Central Arkansas at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Central Arkansas Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -25.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 27 - Central Arkansas: 13

Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 27 (13 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 91.4° (30% Hum)
Our Line: Oklahoma State -5 (SP+ OKST -6)
OKST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCA Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Central Arkansas at Oklahoma State	+25.5	59.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCA		0%	13	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	27	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST	#69 (.19)	43% (53)	29.6	42% (78)	2.84 (115)	155	45% (33)	277	3.92 (63)	#116 (.26)	40% (43)	28.6	39% (33)	42% (71)	4.22 (107)	41.4	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCA Offense	1	13	13	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
OKST Defense	14	28.6	24.3	40.1%	4.22	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	42%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCA Defense	1	27	27	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
OKST Offense	14	29.6	30.6	43.3%	3.92	1.6	22	432	155	277	4.8	42%	57%	42%	45%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Arkansas	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Oklahoma State	14	29:56	21.6	38%	55%	5	41.4	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.8	1	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
OKST Defense	14	50% (63)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.15 (74)	3 (49)	76% (87)	11% (48)	1.17 (123)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
OKST Offense	14	42% (118)	42% (78)	32.1	155.2	4.8	29 (22)	.14 (78)	2.84 (115)	65% (120)	7% (9)	1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
OKST Defense	14	50% (74)	42% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.4 (119)	1.9 (131)	36% (11)	28% (32)	.29 (52)	4% (127)	2.3 (122)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
OKST Offense	14	57% (15)	45% (33)	24.6	40.7	276.5	6.8	11.3	18 (81)	16 (121)	.27 (71)	1.5 (113)	31% (55)	34% (36)	.34 (66)	7% (101)	1.9 (114)

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #174
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas: Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas: Oklahoma State: 5.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Central Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 30
Central Arkansas 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma State 33
Central Arkansas 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma State 28
Central Arkansas 20

Total Points: 48

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Oklahoma State	27	Central Arkansas	13	Oklahoma State -25.5	Central Arkansas	59.5	Under
2015	09/12	Oklahoma State	32	Central Arkansas	8	Oklahoma State -37.5	Central Arkansas	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	2	0	0 Overs
Central Arkansas	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#NR) UCA at (#67) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCA	OKST
Power RatePwr	NR	#67
SP+SP+	NR	#42
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#59
OffenseOff	NR	#42
DefenseDef	NR	#97
Spec TeamsST	NR	#16
TalentTal	#174	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#43

Central Arkansas Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Central Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	UCA Off	OKST Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	#43
ExplosiveExp	NR	#129
PPAPPA	NR	#116
PowerPwr	NR	#75
SP+SP+	NR	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	#107
HavocHav	NR	#98

Central Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	UCA Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#33
Run ExplRExp	NR	#123
PPAExp	NR	#74
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#49
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#43
TackleTak	-	#79

Central Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCA Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#71
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#131
PPAExp	NR	#119
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#61
F7 HavocF7	NR	#48
DB HavocDB	NR	#127

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	UCA Def
Perf GradePerf	#42	NR
SuccessSuc	#53	NR
ExplosiveExp	#56	NR
PPAPPA	#69	NR
PowerPwr	#82	NR
SP+SP+	#31	NR
Pts POPPO	#63	NR
HavocHav	#26	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	UCA Def
Run GameRun	#33	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#78	NR
Run ExplRExp	#22	NR
PPAExp	#78	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#115	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#112	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	UCA Def
Pass GamePass	#52	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#33	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#113	NR
PPAExp	#71	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	NR
F7 HavocF7	#9	NR
DB HavocDB	#101	NR

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UCA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 91° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma State -25.5 (59.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Central Arkansas this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Central Arkansas in 2023 (27-13)

UCA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kylin James	89	653	5	7.3	86

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Kylin James	1	1	0	1.0	1

View Central Arkansas's Full Roster

UCA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jake Golday	57	7	1	2
Jace Benesch	14	0	0	0
Dude Person	13	1	0	0
Tamaurian Wilson	7	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Walker	4	3	3	1	0
Jake Golday	57	7	1	0	2
Jace Benesch	14	0	0	0	0
Dude Person	13	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jake Golday	57	7	1	2
Dillon Williams	6	0	0	2
T.D. Williams	6	0	0	1

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	304	501	61%	3460	15	14	6.9
Gunnar Gundy	21	34	62%	202	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	285	1731	21	6.1	75
Jaden Nixon	50	197	1	3.9	34
Elijah Collins (Tr)	30	142	2	4.7	26
Gunnar Gundy	15	49	1	3.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	100	988	6	9.9	29
Rashod Owens	63	895	5	14.2	45
Leon Johnson III (Tr)	33	539	1	16.3	67
Jaden Bray	30	382	2	12.7	45

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Kendal Daniels	105	6	2	0	1
Trey Rucker	100	4	0	0	1
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)	42	7	3	1	0
Nathan Latu	31	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Dylahn McKinney	38	0	0	0	5
Korie Black	17	1	0	0	5