Florida Atlantic at Rice - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (1:00 PM EST)
Rice -5 (46.5) (-155) Open: -5.0
Rice 24 - Florida Atlantic: 21 (American Athletic)

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
RICE is playing their 6th straight game
FAU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Rice -6 (SP+ RICE -2)
Projected Score: FAU: 22 - RICE: 28 (52)
RICE Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
FAU Travel: 961 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Rice's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Rice at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	51.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Rice vs Texas Southern	-35.5	60.0	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rice at South Florida	-2.5	56.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Rice vs East Carolina	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Rice vs UConn	-10.0	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Rice at Tulsa	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Rice vs Tulane	+10.0	55.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Rice vs SMU	+12.0	59.5	L 31 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rice at UTSA	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rice at Charlotte	+0.5	46.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-5.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Tue 12/26	Rice vs Texas State	+3.5	58.5	L 21 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.26	45%	25.9	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	30.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9
RICE	.16	42%	22.2	41%	2.99	141	44%	233	3.56	.32	44%	25.4	45%	44%	4.38	53.7	2.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	25.9	23.3	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26
RICE Defense	13	25.4	21.2	44.1%	4.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	44%	15%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	30.3	30.8	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24
RICE Offense	13	22.2	31.8	41.9%	3.56	2.5	20	374	141	233	4	51%	47%	41%	44%	20%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3
Rice	13	32:49	20.1	42%	44%	6.1	53.7	2.5	1.5	4.1	1.5	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1
RICE Defense	13	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.47	67%	9%	1.22

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04
RICE Offense	13	51%	41%	35.4	141.4	4	17	.15	2.99	83%	11%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2
RICE Defense	13	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.41	1.8	31%	33%	.43	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1
RICE Offense	13	47%	44%	17.9	31	232.8	7.5	13	23	20	.23	1.6	33%	32%	.28	9%	2

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -4.02 Rice: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.9 Rice: -8.3

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Rice 28
Florida Atlantic 22

Projected Total Points: 52

Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	Rice	24	Florida Atlantic	21	Rice	Rice -5	Florida Atlantic	46.5	Under
2022	10/15	Florida Atlantic	17	Rice	14	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -5	Rice	54.5	Under
2016	11/05	Rice	25	Florida Atlantic	42	Florida Atlantic	Rice -2	Florida Atlantic	57.0	Over
2015	10/10	Florida Atlantic	26	Rice	27	Rice	Florida Atlantic -1.5	Rice	56.5	Under
2013	09/28	Rice	18	Florida Atlantic	14	Rice	Rice -14	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	3	2	1 Overs
Florida Atlantic	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	0 - 5	0 - 5	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	5 - 0	0 - 0	5 - 0

(#87) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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Florida Atlantic Ratings Matchup Rice

Power #87

#57

Off #112

#29

Def #67

#76

Talent #98

#89

SP+ #104

#95

SP+ Off #108

#63

SP+ Def #80

#106

Rematch from Week 13
Rice -5.0 (46.5)
Rice won vs Florida Atlantic this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (24-21)
Florida Atlantic beat Rice in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | RICE
Depth Chart: FAU | RICE
Rosters: FAU | RICE

(#57) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kasen Weisman	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7
Michael Johnson Jr.	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kasen Weisman	15	71	1	4.7	17
Tony Johnson	2	13	0	6.5	13
Donovan Giles	2	8	0	4.0	12
LaJohntay Wester	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	74	931	10	12.6	69
Tony Johnson	49	452	6	9.2	23
Donovan Giles	8	123	1	15.4	37
Elijah Brown (Tr)	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Williams	51	7	0	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	41	2	0	0	1
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Marlon Bradley	14	5	2	1	0
Latrell Jean	21	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daedae Hill	27	1	0	0	5
Chris Jones	34	8	1	5	4
Michal Antoine Jr.	19	1	0	0	3

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Christian Francisco	19	78	4.1	14
Kobie Campbell	1	40	40.0	40
Matt Sykes (Tr)	2	-4	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Sykes (Tr)	65	795	5	12.2	37
Kobie Campbell	32	372	1	11.6	33
Elijah Mojarro	22	215	3	9.8	41
Boden Groen	12	94	0	7.8	21

View Rice's Full Roster

Rice's DC Brian Smith

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Myron Morrison	29	6	2	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Michael Larbie	9	4	2	4	0
Myron Morrison	29	6	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Chike Anigbogu	10	3	1	2	2