SMU at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Saturday, December 2nd 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Tulane -4 (50.5) (-135)  Open: -4.0 | 50.5
SMU 26 - Tulane: 14  (American Athletic Championship)

 
Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 18 (31 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TULN 2nd straight Home Game
TULN is playing their 8th straight game
SMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: SMU -5.5   (SP+ SMU -6.5)

Projected Score: SMU: 28 - TULN: 23 (51)
TULN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 441 miles
Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-21.066.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 SMU at Oklahoma+16.568.5L 11 - 28UN
Sat 9/16 SMU vs Prairie View A&M-42.563.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/23 SMU at TCU+7.063.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/30 SMU vs Charlotte-22.553.0W 34 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 SMU at East Carolina-11.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 10/20 SMU at Temple-24.053.0W 55 - 0OY
Sat 10/28 SMU vs Tulsa-20.555.0W 69 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 SMU at Rice-12.059.5W 36 - 31ON
Fri 11/10 SMU vs North Texas-21.567.5W 45 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis-9.564.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Navy-20.046.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 12/2 SMU at Tulane+4.050.5W 26 - 14UY
Thu 12/28 SMU vs Boston College-13.549.0L 14 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Tulane's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tulane vs South Alabama-6.051.0W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Tulane vs Ole Miss+8.064.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Tulane at Southern Miss-8.047.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Tulane vs Nicholls-38.055.5W 36 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Tulane vs UAB-22.559.5W 35 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Tulane at Memphis-4.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/21 Tulane vs North Texas-20.063.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Tulane at Rice-10.055.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/4 Tulane at East Carolina-17.046.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Tulane vs Tulsa-24.552.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Tulane at Florida Atlantic-9.546.5W 24 - 8UY
Fri 11/24 Tulane vs UTSA-2.551.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 12/2 Tulane vs SMU-4.050.5L 14 - 26UN
Wed 12/27 Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#24 (.28)44% (46)38.747% (30)3.21 (49)17742% (67)2784.51 (21)#7 (.04)36% (10)17.837% (17)35% (8)3.59 (51)40.80.91.2
TULN#70 (.19)42% (61)26.440% (108)3.13 (63)15547% (27)2153.62 (91)#56 (.16)41% (55)20.540% (42)43% (83)3.7 (61)42.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1438.730.643.9%4.510.9244551772784.550%49%47%42%12%.28
TULN Defense1420.52241.1%3.72 - - - - - 45%54%40%43%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1417.821.635.7%3.591.2 - - - - - 47%52%37%35%19%.04
TULN Offense1426.428.842.4%3.621.4183701552154.156%43%40%47%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1430:2123.543%59%4.640.80.91.26.63.1530.4
Tulane1431:2018.438%59%4.842.91.425.92.4233.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1450% (66)47% (30)39.7176.64.529 (22).18 (52)3.21 (49)85% (2)6% (4)0.88 (122)
TULN Defense1445% (14)40% (42) - - - - .09 (34)3.03 (54)77% (94)11% (46)1.01 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1447% (38)37% (17) - - - - .04 (19)2.9 (35)67% (30)12% (23)0.97 (50)
TULN Offense1456% (21)40% (108)37.6155.14.116 (89).09 (104)3.13 (63)72% (89)8% (36)0.88 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1449% (71)42% (67)19.633.2278.48.414.233 (11)8 (30).45 (16)2 (3)31% (57)33% (44).38 (53)6% (58)2.1 (46)
TULN Defense1454% (121)43% (83) - - - - - - 17 (3).25 (54)1.4 (13)34% (40)29% (53).23 (28)7% (24)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1452% (97)35% (8) - - - - - - 12 (37).09 (8)1.7 (87)36% (18)22% (1).07 (2)8% (19)2.1 (70)
TULN Offense1443% (109)47% (27)16.426.32158.213.125 (37)7 (21).35 (40)1.6 (77)29% (24)29% (83).28 (86)6% (57)2 (101)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 11.11 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 11.11   Tulane: 5.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 10.5   Tulane: 4.1




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


SMU Scoring
Offense: 38.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 28
Tulane 23


Total Points: 51

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Tulane14SMU26SMUTulane -4SMU50.5Under
202211/17Tulane59SMU24TulaneTulane -3.5Tulane65.0Over
202110/21SMU55Tulane26SMUSMU -14SMU70.5Over
202010/16Tulane34SMU37SMUSMU -6.5Tulane66.0Over
201911/30SMU37Tulane20SMUSMU -3SMU71.0Under
201810/20Tulane23SMU27SMUTulane -7SMU55.5Under
201711/25SMU41Tulane38SMUSMU -7.5Tulane65.0Over
201610/29Tulane31SMU35SMUTulane -1SMU48.0Over
201511/21SMU49Tulane21SMUSMU -3SMU55.5Over
201210/13Tulane27SMU26Tulane
201111/05SMU45Tulane24SMU
201010/30Tulane17SMU31SMU
200911/28SMU26Tulane21SMU
200809/25Tulane34SMU27Tulane
200710/20SMU34Tulane41Tulane
200609/30Tulane28SMU33SMU
200509/24SMU10Tulane31Tulane
200009/22SMU17Tulane29Tulane
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane636 Overs
SMU1263 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 95 - 44 - 41 - 0
Road Teams9 - 94 - 50 - 14 - 4

(#19) SMU Info
Power Rating: 11.11 #19
Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10


SMU has won 8 straight
SMU has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

SMU Highlights
SMU has Really Good Running Game (#66)
SMU offense is explosive (#37)
SMU offense is good in red zone (#80)
SMU Defense Sacks the QB a lot

SMU has a really good defense (#109)
SMU has a good run defense (#62)
SMU has a good pass defense (#127)
SMU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#28)
SMU Front 7 is disruptive (#88)
SMU Secondary is very good (#8)
SMU has a great TO Margin (#116)

SMU Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTULNSMU
OverallOver#27#6
OffenseOff#44#10
DefenseDef#23#8
Special TeamsST#73#45
PassingPass#48#4
RushingRush#55#75
Run BlockRBLK#36#6
Pass BlockPBLK#79#14
Route RunningWR Rt#31#23
TacklingTkl#95#42
Run DefenseR Def#37#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#3
Coverage DefCov#36#11

Rematch from Week 14
Tulane -4.0 (50.5)
SMU won at Tulane this year (26-14)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulane in 2023 (26-14)
Tulane beat SMU in 2022 (59-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SMU | TULN
Depth Chart: SMU | TULN
Rosters: SMU | TULN
(#52) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60


Tulane has won 10 straight
Tulane has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 2 (2 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulane Highlights
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Tulane offense is not Explosive (#88)
Tulane run game is really bad (#80)


  
SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone20634460%31972869.3
Kevin Jennings6110558%618525.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylan Knighton (Tr)13674575.595
LJ Johnson Jr.10957645.367
Camar Wheaton8341054.948
Preston Stone6219843.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Bailey42528012.634
R.J. Maryland34518715.262
Kelvontay Dixon25441417.652
Romello Brinson (Tr)28431215.474

View SMU's Full Roster
SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson (Tr)733141
Isaiah Nwokobia565123
Ahmad Walker (Tr)556104
Jonathan McGill (Tr)465108
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Roberts (Tr)3713972
Isaiah Smith246540
Elijah Chatman318530
Nelson Paul227511
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Woods (Tr)2710011
Jonathan McGill (Tr)465108
Chris Megginson (Tr)180006

Tulane's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Pratt18528365%24062258.5
Kai Horton448254%604327.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes258137875.358
Michael Pratt9828652.926
Ashaad Clayton4115003.717
Arnold Barnes2313806.065
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II44711516.247
Lawrence Keys III33599718.257
Jha'Quan Jackson26439416.948
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)33391211.842

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jesus Machado983011
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)858311
Bailey Despanie676002
Jared Small606222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Hodges2510840
Patrick Jenkins3512620
Keith Cooper Jr.329532
Kameron Hamilton256410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kam Pedescleaux5640212
Jarius Monroe4841110
Lance Robinson430007