Oklahoma at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo   Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys  Oklahoma State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -6 (61.5) (-238)  Open: -8.0
Oklahoma State 27 - Oklahoma: 24  (Big 12)

 
Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (31 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKLA 2nd straight Road Game
OKST 2nd straight Home Game
OKST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -12.5  (SP+ OKLA -10.5)
Projected Score: OKLA: 33 - OKST: 20 (53)
OKLA Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
OKLA Travel: 67 miles
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma vs Arkansas State-36.057.5W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma vs SMU-16.568.5W 28 - 11UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma at Tulsa-28.058.5W 66 - 17OY
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma at Cincinnati-13.058.0W 20 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oklahoma vs Iowa State-19.548.5W 50 - 20OY
Sat 10/7 Oklahoma vs Texas+4.062.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma vs UCF-17.067.5W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma at Kansas-7.066.5L 33 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State-6.061.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma vs West Virginia-13.559.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma at BYU-24.558.5W 31 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Oklahoma vs TCU-12.566.5W 69 - 45OY
Thu 12/28 Oklahoma vs Arizona+2.559.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA.2747%26.250%3.3822045%2553.95.2344%15.544%44%4.0650.21.21.9
OKST.1440%14.240%2.8612640%2804.08.240%33.341%39%3.7733.51.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense1326.23147.1%3.951.2244752202554.953%46%50%45%14%.27
OKST Defense1333.327.639.5%3.771.5 - - - - - 47%52%41%39%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1315.514.543.5%4.061.9 - - - - - 47%52%44%44%18%.23
OKST Offense1314.21739.6%4.081.8224051262803.445%54%40%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1326:1923.841%41%5.750.21.21.97.82.2027.9
Oklahoma State1327:4622.235%31%3.533.51.81.56.61.9228.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1353%50%44.6219.94.928.263.3876%9%1.04
OKST Defense1347%41% - - - - .142.9257%10%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1347%44% - - - - .183.1268%11%1.04
OKST Offense1345%40%36.6125.63.420.072.8673%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1346%45%19.331.3254.68.113.2278.311.630%31%.315%2
OKST Defense1352%39% - - - - - - 13.291.735%32%.486%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1352%44% - - - - - - 17.31.632%32%.356%2.1
OKST Offense1354%40%22.540.3279.56.912.52418.211.633%31%.329%2.2

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 18.63  #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78  #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74  #19
2023 Talent Rating: 884.97  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 71%  #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 18.63   Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 16.4   Oklahoma State: 5.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115  #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94  #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18  #75
2023 Talent Rating: 649.79  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.5

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 33
Oklahoma State 20

Projected Total Points: 53
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Oklahoma State27Oklahoma24Oklahoma -6Oklahoma State61.5Under
202211/19Oklahoma28Oklahoma State13Oklahoma -7Oklahoma67.5Under
202111/27Oklahoma State37Oklahoma33Oklahoma State -4Push50.0Over
202011/21Oklahoma41Oklahoma State13Oklahoma -5.5Oklahoma59.5Under
201911/30Oklahoma State16Oklahoma34Oklahoma -13.5Oklahoma68.5Under
201811/10Oklahoma48Oklahoma State47Oklahoma -21Oklahoma State80.0Over
201711/04Oklahoma State52Oklahoma62Oklahoma State -1.5Oklahoma76.5Over
201612/03Oklahoma38Oklahoma State20Oklahoma -14Oklahoma74.0Under
201511/28Oklahoma State23Oklahoma58Oklahoma -3.5Oklahoma63.0Over
201412/06Oklahoma35Oklahoma State38Oklahoma -19.5Oklahoma State0
201312/07Oklahoma State24Oklahoma33Oklahoma State -10.5Oklahoma0
201211/24Oklahoma51Oklahoma State48
201112/03Oklahoma State44Oklahoma10
201011/27Oklahoma State41Oklahoma47
200911/28Oklahoma27Oklahoma State0
200811/29Oklahoma State41Oklahoma61
200711/24Oklahoma49Oklahoma State17
200611/25Oklahoma State21Oklahoma27
200511/26Oklahoma42Oklahoma State14
200410/30Oklahoma State35Oklahoma38
200311/01Oklahoma52Oklahoma State9
200111/24Oklahoma13Oklahoma State16
200011/24Oklahoma State7Oklahoma12
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State534 Overs
Oklahoma1875 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams11 - 126 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#7) OKLA at (#67) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKLAOKST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #7 #67
SP+SP+ #13 #42
Perf GradeGrade #25 #59
OffenseOff #20 #42
DefenseDef #40 #97
Spec TeamsST #21 #16
TalentTal #9 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #43
Oklahoma on Offense
CategoryCat
OKLA OffOKST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #20 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #8 #75
SP+SP+ #7 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma Run Game
CategoryCat
OKLA OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #44 #86
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #79
Oklahoma Pass Game
CategoryCat
OKLA OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #7 #106
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #61
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCatOKST OffOKLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #42 #40
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #82 #19
SP+SP+ #31 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #33 #30
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #67
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCatOKST OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #52 #70
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #58
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Oklahoma 6.0 (61.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Oklahoma this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Oklahoma in 2023 (27-24)

  
OKLA's OC Jeff Lebby (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel26638469%36603069.5
Jackson Arnold446964%563438.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Sawchuk12074496.264
Tawee Walker10251375.030
Dillon Gabriel93373124.044
Marcus Major7830813.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drake Stoops849621011.560
Nic Anderson387981021.063
Jalil Farooq45694215.449
Andrel Anthony Jr.27429115.955

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Todd Bates (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman8714213
Billy Bowman603003
Jaren Kanak586240
Kip Lewis574110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Downs267560
Marcus Stripling63310
Kendel Dolby495244
Danny Stutsman8714213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Woodi Washington423017
Kendel Dolby495244
Peyton Bowen321114

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005