UConn at Rice - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Rice -10 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UConn 38 - Rice: 31

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RICE 2nd straight Home Game
RICE is playing their 6th straight game
CONN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Rice -11.5 (SP+ RICE -8)
Projected Score: CONN: 21 - RICE: 32 (53)
RICE Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CONN Travel: 1518 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Rice's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Rice at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	51.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Rice vs Texas Southern	-35.5	60.0	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rice at South Florida	-2.5	56.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Rice vs East Carolina	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Rice vs UConn	-10.0	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Rice at Tulsa	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Rice vs Tulane	+10.0	55.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Rice vs SMU	+12.0	59.5	L 31 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rice at UTSA	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rice at Charlotte	+0.5	46.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-5.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Tue 12/26	Rice vs Texas State	+3.5	58.5	L 21 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	.11	38%	35.3	43%	3.03	191	32%	112	3.67	.19	47%	27	49%	46%	3.69	60.8	1.6	2.3
RICE	.16	42%	19.1	41%	2.99	141	44%	233	3.56	.32	44%	32.9	45%	44%	4.38	53.7	2.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	35.3	33.5	38.2%	3.67	1.6	16	303	191	112	4.7	62%	36%	43%	32%	18%	.11
RICE Defense	13	32.9	32	44.1%	4.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	44%	15%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	27	32.2	47.2%	3.69	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	46%	15%	.19
RICE Offense	13	19.1	23.9	41.9%	3.56	2.5	20	374	141	233	4	51%	47%	41%	44%	20%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	30:17	16.2	37%	39%	7.1	60.8	1.6	2.3	4.2	1.8	0	29.4
Rice	13	32:49	20.1	42%	44%	6.1	53.7	2.5	1.5	4.1	1.5	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	62%	43%	40.4	190.9	4.7	20	.21	3.03	64%	13%	1.17
RICE Defense	13	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.47	67%	9%	1.22

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.26	83%	9%	0.95
RICE Offense	13	51%	41%	35.4	141.4	4	17	.15	2.99	83%	11%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	36%	32%	12.1	21.2	112	5.3	9.3	10	10	.1	1.6	35%	26%	.16	5%	2.1
RICE Defense	13	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.41	1.8	31%	33%	.43	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.3	27%	31%	.21	6%	1.8
RICE Offense	13	47%	44%	17.9	31	232.8	7.5	13	23	20	.23	1.6	33%	32%	.28	9%	2

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 484.94 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 677.82
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25 Rice: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0 Rice: -8.3

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 466.78 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Rice 32
UConn 21

Projected Total Points: 53

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Rice	37	UConn	34	UConn -10.5	Rice	48.5	Over
2024	10/26	UConn	17	Rice	10	UConn -6.5	UConn	47.0	Under
2023	10/07	Rice	31	UConn	38	Rice -10	UConn	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	1	1	2 Overs
UConn	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#115) CONN at (#57) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	RICE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#115	#57
SP+SP+	#122	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#91
OffenseOff	#88	#102
DefenseDef	#76	#73
Spec TeamsST	#126	#90
TalentTal	#93	#100
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

UConn Injury Report

Rice Injury Report

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	RICE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#73
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#102	#76
SP+SP+	#118	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#105	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#17	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#62

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Rice on Offense


CategoryCat	RICE Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#29	#109
SP+SP+	#63	#97
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rice Run Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#84	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#131

Rice Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#50
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Rice -10.0 (47.5)
UConn won at Rice this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat UConn last year (37-34)
UConn beat Rice in 2024 (17-10)
UConn beat Rice in 2023 (38-31)

CONN's OC Nick Charlton (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ta'Quan Roberson	197	338	58%	2075	12	6	6.1
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	18	35	51%	173	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	122	618	4	5.1	39
Victor Rosa	112	550	3	4.9	71
Devontae Houston	34	161	0	4.7	27
Ta'Quan Roberson	46	120	2	2.6	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Ross	44	568	2	12.9	46
Justin Joly	56	562	2	10.0	59
Brett Buckman	46	488	2	10.6	40
Geordon Porter (Tr)	22	213	1	9.7	28

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Lou Spanos (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Mitchell	113	7	1	4	1
Durante Jones	72	2	1	0	1
Tui Faumuina-Brown	61	4	1	0	0
Noah Plack (Tr)	49	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Pryce Yates	42	14	5	2	2
Dalmont Gourdine	28	6	3	2	3
Eric Watts	34	7	2	1	1
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malcolm Bell	28	2	0	4
Chris Shearin	36	1	0	3
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	3

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JT Daniels (Tr)	181	287	63%	2443	21	7	8.5
AJ Padgett	71	117	61%	721	8	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	121	771	7	6.4	57
Juma Otoviano	92	326	4	3.5	24
Luke McCaffrey	15	117	0	7.8	40
Ari Broussard	29	91	0	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke McCaffrey	71	992	13	14.0	51
Dean Connors	43	403	3	9.4	80
Boden Groen	39	383	3	9.8	31
Landon Ransom-Goelz	26	380	3	14.6	44

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myron Morrison	68	3	1	4	0
Plae Wyatt	65	3	1	2	5
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Chris Conti	45	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chike Anigbogu	18	3	2	0	0
De'Braylon Carroll	38	8	2	5	0
Jonathan Jean	34	4	2	0	1
DJ Arkansas	31	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Shon Devones	38	2	0	0	9
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Tyson Flowers	23	2	1	0	5