Rice at Tulsa - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 19th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -3 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Rice 42 - Tulsa: 10 (American Athletic)

Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RICE coming off BYE
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: Rice -5 (SP+ RICE -6)
Projected Score: RICE: 32 - TLSA: 27 (59)
TLSA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
RICE Travel: 446 miles

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (29 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Rice at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	51.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Rice vs Texas Southern	-35.5	60.0	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rice at South Florida	-2.5	56.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Rice vs East Carolina	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Rice vs UConn	-10.0	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Rice at Tulsa	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Rice vs Tulane	+10.0	55.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Rice vs SMU	+12.0	59.5	L 31 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rice at UTSA	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rice at Charlotte	+0.5	46.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-5.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Tue 12/26	Rice vs Texas State	+3.5	58.5	L 21 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#52 (.22)	44% (49)	29.5	43% (70)	3.01 (87)	110	45% (32)	252	4.81 (9)	#63 (.17)	41% (57)	28.1	44% (83)	39% (33)	3.61 (52)	49.4	2	0.9
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	23.4	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	33.8	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	13	29.5	24.6	43.7%	4.81	2	19	363	110	252	3.7	41%	58%	43%	45%	17%	.22
TLSA Defense	12	33.8	34.8	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	13	28.1	26	41.2%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	12%	.17
TLSA Offense	12	23.4	28.5	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	13	30:59	18.8	38%	67%	5.8	49.4	2	0.9	3.8	1.3	1	28.7
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	13	41% (120)	43% (70)	29.8	110.5	3.7	21 (54)	.12 (86)	3.01 (87)	65% (118)	10% (59)	0.96 (89)
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	13	52% (93)	44% (83)	-	-	-	-	.19 (99)	3.15 (80)	73% (66)	7% (125)	1.01 (79)
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	13	58% (13)	45% (32)	20.6	33.2	252.5	7.6	12.3	29 (18)	16 (121)	.34 (45)	1.6 (54)	32% (74)	32% (60)	.32 (71)	7% (103)	2.1 (47)
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	13	48% (42)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.21 (34)	1.6 (53)	33% (49)	29% (44)	.24 (34)	5% (109)	2 (53)
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: 1.12 Tulsa: -8.775

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.3 Tulsa: -14.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.775 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Rice 32
Tulsa 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Rice 36
Tulsa 32

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Rice 31
Tulsa 27

Total Points: 58

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/19	Tulsa	10	Rice	42	Tulsa -3	Rice	56.5	Under
2013	10/05	Tulsa	27	Rice	30	Tulsa -2.5	Rice	0
2012	10/20	Tulsa	28	Rice	24
2011	10/22	Rice	20	Tulsa	38
2010	11/06	Tulsa	64	Rice	27
2009	10/03	Rice	10	Tulsa	27
2008	10/04	Tulsa	63	Rice	28
2007	11/24	Rice	43	Tulsa	48
2006	11/11	Tulsa	38	Rice	41
2005	10/15	Rice	21	Tulsa	41
2004	10/30	Tulsa	39	Rice	22
2003	11/08	Rice	28	Tulsa	31
2002	11/02	Tulsa	18	Rice	33
2001	11/10	Rice	59	Tulsa	32
2000	09/15	Rice	16	Tulsa	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	10	0	0 Overs
Rice	5	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 10	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	10 - 5	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#57) RICE at (#111) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RICE	TLSA
Power RatePwr	#57	#111
SP+SP+	#95	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#95
OffenseOff	#102	#51
DefenseDef	#73	#124
Spec TeamsST	#90	#133
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Rice Injury Report

Tulsa Injury Report

Rice on Offense


CategoryCat	RICE Off	TLSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#102	#124
SuccessSuc	#49	#96
ExplosiveExp	#31	#123
PPAPPA	#52	#120
PowerPwr	#29	#105
SP+SP+	#63	#117
Pts POPPO	#9	#82
HavocHav	#81	#108

Rice Run Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#84	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#70	#67
Run ExplRExp	#89	#115
PPAExp	#86	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#89
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#69
TackleTak	-	#132

Rice Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#32	#121
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#100
PPAExp	#45	#124
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#18
F7 HavocF7	#59	#74
DB HavocDB	#103	#113

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	RICE Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	#73
SuccessSuc	#83	#57
ExplosiveExp	#77	#50
PPAPPA	#77	#63
PowerPwr	#70	#76
SP+SP+	#100	#106
Pts POPPO	#34	#52
HavocHav	#87	#126

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#63	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#83
Run ExplRExp	#120	#79
PPAExp	#96	#99
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#97
TackleTak	-	#62

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#33
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#53
PPAExp	#37	#34
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#50	#89
F7 HavocF7	#87	#125
DB HavocDB	#73	#109

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

RICE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Tulsa -3.0 (56.5)
Rice won at Tulsa this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat Tulsa in 2023 (42-10)

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JT Daniels (Tr)	181	287	63%	2443	21	7	8.5
AJ Padgett	71	117	61%	721	8	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	121	771	7	6.4	57
Juma Otoviano	92	326	4	3.5	24
Luke McCaffrey	15	117	0	7.8	40
Ari Broussard	29	91	0	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke McCaffrey	71	992	13	14.0	51
Dean Connors	43	403	3	9.4	80
Boden Groen	39	383	3	9.8	31
Landon Ransom-Goelz	26	380	3	14.6	44

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myron Morrison	68	3	1	4	0
Plae Wyatt	65	3	1	2	5
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Chris Conti	45	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chike Anigbogu	18	3	2	0	0
De'Braylon Carroll	38	8	2	5	0
Jonathan Jean	34	4	2	0	1
DJ Arkansas	31	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Shon Devones	38	2	0	0	9
Gabe Taylor	46	1	1	2	8
Tyson Flowers	23	2	1	0	5

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cardell Williams	79	132	60%	1149	10	7	8.7
Kirk Francis	68	121	56%	967	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Watkins	197	889	4	4.5	46
Bill Jackson	91	414	1	4.5	38
Jordan Ford	78	294	1	3.8	22
Cardell Williams	57	200	5	3.5	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	47	727	6	15.5	51
Carl Chester	22	401	1	18.2	57
Devan Williams	29	399	2	13.8	42
Marquis Shoulders	16	283	5	17.7	80

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)	131	4	0	1	1
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Dayne Hodge	56	2	0	0	0
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0
Owen Ostroski	31	10	4	3	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Mitchell Kulkin	39	3	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaise Oliver	48	2	6
Xavier Lanier	15	0	4
Nunu Campbell	23	0	3