron Hamilton256410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kam Pedescleaux5640212
Jarius Monroe4841110
Lance Robinson430007

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JT Daniels (Tr)18128763%24432178.5
AJ Padgett7111761%721866.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors12177176.457
Juma Otoviano9232643.524
Luke McCaffrey1511707.840
Ari Broussard299103.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke McCaffrey719921314.051
Dean Connors4340339.480
Boden Groen3938339.831
Landon Ransom-Goelz26380314.644

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myron Morrison683140
Plae Wyatt653125
Gabe Taylor461128
Chris Conti453110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chike Anigbogu183200
De'Braylon Carroll388250
Jonathan Jean344201
DJ Arkansas312220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Shon Devones382009
Gabe Taylor461128
Tyson Flowers232105