Sam Houston at BYU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats at BYU Cougars

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -19 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
BYU 14 - Sam Houston: 0

Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: BYU -10 (SP+ BYU -10)
Projected Score: SHSU: 20 - BYU: 30 (50)
BYU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
SHSU Travel: 1118 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SHSU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Sam Houston at BYU	+19.0	46.5	L 0 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Sam Houston vs Air Force	+13.5	36.5	L 3 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Sam Houston at Houston	+11.5	37.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Thu 9/28	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	+6.5	36.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Thu 10/5	Sam Houston at Liberty	+21.0	46.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Wed 10/11	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+4.5	43.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-6.0	42.0	L 27 - 33	O	N
Wed 10/25	Sam Houston vs UTEP	-4.0	38.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/4	Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/11	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	49.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+12.5	52.0	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	49.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		35%	17.8	41%	2.69	0	30%	0	2.55	.06	35%	37.8	36%	35%	2.98	0	0	0
BYU	.3	46%	31.4	46%	3.33	176	46%	250	4.33	.25	48%	19.1	50%	47%	4.65	53.2	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	1	17.8	15.1	35.3%	2.55	0	0	0	0	0	0	49%	51%	41%	30%	1398%
BYU Defense	13	19.1	13.7	48.3%	4.65	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	50%	47%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	1	37.8	39	35%	2.98	0	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	36%	35%	2884%	.06
BYU Offense	13	31.4	40.5	45.6%	4.33	0.8	22	426	176	250	5.2	52%	47%	46%	46%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	30.1
BYU	13	29:09	21.9	45%	33%	5.7	53.2	0.8	1	3.7	1.2	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	1	49%	41%	0	0	0	0	.08	2.69	71%	1396%	1.06
BYU Defense	13	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.54	67%	7%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	1	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.36	70%	2882%	0.91
BYU Offense	13	52%	46%	33.7	176.4	5.2	19	.23	3.33	69%	8%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	1	51%	30%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.6	36%	28%	.26	2%	2.2
BYU Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.31	1.5	26%	39%	.57	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	1	54%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.22	2%	2.1
BYU Offense	13	47%	46%	19.8	30.2	249.7	8.3	12.6	32	7	.4	1.7	30%	33%	.42	5%	2

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 240.42 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -9.92 BYU: -1.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5 BYU: -3.7

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -1.665 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 576.25 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.1
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 30
Sam Houston 20

Projected Total Points: 50

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	BYU	14	Sam Houston	0	BYU -19	Sam Houston	46.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	1	0	0 Overs
Sam Houston	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#118) SHSU at (#89) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SHSU	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#118	#89
SP+SP+	#112	#77
Perf GradeGrade	#103	#117
OffenseOff	#121	#106
DefenseDef	#28	#125
Spec TeamsST	#129	#74
TalentTal	#132	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#61

Sam Houston Injury Report

BYU Injury Report

Sam Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	SHSU Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#125
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#113	#74
SP+SP+	#120	#95
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Sam Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	SHSU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#136	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Sam Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	SHSU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#90	#100
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

BYU on Offense


CategoryCat	BYU Off	SHSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#28
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#119	#57
SP+SP+	#74	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

BYU Run Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	SHSU Def
Run GameRun	#126	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#90	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#13

BYU Pass Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	SHSU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#19	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
BYU -19.0 (46.5)
BYU won vs Sam Houston this year (14-0)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Sam Houston in 2023 (14-0)

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keegan Shoemaker	264	419	63%	2504	15	11	6.0
Grant Gunnell	14	22	64%	100	0	1	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Gentry (Tr)	119	394	3	3.3	28
Keegan Shoemaker	93	254	1	2.7	29
Adrian Murdaugh	26	117	2	4.5	48
Noah Smith	27	106	2	3.9	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Smith	79	782	6	9.9	42
Malik Phillips	35	430	1	12.3	41
Al'Vonte Woodard	31	339	2	10.9	26
John Gentry (Tr)	35	261	2	7.5	56

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trevor Williams	114	8	2	4	0
Kavian Gaither	62	5	1	0	1
Caleb Weaver	42	1	0	0	4
Da'Marcus Crosby	42	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Nixon	23	6	5	1	1
Chris Scott	15	4	3	0	0
Trevor Williams	114	8	2	4	0
Markel Perry	30	5	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Da'Veawn Armstead	9	0	5
Dakerric Hobbs	28	1	5
Caleb Weaver	42	1	4

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kedon Slovis (Tr)	153	266	58%	1716	12	6	6.5
Jake Retzlaff	63	125	50%	648	3	3	5.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	109	518	4	4.8	55
Aidan Robbins (Tr)	101	485	1	4.8	36
Jake Retzlaff	51	116	3	2.3	19
Miles Davis	16	78	0	4.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	42	573	5	13.6	59
Isaac Rex	34	422	3	12.4	65
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	29	365	4	12.6	47
Kody Epps	21	259	0	12.3	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Tooley	92	5	1	0	2
AJ Vongphachanh (Tr)	85	6	0	5	1
Ethan Slade	60	2	0	0	3
Crew Wakley (Tr)	59	4	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	54	8	6	6	0
Max Tooley	92	5	1	0	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	27	2	1	1	0
Eddie Heckard (Tr)	47	5	1	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	59	1	0	0	7
Crew Wakley (Tr)	59	4	0	1	6
Eddie Heckard (Tr)	47	5	1	0	6