BYU at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Oklahoma State -15.5 (55.5) (-950)  Open: -17.5 | 57.0
Oklahoma State 40 - BYU: 34  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST is playing their 8th straight game
BYU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -9.5   (SP+ OKST -10)

Projected Score: BYU: 23 - OKST: 33 (56)
OKST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BYU Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 BYU vs Sam Houston-19.046.5W 14 - 0UN
Sat 9/9 BYU vs Southern Utah-30.546.5W 41 - 16ON
Sat 9/16 BYU at Arkansas+9.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 BYU at Kansas+9.055.5L 27 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 BYU vs Cincinnati-1.047.5W 35 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 BYU at TCU+5.052.5L 11 - 44ON
Sat 10/21 BYU vs Texas Tech+3.049.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/28 BYU at Texas+20.548.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 BYU at West Virginia+13.048.5L 7 - 37UN
Sat 11/11 BYU vs Iowa State+7.540.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 BYU vs Oklahoma+24.558.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 BYU at Oklahoma State+15.555.5L 34 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#120 (.08)36% (125)23.137% (126)2.97 (94)10436% (115)2053.96 (61)#88 (.21)44% (97)29.844% (75)45% (117)3.59 (50)431.61.7
OKST#69 (.19)43% (53)29.642% (78)2.84 (115)15545% (33)2773.92 (63)#116 (.26)40% (43)28.639% (33)42% (71)4.22 (107)41.41.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1223.120.535.9%3.961.6173101042053.545%54%37%36%21%.08
OKST Defense1428.624.340.1%4.221.6 - - - - - 50%50%39%42%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1229.837.544%3.591.7 - - - - - 49%50%44%45%15%.21
OKST Offense1429.630.643.3%3.921.6224321552774.842%57%42%45%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1228:1916.829%50%5.3431.61.74.20.9229.3
Oklahoma State1429:5621.638%55%541.41.61.65.71.8130.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1245% (101)37% (126)30104.33.515 (100).06 (115)2.97 (94)76% (49)12% (120)1.05 (42)
OKST Defense1450% (63)39% (33) - - - - .15 (74)3 (49)76% (87)11% (48)1.17 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1249% (57)44% (75) - - - - .19 (96)3.35 (114)66% (28)8% (124)1 (70)
OKST Offense1442% (118)42% (78)32.1155.24.829 (22).14 (78)2.84 (115)65% (120)7% (9)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1254% (30)36% (115)18.333205.46.211.217 (85)9 (40).13 (118)1.7 (45)36% (128)23% (126).13 (123)8% (127)2.2 (29)
OKST Defense1450% (74)42% (71) - - - - - - 12 (37).4 (119)1.9 (131)36% (11)28% (32).29 (52)4% (127)2.3 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1250% (75)45% (117) - - - - - - 14 (21).29 (81)1.5 (44)32% (56)37% (127).56 (131)7% (39)2 (43)
OKST Offense1457% (15)45% (33)24.640.7276.56.811.318 (81)16 (121).27 (71)1.5 (113)31% (55)34% (36).34 (66)7% (101)1.9 (114)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -4.63 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: -4.63   Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -3.7   Oklahoma State: 5.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


BYU Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 33
BYU 23


Total Points: 56

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/18BYU38Oklahoma State35BYUBYU -8.5Oklahoma State53.0Over
202311/25Oklahoma State40BYU34Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -15.5BYU55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State112 Overs
BYU110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#89) BYU Info
Power Rating: -4.63 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90


BYU has lost 4 straight
BYU has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

BYU Highlights
BYU offense is explosive (#34)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)
BYU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

BYU Deficiencies
BYU Fumbles a Lot (#42)
BYU Can Not Run the Ball (#29)
BYU offense is really bad (#45)
BYU run game is really bad (#40)
BYU pass game is really bad (#74)
BYU offense is bad on 3rd Downs
BYU does not Sack the QB (#80)
BYU Does Not Stuff Runs (#1)
BYU has a bad defensive line (#1)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKSTBYU
OverallOver#48#98
OffenseOff#39#90
DefenseDef#75#98
Special TeamsST#16#60
PassingPass#40#85
RushingRush#23#92
Run BlockRBLK#78#67
Pass BlockPBLK#31#17
Route RunningWR Rt#34#87
TacklingTkl#69#106
Run DefenseR Def#73#99
Pass Rush DefPRush#49#77
Coverage DefCov#86#98

Rematch from Week 13
Oklahoma State -15.5 (55.5)
Oklahoma State won vs BYU this year (40-34)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Oklahoma State last year (38-35)
Oklahoma State beat BYU in 2023 (40-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | OKST
Depth Chart: BYU | OKST
Rosters: BYU | OKST
(#67) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40


Oklahoma State has won 1 straight
Oklahoma State has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma State Highlights

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Oklahoma State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#97)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kedon Slovis (Tr)15326658%17161266.5
Jake Retzlaff6312550%648335.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin10951844.855
Aidan Robbins (Tr)10148514.836
Jake Retzlaff5111632.319
Miles Davis167804.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts42573513.659
Isaac Rex34422312.465
Darius Lassiter (Tr)29365412.647
Kody Epps21259012.330

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Tooley925102
AJ Vongphachanh (Tr)856051
Ethan Slade602003
Crew Wakley (Tr)594016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Batty548660
Max Tooley925102
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)272110
Eddie Heckard (Tr)475106
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakob Robinson591007
Crew Wakley (Tr)594016
Eddie Heckard (Tr)475106

Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005