BYU at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -20.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 35 - BYU: 6 (Big 12)

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas -27 (SP+ TEX -28)
Projected Score: BYU: 11 - TEX: 38 (49)
TEX Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
BYU Travel: 1043 miles, 1 hrs behind

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BYU Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	.3	46%	31.2	46%	3.33	176	46%	250	4.33	.25	48%	19.6	50%	47%	4.65	53.2	0.8	1
TEX	.28	48%	33	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	15.3	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	13	31.2	28	45.6%	4.33	0.8	22	426	176	250	5.2	52%	47%	46%	46%	13%	.3
TEX Defense	13	15.3	13.5	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	13	19.6	21.7	48.3%	4.65	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	50%	47%	13%	.25
TEX Offense	13	33	40.9	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	13	29:09	21.9	45%	33%	5.7	53.2	0.8	1	3.7	1.2	3	27.7
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	13	52%	46%	33.7	176.4	5.2	19	.23	3.33	69%	8%	1.11
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	13	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.54	67%	7%	0.89
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	13	47%	46%	19.8	30.2	249.7	8.3	12.6	32	7	.4	1.7	30%	33%	.42	5%	2
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.31	1.5	26%	39%	.57	6%	2.1
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -4.63 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: -4.63 Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -3.7 Texas: 24.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 38
BYU 11

Projected Total Points: 49

Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Texas	35	BYU	6	Texas	Texas -20.5	Texas	48.5	Under
2014	09/06	Texas	7	BYU	41	BYU	Texas -4.5	BYU	0
2013	09/07	BYU	40	Texas	21	BYU	Texas -6	BYU	0
2011	09/10	Texas	17	BYU	16	Texas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	2	1	0 Overs
BYU	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#89) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.63 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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BYU Ratings Matchup Texas

Power #89

#11

Off #119

#40

Def #74

#15

Talent #51

SP+ #77

SP+ Off #74

SP+ Def #95

#10

Rematch from Week 9
Texas -20.5 (48.5)
Texas won vs BYU this year (35-6)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat BYU in 2023 (35-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 87° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | TEX
Depth Chart: BYU | TEX
Rosters: BYU | TEX

(#11) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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BYU's OC Aaron Roderick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hinckley Ropati	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Enoch Nawahine	30	98	1	3.3	12
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keanu Hill	12	108	1	9.0	20
Dom Henry	6	80	0	13.3	19
Hinckley Ropati	5	76	1	15.2	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Daley	14	6	3	1	0
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Texas's OC Kyle Flood

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	293	445	66%	3472	31	12	7.8
Maalik Murphy	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaydon Blue	134	730	8	5.4	77
Savion Red	119	687	8	5.8	69
Ky Woods	7	25	0	3.6	8
Casey Cain	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gunnar Helm	60	786	7	13.1	49
Jaydon Blue	42	368	6	8.8	45
Johntay Cook II	8	137	2	17.1	40
Casey Cain	7	136	2	19.4	50

View Texas's Full Roster

Texas's DC Jeff Choate

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Jerrin Thompson	65	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barryn Sorrell	43	11	6	12	1
Vernon Broughton	39	5	4	5	2
Kristopher Ross	29	6	3	3	2
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Alfred Collins	55	6	1	1	6
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6