Kansas at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo   Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys  Oklahoma State logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -3 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 39 - Kansas: 32  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST 2nd straight Home Game
KU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Kansas -3.5  (SP+ KU -3.5)

Projected Score: KU: 28 - OKST: 25 (53)
KU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
KU Travel: 220 miles
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Kansas vs Missouri State-32.560.5W 48 - 17ON
Fri 9/8 Kansas vs Illinois-3.557.5W 34 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Kansas at Nevada-28.558.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Kansas vs BYU-9.055.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Kansas at Texas+15.561.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/7 Kansas vs UCF+2.065.0W 51 - 22OY
Sat 10/14 Kansas at Oklahoma State-3.054.0L 32 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kansas vs Oklahoma+7.066.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Kansas at Iowa State+2.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/11 Kansas vs Texas Tech-3.561.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 11/18 Kansas vs Kansas State+7.060.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 Kansas at Cincinnati-7.559.5W 49 - 16OY
Tue 12/26 Kansas vs UNLV-8.064.5W 49 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU.3445%28.142%3.1818449%2544.46.2847%26.850%45%4.0146.51.51.8
OKST.1440%14.240%2.8612640%2804.08.240%33.341%39%3.7733.51.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1328.121.844.8%4.461.5204381842545.452%48%42%49%13%.34
OKST Defense1333.327.639.5%3.771.5 - - - - - 47%52%41%39%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1326.833.247.4%4.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%50%45%12%.28
OKST Offense1314.21739.6%4.081.8224051262803.445%54%40%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1328:5020.351%47%5.346.51.51.84.41.8129.9
Oklahoma State1327:4622.235%31%3.533.51.81.56.61.9228.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1352%42%34.3183.55.429.23.1874%8%1.11
OKST Defense1347%41% - - - - .142.9257%10%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1354%50% - - - - .283.4977%7%0.98
OKST Offense1345%40%36.6125.63.420.072.8673%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1348%49%18.628.5254.48.913.7328.531.831%39%.65%2.1
OKST Defense1352%39% - - - - - - 13.291.735%32%.486%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.351.529%37%.475%1.9
OKST Offense1354%40%22.540.3279.56.912.52418.211.633%31%.329%2.2

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75  #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78  #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15  #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75   Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3   Oklahoma State: 5.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115  #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94  #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18  #75
2023 Talent Rating: 649.79  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 28
Oklahoma State 25


Projected Total Points: 53
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Kansas38Oklahoma State21Kansas -24.5Oklahoma State54.5Over
202310/14Oklahoma State39Kansas32Kansas -3Oklahoma State54.0Over
202211/05Kansas37Oklahoma State16Kansas -3Kansas59.5Under
202110/30Oklahoma State55Kansas3Oklahoma State -28.5Oklahoma State54.5Over
202010/03Kansas7Oklahoma State47Oklahoma State -21.5Oklahoma State53.0Over
201911/16Oklahoma State31Kansas13Oklahoma State -17.5Oklahoma State70.0Under
201809/29Kansas28Oklahoma State48Oklahoma State -17Oklahoma State55.5Over
201711/25Oklahoma State58Kansas17Oklahoma State -41Push68.0Over
201610/22Kansas20Oklahoma State44Oklahoma State -28Kansas61.0Over
201510/24Oklahoma State58Kansas10Oklahoma State -35Oklahoma State56.0Over
201410/11Kansas20Oklahoma State27Oklahoma State -21Kansas0
201311/09Oklahoma State42Kansas6Oklahoma State -32Oklahoma State0
201210/13Kansas14Oklahoma State20
201110/08Oklahoma State70Kansas28
201011/20Kansas14Oklahoma State48
200711/10Oklahoma State28Kansas43
200610/14Kansas32Oklahoma State42
200311/15Oklahoma State44Kansas21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State1588 Overs
Kansas332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 88 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams8 - 103 - 82 - 31 - 5

(#27) KU at (#67) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUOKST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #27 #67
SP+SP+ #31 #42
Perf GradeGrade #16 #59
OffenseOff #9 #42
DefenseDef #54 #97
Spec TeamsST #10 #16
TalentTal #62 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #69 #43
Kansas on Offense
CategoryCat
KU OffOKST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #8 #75
SP+SP+ #22 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas Run Game
CategoryCat
KU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #48 #86
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #79
Kansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
KU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #20 #106
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #21 #61
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCatOKST OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #42 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #82 #98
SP+SP+ #31 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffKU Def
Run GameRun #33 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #82
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCatOKST OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #52 #28
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Kansas 3.0 (54.0)
Oklahoma State won vs Kansas this year (39-32)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Oklahoma State last year (38-21)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas in 2023 (39-32)

  
KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jason Bean12419962%213018710.7
Jalon Daniels567575%705519.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2031280166.375
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12162685.229
Jason Bean4728236.050
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)4525345.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrence Arnold44782617.880
Quentin Skinner29587220.249
Luke Grimm33555616.860
Mason Fairchild27451316.759

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
Jereme Robinson236556
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ra'Mello Dotson341118
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Jereme Robinson236556

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005