Kansas at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -3 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 39 - Kansas: 32 (Big 12)

Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OKST 2nd straight Home Game
KU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Kansas -3.5 (SP+ KU -3.5)
Projected Score: KU: 29 - OKST: 26 (55)
KU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
KU Travel: 220 miles

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Kansas vs Missouri State	-32.5	60.5	W 48 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/8	Kansas vs Illinois	-3.5	57.5	W 34 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas at Nevada	-28.5	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas vs BYU	-9.0	55.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kansas at Texas	+15.5	61.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kansas vs UCF	+2.0	65.0	W 51 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Kansas at Oklahoma State	-3.0	54.0	L 32 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+7.0	66.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas at Iowa State	+2.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas vs Texas Tech	-3.5	61.5	L 13 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/18	Kansas vs Kansas State	+7.0	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Kansas at Cincinnati	-7.5	59.5	W 49 - 16	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#5 (.4)	48% (13)	34.8	47% (28)	3.42 (10)	206	51% (9)	240	4.43 (27)	#83 (.2)	45% (108)	26.5	46% (101)	44% (102)	4.15 (102)	56.9	1.3	1.5
OKST	#69 (.19)	43% (53)	29.6	42% (78)	2.84 (115)	155	45% (33)	277	3.92 (63)	#116 (.26)	40% (43)	28.6	39% (33)	42% (71)	4.22 (107)	41.4	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)		49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)		46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	13	34.8	30.8	48.1%	4.43	1.3	21	446	206	240	5.4	59%	40%	47%	51%	13%	.4
OKST Defense	14	28.6	24.3	40.1%	4.22	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	42%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	13	26.5	28	44.9%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	44%	15%	.2
OKST Offense	14	29.6	30.6	43.3%	3.92	1.6	22	432	155	277	4.8	42%	57%	42%	45%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	13	30:55	21.5	48%	37%	5.6	56.9	1.3	1.5	4.6	1.8	4	28.4
Oklahoma State	14	29:56	21.6	38%	55%	5	41.4	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.8	1	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	13	59% (13)	47% (28)	38.4	206	5.4	32 (10)	.24 (20)	3.42 (10)	75% (52)	8% (30)	1.06 (36)
OKST Defense	14	50% (63)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.15 (74)	3 (49)	76% (87)	11% (48)	1.17 (123)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	13	52% (95)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.2 (101)	3.23 (99)	78% (98)	8% (111)	1 (73)
OKST Offense	14	42% (118)	42% (78)	32.1	155.2	4.8	29 (22)	.14 (78)	2.84 (115)	65% (120)	7% (9)	1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	13	40% (122)	51% (9)	15.4	23.9	240.1	10	15.6	24 (41)	11 (68)	.67 (1)	1.9 (4)	31% (52)	35% (24)	.5 (18)	5% (26)	2.2 (20)
OKST Defense	14	50% (74)	42% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.4 (119)	1.9 (131)	36% (11)	28% (32)	.29 (52)	4% (127)	2.3 (122)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	13	48% (43)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.23 (47)	1.5 (23)	31% (75)	30% (59)	.29 (51)	7% (48)	2 (50)
OKST Offense	14	57% (15)	45% (33)	24.6	40.7	276.5	6.8	11.3	18 (81)	16 (121)	.27 (71)	1.5 (113)	31% (55)	34% (36)	.34 (66)	7% (101)	1.9 (114)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75 Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3 Oklahoma State: 5.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas 29
Oklahoma State 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas 27
Oklahoma State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kansas 30
Oklahoma State 29

Total Points: 59

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Kansas	38	Oklahoma State	21	Kansas -24.5	Oklahoma State	54.5	Over
2023	10/14	Oklahoma State	39	Kansas	32	Kansas -3	Oklahoma State	54.0	Over
2022	11/05	Kansas	37	Oklahoma State	16	Kansas -3	Kansas	59.5	Under
2021	10/30	Oklahoma State	55	Kansas	3	Oklahoma State -28.5	Oklahoma State	54.5	Over
2020	10/03	Kansas	7	Oklahoma State	47	Oklahoma State -21.5	Oklahoma State	53.0	Over
2019	11/16	Oklahoma State	31	Kansas	13	Oklahoma State -17.5	Oklahoma State	70.0	Under
2018	09/29	Kansas	28	Oklahoma State	48	Oklahoma State -17	Oklahoma State	55.5	Over
2017	11/25	Oklahoma State	58	Kansas	17	Oklahoma State -41	Push	68.0	Over
2016	10/22	Kansas	20	Oklahoma State	44	Oklahoma State -28	Kansas	61.0	Over
2015	10/24	Oklahoma State	58	Kansas	10	Oklahoma State -35	Oklahoma State	56.0	Over
2014	10/11	Kansas	20	Oklahoma State	27	Oklahoma State -21	Kansas	0
2013	11/09	Oklahoma State	42	Kansas	6	Oklahoma State -32	Oklahoma State	0
2012	10/13	Kansas	14	Oklahoma State	20
2011	10/08	Oklahoma State	70	Kansas	28
2010	11/20	Kansas	14	Oklahoma State	48
2007	11/10	Oklahoma State	28	Kansas	43
2006	10/14	Kansas	32	Oklahoma State	42
2003	11/15	Oklahoma State	44	Kansas	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	15	8	8 Overs
Kansas	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	8 - 3	5 - 1	3 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 10	3 - 8	2 - 3	1 - 5

(#27) KU at (#67) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	OKST
Power RatePwr	#27	#67
SP+SP+	#31	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#59
OffenseOff	#9	#42
DefenseDef	#54	#97
Spec TeamsST	#10	#16
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#43

Kansas Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	OKST Def
Perf GradePerf	#9	#97
SuccessSuc	#13	#43
ExplosiveExp	#7	#129
PPAPPA	#5	#116
PowerPwr	#8	#75
SP+SP+	#22	#75
Pts POPPO	#27	#107
HavocHav	#16	#98

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#48	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	#28	#33
Run ExplRExp	#36	#123
PPAExp	#20	#74
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#10	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#25	#43
TackleTak	-	#79

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#71
Pass ExplPExl	#4	#131
PPAExp	#1	#119
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#61
F7 HavocF7	#30	#48
DB HavocDB	#26	#127

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KU Def
Perf GradePerf	#42	#54
SuccessSuc	#53	#108
ExplosiveExp	#56	#32
PPAPPA	#69	#83
PowerPwr	#82	#98
SP+SP+	#31	#58
Pts POPPO	#63	#102
HavocHav	#26	#95

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#78	#101
Run ExplRExp	#22	#73
PPAExp	#78	#101
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#115	#99
Stuff RateStuff	#112	#127
TackleTak	-	#82

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#33	#102
Pass ExplPExl	#113	#23
PPAExp	#71	#47
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#89
F7 HavocF7	#9	#111
DB HavocDB	#101	#48

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Kansas 3.0 (54.0)
Oklahoma State won vs Kansas this year (39-32)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Kansas in 2023 (39-32)
Kansas beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (37-16)

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jason Bean	124	199	62%	2130	18	7	10.7
Jalon Daniels	56	75	75%	705	5	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	203	1280	16	6.3	75
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	121	626	8	5.2	29
Jason Bean	47	282	3	6.0	50
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)	45	253	4	5.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lawrence Arnold	44	782	6	17.8	80
Quentin Skinner	29	587	2	20.2	49
Luke Grimm	33	555	6	16.8	60
Mason Fairchild	27	451	3	16.7	59

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ra'Mello Dotson	34	1	1	1	8
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	304	501	61%	3460	15	14	6.9
Gunnar Gundy	21	34	62%	202	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	285	1731	21	6.1	75
Jaden Nixon	50	197	1	3.9	34
Elijah Collins (Tr)	30	142	2	4.7	26
Gunnar Gundy	15	49	1	3.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	100	988	6	9.9	29
Rashod Owens	63	895	5	14.2	45
Leon Johnson III (Tr)	33	539	1	16.3	67
Jaden Bray	30	382	2	12.7	45

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Kendal Daniels	105	6	2	0	1
Trey Rucker	100	4	0	0	1
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)	42	7	3	1	0
Nathan Latu	31	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Dylahn McKinney	38	0	0	0	5
Korie Black	17	1	0	0	5