Central Arkansas at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Central Arkansas Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -25.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 27 - Central Arkansas: 13

Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 27 (13 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Oklahoma State -5 (SP+ OKST -6)
OKST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCA Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Central Arkansas at Oklahoma State	+25.5	59.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCA		0%	13	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	27	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST	#69 (.19)	43% (53)	29.6	42% (78)	2.84 (115)	155	45% (33)	277	3.92 (63)	#116 (.26)	40% (43)	28.6	39% (33)	42% (71)	4.22 (107)	41.4	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCA Offense	1	13	13	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
OKST Defense	14	28.6	24.3	40.1%	4.22	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	42%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCA Defense	1	27	27	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
OKST Offense	14	29.6	30.6	43.3%	3.92	1.6	22	432	155	277	4.8	42%	57%	42%	45%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Arkansas	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Oklahoma State	14	29:56	21.6	38%	55%	5	41.4	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.8	1	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
OKST Defense	14	50% (63)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.15 (74)	3 (49)	76% (87)	11% (48)	1.17 (123)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
OKST Offense	14	42% (118)	42% (78)	32.1	155.2	4.8	29 (22)	.14 (78)	2.84 (115)	65% (120)	7% (9)	1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
OKST Defense	14	50% (74)	42% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.4 (119)	1.9 (131)	36% (11)	28% (32)	.29 (52)	4% (127)	2.3 (122)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
OKST Offense	14	57% (15)	45% (33)	24.6	40.7	276.5	6.8	11.3	18 (81)	16 (121)	.27 (71)	1.5 (113)	31% (55)	34% (36)	.34 (66)	7% (101)	1.9 (114)

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: #NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: #NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #174
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Central Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas: Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas: Oklahoma State: 5.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Central Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 29
Central Arkansas 24

Total Points: 54

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Oklahoma State	27	Central Arkansas	13	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -25.5	Central Arkansas	59.5	Under
2015	09/12	Oklahoma State	32	Central Arkansas	8	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -37.5	Central Arkansas	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	2	0	0 Overs
Central Arkansas	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#NR) Central Arkansas Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #174
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Central Arkansas Highlights
Central Arkansas is Undefeated vs Spread

Central Arkansas Deficiencies
Central Arkansas has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	OKST	UCA
OverallOver	#48	—
OffenseOff	#39	—
DefenseDef	#75	—
Special TeamsST	#16	—
PassingPass	#40	—
RushingRush	#23	—
Run BlockRBLK	#78	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#31	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#34	—
TacklingTkl	#69	—
Run DefenseR Def	#73	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#49	—
Coverage DefCov	#86	—

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma State -25.5 (59.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Central Arkansas this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Central Arkansas in 2023 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCA | OKST
Depth Chart: UCA | OKST
Rosters: UCA | OKST

(#67) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40

Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma State Highlights

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Oklahoma State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#97)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)

Central Arkansas's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kylin James	89	653	5	7.3	86

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Kylin James	1	1	0	1.0	1

View Central Arkansas's Full Roster

Central Arkansas's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jake Golday	57	7	1	2
Jace Benesch	14	0	0	0
Dude Person	13	1	0	0
Tamaurian Wilson	7	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Walker	4	3	3	1	0
Jake Golday	57	7	1	0	2
Jace Benesch	14	0	0	0	0
Dude Person	13	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jake Golday	57	7	1	2
Dillon Williams	6	0	0	2
T.D. Williams	6	0	0	1

Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	304	501	61%	3460	15	14	6.9
Gunnar Gundy	21	34	62%	202	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	285	1731	21	6.1	75
Jaden Nixon	50	197	1	3.9	34
Elijah Collins (Tr)	30	142	2	4.7	26
Gunnar Gundy	15	49	1	3.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	100	988	6	9.9	29
Rashod Owens	63	895	5	14.2	45
Leon Johnson III (Tr)	33	539	1	16.3	67
Jaden Bray	30	382	2	12.7	45

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Kendal Daniels	105	6	2	0	1
Trey Rucker	100	4	0	0	1
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)	42	7	3	1	0
Nathan Latu	31	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Dylahn McKinney	38	0	0	0	5
Korie Black	17	1	0	0	5