Rice at Tulsa - 2023 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Thursday, October 19th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -3 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Rice 42 - Tulsa: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RICE coming off BYE
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: Rice -5   (SP+ RICE -6)

Projected Score: RICE: 31 - TLSA: 26 (57)
TLSA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
RICE Travel: 446 miles
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (29 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rice's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Rice at Texas+35.559.0L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/9 Rice vs Houston+7.551.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 9/16 Rice vs Texas Southern-35.560.0W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Rice at South Florida-2.556.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Rice vs East Carolina-3.547.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/7 Rice vs UConn-10.047.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Rice at Tulsa+3.056.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Rice vs Tulane+10.055.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/4 Rice vs SMU+12.059.5L 31 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Rice at UTSA+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Rice at Charlotte+0.546.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-5.046.5W 24 - 21UN
Tue 12/26 Rice vs Texas State+3.558.5L 21 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-41.052.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/9 Tulsa at Washington+34.066.5L 10 - 43UY
Sat 9/16 Tulsa vs Oklahoma+28.058.5L 17 - 66ON
Sat 9/23 Tulsa at Northern Illinois+3.554.5W 22 - 14UY
Thu 9/28 Tulsa vs Temple-3.056.0W 48 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+3.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Tulsa vs Rice-3.056.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Tulsa at SMU+20.555.0L 10 - 69ON
Sat 11/4 Tulsa vs Charlotte-4.547.5L 26 - 33ON
Sat 11/11 Tulsa at Tulane+24.552.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 11/18 Tulsa vs North Texas+1.569.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/25 Tulsa at East Carolina+4.544.5W 29 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#52 (.22)44% (49)29.543% (70)3.01 (87)11045% (32)2524.81 (9)#63 (.17)41% (57)28.144% (83)39% (33)3.61 (52)49.420.9
TLSA#77 (.18)41% (83)23.440% (99)3.16 (59)18144% (50)2054.23 (34)#120 (.29)44% (96)33.843% (67)46% (121)3.95 (82)43.321.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1329.524.643.7%4.812193631102523.741%58%43%45%17%.22
TLSA Defense1233.834.843.9%3.951.7 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1328.12641.2%3.610.9 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%12%.17
TLSA Offense1223.428.541%4.232203861812054.157%41%40%44%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1330:5918.838%67%5.849.420.93.81.3128.7
Tulsa1229:4219.845%44%5.143.321.75.41.8028.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1341% (120)43% (70)29.8110.53.721 (54).12 (86)3.01 (87)65% (118)10% (59)0.96 (89)
TLSA Defense1247% (37)43% (67) - - - - .21 (107)3.18 (89)67% (30)10% (74)1.13 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1352% (93)44% (83) - - - - .19 (99)3.15 (80)73% (66)7% (125)1.01 (79)
TLSA Offense1257% (16)40% (99)43.9180.94.113 (108).1 (96)3.16 (59)79% (27)11% (87)0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1358% (13)45% (32)20.633.2252.57.612.329 (18)16 (121).34 (45)1.6 (54)32% (74)32% (60).32 (71)7% (103)2.1 (47)
TLSA Defense1251% (89)46% (121) - - - - - - 10 (67).43 (124)1.7 (100)30% (103)29% (43).41 (111)5% (113)2.6 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1348% (42)39% (33) - - - - - - 5 (126).21 (34)1.6 (53)33% (49)29% (44).24 (34)5% (109)2 (53)
TLSA Offense1241% (118)44% (50)15.827.8204.77.412.920 (70)19 (131).36 (37)1.8 (13)34% (95)32% (57).33 (68)6% (73)2.1 (66)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: 1.12   Tulsa: -8.775

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.3   Tulsa: -14.2




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.775 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Rice 31
Tulsa 26


Total Points: 57

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/19Tulsa10Rice42RiceTulsa -3Rice56.5Under
201310/05Tulsa27Rice30RiceTulsa -2.5Rice0
201210/20Tulsa28Rice24Tulsa
201110/22Rice20Tulsa38Tulsa
201011/06Tulsa64Rice27Tulsa
200910/03Rice10Tulsa27Tulsa
200810/04Tulsa63Rice28Tulsa
200711/24Rice43Tulsa48Tulsa
200611/11Tulsa38Rice41Rice
200510/15Rice21Tulsa41Tulsa
200410/30Tulsa39Rice22Tulsa
200311/08Rice28Tulsa31Tulsa
200211/02Tulsa18Rice33Rice
200111/10Rice59Tulsa32Rice
200009/15Rice16Tulsa23Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa1000 Overs
Rice521 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 100 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams10 - 52 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#57) Rice Info
Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Rice has lost 1 straight
Rice has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Highlights
Rice offense is good in red zone (#99)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice does not Sack the QB (#31)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTLSARICE
OverallOver#79#75
OffenseOff#48#86
DefenseDef#97#58
Special TeamsST#109#71
PassingPass#73#92
RushingRush#45#60
Run BlockRBLK#41#72
Pass BlockPBLK#43#110
Route RunningWR Rt#45#32
TacklingTkl#114#54
Run DefenseR Def#104#80
Pass Rush DefPRush#16#70
Coverage DefCov#111#37

Rematch from Week 8
Tulsa -3.0 (56.5)
Rice won at Tulsa this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat Tulsa in 2023 (42-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | TLSA
Depth Chart: RICE | TLSA
Rosters: RICE | TLSA
(#111) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -8.775 #111
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30


Tulsa has lost 1 straight
Tulsa has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#117)

Tulsa commits very few Penalties (#91)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)


  
Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JT Daniels (Tr)18128763%24432178.5
AJ Padgett7111761%721866.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors12177176.457
Juma Otoviano9232643.524
Luke McCaffrey1511707.840
Ari Broussard299103.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke McCaffrey719921314.051
Dean Connors4340339.480
Boden Groen3938339.831
Landon Ransom-Goelz26380314.644

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myron Morrison683140
Plae Wyatt653125
Gabe Taylor461128
Chris Conti453110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chike Anigbogu183200
De'Braylon Carroll388250
Jonathan Jean344201
DJ Arkansas312220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Shon Devones382009
Gabe Taylor461128
Tyson Flowers232105

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cardell Williams7913260%11491078.7
Kirk Francis6812156%967638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Watkins19788944.546
Bill Jackson9141414.538
Jordan Ford7829413.822
Cardell Williams5720053.550
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamdyn Benjamin47727615.551
Carl Chester22401118.257
Devan Williams29399213.842
Marquis Shoulders16283517.780

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)1314011
Julien Simon (Tr)5810312
Dayne Hodge562000
Ben Kopenski5214940
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Kopenski5214940
Owen Ostroski3110430
Julien Simon (Tr)5810312
Mitchell Kulkin393243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaise Oliver482006
Xavier Lanier150004
Nunu Campbell230003