SMU at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#21)SMU Mustangs at Tulane Green Wave(#24)

Saturday, December 2nd 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Tulane -4 (50.5) (-135) Open: -4.0 | 50.5
SMU 26 - Tulane: 14 (American Athletic Championship)

Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (31 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TULN 2nd straight Home Game
TULN is playing their 8th straight game
SMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: SMU -5.5 (SP+ SMU -6.5)
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - TULN: 23 (52)
TULN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 441 miles

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SMU Players
TULN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

SMU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	SMU vs Louisiana Tech	-21.0	66.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	SMU at Oklahoma	+16.5	68.5	L 11 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/16	SMU vs Prairie View A&M	-42.5	63.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/23	SMU at TCU	+7.0	63.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/30	SMU vs Charlotte	-22.5	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	SMU at East Carolina	-11.5	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 10/20	SMU at Temple	-24.0	53.0	W 55 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/28	SMU vs Tulsa	-20.5	55.0	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	SMU at Rice	-12.0	59.5	W 36 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/10	SMU vs North Texas	-21.5	67.5	W 45 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/18	SMU at Memphis	-9.5	64.5	W 38 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/25	SMU vs Navy	-20.0	46.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/2	SMU at Tulane	+4.0	50.5	W 26 - 14	U	Y
Thu 12/28	SMU vs Boston College	-13.5	49.0	L 14 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU	#24 (.28)	44% (46)	38.7	47% (30)	3.21 (49)	177	42% (67)	278	4.51 (21)	#7 (.04)	36% (10)	17.8	37% (17)	35% (8)	3.59 (51)	40.8	0.9	1.2
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	26.4	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	20.5	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU	#38 (.24)	44% (53)		44% (62)	2.97 (83)	169	44% (45)	263	4.41 (25)	#5 (.03)	37% (9)		39% (35)	35% (10)	3.09 (13)	77.7	1.7	1.6
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)		45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)		38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Offense	14	38.7	30.6	43.9%	4.51	0.9	24	455	177	278	4.5	50%	49%	47%	42%	12%	.28
TULN Defense	14	20.5	22	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Defense	14	17.8	21.6	35.7%	3.59	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	37%	35%	19%	.04
TULN Offense	14	26.4	28.8	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
SMU	14	30:21	23.5	43%	59%	4.6	40.8	0.9	1.2	6.6	3.1	5	30.4
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Offense	14	50% (66)	47% (30)	39.7	176.6	4.5	29 (22)	.18 (52)	3.21 (49)	85% (2)	6% (4)	0.88 (122)
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Defense	14	47% (38)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	.04 (19)	2.9 (35)	67% (30)	12% (23)	0.97 (50)
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Offense	14	49% (71)	42% (67)	19.6	33.2	278.4	8.4	14.2	33 (11)	8 (30)	.45 (16)	2 (3)	31% (57)	33% (44)	.38 (53)	6% (58)	2.1 (46)
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Defense	14	52% (97)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.09 (8)	1.7 (87)	36% (18)	22% (1)	.07 (2)	8% (19)	2.1 (70)
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 11.11 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 11.11 Tulane: 5.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 10.5 Tulane: 4.1

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 29
Tulane 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 29
Tulane 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
SMU 28
Tulane 24

Total Points: 52

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/02	Tulane	14	SMU	26	Tulane -4	SMU	50.5	Under
2022	11/17	Tulane	59	SMU	24	Tulane -3.5	Tulane	65.0	Over
2021	10/21	SMU	55	Tulane	26	SMU -14	SMU	70.5	Over
2020	10/16	Tulane	34	SMU	37	SMU -6.5	Tulane	66.0	Over
2019	11/30	SMU	37	Tulane	20	SMU -3	SMU	71.0	Under
2018	10/20	Tulane	23	SMU	27	Tulane -7	SMU	55.5	Under
2017	11/25	SMU	41	Tulane	38	SMU -7.5	Tulane	65.0	Over
2016	10/29	Tulane	31	SMU	35	Tulane -1	SMU	48.0	Over
2015	11/21	SMU	49	Tulane	21	SMU -3	SMU	55.5	Over
2012	10/13	Tulane	27	SMU	26
2011	11/05	SMU	45	Tulane	24
2010	10/30	Tulane	17	SMU	31
2009	11/28	SMU	26	Tulane	21
2008	09/25	Tulane	34	SMU	27
2007	10/20	SMU	34	Tulane	41
2006	09/30	Tulane	28	SMU	33
2005	09/24	SMU	10	Tulane	31
2000	09/22	SMU	17	Tulane	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulane	6	3	6 Overs
SMU	12	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 9	5 - 4	4 - 4	1 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 9	4 - 5	0 - 1	4 - 4

(#19) SMU at (#52) TULN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SMU	TULN
Power RatePwr	#19	#52
SP+SP+	#25	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#33
OffenseOff	#10	#47
DefenseDef	#11	#27
Spec TeamsST	#53	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#66	#75

SMU Injury Report

Tulane Injury Report

SMU on Offense


CategoryCat	SMU Off	TULN Def
Perf GradePerf	#10	#27
SuccessSuc	#46	#55
ExplosiveExp	#15	#43
PPAPPA	#24	#56
PowerPwr	#26	#29
SP+SP+	#18	#40
Pts POPPO	#21	#61
HavocHav	#8	#29

SMU Run Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#106	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#30	#42
Run ExplRExp	#122	#75
PPAExp	#52	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	#49	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#67
TackleTak	-	#112

SMU Pass Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#67	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#3	#13
PPAExp	#16	#54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#16	#37
F7 HavocF7	#4	#46
DB HavocDB	#58	#24

Tulane on Offense


CategoryCat	TULN Off	SMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#47	#11
SuccessSuc	#61	#10
ExplosiveExp	#112	#86
PPAPPA	#70	#7
PowerPwr	#86	#10
SP+SP+	#63	#41
Pts POPPO	#91	#51
HavocHav	#32	#14

Tulane Run Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	#78	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#17
Run ExplRExp	#121	#50
PPAExp	#104	#19
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#35
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#27
TackleTak	-	#47

Tulane Pass Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#8
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#87
PPAExp	#40	#8
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#4
F7 HavocF7	#36	#23
DB HavocDB	#57	#19

Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 14
Tulane -4.0 (50.5)
SMU won at Tulane this year (26-14)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulane in 2023 (26-14)
Tulane beat SMU in 2022 (59-24)

SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Preston Stone	206	344	60%	3197	28	6	9.3
Kevin Jennings	61	105	58%	618	5	2	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylan Knighton (Tr)	136	745	7	5.5	95
LJ Johnson Jr.	109	576	4	5.3	67
Camar Wheaton	83	410	5	4.9	48
Preston Stone	62	198	4	3.2	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jake Bailey	42	528	0	12.6	34
R.J. Maryland	34	518	7	15.2	62
Kelvontay Dixon	25	441	4	17.6	52
Romello Brinson (Tr)	28	431	2	15.4	74

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)	73	3	1	4	1
Isaiah Nwokobia	56	5	1	2	3
Ahmad Walker (Tr)	55	6	1	0	4
Jonathan McGill (Tr)	46	5	1	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)	37	13	9	7	2
Isaiah Smith	24	6	5	4	0
Elijah Chatman	31	8	5	3	0
Nelson Paul	22	7	5	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Charles Woods (Tr)	27	1	0	11
Jonathan McGill (Tr)	46	5	1	8
Chris Megginson (Tr)	18	0	0	6

TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Pratt	185	283	65%	2406	22	5	8.5
Kai Horton	44	82	54%	604	3	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	258	1378	7	5.3	58
Michael Pratt	98	286	5	2.9	26
Ashaad Clayton	41	150	0	3.7	17
Arnold Barnes	23	138	0	6.0	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	44	711	5	16.2	47
Lawrence Keys III	33	599	7	18.2	57
Jha'Quan Jackson	26	439	4	16.9	48
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	33	391	2	11.8	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jesus Machado	98	3	0	1	1
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	85	8	3	1	1
Bailey Despanie	67	6	0	0	2
Jared Small	60	6	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Hodges	25	10	8	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	35	12	6	2	0
Keith Cooper Jr.	32	9	5	3	2
Kameron Hamilton	25	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kam Pedescleaux	56	4	0	2	12
Jarius Monroe	48	4	1	1	10
Lance Robinson	43	0	0	0	7