Oklahoma State at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Arizona State Sun Devils(#12)Arizona State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -2.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 27 - Arizona State: 15

 
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (30 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -10   (SP+ OKST -18)

Projected Score: OKST: 33 - ASU: 23 (55)
OKST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
OKST Travel: 863 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 32 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#69 (.19)43% (53)29.642% (78)2.84 (115)15545% (33)2773.92 (63)#116 (.26)40% (43)28.639% (33)42% (71)4.22 (107)41.41.61.6
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)17.844% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)31.847% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1429.629.643.3%3.921.6224321552774.842%57%42%45%14%.19
ASU Defense1231.835.146.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1428.631.640.1%4.221.6 - - - - - 50%50%39%42%15%.26
ASU Offense1217.820.637.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1429:5621.638%55%541.41.61.65.71.8130.3
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1442% (118)42% (78)32.1155.24.829 (22).14 (78)2.84 (115)65% (120)7% (9)1.1 (22)
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1450% (63)39% (33) - - - - .15 (74)3 (49)76% (87)11% (48)1.17 (123)
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1457% (15)45% (33)24.640.7276.56.811.318 (81)16 (121).27 (71)1.5 (113)31% (55)34% (36).34 (66)7% (101)1.9 (114)
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1450% (74)42% (71) - - - - - - 12 (37).4 (119)1.9 (131)36% (11)28% (32).29 (52)4% (127)2.3 (122)
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -0.67   Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 5.9   Arizona State: -11.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 33
Arizona State 23


Total Points: 55

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.1

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Oklahoma State21Arizona State42Arizona StateArizona State -5Arizona State57.0Over
202309/09Arizona State15Oklahoma State27Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -2.5Oklahoma State53.5Under
202209/10Oklahoma State34Arizona State17Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -12Oklahoma State58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State111 Overs
Oklahoma State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#67) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40


Oklahoma State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma State Highlights

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Oklahoma State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#97)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatASUOKST
OverallOver#109#48
OffenseOff#113#39
DefenseDef#93#75
Special TeamsST#94#16
PassingPass#113#40
RushingRush#48#23
Run BlockRBLK#91#78
Pass BlockPBLK#67#31
Route RunningWR Rt#107#34
TacklingTkl#85#69
Run DefenseR Def#85#73
Pass Rush DefPRush#74#49
Coverage DefCov#99#86

Rematch from Week 2
Oklahoma State 2.5 (53.5)
Oklahoma State won at Arizona State this year (27-15)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Oklahoma State last year (42-21)
Oklahoma State beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-15)
Oklahoma State beat Arizona State in 2022 (34-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | ASU
Depth Chart: OKST | ASU
Rosters: OKST | ASU
(#106) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60


Arizona State has won 1 straight
Arizona State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 6 (2 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#71)

Arizona State defense does not give up big plays (#49)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State has a really bad Offense
Arizona State has a really bad Offense at Home
Arizona State Can Not Run the Ball (#15)
Arizona State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Arizona State offense is really bad (#54)
Arizona State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#61)
Arizona State pass game is really bad (#99)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Arizona State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Arizona State has a bad defense (#90)
Arizona State Does Not Stuff Runs (#57)
Arizona State has a bad defensive line (#29)


  
Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005

Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005